Boyce Ranch, Montana - MT143 Additional Site Information David Sauchyn Samantha Kerr Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT143.CRN Measurement file name : MT143.RWL Date checked : 30JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1580 Ending year : 2010 Principal investigators: David Sauchyn Samantha Kerr Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson Site name : Boyce Ranch Site location : Montana Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4806 Longitude : -10936 Elevation : 1485M Series intercorrelation: 0.748 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.414 Avg standard deviation : 0.766 Avg autocorrelation : 0.603 Number dated series : 62 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Boyce Ranch 15:59 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BOY01A 1809 2002 .84 .78 .77 .87 .89 .80 .82 .83 2 BOY01B 1893 2002 .85 .87 .81 .81 .83 3 BOY02A 1580 2002 .77 .74 .78 .78 .83 .90 .84 .80 .85 .80 .70 .81 .82 .77 .78 .78 4 BOY03A 1906 2002 .72 .82 .82 .82 5 BOY03B 1898 2002 .59 .69 .83 .85 .87 6 BOY04A 1868 2002 .54 .68 .83 .84 .82 .82 7 BOY04B 1916 2002 .85 .87 .87 .87 8 BOY05A 1868 2002 .39 .50 .68 .79 .82 .81 9 BOY05B 1882 2002 .61 .69 .68 .78 .79 10 BOY06A 1755 2002 .66 .89 .85 .72 .75 .81 .60 .55 .79 .75 11 BOY06B 1741 1989 .79 .85 .91 .86 .70 .76 .87 .57 .45 .52 12 BOY07A 1939 2002 .74 .80 .79 13 BOY07B 1937 2002 .83 .81 .79 14 BOY08A 1710 2002 .76 .84 .81 .84 .90 .79 .75 .83 .88 .86 .85 .85 15 BOY08B 1733 2002 .88 .83 .81 .90 .87 .82 .87 .86 .85 .90 .90 16 BOY09A 1776 2002 .82 .85 .70 .73 .87 .90 .85 .86 .87 17 BOY09B 1756 2002 .74 .75 .84 .72 .66 .83 .87 .77 .83 .85 18 BOY10A 1881 2002 .86 .83 .75 .72 .72 19 BOY10B 1885 2002 .73 .73 .85 .82 .84 20 BOY11A 1926 2002 .87 .82 .83 21 BOY11B 1950 2002 .75 .80 22 BOY12A 1816 2002 .74 .70 .63 .84 .86 .79 .81 .82 23 BOY12B 1799 2002 .81 .82 .68 .60 .78 .86 .84 .86 .86 24 BOY13A 1795 2001 .66 .69 .65 .61 .70 .66 .64 .74 .75 25 BOY13B 1772 2002 .65 .68 .73 .69 .56 .64 .72 .75 .77 .78 26 BOY14A 1806 2002 .73 .67 .68 .81 .85 .80 .85 .87 27 BOY15A 1864 2002 .74 .82 .85 .84 .85 .85 28 BOY15B 1821 2002 .74 .74 .69 .83 .86 .80 .81 .81 29 BOY16A 1772 2002 .83 .88 .88 .70 .66 .88 .90 .87 .90 .88 30 BOY16B 1774 2002 .87 .87 .90 .60 .54 .84 .86 .79 .86 .86 31 BOY17A 1667 2002 .41 .66 .80 .89 .89 .88 .89 .80 .67 .79 .68 .52 .78 .84 32 BOY17B 1716 2002 .82 .87 .89 .90 .89 .83 .74 .81 .83 .77 .85 .86 33 BOY18A 1852 1994 .38 .42 .49 .50 .46 34 BOY19A 1804 2002 .91 .75 .73 .80 .81 .84 .85 .86 35 BOY19B 1824 2002 .61 .62 .72 .83 .79 .77 .87 .88 36 BOY20A 1769 2002 .84 .86 .90 .68 .57 .82 .90 .85 .85 .87 37 BOY21A 1811 2002 .73 .70 .73 .91 .90 .84 .85 .85 38 BOY21B 1821 2002 .62 .75 .83 .90 .88 .78 .50 .52 39 BOY22A 1887 2002 .83 .88 .89 .91 .91 40 BOY22B 1827 2002 .42 .54 .78 .79 .82 .87 .87 41 BOY23A 1731 2010 .80 .86 .85 .85 .79 .59 .57 .77 .81 .70 .72 42 BOY23B 1811 2010 .78 .77 .68 .68 .79 .82 .67 .70 43 BOY24A 1735 2010 .59 .63 .71 .66 .65 .62 .53 .53 .62 .73 .69 44 BOY24B 1742 2010 .78 .77 .80 .76 .73 .67 .65 .67 .69 .50 .50 45 BOY25A 1784 2010 .77 .81 .61 .70 .88 .85 .82 .83 .80 46 BOY25B 1751 2010 .82 .80 .84 .60 .65 .82 .83 .83 .83 .82 47 BOY26A 1942 2010 .52 .72 .79 48 BOY26B 1950 2010 .76 .78 49 BOY27A 1772 2010 .69 .84 .88 .78 .73 .76 .78 .81 .75 .77 50 BOY27B 1767 1989 .79 .79 .85 .81 .77 .73 .75 .78 .63 51 BOY28A 1621 2010 .81 .80 .77 .73 .73 .79 .76 .76 .85 .75 .66 .74 .79 .67 .59 .73 52 BOY28B 1650 2010 .78 .74 .64 .67 .74 .80 .61 .39 .63 .84 .82 .74 .73 .79 53 BOY29A 1751 2010 .70 .80 .88 .69 .64 .82 .80 .77 .79 .79 54 BOY29B 1759 2005 .56 .53 .83 .69 .69 .88 .87 .82 .79 .82 55 BOY30A 1773 2010 .71 .75 .82 .52 .62 .66 .67 .65 .54 .54 56 BOY30B 1802 2010 .70 .61 .57 .80 .81 .79 .79 .84 57 BOY31A 1796 2006 .57 .57 .60 .65 .65 .71 .84 .81 .82 58 BOY31B 1771 2010 .76 .76 .70 .65 .72 .66 .70 .84 .83 .83 59 BOY32A 1781 2010 .60 .56 .53 .64 .61 .67 .77 .70 .72 60 BOY32B 1806 2010 .54 .48 .64 .69 .69 .79 .84 .85 61 BOY33A 1902 2010 .47 .68 .73 .78 62 BOY33B 1906 2010 .59 .59 .67 .75 Av segment correlation .79 .77 .68 .73 .76 .80 .77 .78 .78 .68 .66 .76 .77 .77 .77 .80 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Boyce Ranch 15:59 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BOY01A 1809 2002 194 8 0 .838 1.41 4.77 .870 .513 .488 2.67 .487 -.056 2 2 BOY01B 1893 2002 110 5 0 .834 1.08 2.93 .592 .263 .528 2.78 .563 -.051 3 3 BOY02A 1580 2002 423 16 0 .793 .56 2.48 .372 .557 .472 2.52 .311 -.020 1 4 BOY03A 1906 2002 97 4 0 .754 1.60 5.21 .880 .538 .391 2.72 .555 .007 2 5 BOY03B 1898 2002 105 5 0 .718 1.84 4.21 .794 .494 .368 2.63 .533 .027 2 6 BOY04A 1868 2002 135 6 0 .744 1.54 7.02 .989 .496 .459 2.93 .494 -.063 2 7 BOY04B 1916 2002 87 4 0 .834 1.69 4.22 .718 .254 .430 2.63 .451 -.016 2 8 BOY05A 1868 2002 135 6 0 .641 1.34 3.47 .759 .505 .451 2.73 .445 -.040 2 9 BOY05B 1882 2002 121 5 0 .677 1.09 2.68 .485 .404 .422 2.64 .434 -.001 2 10 BOY06A 1755 2002 248 10 0 .704 .95 7.08 .984 .755 .491 2.93 .535 -.028 2 11 BOY06B 1741 1989 249 10 0 .691 1.05 7.17 1.181 .828 .504 2.94 .443 -.039 1 12 BOY07A 1939 2002 64 3 0 .730 2.80 4.75 1.062 .261 .416 2.58 .500 -.092 2 13 BOY07B 1937 2002 66 3 0 .792 2.49 4.73 .889 .195 .405 2.58 .477 .005 2 14 BOY08A 1710 2002 293 12 0 .824 .91 3.28 .593 .488 .482 2.97 .424 -.011 2 15 BOY08B 1733 2002 270 11 0 .858 1.06 4.80 .777 .579 .484 2.91 .410 -.028 2 16 BOY09A 1776 2002 227 9 0 .820 1.09 5.25 .772 .680 .404 2.88 .453 -.047 2 17 BOY09B 1756 2002 247 10 0 .783 1.10 8.18 1.363 .827 .389 2.92 .435 .016 3 18 BOY10A 1881 2002 122 5 0 .764 1.87 4.66 .774 .447 .348 2.56 .442 -.022 2 19 BOY10B 1885 2002 118 5 0 .787 2.27 5.02 .975 .475 .385 2.63 .453 .015 2 20 BOY11A 1926 2002 77 3 0 .837 2.37 4.02 .742 .265 .333 2.50 .449 -.042 2 21 BOY11B 1950 2002 53 2 0 .748 2.85 4.93 1.055 .111 .426 2.45 .472 .035 3 22 BOY12A 1816 2002 187 8 0 .782 1.02 4.50 .638 .516 .445 2.79 .455 -.010 2 23 BOY12B 1799 2002 204 9 0 .795 1.22 6.00 .756 .560 .422 2.95 .395 -.011 2 24 BOY13A 1795 2001 207 9 0 .672 1.40 7.14 1.094 .671 .433 2.90 .520 -.083 1 25 BOY13B 1772 2002 231 10 0 .701 1.23 4.66 .694 .590 .364 3.02 .492 -.016 1 26 BOY14A 1806 2002 197 8 0 .781 1.48 5.42 .812 .671 .338 2.74 .535 .038 2 27 BOY15A 1864 2002 139 6 0 .794 1.11 2.94 .563 .444 .444 2.73 .460 .022 2 28 BOY15B 1821 2002 182 8 0 .790 1.40 4.50 .753 .435 .472 2.73 .421 .031 2 29 BOY16A 1772 2002 231 10 0 .834 .88 8.46 .998 .786 .499 2.52 .352 -.005 2 30 BOY16B 1774 2002 229 10 0 .804 1.24 5.02 1.086 .746 .466 2.58 .319 -.012 1 31 BOY17A 1667 2002 336 14 0 .736 .77 3.39 .625 .723 .407 2.67 .320 .016 1 32 BOY17B 1716 2002 287 12 0 .829 .62 2.15 .393 .587 .453 2.48 .269 -.027 2 33 BOY18A 1852 1994 143 5 0 .424 .88 6.03 .832 .824 .411 2.61 .423 -.008 1 34 BOY19A 1804 2002 199 8 0 .825 1.30 4.96 .907 .484 .473 2.97 .480 -.017 1 35 BOY19B 1824 2002 179 8 0 .771 .94 3.88 .635 .594 .478 2.77 .420 .002 2 36 BOY20A 1769 2002 234 10 0 .815 1.16 5.13 .949 .666 .515 2.75 .485 -.048 2 37 BOY21A 1811 2002 192 8 0 .825 1.46 6.11 1.243 .853 .428 2.68 .408 .009 2 38 BOY21B 1821 2002 182 8 0 .695 1.51 7.14 1.429 .845 .445 2.68 .410 -.011 2 39 BOY22A 1887 2002 116 5 0 .871 1.17 4.14 .803 .512 .498 2.76 .509 .014 2 40 BOY22B 1827 2002 176 7 0 .737 .58 2.28 .356 .484 .444 2.93 .513 .012 1 41 BOY23A 1731 2010 280 11 0 .747 .80 7.65 .639 .627 .365 2.78 .485 -.032 2 42 BOY23B 1811 2010 200 8 0 .739 1.10 3.28 .502 .446 .359 3.16 .573 .000 1 43 BOY24A 1735 2010 276 11 0 .629 .70 3.31 .517 .846 .330 2.53 .382 -.025 1 44 BOY24B 1742 2010 269 11 0 .668 .66 2.20 .488 .841 .355 2.69 .465 -.034 1 45 BOY25A 1784 2010 227 9 0 .780 1.04 2.76 .484 .546 .364 2.51 .368 -.030 1 46 BOY25B 1751 2010 260 10 0 .787 .90 2.94 .523 .679 .361 2.50 .423 -.028 1 47 BOY26A 1942 2010 69 3 0 .653 1.52 3.76 .922 .528 .456 2.69 .662 -.084 2 48 BOY26B 1950 2010 61 2 0 .745 1.24 2.82 .600 .264 .450 2.74 .508 -.006 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Boyce Ranch 15:59 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BOY27A 1772 2010 239 10 0 .752 1.16 3.40 .657 .657 .358 2.71 .427 -.025 1 50 BOY27B 1767 1989 223 9 0 .750 1.28 3.63 .624 .705 .265 2.74 .472 -.012 1 51 BOY28A 1621 2010 390 16 0 .740 .94 6.03 .849 .721 .425 2.67 .365 -.043 2 52 BOY28B 1650 2010 361 14 0 .720 .92 4.64 .726 .813 .399 2.67 .375 -.028 2 53 BOY29A 1751 2010 260 10 0 .767 1.09 3.04 .590 .739 .322 2.71 .445 -.014 1 54 BOY29B 1759 2005 247 10 0 .738 .86 2.19 .348 .501 .345 2.61 .356 -.039 1 55 BOY30A 1773 2010 238 10 0 .643 .86 2.78 .466 .620 .388 2.70 .452 -.036 1 56 BOY30B 1802 2010 209 8 0 .728 .93 2.45 .442 .448 .410 2.71 .463 -.051 2 57 BOY31A 1796 2006 211 9 0 .661 .98 36.55 2.482 -.041 .402 2.54 .386 -.079 1 58 BOY31B 1771 2010 240 10 0 .731 1.15 4.16 .586 .508 .390 2.74 .436 -.034 3 59 BOY32A 1781 2010 230 9 0 .638 1.03 2.51 .503 .603 .372 2.43 .298 -.069 1 60 BOY32B 1806 2010 205 8 0 .691 1.52 4.22 .740 .518 .349 2.79 .406 -.051 2 61 BOY33A 1902 2010 109 4 0 .620 2.50 7.08 1.156 .515 .360 2.58 .481 -.040 1 62 BOY33B 1906 2010 105 4 0 .679 2.98 6.10 1.236 .586 .335 2.50 .453 -.044 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 12201 501 0 .748 1.14 36.55 .766 .603 .414 3.16 .429 -.023