Uurgat Lava, Mongolia - MONG042 Additional Site Information A. Hessl, N. Pederson, O. Byambasuren, B. Nachin Measurement type: Total ring width Reference: Amy E. Hessl, Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Casey Jelsema, Benjamin Cook, Oyunsanaa Byambasuren, Caroline Leland, Baatarbileg Nachin, Neil Pederson, Hanqin Tian and Laia Andreu Hayles. Past and future drought in Mongolia. Science Advances, Vol. 4, No. 3, e1701832, 14 Mar 2018. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1701832 Keywords: drought, moisture, pluvial Funding Sources: US National Science Foundation (CNH-1210360; DEB-0816700) COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG042.CRN Measurement file name : MONG042.RWL Date checked : 06AUG18 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : -416 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: A. Hessl N. Pederson O. Byambasuren B. Nachin Site name : Uurgat Lava Site location : Mongolia Species information : PISI SIBERIAN STONE PINE Latitude : 4641 Longitude : 10145 Elevation : 2125M Series intercorrelation: 0.771 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.303 Avg standard deviation : 0.241 Avg autocorrelation : 0.687 Number dated series : 103 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 18 Pct problem segments : 0.97 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span -200 -175 -150 -125 -100 -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 -151 -126 -101 -76 -51 -26 -1 24 49 74 99 124 149 174 199 224 249 274 299 324 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 23 ULP3002z 51 329 .55 .65 .68 .64 .83 .80 .85 .89 .74 .73 38 ULP3025X 247 796 .42 .42 .51 49 ULP4014X -416 232 .13B .12B .09B .32A .35 .34 .40 .57 .55 .46 .43 .43 .58 .57 .61 .62 .66 52 ULP4020X 230 766 .90 .76 .74 56 ULP4028X -179 725 .13B .12B .09B .32A .35 .34 .40 .57 .55 .53 .64 .71 .78 .73 .74 .69 .80 .86 .82 .77 88 ULP6029X 149 452 .77 .80 .77 .74 .78 .66 .72 95 ULP6053X 257 946 .79 .74 97 ULP6063X 171 766 .80 .76 .84 .85 .78 .82 Av segment correlation .13 .12 .09 .32 .35 .34 .40 .57 .55 .49 .54 .60 .68 .68 .76 .73 .78 .78 .71 .72 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 300 325 350 375 400 425 450 475 500 525 550 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 349 374 399 424 449 474 499 524 549 574 599 624 649 674 699 724 749 774 799 824 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 21 ULP3002X 362 1080 .83 .79 .72 .71 .82 .81 .77 .82 .89 .84 .81 .86 .78 .80 .91 .87 .77 .74 22 ULP3002y 345 855 .83 .84 .79 .80 .85 .86 .80 .75 .69 .76 .87 .72 .74 .77 .71 .81 .84 .81 .83 23 ULP3002z 51 329 .73 38 ULP3025X 247 796 .68 .72 .78 .63 .79 .87 .80 .66 .51 .65 .79 .79 .81 .86 .79 .79 .89 .80 .70 40 ULP3042X 566 916 .83 .87 .86 .84 .85 .88 .92 .88 .76 .65 46 ULP4007X 445 1086 .92 .92 .89 .81 .82 .88 .91 .91 .84 .73 .82 .88 .88 .83 .79 48 ULP4010X 591 1517 .89 .89 .88 .80 .75 .89 .89 .82 .79 50 ULP4018X 508 1200 .75 .74 .77 .82 .78 .75 .76 .74 .80 .79 .74 .77 51 ULP4019X 784 1214 .47 52 ULP4020X 230 766 .79 .85 .78 .57 .80 .90 .82 .75 .64 .65 .79 .80 .72 .76 .56 .44 .77 .81 56 ULP4028X -179 725 .69 .74 .84 .66 .67 .90 .89 .79 .78 .83 .85 .85 .80 .85 .83 .73 .73 57 ULP4031X 777 1093 .75 60 ULP5004X 721 1168 .91 .90 .82 .77 66 ULP5018X 328 955 .80 .87 .80 .80 .87 .90 .90 .92 .89 .89 .87 .82 .86 .85 .78 .89 .90 .83 .74 68 ULP5021X 480 973 .76 .79 .78 .83 .85 .82 .82 .83 .85 .87 .87 .85 .77 72 ULP5026X 600 1560 .92 .67 .63 .85 .89 .88 .82 .70 73 ULP5026Y 604 1184 .86 .89 .92 .89 .91 .93 .92 .86 75 ULP5028X 528 1150 .86 .90 .88 .83 .86 .89 .86 .89 .93 .93 .90 76 ULP5032X 484 1162 .59 .65 .54 .53 .49 .34 .56 .70 .51 .64 .61 .44 .35 77 ULP5061X 696 1001 .90 .90 .91 .89 .84 78 ULP6005X 528 880 .81 .86 .88 .83 .84 .85 .82 .87 .90 .88 .83 84 ULP6021X 480 871 .87 .86 .84 .87 .87 .81 .79 .83 .80 .80 .86 .88 .79 87 ULP6027X 686 1024 .80 .79 .86 .81 .41 88 ULP6029X 149 452 .83 .81 .82 .65 .43 .37 90 ULP6037X 563 976 .41 .66 .61 .52 .44B .53 .65 .66 .68 .75 95 ULP6053X 257 946 .84 .84 .73 .64 .69 .80 .83 .83 .76 .73 .81 .83 .82 .85 .79 .69 .73 .76 .75 .65 97 ULP6063X 171 766 .86 .91 .90 .79 .82 .87 .80 .84 .81 .84 .90 .89 .87 .88 .83 .89 .92 .92 99 ULP7016X 637 1163 .79 .86 .85 .86 .76 .72 .72 101 ULP7020X 491 1044 .75 .87 .75 .80 .88 .86 .84 .79 .73 .63 .62 .69 .47 103 ULP7026X 768 1624 .80 .81 Av segment correlation .77 .81 .82 .70 .72 .81 .85 .79 .76 .76 .80 .83 .79 .80 .78 .77 .83 .83 .79 .71 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 8 ULP1012Y 1188 1469 .63 .67 .78 .83 .78 10 ULP2013X 1209 1649 .77 .84 .79 .84 11 ULP2024X 1130 1470 .52 .55 .50 .50 .65 .61 .57 13 ULP2017X 876 1192 .43 .49 .53 .57 .58 .53 .37 .40 .60 .68 .69 .55 14 ULP2028Y 1210 1845 .84 .87 .82 .89 21 ULP3002X 362 1080 .84 .87 .83 .86 .87 .87 .82 .81 .66 .55 .50 22 ULP3002y 345 855 .79 .77 40 ULP3042X 566 916 .58 .68 .78 .84 41 ULP3052X 1126 1455 .85 .80 .82 .88 .91 .82 .86 42 ULP4000X 1041 1271 .84 .77 .77 .78 .78 .81 .79 .79 .80 43 ULP4002X 1130 1676 .68 .67 .61 .66 .79 .71 .72 44 ULP4003X 920 1310 .69 .63 .79 .92 .91 .78 .74 .79 .84 .87 .81 .75 .79 .84 .77 .79 45 ULP4005X 1239 1680 .81 .73 .75 46 ULP4007X 445 1086 .78 .73 .78 .71 .41B .68 .87 .88 .87 .81 .67 48 ULP4010X 591 1517 .84 .83 .77 .82 .83 .77 .72 .81 .85 .78 .72 .77 .79 .80 .84 .73 .68 .71 .69 .71 50 ULP4018X 508 1200 .82 .77 .58 .69 .75 .70 .77 .43 .43 .60 .57 .72 .79 .83 .58 .58 51 ULP4019X 784 1214 .32A .40 .56 .57 .73 .81 .79 .85 .81 .63 .60 .78 .73 .64 .63 .69 53 ULP4022X 1253 1661 .82 .69 55 ULP4027X 980 1395 .91 .91 .81 .54 .55 .75 .80 .87 .81 .77 .89 .84 .84 57 ULP4031X 777 1093 .79 .77 .64 .79 .85 .80 .62 .76 .82 .60 .62 58 ULP4033X 1117 1688 .81 .77 .67 .77 .83 .82 .76 .77 60 ULP5004X 721 1168 .89 .84 .76 .85 .87 .82 .80 .77 .84 .87 .76 .79 .86 .77 63 ULP5012X 1226 1740 .92 .92 .94 64 ULP5012y 1297 1771 .85 65 ULP5014X 823 1180 .82 .84 .81 .91 .92 .90 .85 .78 .81 .81 .84 .90 .91 .61 .59 66 ULP5018X 328 955 .76 .84 .89 .89 .85 .85 67 ULP5020X 964 1482 .85 .82 .81 .81 .42 .41 .76 .82 .85 .85 .81 .82 .86 .88 68 ULP5021X 480 973 .83 .81 .80 .85 .81 .67 69 ULP5022X 890 1572 .70 .76 .72 .72 .65 .59 .55 .59 .47 .56 .71 .74 .64 .73 .82 .71 .58 70 ULP5024X 1038 1619 .84 .82 .85 .88 .92 .89 .82 .77 .90 .92 .94 71 ULP5024Y 1080 1568 .82 .76 .73 .76 .78 .77 .86 .86 .82 72 ULP5026X 600 1560 .72 .83 .88 .86 .87 .82 .78 .85 .88 .86 .83 .85 .87 .90 .91 .84 .75 .80 .88 .86 73 ULP5026Y 604 1184 .87 .82 .80 .90 .91 .86 .82 .86 .89 .88 .83 .89 .92 .89 .86 74 ULP5026Z 1186 1530 .73 .82 .86 .92 .91 75 ULP5028X 528 1150 .93 .92 .89 .91 .92 .89 .90 .87 .84 .76 .75 .73 .81 .80 76 ULP5032X 484 1162 .51 .66 .63 .74 .73 .58 .61 .54 .60 .63 .37 .43 .52 .52 77 ULP5061X 696 1001 .89 .87 .83 .85 .82 .84 .81 .77 78 ULP6005X 528 880 .88 .88 .85 80 ULP6013X 1196 1535 .54 .70 .81 .86 .87 81 ULP6013y 869 1454 .71 .78 .84 .79 .84 .78 .82 .85 .73 .80 .88 .88 .88 .89 .89 .90 .89 .83 82 ULP6017X 1170 1505 .46 .63 .90 .94 .89 .87 84 ULP6021X 480 871 .84 .73 85 ULP6023X 1118 1762 .76 .83 .71 .60 .83 .87 .79 .88 87 ULP6027X 686 1024 .44 .73 .77 .86 .88 .78 .77 .87 89 ULP6035X 1173 1494 .78 .78 .68 .65 .58 .70 90 ULP6037X 563 976 .78 .81 .83 .74 .72 .71 .72 91 ULP6041X 900 1502 .65 .79 .84 .86 .79 .78 .84 .86 .90 .92 .79 .74 .90 .92 .93 .92 92 ULP6045X 1047 1661 .76 .70 .77 .77 .53 .63 .70 .55 .70 .70 .83 93 ULP6049X 1023 1418 .82 .81 .70 .83 .88 .85 .83 .83 .61 .58 .65 .73 94 ULP6051X 850 1139 .50 .69 .76 .68 .66 .77 .85 .77 .71 .85 .82 95 ULP6053X 257 946 .77 .84 .68 .76 .83 96 ULP6059X 1128 1667 .83 .73 .66 .76 .88 .83 .74 99 ULP7016X 637 1163 .80 .82 .71 .79 .85 .69 .67 .87 .80 .41 .49 .77 .84 .82 100 ULP7018X 820 1066 .82 .85 .82 .87 .90 .86 .89 .92 .91 .83 101 ULP7020X 491 1044 .68 .82 .69 .74 .80 .67 .71 .79 .74 102 ULP7024X 853 1093 .86 .86 .87 .79 .53 .71 .79 .64 .61 103 ULP7026X 768 1624 .85 .86 .80 .75 .72 .55 .50 .64 .67 .62 .58 .68 .76 .82 .68 .60 .70 .76 .63 .58 Av segment correlation .76 .79 .76 .79 .79 .75 .75 .78 .78 .72 .66 .74 .79 .77 .74 .72 .75 .82 .79 .80 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ULP1003A 1530 2013 .55 .65 .67 .64 .67 .72 .66 .54 .45 .28B .30B 2 ULP1004a 1795 2012 .82 3 ULP1005B 1718 2002 .81 .80 .86 .75 4 ULP1010A 1701 2013 .90 .87 .81 .85 5 ULP1010B 1680 2013 .83 .87 .88 .87 .88 6 ULP1011A 1740 2013 .88 .85 .83 7 ULP1011B 1730 2013 .92 .85 .80 8 ULP1012Y 1188 1469 .85 .90 .86 .76 .63 .66 9 ULP1012X 1540 1957 .58 .71 .69 .77 .78 .80 .78 .74 .70 .63 .70 10 ULP2013X 1209 1649 .85 .70 .55 .42 .30A .28A .52 .50 .43 .51 .57 .51 .54 11 ULP2024X 1130 1470 .68 .75 .82 .83 .59 .35 12 ULP2015B 1520 2013 .63 .64 .67 .56 .57 .68 .69 .68 .69 .65 .70 .73 14 ULP2028Y 1210 1845 .90 .82 .77 .83 .76 .61 .78 .91 .95 .88 .85 .87 .83 .81 .80 .82 .85 .81 .81 .86 15 ULP2035A 1613 2013 .75 .81 .82 .83 .78 .78 .83 .87 16 ULP2035B 1460 2012 .83 .82 .75 .79 .84 .78 .74 .77 .80 .81 .76 .82 .81 .76 17 ULP2037A 1732 2013 .72 .65 .62 18 ULP2037B 1670 2013 .87 .93 .91 .84 .83 .84 19 ULP2045A 1557 1960 .89 .87 .86 .86 .88 .89 .87 .87 .85 .86 20 ULP2045B 1567 2013 .79 .82 .84 .77 .82 .84 .84 .90 .87 .86 24 ULP3003X 1647 1959 .59 .60 .65 .59 .66 .56 .64 25 ULP3003a 1637 2005 .54 .70 .63 .56 .60 .56 .69 26 ULP3006X 1310 2012 .63 .70 .81 .84 .82 .77 .90 .93 .91 .89 .91 .90 .85 .88 .89 .93 .93 .91 .82 .83 27 ULP3007X 1394 1716 .85 .71 .55 .82 .89 .90 .88 .73 .67 .78 .80 .73 .60 28 ULP3007Y 1391 1870 .80 .76 .64 .88 .91 .89 .85 .87 .82 .78 .85 .86 .89 .86 .85 .80 .70 29 ULP3008a 1714 2012 .90 .85 .90 .93 30 ULP3011A 1517 1990 .90 .89 .86 .88 .87 .85 .88 .89 .89 .91 .91 .92 31 ULP3012A 1716 2013 .90 .86 .87 .91 32 ULP3012B 1719 2013 .92 .89 .85 .87 33 ULP3013A 1465 2013 .88 .90 .90 .85 .84 .85 .85 .86 .86 .85 .80 .82 .79 .81 34 ULP3013B 1440 2013 .78 .87 .94 .89 .85 .84 .84 .81 .79 .79 .74 .66 .76 .80 .82 35 ULP3014A 1704 2013 .76 .86 .81 .85 36 ULP3014B 1722 2013 .81 .83 .74 .68 37 ULP3019X 1390 1770 .65 .78 .69 .73 .84 .89 .75 .70 .77 .62 .64 .73 .68 .70 .81 39 ULP3030X 1421 1756 .70 .72 .81 .83 .79 .82 .82 .80 .83 .86 .84 .87 .84 .84 41 ULP3052X 1126 1455 .92 .90 .89 .86 .70 .72 43 ULP4002X 1130 1676 .84 .89 .93 .92 .84 .76 .81 .88 .83 .82 .85 .82 .80 .81 .81 45 ULP4005X 1239 1680 .83 .77 .77 .77 .73 .66 .61 .73 .67 .56 .61 .53 .63 .60 .61 47 ULP4008a 1706 2000 .75 .84 .85 .89 48 ULP4010X 591 1517 .64 .66 .67 .55 .67 .78 .68 .64 53 ULP4022X 1253 1661 .80 .89 .90 .78 .62 .56 .64 .82 .86 .78 .74 .69 .72 .81 54 ULP4026B 1434 2013 .55 .57 .72 .76 .65 .65 .76 .57 .48 .56 .73 .75 .72 .66 .70 55 ULP4027X 980 1395 .87 .78 .80 58 ULP4033X 1117 1688 .78 .76 .81 .80 .81 .84 .84 .82 .82 .83 .83 .82 .72 .58 .54 59 ULP5002X 1613 1915 .83 .89 .88 .85 .86 .89 .90 .90 61 ULP5006X 1563 1923 .85 .89 .84 .89 .89 .90 .86 .85 .87 .86 62 ULP5008X 1596 1839 .22A .13B .17B .48 .85 .91 .86 .79 .80 63 ULP5012X 1226 1740 .94 .89 .89 .94 .90 .83 .83 .90 .91 .90 .93 .92 .82 .86 .90 .77 .67 64 ULP5012y 1297 1771 .86 .88 .85 .84 .84 .72 .85 .96 .91 .82 .79 .86 .88 .86 .91 .88 .82 .86 67 ULP5020X 964 1482 .88 .85 .89 .87 .82 .77 .78 69 ULP5022X 890 1572 .61 .81 .85 .83 .73 .51 .66 .71 .63 .63 70 ULP5024X 1038 1619 .93 .90 .95 .93 .76 .64 .82 .92 .91 .84 .87 .76 71 ULP5024Y 1080 1568 .87 .86 .90 .88 .73 .60 .76 .85 .81 .74 72 ULP5026X 600 1560 .88 .92 .87 .85 .79 .75 .88 .88 .80 .84 74 ULP5026Z 1186 1530 .89 .84 .91 .90 .69 .61 .84 .88 .84 79 ULP6011X 1471 1980 .88 .90 .82 .77 .84 .67 .55 .82 .89 .85 .83 .89 .85 .79 80 ULP6013X 1196 1535 .88 .85 .84 .85 .81 .68 .75 .83 .81 81 ULP6013y 869 1454 .80 .74 .79 .85 .83 .83 82 ULP6017X 1170 1505 .89 .91 .96 .94 .84 .71 .76 .76 83 ULP6019X 1310 1590 .92 .82 .86 .93 .72 .51 .70 .66 .59 .78 .86 85 ULP6023X 1118 1762 .91 .88 .91 .90 .77 .69 .83 .88 .85 .74 .78 .84 .84 .79 .77 .86 .82 .85 86 ULP6025X 1550 1874 .72 .52 .43 .59 .57 .58 .48 .51 .66 .62 89 ULP6035X 1173 1494 .80 .85 .84 .82 .83 .83 .80 91 ULP6041X 900 1502 .92 .92 .89 .91 .83 .65 .82 .81 92 ULP6045X 1047 1661 .90 .87 .87 .89 .77 .60 .68 .79 .82 .76 .80 .66 .59 .69 93 ULP6049X 1023 1418 .78 .85 .91 .89 96 ULP6059X 1128 1667 .77 .75 .80 .85 .74 .65 .79 .80 .83 .84 .87 .88 .72 .63 98 ULP6067X 1560 1973 .58 .56 .67 .63 .55 .76 .81 .81 .66 .54 103 ULP7026X 768 1624 .72 .79 .79 .67 .53 .41 .50 .62 .74 .69 .61 .53 Av segment correlation .83 .83 .84 .82 .74 .65 .77 .82 .81 .77 .78 .73 .72 .73 .76 .79 .79 .81 .78 .78 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ULP1003A 1530 2013 .36 .40 .51 .50 .51 .49 .52 .42 2 ULP1004a 1795 2012 .89 .87 .86 .90 .85 .68 .72 .82 3 ULP1005B 1718 2002 .68 .78 .79 .87 .92 .85 .81 .84 4 ULP1010A 1701 2013 .83 .84 .93 .89 .84 .84 .89 .87 5 ULP1010B 1680 2013 .83 .85 .92 .87 .80 .74 .78 .84 6 ULP1011A 1740 2013 .88 .90 .89 .89 .87 .73 .66 .76 7 ULP1011B 1730 2013 .83 .83 .86 .89 .89 .78 .79 .83 9 ULP1012X 1540 1957 .69 .56 .39 .47 .52 .36 12 ULP2015B 1520 2013 .80 .80 .79 .82 .81 .77 .80 .72 14 ULP2028Y 1210 1845 .84 15 ULP2035A 1613 2013 .86 .86 .85 .84 .85 .84 .74 .75 16 ULP2035B 1460 2012 .79 .87 .86 .82 .71 .61 .61 .69 17 ULP2037A 1732 2013 .63 .65 .69 .78 .79 .56 .39 .36 18 ULP2037B 1670 2013 .80 .81 .83 .81 .85 .71 .56 .72 19 ULP2045A 1557 1960 .85 .82 .84 .81 .54 .51 20 ULP2045B 1567 2013 .76 .74 .83 .84 .84 .83 .88 .84 24 ULP3003X 1647 1959 .81 .60 .40 .61 .76 .60 25 ULP3003a 1637 2005 .84 .80 .66 .69 .79 .65 .63 .58 26 ULP3006X 1310 2012 .90 .89 .84 .86 .84 .76 .75 .75 28 ULP3007Y 1391 1870 .74 .79 29 ULP3008a 1714 2012 .88 .87 .92 .94 .94 .86 .84 .86 30 ULP3011A 1517 1990 .89 .88 .91 .96 .95 .82 .79 31 ULP3012A 1716 2013 .91 .89 .87 .91 .89 .78 .79 .86 32 ULP3012B 1719 2013 .89 .91 .92 .89 .89 .84 .83 .86 33 ULP3013A 1465 2013 .80 .63 .65 .87 .84 .65 .66 .70 34 ULP3013B 1440 2013 .85 .75 .63 .53 .65 .45 .35 .56 35 ULP3014A 1704 2013 .75 .76 .88 .88 .84 .73 .76 .78 36 ULP3014B 1722 2013 .68 .75 .85 .91 .85 .77 .80 .90 47 ULP4008a 1706 2000 .83 .76 .75 .87 .91 .85 .80 .80 54 ULP4026B 1434 2013 .62 .44 .54 .61 .64 .50 .53 .64 59 ULP5002X 1613 1915 .90 .88 .84 .92 61 ULP5006X 1563 1923 .88 .79 .80 .87 62 ULP5008X 1596 1839 .85 79 ULP6011X 1471 1980 .80 .85 .82 .75 .65 .63 .61 86 ULP6025X 1550 1874 .50 .46 98 ULP6067X 1560 1973 .72 .80 .83 .92 .74 .55 Av segment correlation .79 .77 .78 .81 .79 .69 .70 .74 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 23 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ULP1003A 1530 2013 484 19 2 .504 .30 1.27 .247 .891 .223 2.72 .408 .012 1 2 ULP1004a 1795 2012 218 9 0 .816 .50 1.29 .228 .576 .354 2.61 .411 -.013 1 3 ULP1005B 1718 2002 285 12 0 .826 .22 .49 .087 .528 .358 2.43 .350 -.018 1 4 ULP1010A 1701 2013 313 12 0 .861 .81 3.13 .486 .715 .334 2.53 .392 -.006 1 5 ULP1010B 1680 2013 334 13 0 .841 .92 3.08 .526 .676 .340 2.53 .407 -.029 1 6 ULP1011A 1740 2013 274 11 0 .847 .87 2.53 .429 .745 .294 2.43 .311 .000 1 7 ULP1011B 1730 2013 284 11 0 .843 1.01 2.71 .459 .711 .293 2.49 .392 -.020 1 8 ULP1012Y 1188 1469 282 11 0 .776 .39 1.08 .202 .671 .351 2.50 .334 -.036 1 9 ULP1012X 1540 1957 418 17 0 .646 .51 1.34 .233 .731 .286 2.56 .338 -.030 5 10 ULP2013X 1209 1649 441 17 2 .570 .99 2.61 .412 .774 .218 2.63 .370 -.022 1 11 ULP2024X 1130 1470 341 13 0 .640 .43 1.18 .236 .707 .357 2.47 .373 -.040 2 12 ULP2015B 1520 2013 494 20 0 .720 .26 .73 .142 .384 .548 2.85 .507 -.020 2 13 ULP2017X 876 1192 317 12 0 .515 .96 2.38 .417 .813 .200 2.60 .367 -.025 1 14 ULP2028Y 1210 1845 636 25 0 .854 .31 .79 .139 .615 .371 2.39 .279 -.017 1 15 ULP2035A 1613 2013 401 16 0 .842 .22 .63 .101 .577 .376 2.57 .328 -.017 1 16 ULP2035B 1460 2012 553 22 0 .783 .53 1.86 .348 .865 .334 2.49 .297 -.015 2 17 ULP2037A 1732 2013 282 11 0 .633 1.16 3.17 .705 .873 .199 2.58 .317 -.019 3 18 ULP2037B 1670 2013 344 14 0 .822 1.19 4.06 .703 .798 .251 2.62 .363 -.010 2 19 ULP2045A 1557 1960 404 16 0 .841 .23 .72 .107 .275 .482 2.53 .339 -.029 1 20 ULP2045B 1567 2013 447 18 0 .834 .29 .70 .126 .376 .427 2.65 .422 -.010 1 21 ULP3002X 362 1080 719 29 0 .802 .23 .63 .109 .703 .318 2.42 .269 -.012 1 22 ULP3002y 345 855 511 21 0 .782 .36 .77 .130 .627 .268 2.48 .290 -.020 1 23 ULP3002z 51 329 279 11 0 .739 .66 2.25 .327 .471 .320 2.56 .396 -.027 1 24 ULP3003X 1647 1959 313 13 0 .603 .51 1.06 .173 .657 .218 2.51 .391 .011 1 25 ULP3003a 1637 2005 369 15 0 .631 .57 1.30 .171 .675 .197 2.47 .264 -.002 1 26 ULP3006X 1310 2012 703 28 0 .851 .51 1.83 .326 .801 .364 2.57 .324 -.022 1 27 ULP3007X 1394 1716 323 13 0 .771 .80 2.88 .508 .829 .322 2.49 .334 .003 2 28 ULP3007Y 1391 1870 480 19 0 .829 .73 3.24 .566 .890 .320 2.46 .320 -.001 2 29 ULP3008a 1714 2012 299 12 0 .897 .93 3.39 .731 .819 .388 2.60 .398 -.008 1 30 ULP3011A 1517 1990 474 19 0 .890 .81 1.64 .263 .500 .285 2.50 .361 .004 1 31 ULP3012A 1716 2013 298 12 0 .871 .48 1.54 .246 .628 .358 2.58 .417 .004 1 32 ULP3012B 1719 2013 295 12 0 .883 .67 1.51 .255 .483 .341 2.77 .418 .014 3 33 ULP3013A 1465 2013 549 22 0 .806 .57 1.48 .253 .800 .230 2.60 .341 -.018 1 34 ULP3013B 1440 2013 574 23 0 .747 .44 1.13 .238 .863 .230 2.65 .323 -.015 2 35 ULP3014A 1704 2013 310 12 0 .799 .46 1.29 .183 .631 .261 2.76 .350 .003 1 36 ULP3014B 1722 2013 292 12 0 .801 .32 .82 .130 .628 .293 2.56 .355 -.004 1 37 ULP3019X 1390 1770 381 15 0 .746 .26 .54 .087 .376 .322 2.50 .314 -.017 1 38 ULP3025X 247 796 550 22 0 .726 .39 .87 .150 .633 .260 2.54 .301 -.019 1 39 ULP3030X 1421 1756 336 14 0 .821 .69 3.49 .517 .805 .410 2.54 .354 -.049 1 40 ULP3042X 566 916 351 14 0 .792 .54 1.39 .216 .713 .235 2.56 .347 -.004 1 41 ULP3052X 1126 1455 330 13 0 .847 .43 1.08 .145 .609 .243 2.56 .364 -.047 3 42 ULP4000X 1041 1271 231 9 0 .796 .80 1.79 .233 .513 .235 2.45 .278 -.041 1 43 ULP4002X 1130 1676 547 22 0 .793 .40 1.45 .224 .679 .372 2.55 .335 -.021 1 44 ULP4003X 920 1310 391 16 0 .801 .80 1.81 .262 .593 .247 2.62 .333 -.032 1 45 ULP4005X 1239 1680 442 18 0 .726 .41 1.37 .247 .875 .280 2.53 .332 -.027 1 46 ULP4007X 445 1086 642 26 1 .811 .30 .66 .128 .591 .361 2.46 .282 .003 1 47 ULP4008a 1706 2000 295 12 0 .819 .57 1.59 .193 .591 .245 2.58 .329 -.001 3 48 ULP4010X 591 1517 927 37 0 .770 .29 .69 .124 .724 .294 2.47 .301 -.019 9 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 24 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 ULP4014X -416 232 649 17 4 .429 .42 1.66 .204 .802 .221 2.81 .356 .002 1 50 ULP4018X 508 1200 693 28 0 .708 .22 .55 .094 .476 .373 2.69 .296 -.015 2 51 ULP4019X 784 1214 431 17 1 .644 .47 1.00 .184 .758 .232 2.47 .336 -.003 2 52 ULP4020X 230 766 537 21 0 .766 .42 .88 .167 .833 .190 2.51 .324 -.015 1 53 ULP4022X 1253 1661 409 16 0 .762 .45 .96 .168 .612 .284 2.56 .367 -.014 1 54 ULP4026B 1434 2013 580 23 0 .641 .30 .74 .120 .726 .256 2.48 .301 -.002 4 55 ULP4027X 980 1395 416 16 0 .820 .45 1.50 .275 .782 .294 2.61 .382 -.021 1 56 ULP4028X -179 725 905 37 4 .667 .43 1.06 .173 .728 .259 2.53 .307 -.039 1 57 ULP4031X 777 1093 317 12 0 .742 .58 1.33 .162 .629 .189 2.49 .351 .003 2 58 ULP4033X 1117 1688 572 23 0 .776 .48 1.28 .279 .800 .297 2.54 .383 -.034 1 59 ULP5002X 1613 1915 303 12 0 .879 .54 1.22 .223 .695 .278 2.57 .346 .000 1 60 ULP5004X 721 1168 448 18 0 .833 .57 1.60 .275 .715 .301 2.67 .310 .004 1 61 ULP5006X 1563 1923 361 14 0 .859 .48 1.07 .171 .540 .290 2.53 .374 -.026 1 62 ULP5008X 1596 1839 244 10 3 .656 .56 1.31 .225 .681 .277 2.41 .348 -.030 1 63 ULP5012X 1226 1740 515 20 0 .879 .52 1.27 .269 .639 .414 2.47 .298 -.022 1 64 ULP5012y 1297 1771 475 19 0 .873 .39 1.25 .178 .456 .422 2.41 .282 -.033 1 65 ULP5014X 823 1180 358 15 0 .826 .38 .96 .181 .595 .367 2.53 .340 -.022 1 66 ULP5018X 328 955 628 25 0 .844 .43 1.36 .171 .697 .241 2.50 .311 -.029 2 67 ULP5020X 964 1482 519 21 0 .793 .50 .91 .141 .546 .216 2.38 .263 -.026 1 68 ULP5021X 480 973 494 19 0 .815 .48 1.80 .270 .720 .374 2.56 .333 -.040 1 69 ULP5022X 890 1572 683 27 0 .676 .37 1.01 .156 .853 .176 2.60 .342 -.014 1 70 ULP5024X 1038 1619 582 23 0 .870 .43 .96 .169 .712 .253 2.52 .291 -.026 1 71 ULP5024Y 1080 1568 489 19 0 .817 .37 .89 .172 .772 .264 2.44 .261 -.035 1 72 ULP5026X 600 1560 961 38 0 .832 .46 .99 .173 .551 .303 2.47 .281 -.019 9 73 ULP5026Y 604 1184 581 23 0 .870 .47 1.21 .199 .571 .304 2.38 .286 -.034 1 74 ULP5026Z 1186 1530 345 14 0 .838 .36 .90 .149 .643 .307 2.59 .409 -.021 1 75 ULP5028X 528 1150 623 25 0 .867 .64 2.34 .329 .670 .334 2.61 .398 -.016 2 76 ULP5032X 484 1162 679 27 0 .555 .38 2.81 .334 .924 .203 2.57 .330 -.002 2 77 ULP5061X 696 1001 306 13 0 .849 .48 2.70 .293 .687 .395 2.53 .275 -.026 1 78 ULP6005X 528 880 353 14 0 .844 .91 1.79 .314 .683 .224 2.40 .305 -.001 1 79 ULP6011X 1471 1980 510 21 0 .788 .36 .89 .153 .515 .367 2.42 .240 -.024 1 80 ULP6013X 1196 1535 340 14 0 .793 .73 3.41 .577 .829 .323 2.49 .327 -.037 1 81 ULP6013y 869 1454 586 24 0 .831 .33 2.06 .232 .748 .360 2.57 .290 -.015 1 82 ULP6017X 1170 1505 336 14 0 .814 .47 1.00 .186 .587 .284 2.41 .324 -.043 1 83 ULP6019X 1310 1590 281 11 0 .755 .81 2.36 .457 .452 .553 2.64 .442 .007 1 84 ULP6021X 480 871 392 15 0 .830 .45 1.52 .267 .746 .377 2.65 .371 -.025 1 85 ULP6023X 1118 1762 645 26 0 .823 .49 1.34 .246 .712 .353 2.48 .341 -.027 1 86 ULP6025X 1550 1874 325 12 0 .558 .56 1.31 .183 .637 .211 2.57 .428 -.021 1 87 ULP6027X 686 1024 339 13 0 .761 .46 1.11 .164 .732 .215 2.58 .270 -.011 1 88 ULP6029X 149 452 304 13 0 .687 .44 1.40 .265 .792 .334 2.47 .307 -.006 1 89 ULP6035X 1173 1494 322 13 0 .719 .72 2.55 .472 .775 .311 2.39 .224 -.034 2 90 ULP6037X 563 976 414 17 1 .628 .84 2.48 .493 .905 .189 2.65 .356 -.020 8 91 ULP6041X 900 1502 603 24 0 .844 .50 1.84 .309 .750 .404 2.42 .269 -.021 1 92 ULP6045X 1047 1661 615 25 0 .755 .63 1.34 .201 .636 .236 2.39 .228 -.022 1 93 ULP6049X 1023 1418 396 16 0 .785 .44 1.39 .160 .534 .282 2.61 .342 -.031 1 94 ULP6051X 850 1139 290 11 0 .728 1.01 2.48 .395 .644 .260 2.41 .296 .002 1 95 ULP6053X 257 946 690 27 0 .781 .33 1.44 .224 .644 .482 2.70 .348 -.014 1 96 ULP6059X 1128 1667 540 21 0 .787 .36 1.07 .188 .692 .364 2.52 .334 -.004 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Uurgat Lava 10:30 Mon 06 Aug 2018 Page 25 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 97 ULP6063X 171 766 596 24 0 .865 .54 1.62 .271 .579 .381 2.46 .321 -.021 2 98 ULP6067X 1560 1973 414 16 0 .697 .37 1.04 .201 .767 .276 2.76 .355 -.012 1 99 ULP7016X 637 1163 527 21 0 .758 .49 1.72 .252 .815 .251 2.53 .319 -.015 1 100 ULP7018X 820 1066 247 10 0 .864 .52 .93 .154 .540 .238 2.57 .371 -.020 1 101 ULP7020X 491 1044 554 22 0 .733 .40 1.14 .208 .817 .246 2.50 .299 -.018 2 102 ULP7024X 853 1093 241 9 0 .744 .82 1.71 .383 .841 .201 2.53 .349 .054 2 103 ULP7026X 768 1624 857 34 0 .695 .26 .79 .147 .867 .254 2.50 .267 -.019 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 46583 1849 18 .771 .49 4.06 .241 .687 .303 2.85 .329 -.017