Biarum Uul, Mongolia - mong018 Additional Site Information Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Brendan Buckley, Nicole Davi Neil Pederson, and Baatarbileg Nachin Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG018.CRN Measurement file name : MONG018.RWL Date checked : 31OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1519 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: G. Jacoby R. D'Arrigo B. Buckley N. Davi N. Pederson B. Nachin Site name : Biarum Uul Site location : Mongolia Species information : LASI SIBERIAN LARCH Latitude : 4958 Longitude : 9059 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.655 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.370 Avg standard deviation : 0.283 Avg autocorrelation : 0.808 Number dated series : 24 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 30 Pct problem segments : 8.38 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Biarum Uul 15:33 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BU02NE 1591 2005 .67 .68 .45 .46 .51 .54 .60 .41 .22A .48 .64 .54 .46 .52 .48 .50 .52 2 BU04NE 1664 2005 .62 .68 .64 .68 .61 .54 .69 .69 .73 .80 .78 .72 .74 .74 3 BU04S 1719 2005 .67 .67 .73 .48 .57 .70 .67 .78 .78 .79 .82 .80 4 BU04s 1684 2005 .66 .67 .78 .73 .56 .58 .53 .52 .73 .76 .75 .75 .73 5 BU04SW 1742 2005 .70 .65 .47 .47 .37 .45 .84 .87 .79 .73 .74 6 BU05se 1740 2005 .37 .51 .39B .60 .52 .39 .68 .83 .72 .57 .59 7 BU06SE 1531 2005 .87 .81 .78 .57 .19B .31B .57 .65 .12B-.05B .50B .78 .66 .49 .62 .77 .75 .62 .61 8 BU06sw 1648 2005 .18B .11B .20B .38 .46 .61 .53 .76 .70 .67 .69 .74 .74 .71 .76 9 bu07nw 1547 2005 .86 .83 .86 .85 .63 .56 .30A .36 .73 .71 .62 .71 .80 .76 .75 .78 .61 .52 .51 10 BU07N 1549 2005 .84 .84 .86 .87 .75 .34B .07B .35 .68 .72 .69 .69 .72 .49 .48 .74 .77 .75 .75 11 BU07SW 1730 2005 .81 .79 .50 .62 .76 .62 .68 .81 .71 .65 .67 12 BU09SW 1527 2005 .82 .86 .88 .80 .72 .67 .67 .66 .56 .24A-.49B-.32B-.02B .46 .76 .69 .67 .78 .80 13 BU11SW 1780 2005 .67 .61 .64 .65 .72 .75 .80 .71 .71 14 BU13SE 1565 2005 .74 .82 .84 .67 .48 .42 .59 .75 .61 .57B .81 .77 .65 .75 .84 .85 .85 .84 15 BU13W 1535 2005 .79 .77 .78 .78 .83 .81 .67 .37 .43 .57 .25B .40B .52 .65 .76 .86 .85 .79 .79 16 bu14W 1771 2005 .54 .56 .38B .44 .53 .67 .88 .78 .78 .77 17 BU14S 1657 2005 .68 .65 .67 .71 .67 .55 .41B .52 .60 .73 .88 .80 .78 .76 18 BU16SE 1618 2005 .59 .71 .65 .71 .62 .68 .59 .35B .05B .08B .45 .72 .89 .80 .76 .79 19 BU16nw 1600 2005 .71 .67 .74 .73 .68 .63 .58 .60 .64 .66 .68 .76 .84 .87 .83 .85 20 BU22 1659 2005 .58 .72 .70 .67 .74 .77 .82 .66 .56 .79 .79 .74 .63 .66 21 BUAW 1685 2005 .58 .52 .63 .73 .76 .81 .70 .70 .84 .86 .86 .64 .65 22 BUE 1714 2005 .75 .79 .86 .83 .74 .75 .87 .67 .68 .80 .72 .79 23 BUAA 1519 2005 .75 .77 .89 .85 .78 .78 .77 .77 .76 .67 .42B .18B .26B .60 .85 .85 .87 .77 .76 24 BU00 1566 2005 .86 .88 .87 .78 .73 .70 .79 .78 .68 .50B .45B .58 .72 .79 .88 .85 .79 .80 Av segment correlation .82 .81 .82 .76 .61 .57 .56 .60 .64 .60 .49 .54 .57 .60 .72 .79 .77 .72 .72 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Biarum Uul 15:33 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BU02NE 1591 2005 415 17 1 .500 .46 1.67 .214 .762 .270 2.46 .290 -.015 2 2 BU04NE 1664 2005 342 14 0 .694 .44 1.71 .276 .723 .417 2.67 .391 .002 1 3 BU04S 1719 2005 287 12 0 .708 .44 1.88 .332 .793 .394 2.68 .425 .003 1 4 BU04s 1684 2005 322 13 0 .670 .56 1.94 .379 .807 .394 2.59 .300 -.005 1 5 BU04SW 1742 2005 264 11 0 .639 .45 2.52 .406 .881 .379 2.66 .368 .005 2 6 BU05se 1740 2005 266 11 1 .534 .29 .95 .195 .814 .363 2.70 .326 -.003 1 7 BU06SE 1531 2005 475 19 5 .571 .23 1.07 .221 .843 .375 2.73 .364 .012 1 8 BU06sw 1648 2005 358 15 3 .550 .26 1.06 .298 .833 .413 2.53 .317 -.001 1 9 bu07nw 1547 2005 459 19 1 .654 .44 2.04 .317 .793 .378 2.59 .342 -.010 3 10 BU07N 1549 2005 457 19 2 .653 .43 1.56 .356 .825 .376 2.58 .311 .005 1 11 BU07SW 1730 2005 276 11 0 .689 .30 1.34 .298 .848 .372 2.82 .401 .001 3 12 BU09SW 1527 2005 479 19 4 .598 .30 1.15 .314 .871 .367 2.63 .458 .005 2 13 BU11SW 1780 2005 226 9 0 .659 .48 1.62 .268 .757 .352 2.56 .334 -.005 1 14 BU13SE 1565 2005 441 18 1 .705 .32 1.20 .298 .863 .371 2.66 .414 -.016 2 15 BU13W 1535 2005 471 19 2 .675 .30 1.14 .290 .857 .388 2.71 .438 -.012 1 16 bu14W 1771 2005 235 10 1 .654 .27 1.00 .268 .816 .396 2.63 .385 .002 1 17 BU14S 1657 2005 349 14 1 .689 .30 1.17 .332 .807 .389 2.57 .357 -.010 1 18 BU16SE 1618 2005 388 16 3 .600 .36 1.40 .268 .836 .343 2.60 .316 -.006 2 19 BU16nw 1600 2005 406 16 0 .720 .33 1.04 .229 .783 .381 2.70 .422 -.023 1 20 BU22 1659 2005 347 14 0 .676 .30 .75 .222 .726 .372 2.45 .354 .012 2 21 BUAW 1685 2005 321 13 0 .692 .35 1.44 .177 .635 .364 2.69 .436 -.024 2 22 BUE 1714 2005 292 12 0 .735 .25 .61 .224 .794 .339 2.70 .331 .012 2 23 BUAA 1519 2005 487 19 3 .720 .33 1.38 .354 .865 .364 2.78 .429 -.004 1 24 BU00 1566 2005 440 18 2 .756 .32 1.15 .228 .783 .341 2.71 .389 .011 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 8803 358 30 .655 .35 2.52 .283 .808 .370 2.82 .373 -.003