Khorgo Lava, Mongolia - mong015 Additional Site Information Gordon Jacoby, Nicole Davi, Baatarbileg Nachin, and Oyunsanna Byambasuren Purpose of Collection: Climate analysis Measurement type: Total ring width Location of core material: Tree-Ring Laboratory Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Palisades, New York 10964 References: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 Davi, N.K, Jacoby, G.C., Curtis, A.E., Baatarbileg, N., 2006. Extension of Drought Records for Central Asia Using Tree-Rings: West Central Mongolia. Journal of Climate, Vol.19, pp.288-299. NOTES: Measurements file updated 11/14/2011 to include 2 additional cores (core ID's TB02E and TB02N). COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG015.CRN Measurement file name : MONG015.RWL Date checked : 14NOV11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1340 Ending year : 2000 Principal investigators: Gordon Jacoby Nicole Davi Baatarbileg Nachin Oyunsanna Byambasuren Site name : Khorgo Lava Site location : Mongolia Species information : LASI SIBERIAN LARCH Latitude : +4810 Longitude : 9952 Elevation : 2060M Series intercorrelation: 0.769 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.408 Avg standard deviation : 0.269 Avg autocorrelation : 0.653 Number dated series : 66 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 17 Pct problem segments : 2.09 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Khorgo Lava 15:43 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TB02E 1661 1998 .43 .38 .37 .30A .02B .03B .15B .22B 2 TB02N 1640 1998 .08B .33 .40 .33 .34 .13B .01B .15B .41 5 KL3S 1747 2000 .86 .86 .77 .74 .70 6 KL4N 1799 2000 .81 .81 .79 7 KL4S 1799 2000 .81 .81 .79 8 KL5S 1722 2000 .72 .78 .80 .81 .82 .78 9 KL6S 1511 2000 .84 .84 .87 .83 .76 .78 .81 .86 .77 .79 .85 .65 .60 .66 10 KL7S 1750 2000 .67 .74 .82 .72 11 KL7N 1750 2000 .65 .65 .74 .69 12 KL8E 1595 2000 .69 .71 .82 .73 .68 .69 .80 .75 .26B .31A .58 13 KL10S 1672 2000 .84 .84 .82 .88 .84 .82 .86 .81 14 KL10W 1660 2000 .75 .82 .86 .91 .85 .81 .86 .85 15 KL10E 1660 2000 .76 .84 .84 .88 .87 .84 .86 .81 16 KL12E 1501 2000 .73 .79 .87 .78 .79 .86 .85 .86 .77 .74 .75 .75 .79 .84 17 KL13S 1674 2000 .90 .90 .83 .70 .66 .72 .79 .83 18 KL15S 1620 2000 .69 .68 .76 .85 .84 .85 .83 .81 .74 .68 19 KL15N 1643 1830 .82 .83 .83 .85 .84 .84 .79 .74 20 KL21SW 1760 2000 .71 .79 .82 .73 21 KL21NE 1764 2000 .82 .85 .88 .77 22 KL22E 1700 2000 .77 .81 .78 .74 .75 .76 23 KL22W 1700 2000 .56 .76 .78 .86 .82 .72 24 KL23N 1513 2000 .83 .77 .72 .72 .78 .84 .87 .83 .79 .84 .80 .76 .74 .76 25 KL24W 1619 2000 .79 .81 .81 .83 .83 .89 .91 .54 .49 .65 26 KL24SE 1543 2000 .85 .87 .84 .83 .88 .88 .89 .82 .88 .91 .75 .77 .83 27 KL25S 1767 2000 .76 .76 .83 .78 28 KL26N 1772 2000 .77 .79 .83 .81 29 KL26S 1756 2000 .48 .69 .78 .75 30 KL27S 1802 2000 .84 .76 31 KL27N 1805 2000 .79 .68 32 KL27N' 1799 2000 .80 .80 .65 33 KL28E 1783 2000 .78 .84 .81 34 KL29W 1671 2000 .75 .70 .76 .84 .82 .85 .87 .84 35 KL30W 1745 2000 .77 .77 .84 .88 .85 36 KL35N 1821 2000 .68 .68 37 KL36SW 1490 2000 .82 .77 .74 .73 .72 .81 .86 .87 .87 .86 .67 .65 .86 .85 .70 38 KL38E 1655 2000 .58 .73 .81 .88 .84 .77 .78 .74 39 KL38W 1655 2000 .68 .76 .79 .91 .90 .82 .81 .77 40 KL40S 1358 2000 .91 .87 .80 .77 .83 .87 .81 .79 .78 .74 .78 .81 .71 .70 .70 .69 .47 .43 .57 .76 41 KL40SW' 1340 2000 .91 .90 .77 .47 .62 .87 .76 .76 .83 .80 .79 .75 .75 .85 .81 .81 .69 .64 .80 .74 42 KL43E 1640 1988 .69 .58 .51 .67 .73 .57 .32A .45 .64 43 KL43N 1640 2000 .74 .74 .71 .70 .82 .65 .71 .78 .71 44 KL45E 1775 2000 .77 .83 .73 45 KL44SW 1554 2000 .38 .68 .76 .68 .73 .80 .75 .78 .73 .78 .83 .76 46 KL45N 1774 2000 .78 .77 .81 .77 47 KL48NE 1775 2000 .82 .85 .83 48 KL48NW 1795 2000 .83 .84 .81 49 KL49E 1412 1726 .83 .88 .92 .88 .83 .86 .85 .79 .76 .83 .91 .88 .88 50 KL49W 1422 1750 .83 .84 .86 .86 .90 .88 .86 .82 .78 .82 .85 .83 .40 .39 51 KL50S 1432 2000 .86 .87 .86 .83 .79 .86 .88 .88 .84 .77 .83 .90 .81 .73 .77 .79 .75 52 KL51N 1693 2000 .83 .85 .84 .73 .77 .83 .72 53 KL51E 1685 2000 .90 .89 .86 .82 .85 .87 .81 54 KL53SW 1786 2000 .79 .80 .84 55 KL53SE 1780 2000 .72 .69 .64 56 KL54W 1761 2000 .76 .83 .85 .82 57 KL54NE 1754 2000 .79 .89 .94 .93 58 KL55S 1790 2000 .63 .67 .75 59 KL55E 1821 2000 .67 .74 60 KL56N 1683 2000 .67 .78 .88 .89 .88 .89 .88 61 KL56E 1677 2000 .78 .81 .84 .86 .87 .88 .87 63 KL63SE 1824 2000 .79 .79 64 KL63N 1821 2000 .81 .81 65 KL64E 1780 2000 .75 .80 .77 66 KL64S 1770 2000 .69 .76 .82 .85 Av segment correlation .91 .88 .81 .76 .82 .86 .81 .81 .78 .77 .78 .76 .75 .77 .75 .78 .73 .73 .76 .75 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Khorgo Lava 15:43 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TB02E 1661 1998 .27A .49 .62 .34 .15B 2 TB02N 1640 1998 .42 .44 .51 .30A .19B 3 KL1E 1868 2000 .76 .77 .85 .86 .82 .82 4 KL1W 1868 2000 .76 .78 .85 .69 .60 .60 5 KL3S 1747 2000 .78 .77 .80 .86 .85 .85 6 KL4N 1799 2000 .85 .90 .92 .81 .77 .75 7 KL4S 1799 2000 .87 .90 .91 .91 .86 .84 8 KL5S 1722 2000 .73 .69 .76 .78 .76 .76 9 KL6S 1511 2000 .74 .90 .77 .71 .85 .85 10 KL7S 1750 2000 .72 .72 .73 .75 .79 .78 11 KL7N 1750 2000 .63 .71 .83 .75 .77 .77 12 KL8E 1595 2000 .71 .80 .79 .81 .83 .83 13 KL10S 1672 2000 .87 .88 .88 .85 .82 .82 14 KL10W 1660 2000 .82 .86 .88 .88 .90 .91 15 KL10E 1660 2000 .85 .91 .82 .79 .71 .71 16 KL12E 1501 2000 .84 .85 .90 .91 .92 .92 17 KL13S 1674 2000 .78 .79 .87 .79 .72 .72 18 KL15S 1620 2000 .80 .86 .85 .72 .70 .74 20 KL21SW 1760 2000 .63 .70 .83 .67 .64 .63 21 KL21NE 1764 2000 .59 .71 .84 .64 .41 .39 22 KL22E 1700 2000 .80 .82 .80 .81 .78 .79 23 KL22W 1700 2000 .82 .89 .88 .83 .85 .86 24 KL23N 1513 2000 .88 .84 .82 .82 .80 .80 25 KL24W 1619 2000 .73 .79 .84 .73 .74 .74 26 KL24SE 1543 2000 .82 .83 .89 .53 .41B .40 27 KL25S 1767 2000 .76 .84 .90 .76 .79 .78 28 KL26N 1772 2000 .82 .86 .87 .86 .81 .81 29 KL26S 1756 2000 .76 .88 .73 .70 .83 .83 30 KL27S 1802 2000 .78 .83 .83 .80 .82 .83 31 KL27N 1805 2000 .74 .83 .86 .87 .86 .86 32 KL27N' 1799 2000 .73 .83 .84 .87 .86 .86 33 KL28E 1783 2000 .80 .82 .88 .89 .82 .82 34 KL29W 1671 2000 .78 .84 .87 .83 .77 .76 35 KL30W 1745 2000 .86 .90 .93 .87 .84 .84 36 KL35N 1821 2000 .74 .71 .81 .90 .85 .85 37 KL36SW 1490 2000 .63 .71 .79 .66 .50 .50 38 KL38E 1655 2000 .80 .85 .88 .64 .56 .56 39 KL38W 1655 2000 .80 .85 .90 .74 .67 .67 40 KL40S 1358 2000 .77 .77 .84 .90 .88 .89 41 KL40SW' 1340 2000 .64 .82 .88 .87 .92 .92 42 KL43E 1640 1988 .57 .62 .70 .73 .64 43 KL43N 1640 2000 .73 .81 .75 .66 .47 .45 44 KL45E 1775 2000 .70 .72 .78 .74 .65 .65 45 KL44SW 1554 2000 .66 .79 .86 .75 .76 .76 46 KL45N 1774 2000 .75 .83 .85 .75 .76 .76 47 KL48NE 1775 2000 .76 .78 .85 .87 .89 .89 48 KL48NW 1795 2000 .86 .84 .87 .90 .85 .84 51 KL50S 1432 2000 .78 .83 .89 .90 .79 .80 52 KL51N 1693 2000 .73 .84 .90 .85 .83 .83 53 KL51E 1685 2000 .83 .92 .94 .88 .87 .87 54 KL53SW 1786 2000 .81 .81 .90 .80 .70 .70 55 KL53SE 1780 2000 .71 .76 .86 .91 .91 .91 56 KL54W 1761 2000 .83 .88 .91 .88 .87 .87 57 KL54NE 1754 2000 .91 .92 .91 .89 .86 .85 58 KL55S 1790 2000 .80 .84 .90 .86 .81 .80 59 KL55E 1821 2000 .79 .88 .92 .87 .83 .84 60 KL56N 1683 2000 .90 .93 .94 .91 .90 .90 61 KL56E 1677 2000 .76 .78 .90 .90 .91 .91 62 KL62E 1886 2000 .85 .81 .76 .79 .79 63 KL63SE 1824 2000 .68 .78 .87 .83 .70 .68 64 KL63N 1821 2000 .79 .80 .88 .85 .78 .78 65 KL64E 1780 2000 .86 .88 .92 .92 .86 .87 66 KL64S 1770 2000 .83 .81 .89 .92 .87 .87 Av segment correlation .76 .81 .84 .79 .76 .78 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Khorgo Lava 15:43 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 TB02E 1661 1998 338 13 7 .291 .88 4.00 .730 .785 .373 2.48 .344 -.013 2 2 TB02N 1640 1998 359 14 6 .285 .84 4.46 .799 .804 .349 2.62 .340 -.005 2 3 KL1E 1868 2000 133 6 0 .799 .61 2.76 .512 .684 .592 2.76 .482 -.002 1 4 KL1W 1868 2000 133 6 0 .735 .53 2.31 .450 .715 .581 2.77 .500 -.035 1 5 KL3S 1747 2000 254 11 0 .796 .28 .62 .116 .227 .443 2.66 .399 -.037 2 6 KL4N 1799 2000 202 9 0 .835 .38 1.49 .256 .683 .429 2.70 .509 -.039 1 7 KL4S 1799 2000 202 9 0 .855 .46 1.38 .259 .607 .392 2.76 .406 -.034 1 8 KL5S 1722 2000 279 12 0 .762 .28 1.75 .248 .777 .468 2.69 .419 -.029 2 9 KL6S 1511 2000 490 20 0 .783 .22 .57 .094 .418 .383 2.65 .397 -.003 1 10 KL7S 1750 2000 251 10 0 .742 .35 1.18 .185 .694 .328 2.56 .443 -.002 2 11 KL7N 1750 2000 251 10 0 .719 .43 1.34 .269 .803 .338 2.65 .455 -.003 2 12 KL8E 1595 2000 406 17 2 .676 .27 .86 .126 .621 .330 2.65 .359 -.018 2 13 KL10S 1672 2000 329 14 0 .846 .34 1.23 .188 .517 .416 2.50 .366 -.035 2 14 KL10W 1660 2000 341 14 0 .846 .36 1.39 .218 .568 .435 2.62 .421 -.030 1 15 KL10E 1660 2000 341 14 0 .812 .33 1.48 .255 .696 .427 2.63 .376 -.019 1 16 KL12E 1501 2000 500 20 0 .814 .24 1.19 .144 .704 .362 2.59 .341 -.031 2 17 KL13S 1674 2000 327 14 0 .783 .24 1.04 .144 .606 .391 2.60 .406 -.028 2 18 KL15S 1620 2000 381 16 0 .782 .41 2.19 .296 .569 .579 2.71 .484 -.031 2 19 KL15N 1643 1830 188 8 0 .800 .55 2.46 .424 .660 .569 2.72 .528 -.043 1 20 KL21SW 1760 2000 241 10 0 .728 .45 1.43 .270 .711 .333 2.79 .476 -.015 2 21 KL21NE 1764 2000 237 10 0 .689 .58 2.18 .382 .771 .338 2.57 .401 -.037 1 22 KL22E 1700 2000 301 12 0 .782 .41 1.47 .268 .789 .323 2.85 .440 -.009 2 23 KL22W 1700 2000 301 12 0 .777 .28 1.04 .153 .663 .302 2.82 .376 -.018 2 24 KL23N 1513 2000 488 20 0 .797 .36 1.56 .278 .858 .330 2.53 .354 -.013 1 25 KL24W 1619 2000 382 16 0 .760 .14 .39 .066 .439 .421 2.64 .344 -.010 2 26 KL24SE 1543 2000 458 19 1 .792 .21 .70 .103 .574 .372 2.65 .406 -.039 4 27 KL25S 1767 2000 234 10 0 .796 .40 1.27 .223 .568 .416 2.40 .277 -.043 1 28 KL26N 1772 2000 229 10 0 .825 .75 2.28 .461 .834 .287 2.73 .401 -.003 1 29 KL26S 1756 2000 245 10 0 .718 .58 2.24 .432 .866 .311 2.45 .291 -.018 1 30 KL27S 1802 2000 199 8 0 .823 .36 1.79 .228 .668 .372 2.63 .399 -.007 1 31 KL27N 1805 2000 196 8 0 .821 .43 1.22 .213 .622 .324 2.78 .515 -.006 1 32 KL27N' 1799 2000 202 9 0 .801 .39 1.43 .223 .695 .338 2.56 .456 -.029 1 33 KL28E 1783 2000 218 9 0 .830 .69 1.68 .373 .607 .388 2.74 .461 -.051 1 34 KL29W 1671 2000 330 14 0 .810 .45 1.94 .323 .724 .409 2.74 .428 .007 1 35 KL30W 1745 2000 256 11 0 .850 .46 1.76 .358 .826 .384 2.83 .492 -.008 1 36 KL35N 1821 2000 180 8 0 .762 .74 2.55 .515 .552 .518 2.75 .586 -.060 1 37 KL36SW 1490 2000 511 21 0 .750 .25 1.46 .229 .665 .514 2.63 .357 -.030 2 38 KL38E 1655 2000 346 14 0 .746 .36 1.42 .289 .833 .361 2.62 .388 -.016 2 39 KL38W 1655 2000 346 14 0 .791 .37 1.53 .300 .833 .370 2.61 .390 -.034 2 40 KL40S 1358 2000 643 26 0 .753 .22 .65 .112 .581 .383 2.52 .374 -.038 2 41 KL40SW' 1340 2000 661 26 0 .772 .25 .97 .147 .653 .404 2.62 .353 -.035 2 42 KL43E 1640 1988 349 14 1 .598 .26 .73 .089 .297 .307 2.82 .344 -.013 1 43 KL43N 1640 2000 361 15 0 .686 .38 1.94 .324 .877 .295 2.66 .385 -.006 1 44 KL45E 1775 2000 226 9 0 .726 .61 2.20 .497 .894 .311 2.61 .445 .008 1 45 KL44SW 1554 2000 447 18 0 .726 .35 1.36 .253 .810 .326 2.65 .323 -.014 1 46 KL45N 1774 2000 227 10 0 .789 .68 2.58 .500 .842 .315 2.83 .469 -.034 3 47 KL48NE 1775 2000 226 9 0 .827 .81 2.54 .481 .614 .455 2.83 .442 -.020 1 48 KL48NW 1795 2000 206 9 0 .849 .47 1.89 .362 .696 .456 2.82 .473 -.030 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Khorgo Lava 15:43 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 KL49E 1412 1726 315 13 0 .840 .34 1.48 .248 .628 .526 2.71 .509 -.047 2 50 KL49W 1422 1750 329 14 0 .787 .36 2.06 .300 .679 .505 2.57 .382 -.004 1 51 KL50S 1432 2000 569 23 0 .822 .31 1.44 .250 .663 .515 2.65 .394 -.007 1 52 KL51N 1693 2000 308 13 0 .812 .34 1.71 .182 .534 .404 2.70 .442 -.042 1 53 KL51E 1685 2000 316 13 0 .872 .31 1.42 .192 .564 .469 2.72 .472 -.048 1 54 KL53SW 1786 2000 215 9 0 .803 .42 1.78 .291 .621 .502 2.72 .470 -.058 1 55 KL53SE 1780 2000 221 9 0 .783 .83 2.48 .446 .484 .415 2.74 .423 -.020 1 56 KL54W 1761 2000 240 10 0 .843 .47 1.89 .331 .803 .395 2.61 .416 -.040 1 57 KL54NE 1754 2000 247 10 0 .881 .44 1.67 .347 .828 .386 2.50 .386 -.037 1 58 KL55S 1790 2000 211 9 0 .796 .50 1.51 .295 .592 .422 2.69 .446 -.037 1 59 KL55E 1821 2000 180 8 0 .819 .55 2.57 .395 .726 .374 2.80 .468 -.041 1 60 KL56N 1683 2000 318 13 0 .866 .36 2.14 .250 .539 .531 2.72 .475 -.035 1 61 KL56E 1677 2000 324 13 0 .845 .37 1.85 .246 .473 .511 2.84 .519 -.049 2 62 KL62E 1886 2000 115 5 0 .797 .59 2.02 .404 .541 .537 2.70 .508 -.037 2 63 KL63SE 1824 2000 177 8 0 .767 .40 1.46 .266 .563 .471 2.70 .528 -.030 1 64 KL63N 1821 2000 180 8 0 .805 .39 1.56 .291 .623 .474 2.54 .412 -.031 1 65 KL64E 1780 2000 221 9 0 .840 .25 .69 .137 .435 .491 2.70 .483 -.027 1 66 KL64S 1770 2000 231 10 0 .834 .23 .58 .115 .328 .495 2.84 .521 -.053 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 19668 815 17 .769 .39 4.46 .269 .653 .408 2.85 .412 -.025