Zuun Mod Gol, Mongolia - mong031 Additional Site Information Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Brendan Buckley, Nicole Davi Neil Pederson, and Baatarbileg Nachin Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG031.CRN Measurement file name : MONG031.RWL Date checked : 31OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1516 Ending year : 1998 Principal investigators: G. Jacoby R. D'Arrigo B. Buckley N. Davi N. Pederson B. Nachin Site name : Zuun Mod Gol Site location : Mongolia Species information : PISI SIBERIAN STONE PINE Latitude : 4815 Longitude : 9724 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.644 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.273 Avg standard deviation : 0.299 Avg autocorrelation : 0.813 Number dated series : 30 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 20 Pct problem segments : 4.85 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Zuun Mod Gol 15:43 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 DM1W 1782 1998 .35 .24A .39 .58 .52 .67 .78 .79 2 DM2W 1810 1998 .35 .41 .65 .67 .60 .70 .69 3 DM2E 1833 1998 .64 .75 .45 .25A .58 .75 4 DM3S 1792 1998 .33A .45 .47 .67 .42 .42 .75 .63 5 DM4W 1523 1998 .48 .50 .56 .74 .86 .85 .76 .74 .75 .82 .84 .76 .75 .72 .68 .74 .80 .77 .70 6 DM4E 1530 1998 .62 .78 .88 .89 .72 .70 .76 .73 .81 .79 .70 .73 .63 .62 .75 .79 .81 .79 7 DM5SW 1629 1998 .78 .62 .51 .60 .83 .82 .71 .59 .45 .59 .71 .68 .70 .71 8 DM6E 1550 1998 .85 .85 .77 .59 .65 .76 .58 .70 .65 .32B .53 .71 .79 .75 .70 .75 .79 9 DM6W 1516 1994 .59 .62 .79 .90 .83 .69 .57 .59 .63 .73 .72 .47 .64 .77 .84 .86 .78 .81 .74 10 DM7W 1549 1997 .81 .81 .81 .77 .67 .73 .77 .57 .36 .34B .43B .56 .60 .66 .68 .58 .65 .60 11 DM7NE 1535 1998 .73 .74 .64 .59 .74 .79 .76 .78 .77 .75 .72 .77 .70 .70 .84 .77 .72 .73 12 DM8S 1569 1998 .71 .80 .85 .83 .77 .76 .75 .67 .62 .69 .65 .70 .76 .68 .70 .83 .69 13 DM8W 1682 1998 .55 .54 .63 .58 .48 .45 .41 .53 .46 .54 .67 .75 14 DM9E 1580 1994 .76 .85 .85 .75 .72 .67 .69 .73 .76 .58 .41 .64 .72 .71 .73 .69 15 DM9W 1611 1998 .55 .67 .64 .61 .55 .73 .81 .67 .67 .72 .78 .65 .62 .86 .75 16 DM10A 1558 1998 .65 .73 .77 .73 .71 .72 .69 .75 .75 .70 .62 .61 .58 .59 .70 .65 .75 17 DM10B 1557 1998 .59 .70 .69 .77 .70 .64 .71 .79 .72 .65 .67 .64 .67 .68 .70 .74 .79 18 DM11W 1707 1998 .76 .72 .75 .68 .59 .66 .75 .75 .65 .65 .76 19 DM12S 1557 1998 .56 .71 .79 .82 .76 .56 .49 .73 .71 .57 .62 .72 .73 .68 .61 .59 .67 20 DM12W 1562 1998 .78 .76 .83 .86 .79 .62 .57 .76 .80 .64 .59 .58 .66 .61 .46 .61 .73 21 DM13SE 1680 1997 .47 .65 .59 .52 .17B .33A .71 .64 .47 .53 .67 .73 22 DM13W 1580 1998 .24B .46 .56 .52 .68 .67 .50 .38 .42 .56 .37 .27A .48 .65 .72 .57 23 DM14E 1624 1998 .78 .78 .70 .61 .40 .58 .72 .34B .39 .61 .62 .69 .82 .79 .73 24 DM14 1609 1998 .58 .75 .66 .58 .36 .31A .48 .39 .02B .08B .54 .61 .69 .65 .62 25 DM16W 1819 1998 .46 .40 .65 .50 .44 .73 .72 26 DM16S 1800 1998 .30B .32A .41 .47 .58 .59 .60 27 DM17E 1619 1997 .25A .36 .45B .50 .53 .52 .40 .45 .65 .68 .66 .54 .55 .58 .56 28 DM17W 1657 1998 .58 .50 .38 .32A .34 .31B .43 .64 .62 .51 .56 .67 .63 29 DM18Y 1897 1998 .62 .65 .80 .75 30 DM19SE 1552 1998 .71 .68 .79 .75 .55 .62 .70 .77 .71 .56 .56 .45 .43 .61 .83 .77 .73 Av segment correlation .53 .65 .71 .73 .72 .73 .67 .64 .61 .65 .65 .53 .53 .56 .64 .62 .64 .71 .70 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Zuun Mod Gol 15:43 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 DM1W 1782 1998 217 8 1 .612 .99 2.43 .385 .713 .244 2.54 .322 -.013 1 2 DM2W 1810 1998 189 7 0 .599 .89 1.84 .347 .714 .235 2.73 .462 -.023 1 3 DM2E 1833 1998 166 6 1 .589 1.29 2.50 .397 .581 .212 2.53 .329 -.012 1 4 DM3S 1792 1998 207 8 1 .532 .79 1.90 .350 .834 .206 2.62 .383 -.003 1 5 DM4W 1523 1998 476 19 0 .723 .51 2.43 .319 .853 .282 2.51 .358 -.027 1 6 DM4E 1530 1998 469 18 0 .740 .54 2.44 .383 .873 .309 2.56 .361 -.031 1 7 DM5SW 1629 1998 370 14 0 .674 .47 1.08 .178 .673 .249 2.65 .435 -.043 1 8 DM6E 1550 1998 449 17 1 .712 .43 2.13 .345 .884 .297 2.56 .274 -.048 1 9 DM6W 1516 1994 479 19 0 .708 .49 1.81 .317 .868 .262 2.53 .271 -.014 1 10 DM7W 1549 1997 449 18 2 .627 .37 1.42 .227 .807 .321 2.47 .293 -.013 1 11 DM7NE 1535 1998 464 18 0 .740 .42 1.78 .276 .826 .316 2.57 .344 -.025 1 12 DM8S 1569 1998 430 17 0 .724 .41 2.12 .322 .897 .283 2.73 .369 -.020 1 13 DM8W 1682 1998 317 12 0 .568 .36 .84 .166 .764 .262 2.69 .421 -.017 1 14 DM9E 1580 1994 415 16 0 .702 .45 1.61 .282 .798 .303 2.67 .352 -.040 1 15 DM9W 1611 1998 388 15 0 .672 .37 2.10 .221 .781 .259 2.65 .402 -.015 1 16 DM10A 1558 1998 441 17 0 .698 .38 1.60 .242 .847 .291 2.65 .366 .009 1 17 DM10B 1557 1998 442 17 0 .694 .51 2.55 .347 .874 .276 2.62 .372 -.019 1 18 DM11W 1707 1998 292 11 0 .709 .49 1.17 .178 .551 .281 2.65 .407 -.016 1 19 DM12S 1557 1998 442 17 0 .656 .39 1.40 .229 .817 .301 2.52 .336 .017 9 20 DM12W 1562 1998 437 17 0 .673 .40 2.03 .360 .929 .326 2.53 .316 -.029 1 21 DM13SE 1680 1997 318 12 2 .548 .50 1.07 .197 .739 .229 2.59 .358 -.036 1 22 DM13W 1580 1998 419 16 2 .485 .62 2.21 .356 .830 .251 2.45 .271 -.025 1 23 DM14E 1624 1998 375 15 1 .649 .59 2.12 .418 .884 .276 2.82 .415 -.042 1 24 DM14 1609 1998 390 15 3 .494 .50 2.02 .318 .877 .251 2.75 .422 -.002 1 25 DM16W 1819 1998 180 7 0 .574 .82 1.48 .260 .623 .231 2.59 .394 -.035 1 26 DM16S 1800 1998 199 7 2 .486 .75 3.21 .340 .725 .218 2.69 .460 -.002 2 27 DM17E 1619 1997 379 15 2 .502 .64 3.55 .480 .903 .239 2.80 .352 -.004 6 28 DM17W 1657 1998 342 13 2 .519 .39 1.44 .192 .826 .244 2.56 .305 .011 1 29 DM18Y 1897 1998 102 4 0 .697 1.59 3.48 .595 .597 .280 2.49 .401 -.050 1 30 DM19SE 1552 1998 447 17 0 .682 .40 1.48 .212 .815 .263 2.59 .352 -.026 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 10690 412 20 .644 .52 3.55 .299 .813 .273 2.82 .356 -.020