Rush Lake, Michigan - mi022 Additional Site Information Michael Stambaugh, Richard Guyette, Joseph Marschall, Rose-Marie Muzika Purpose of Collection: Event - fire Cores Stored at: Missouri Tree-Ring Laboratory, Department of Forestry, 21 ABNR Building, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO 65211 USA. Tel: (573) 884-9262 References: Guyette, R.P., M.C. Stambaugh, and J.M. Marschall. 2010. Developing and using fire scar histories in the southern and eastern United States. Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program. 46 pp. Guyette, R.P., M.C. Stambaugh, D.C. Dey, and R. Muzika. 2012. Predicting ecosystem fire using the physical chemistry of climate. Ecosystems, Vol. 15, pp. 322-335. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MI022.CRN Measurement file name : MI022.RWL Date checked : 05SEP13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1446 Ending year : 2009 Principal investigators: M. Stambaugh R. Guyette J. Marschall R.-M. Muzika Site name : Rush Lake Site location : Michigan Species information : PIRE RED PINE Latitude : 4653 Longitude : -08754 Elevation : 203M Series intercorrelation: 0.470 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.230 Avg standard deviation : 0.640 Avg autocorrelation : 0.836 Number dated series : 41 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 50 Pct problem segments : 18.18 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Rush Lake 12:24 Thu 05 Sep 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 R01 1834 2009 .42 .62 .54 .37 .25B 2 R02 1736 2009 .22B .41 .44 .18B .33 .57 .59 .67 .50 3 R03 1791 2009 .57 .53 .63 .60 .52 .63 .55 4 R04 1848 2009 .41 .44 .47 .59 .49 5 r05 1789 2009 .48 .48 .50 .47 .41 .65 .62 6 r06 1827 2009 .41 .41 .55 .67 .54 7 r07 1736 2009 .15B .29A .22B .37 .53 .62 .72 .50 .31A 8 RSHC3B 1791 2009 .62 .60 .69 .59 .54 .59 .52 9 RSH015 1446 1798 .39 .55 .47 .46 .29A .14B .51 .64 .67 .37 .36 .39 .43 10 RSH005 1697 1976 .54 .58 .58 .55 .55 .38 .34 .43 .51 .55 .33A 11 RSH016 1707 1825 .56 .68 .63 .64 .64 12 RSH021 1685 1843 .39 .33A .25B .31A .57 .62 13 RSH020 1708 1796 .56 .56 .51 14 RSH012 1680 1895 .43 .55 .48 .54 .54 .47 .40 .33 15 RSH013 1690 1891 .06B .25B .35B .49 .57 .66 .56 .38 16 RSH009 1792 1972 .73 .66 .46 .14B .36 .58 .50 17 RSH08A 1712 1861 .55 .59 .68 .69 .65 .62 18 RSH08B 1705 1827 .40 .64 .72 .65 .59 19 RSH18B 1783 1895 .46 .50B .52 .34B 20 RSH18A 1783 1928 .62 .77 .74 .71 .72 .69 21 RSH017 1675 1869 .44 .64 .58 .52 .55 .54 .28A 22 RSH019 1683 1868 .38B .49 .47 .51 .35 .35 .40 23 RSH15B 1454 1796 .39 .55 .47 .46 .29A .14B .51 .64 .68 .43 .32A .45 .41 24 RSH04A 1675 1782 .04B .47 .65 .60 25 RSH04B 1746 1871 .71 .69 .53 .57 .60 26 RSH16B 1751 1860 .77 .75 .72 .71 27 RSH01A 1686 1779 .20B .26B .23B .25B 28 RSH01B 1785 1822 .59 29 RSH01C 1746 1855 .51 .54 .46 .47 .60 30 RSH03A 1700 1869 .40 .45 .39 .48 .50 .60 31 RSH03B 1782 1863 .30A .40 .43 32 RSH20B 1714 1800 .53 .59 .43 .43 33 RSH20C 1803 1857 .37 .45 34 RSH07A 1723 1853 .43 .43 .44 .60 .62 .60 35 RSH07B 1720 1869 .58 .62 .57 .60 .50 .40 36 RSH002 1678 1868 .17B .44 .58 .59 .67 .63 .60 37 RSH011 1679 1893 .14B .28B .54 .51 .53 .44 .21B .28A 38 RSHPEN 1738 1888 .61 .63 .66 .57 .54 .61 39 RSH010 1669 1886 .45 .39 .53 .48 .70 .67 .34B .19B .16B 40 RSH014 1678 1869 .39 .49 .40 .46 .64 .59 .44 41 RSH006 1666 1870 .24B .23A .37 .56 .70 .62 .65 .77 Av segment correlation .39 .55 .47 .46 .29 .14 .51 .64 .51 .31 .45 .49 .53 .56 .53 .50 .45 .54 .59 .46 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Rush Lake 12:24 Thu 05 Sep 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1950 1975 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 R01 1834 2009 .23A .28A 2 R02 1736 2009 .15A .20A 3 R03 1791 2009 .36 .50 4 R04 1848 2009 .09B .11B 5 r05 1789 2009 .47 .52 6 r06 1827 2009 .22B .19B 7 r07 1736 2009 .18B .27A 8 RSHC3B 1791 2009 .40 .59 10 RSH005 1697 1976 .34 Av segment correlation .27 .33 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Rush Lake 12:24 Thu 05 Sep 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 R01 1834 2009 176 7 3 .388 .50 1.31 .251 .867 .189 2.88 .422 -.048 1 2 R02 1736 2009 274 11 4 .382 .55 1.53 .290 .879 .193 2.72 .312 .013 1 3 R03 1791 2009 219 9 0 .558 .67 1.58 .276 .695 .241 2.65 .379 -.071 1 4 R04 1848 2009 162 7 2 .381 .59 1.52 .319 .867 .211 2.63 .474 .014 1 5 r05 1789 2009 221 9 0 .515 .54 1.71 .273 .850 .210 2.82 .397 -.046 2 6 r06 1827 2009 183 7 2 .398 .82 2.67 .518 .891 .210 2.85 .491 .017 1 7 r07 1736 2009 274 11 6 .376 .73 2.38 .430 .890 .201 2.70 .383 -.065 1 8 RSHC3B 1791 2009 219 9 0 .589 .67 1.55 .275 .698 .232 2.60 .357 -.040 1 9 RSH015 1446 1798 353 13 2 .411 .48 1.84 .315 .869 .259 2.74 .373 -.043 1 10 RSH005 1697 1976 280 12 1 .439 .55 1.60 .293 .829 .256 2.57 .377 -.062 1 11 RSH016 1707 1825 119 5 0 .620 1.72 3.37 .471 .387 .236 2.59 .359 .001 1 12 RSH021 1685 1843 159 6 3 .436 1.18 3.98 .964 .925 .223 2.92 .441 .004 1 13 RSH020 1708 1796 89 3 0 .525 1.29 3.15 .889 .947 .209 2.74 .537 -.040 1 14 RSH012 1680 1895 216 8 0 .482 1.02 2.98 .658 .901 .191 2.79 .366 -.013 1 15 RSH013 1690 1891 202 8 3 .370 .78 2.62 .496 .880 .225 2.57 .310 -.031 1 16 RSH009 1792 1972 181 7 1 .487 1.26 5.21 .885 .874 .225 2.80 .503 -.070 1 17 RSH08A 1712 1861 150 6 0 .606 2.21 7.01 1.101 .757 .261 2.80 .554 -.018 2 18 RSH08B 1705 1827 123 5 0 .540 1.49 7.50 1.528 .949 .219 2.78 .426 .019 1 19 RSH18B 1783 1895 113 4 2 .424 1.67 11.20 1.386 .795 .230 2.54 .371 -.090 1 20 RSH18A 1783 1928 146 6 0 .698 1.58 8.77 1.198 .893 .201 2.78 .467 -.022 1 21 RSH017 1675 1869 195 7 1 .475 1.34 3.93 .618 .809 .208 2.62 .409 -.016 1 22 RSH019 1683 1868 186 7 1 .402 .95 4.76 .612 .853 .189 2.66 .347 -.039 1 23 RSH15B 1454 1796 343 13 3 .414 .50 2.22 .343 .868 .243 2.75 .392 -.045 1 24 RSH04A 1675 1782 108 4 1 .430 .74 2.38 .419 .756 .266 2.93 .504 .001 1 25 RSH04B 1746 1871 126 5 0 .607 1.44 4.42 .905 .792 .298 2.81 .527 -.018 2 26 RSH16B 1751 1860 110 4 0 .732 1.73 6.44 1.058 .824 .227 2.65 .429 -.004 1 27 RSH01A 1686 1779 94 4 4 .235 .94 2.49 .496 .792 .248 2.79 .455 -.017 2 28 RSH01B 1785 1822 38 1 0 .590 2.53 5.47 1.293 .735 .289 2.77 .596 .134 1 29 RSH01C 1746 1855 110 5 0 .517 2.29 5.65 1.078 .799 .263 2.69 .483 .007 1 30 RSH03A 1700 1869 170 6 0 .462 1.12 7.14 1.193 .888 .267 2.58 .353 -.061 1 31 RSH03B 1782 1863 82 3 1 .347 2.00 6.77 1.366 .858 .216 2.61 .455 -.023 1 32 RSH20B 1714 1800 87 4 0 .487 1.70 3.66 .783 .827 .209 2.53 .425 -.040 1 33 RSH20C 1803 1857 55 2 0 .408 1.23 2.17 .504 .803 .204 2.51 .452 -.023 1 34 RSH07A 1723 1853 131 6 0 .509 1.81 5.82 1.360 .913 .216 2.70 .583 .019 1 35 RSH07B 1720 1869 150 6 0 .493 .73 2.30 .448 .834 .243 2.59 .375 .008 2 36 RSH002 1678 1868 191 7 1 .513 2.13 7.00 1.583 .921 .189 2.71 .437 -.022 1 37 RSH011 1679 1893 215 8 4 .391 1.09 3.40 .718 .892 .208 2.73 .378 -.022 1 38 RSHPEN 1738 1888 151 6 0 .608 .92 3.09 .573 .829 .276 2.67 .421 .019 1 39 RSH010 1669 1886 218 9 3 .387 .63 2.59 .542 .852 .328 2.49 .289 -.025 1 40 RSH014 1678 1869 192 7 0 .461 1.27 2.98 .460 .713 .215 2.57 .391 -.048 2 41 RSH006 1666 1870 205 8 2 .558 .87 2.76 .497 .794 .256 2.76 .421 -.001 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7016 275 50 .470 1.03 11.20 .640 .836 .230 2.93 .409 -.026