Boulder Creek, Montana, USA - MT130 Additional Site Information P.T. Soule' P.A. Knapp COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT130.CRN Measurement file name : MT130.RWL Date checked : 22SEP14 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1307 Ending year : 2008 Principal investigators: P.T. Soule' P.A. Knapp Site name : Boulder Creek Site location : Montana Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4649 Longitude : -11415 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.550 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.213 Avg standard deviation : 0.390 Avg autocorrelation : 0.785 Number dated series : 51 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 16 Pct problem segments : 2.91 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Boulder Creek MT 11:22 Mon 22 Sep 2014 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BCD01A 1804 2008 .53 .66 2 BCD01B 1766 2008 .63 .61 .66 .71 3 BCD2B 1804 2008 .50 .72 5 BCD05B 1843 2008 .62 9 BCD08B 1837 2008 .57 10 BCD09A 1825 2008 .68 11 BCD09B 1836 2008 .66 15 BCD12B 1791 2008 .53 .59 .73 16 BCD12C 1722 2008 .49 .51 .52 .57 .65 .68 18 BCD15A 1755 2008 .42 .51 .50 .58 19 BCD15B 1748 2008 .54 .54 .62 .65 .62 22 BCD17A 1821 2008 .62 .56 25 BCD18B 1847 2008 .37 28 BCD21A 1776 2008 .59 .54 .61 29 BCD21B 1725 2008 .44 .53 .52 .67 .81 31 BCD22B 1843 2008 .58 32 BCD24B 1802 2008 .58 .59 33 BCD24C 1827 2008 .59 34 BCD25A 1437 2008 .74 .75 .58 .60 .74 .75 .60 .47 .63 .66 .65 .66 .65 .61 .59 .62 .62 35 BCD25C 1438 2008 .59 .62 .53 .56 .68 .74 .71 .70 .74 .66 .64 .65 .63 .65 .66 .68 .60 36 BCD27B 1350 2008 .33 .41 .47 .41 .58 .55 .44 .49 .48 .41 .46 .51 .50 .61 .64 .52 .38 .41 .56 .66 37 BCD27C 1350 2008 .37 .43 .43 .32B .51 .56 .54 .43 .42 .45 .52 .53 .56 .67 .66 .47 .44 .45 .56 .61 38 BCD29A 1450 2008 .67 .62 .53 .55 .45 .50 .62 .58 .55 .53 .42 .37 .51 .52 .40 .36 39 BCD29B 1307 2008 .36 .48 .39 .61 .67 .61 .69 .59 .63 .74 .60 .45 .42 .46 .50 .50 .45 .59 .59 .48 40 BCD31A 1375 2008 .47 .27B .28A .56 .41 .34 .38 .43 .46 .51 .55 .67 .70 .67 .66 .61 .49 .57 .61 41 BCD31B 1375 2008 .38 .29B .39 .55 .46 .40 .55 .57 .55 .62 .63 .57 .48 .50 .42 .43 .55 .68 .63 42 BCD34A 1841 2008 .50 43 BCD34B 1842 2008 .31A 45 BCD36B 1844 2008 .61 46 BCD38A 1493 2008 .43 .49 .61 .67 .73 .76 .67 .66 .67 .55 .57 .57 .52 .68 .64 47 BCD38B 1518 2008 .54 .60 .74 .67 .68 .66 .67 .77 .70 .72 .71 .58 .69 .77 48 BCD40B 1819 2008 .62 .69 49 BCD40C 1806 2008 .61 .78 50 BCD42B 1563 2008 .57 .51 .48 .47 .50 .68 .58 .56 .49 .40 .52 .65 51 BCD42C 1460 2008 .60 .63 .39 .43 .61 .57 .50 .60 .49 .41 .46 .43 .48 .51 .59 .68 Av segment correlation .35 .43 .37 .48 .61 .54 .50 .55 .59 .58 .58 .59 .58 .61 .58 .53 .53 .54 .59 .61 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Boulder Creek MT 11:22 Mon 22 Sep 2014 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BCD01A 1804 2008 .61 .55 .43 .34 .40 .42 2 BCD01B 1766 2008 .67 .43 .32A .37 .51 .48 3 BCD2B 1804 2008 .67 .64 .63 .41 .54 .54 4 BCD05A 1890 2008 .43 .57 .50 .47 .43 5 BCD05B 1843 2008 .69 .65 .50 .36 .36 .28A 6 BCD07A 1888 2008 .51 .47 .35 .48 .60 7 BCD07B 1914 2008 .42 .34 .44 .52 8 BCD08A 1878 2008 .66 .61 .46 .60 .47 9 BCD08B 1837 2008 .60 .65 .51 .29A .40 .33A 10 BCD09A 1825 2008 .74 .81 .56 .47 .62 .69 11 BCD09B 1836 2008 .63 .70 .60 .58 .72 .69 12 BCD10A 1880 2008 .55 .62 .56 .72 .74 13 BCD10B 1886 2008 .54 .68 .65 .74 .77 14 BCD10C 1860 2008 .61 .66 .61 .58 .71 .70 15 BCD12B 1791 2008 .66 .64 .67 .58 .63 .68 16 BCD12C 1722 2008 .58 .51 .57 .59 .53 .57 17 BCD14B 1871 2008 .59 .59 .51 .38 .51 .63 18 BCD15A 1755 2008 .65 .71 .60 .48 .50 .56 19 BCD15B 1748 2008 .50 .61 .52 .48 .45 .50 20 BCD16A 1895 2008 .51 .53 .49 .68 .67 21 BCD16B 1892 2008 .55 .60 .59 .70 .66 22 BCD17A 1821 2008 .45 .44 .53 .53 .46 .44 23 BCD17B 1853 2008 .38 .52 .57 .62 .51 .51 24 BCD18A 1854 2008 .65 .72 .70 .69 .71 .71 25 BCD18B 1847 2008 .44 .68 .72 .72 .67 .65 26 BCD20A 1911 2008 .64 .63 .68 .73 27 BCD20B 1893 2008 .58 .70 .68 .67 .71 28 BCD21A 1776 2008 .65 .64 .61 .60 .73 .61 29 BCD21B 1725 2008 .65 .64 .65 .61 .46 .45 30 BCD22A 1870 2008 .39 .38 .66 .67 .72 .68 31 BCD22B 1843 2008 .56 .50 .63 .48 .61 .62 32 BCD24B 1802 2008 .34 .31A .49 .52 .66 .71 33 BCD24C 1827 2008 .40 .45 .62 .61 .58 .51 34 BCD25A 1437 2008 .54 .45 .44 .59 .45 .42 35 BCD25C 1438 2008 .55 .57 .48 .60 .62 .45 36 BCD27B 1350 2008 .56 .47 .29A .32A .50 .47 37 BCD27C 1350 2008 .54 .56 .39 .39 .40 .32A 38 BCD29A 1450 2008 .32A .37 .46 .43 .35 .26B 39 BCD29B 1307 2008 .39 .36 .38 .46 .41 .37 40 BCD31A 1375 2008 .51 .52 .42 .49 .44 .41 41 BCD31B 1375 2008 .58 .71 .41 .29A .34 .33 42 BCD34A 1841 2008 .58 .54 .41 .34 .35 .33 43 BCD34B 1842 2008 .42 .61 .63 .53 .48 .41 44 BCD36A 1881 2008 .64 .74 .72 .64 .67 45 BCD36B 1844 2008 .64 .69 .69 .68 .60 .58 46 BCD38A 1493 2008 .61 .83 .76 .67 .67 .63 47 BCD38B 1518 2008 .72 .82 .68 .65 .77 .69 48 BCD40B 1819 2008 .81 .77 .57 .55 .66 .61 49 BCD40C 1806 2008 .78 .79 .59 .47 .41 .41 50 BCD42B 1563 2008 .67 .57 .43 .53 .60 .56 51 BCD42C 1460 2008 .68 .72 .69 .64 .62 .53 Av segment correlation .57 .59 .56 .52 .56 .54 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Boulder Creek MT 11:22 Mon 22 Sep 2014 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BCD01A 1804 2008 205 8 0 .495 .79 2.24 .371 .803 .204 2.66 .393 -.046 1 2 BCD01B 1766 2008 243 10 1 .541 .99 2.42 .434 .751 .204 2.74 .422 .001 4 3 BCD2B 1804 2008 205 8 0 .570 1.60 5.75 .846 .887 .160 2.69 .367 -.030 1 4 BCD05A 1890 2008 119 5 0 .457 .82 2.17 .405 .744 .265 2.85 .464 .059 1 5 BCD05B 1843 2008 166 7 1 .484 .76 2.31 .395 .766 .288 2.69 .396 -.074 1 6 BCD07A 1888 2008 121 5 0 .467 .92 4.81 .735 .812 .311 2.64 .477 -.031 1 7 BCD07B 1914 2008 95 4 0 .469 .82 1.98 .351 .607 .279 2.65 .380 -.061 1 8 BCD08A 1878 2008 131 5 0 .526 .89 2.21 .485 .870 .218 2.44 .343 -.059 2 9 BCD08B 1837 2008 172 7 2 .450 .87 2.79 .587 .846 .267 2.54 .393 -.066 1 10 BCD09A 1825 2008 184 7 0 .630 1.50 3.74 .583 .564 .252 2.41 .276 -.007 2 11 BCD09B 1836 2008 173 7 0 .655 1.51 3.80 .873 .798 .262 2.59 .457 -.012 2 12 BCD10A 1880 2008 129 5 0 .642 1.58 2.81 .480 .544 .228 2.62 .400 -.062 1 13 BCD10B 1886 2008 123 5 0 .682 1.24 2.93 .531 .771 .236 2.55 .423 -.054 2 14 BCD10C 1860 2008 149 6 0 .633 1.58 2.90 .542 .731 .197 2.53 .354 -.053 1 15 BCD12B 1791 2008 218 9 0 .627 1.06 3.97 .593 .779 .249 2.74 .449 -.025 1 16 BCD12C 1722 2008 287 12 0 .560 1.04 3.52 .571 .869 .211 2.58 .402 -.041 1 17 BCD14B 1871 2008 138 6 0 .545 1.79 4.94 .621 .455 .257 2.76 .419 -.012 1 18 BCD15A 1755 2008 254 10 0 .532 1.04 1.92 .304 .725 .170 2.71 .420 -.041 2 19 BCD15B 1748 2008 261 11 0 .527 1.15 2.96 .405 .784 .170 2.62 .467 -.026 1 20 BCD16A 1895 2008 114 5 0 .590 1.55 6.01 .861 .801 .211 2.82 .420 -.010 1 21 BCD16B 1892 2008 117 5 0 .631 1.68 3.16 .650 .765 .222 2.45 .368 -.030 1 22 BCD17A 1821 2008 188 8 0 .501 1.03 1.87 .260 .599 .179 2.60 .403 -.016 1 23 BCD17B 1853 2008 156 6 0 .486 .90 2.33 .342 .814 .167 2.52 .329 .018 1 24 BCD18A 1854 2008 155 6 0 .683 1.92 4.16 .722 .733 .222 2.69 .479 -.046 1 25 BCD18B 1847 2008 162 7 0 .569 1.56 3.64 .512 .641 .208 2.57 .328 -.030 1 26 BCD20A 1911 2008 98 4 0 .694 1.93 3.85 .626 .738 .184 2.88 .473 .045 1 27 BCD20B 1893 2008 116 5 0 .642 1.96 3.86 .693 .789 .170 2.50 .402 -.056 1 28 BCD21A 1776 2008 233 9 0 .603 1.12 2.83 .653 .904 .181 2.60 .433 -.021 1 29 BCD21B 1725 2008 284 11 0 .560 1.29 3.27 .797 .928 .165 2.68 .391 -.021 1 30 BCD22A 1870 2008 139 6 0 .560 1.53 3.06 .478 .625 .197 2.63 .435 -.019 1 31 BCD22B 1843 2008 166 7 0 .593 1.69 3.36 .512 .703 .177 2.66 .446 -.065 1 32 BCD24B 1802 2008 207 8 1 .516 1.24 3.71 .719 .870 .221 2.78 .431 -.049 1 33 BCD24C 1827 2008 182 7 0 .545 1.36 4.82 1.158 .929 .216 2.60 .454 -.066 1 34 BCD25A 1437 2008 572 23 0 .599 .37 .78 .144 .760 .224 2.66 .383 -.004 1 35 BCD25C 1438 2008 571 23 0 .614 .42 1.90 .222 .835 .215 2.63 .335 .007 1 36 BCD27B 1350 2008 659 26 2 .474 .27 .87 .097 .750 .189 2.73 .346 -.029 1 37 BCD27C 1350 2008 659 26 2 .484 .28 .97 .114 .821 .184 2.67 .268 -.008 1 38 BCD29A 1450 2008 559 22 2 .474 .36 .77 .104 .669 .187 2.54 .370 .030 1 39 BCD29B 1307 2008 702 26 0 .497 .37 .96 .135 .773 .185 2.81 .382 -.007 1 40 BCD31A 1375 2008 634 25 2 .489 .21 .63 .088 .764 .215 2.72 .337 -.018 1 41 BCD31B 1375 2008 634 25 2 .502 .16 .38 .058 .735 .208 2.68 .277 .009 1 42 BCD34A 1841 2008 168 7 0 .457 1.37 4.74 .934 .908 .216 2.61 .340 -.062 1 43 BCD34B 1842 2008 167 7 1 .446 1.36 4.13 1.030 .948 .178 2.63 .397 -.040 1 44 BCD36A 1881 2008 128 5 0 .678 .95 2.53 .452 .723 .273 2.75 .534 -.039 1 45 BCD36B 1844 2008 165 7 0 .629 1.49 3.13 .683 .810 .207 2.59 .441 -.029 1 46 BCD38A 1493 2008 516 21 0 .624 .58 3.09 .404 .864 .241 2.65 .325 -.049 1 47 BCD38B 1518 2008 491 20 0 .676 .49 1.87 .296 .816 .278 2.72 .358 -.033 1 48 BCD40B 1819 2008 190 8 0 .627 1.39 5.33 .789 .815 .202 2.68 .372 -.054 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Boulder Creek MT 11:22 Mon 22 Sep 2014 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BCD40C 1806 2008 203 8 0 .594 1.57 6.46 .799 .767 .192 2.64 .369 -.054 1 50 BCD42B 1563 2008 446 18 0 .535 .43 1.25 .224 .847 .233 2.70 .440 -.004 1 51 BCD42C 1460 2008 549 22 0 .543 .48 2.34 .371 .896 .260 2.75 .380 -.037 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 13703 550 16 .550 .81 6.46 .390 .785 .213 2.88 .377 -.022