Bears Paw Mountains PIPO, Montana - MT144 Additional Site Information David Sauchyn Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT144.CRN Measurement file name : MT144.RWL Date checked : 30JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1558 Ending year : 2002 Principal investigators: David Sauchyn Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson Site name : Bears Paw Mountains Site location : Montana Species information : PIPO PONDEROSA PINE Latitude : 4815 Longitude : -10930 Elevation : 1500M Series intercorrelation: 0.532 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.320 Avg standard deviation : 0.736 Avg autocorrelation : 0.733 Number dated series : 75 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 111 Pct problem segments : 21.35 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bears Paw Mountains PIPO 16:00 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BPM40B 1838 1998 .65 .59 .54 .49 .62 .65 2 BPM41A 1929 1998 .76 .64 3 BPM41B 1898 1998 .67 .70 .74 .69 4 BPM43A 1653 1934 .46 .58 .68 .63 .51 .43B .38B .14B .00B .01B .05B 5 BPM43B 1701 1998 .56 .57 .39 .41 .34 .33 .54 .55 .59 .68 .64 6 BPM01A 1922 1997 .81 .82 .79 7 BPM02A 1910 1997 .82 .78 .71 8 BPM02B 1902 1997 .74 .73 .69 9 BPM03A 1740 1997 .54 .50 .48 .38B .44 .53 .58 .62 .59 .54 10 BPM03B 1715 1997 .74 .63 .41 .43 .44B .52 .64 .69 .65 .72 .67 11 BPM04A 1929 1997 .73 .70 12 BPM04B 1926 1997 .76 .72 13 BPM05A 1938 1997 .71 .68 14 BPM05B 1944 1997 .68 .69 15 BPM06A 1728 1997 .45 .57 .63 .65 .69 .72 .73 .77 .74 .71 16 BPM06B 1710 1997 .59 .62 .64 .66 .63 .64 .65 .59 .69 .65 .63 17 BPM01B 1912 1997 .77 .75 .78 18 BPM08A 1770 1992 .19B .19B .40 .65 .77 .64 .57 .45 .23A 19 BPM08B 1811 1991 .61 .54 .69 .69 .54 .41 .42 20 BPM09B 1807 1997 -.16B .05B .55 .70 .46 .50 .66 21 BPM10A 1837 1997 .67 .75 .70 .66 .68 .72 22 BPM10B 1850 1997 .73 .63 .53 .58 .60 23 BPM11A 1819 1997 .56 .53 .81 .75 .62 .74 .72 24 BPM11B 1763 1997 .25B .49 .48 .48 .84 .78 .64 .72 .65 25 BPM12A 1948 1997 .59 26 BPM12B 1930 1997 .58 .59 27 BPM14A 1884 1997 .70 .73 .77 .69 28 BPM14B 1900 1997 .70 .78 .74 29 BPM15B 1775 1997 .38 .44 .60 .67 .71 .67 .73 .51 30 BPM18A 1908 1997 .71 .68 .76 31 BPM18B 1901 1997 .53 .63 .75 32 BPM19A 1837 1997 .27B .47 .59 .63 .72 .62 33 BPM19B 1874 1997 .58 .58 .42B .51 .53 34 BPM20A 1885 1997 .60 .80 .67 .54 35 BPM20B 1838 1997 .48 .62 .69 .54 .62 .66 36 BPM21A 1923 1997 .63 .63 .64 37 BPM21B 1906 1997 .39B .66 .65 38 BPM22A 1906 1997 .64 .70 .59 39 BPM22B 1905 1997 .55 .66 .57 40 BPM23A 1925 1997 .60 .69 41 BPM23B 1928 1997 .68 .70 42 BPM24A 1619 1997 .47 .43B .58 .65 .70 .55B .40B .48 .39 .58 .69 .57 .60 .74 .59 43 BPM24B 1595 1997 .52 .52 .60 .67 .66 .50 .36B .21B .37 .41 .26B .53 .68 .69 .77 .43 44 BPM25A 1934 1997 .54 .62 45 BPM25B 1922 1997 .66 .68 .67 46 BPM27A 1939 1997 .75 .62 47 BPM27B 1935 1997 .72 .62 48 BPM28B 1895 1997 .30B .38 .54 .66 49 BPM29A 1887 1997 .55 .66 .65 .65 50 BPM29B 1911 1997 .64 .65 .62 51 BPM32A 1875 1997 .28B .46 .58 .65 52 BPM32B 1860 1997 .53 .66 .65 .60 .51 53 BC02C 1558 2002 .29B .44 .56 .46B .54 .56 .65 .63 .48 .48 .41 .35 .31A .15B .23B .47 .64 .68 54 BC01A 1780 2002 .53 .53 .48 .74 .80 .75 .75 .74 .74 55 BC01B 1795 2002 .62 .62 .65 .81 .71 .64 .81 .76 .72 56 BC02B 1568 2002 .42 .55 .56 .55 .38 .34B .45B .43B .45 .42 .44 .60 .65 .58 .64 .64 .43 .47 57 BC03A 1772 2002 .45 .47 .49 .50 .72 .78 .68 .73 .66 .70 58 BC03B 1775 2002 .55 .57 .58 .81 .86 .68 .68 .67 .72 59 BC04A 1880 2002 .80 .85 .80 .74 .78 60 BC04B 1814 2002 .54 .48 .61 .72 .75 .77 .78 .80 61 BR02A 1849 1999 .34B .35B .75 .82 .33A .07B 62 BR02B 1760 1998 -.15B-.17B-.39B .04B .57 .78 .71 .58 .33 63 BR03A 1779 2002 .27B .18B .14B .50 .60 .73 .87 .80 .79 64 BR03B 1776 2001 .43B .39B .15B .19B .38 .69 .79 .70 .58 65 BR04A 1760 2002 .31A .43 .36B .32B .59 .72 .82 .78 .76 .78 66 BR04B 1804 2002 .36B .36 .75 .76 .76 .68 .71 .74 67 BR05B 1748 1996 .35 .43 .46B .33B .31A .68 .82 .64 .31B .26B 68 BR06A 1672 2002 .40B .46 .31B .00B-.14B .13B .37B .28B .58 .77 .78 .72 .56 .58 69 BR06B 1678 2002 .56 .37B .00B-.12B .12B .23B .18B .52 .74 .74 .62 .57 .62 70 BR33A 1648 2002 .63 .68 .57 .33 .44 .61 .61 .52 .16B .39B .58 .62 .66 .66 .70 71 BR33B 1616 2002 .41 .45 .53 .22B .22B .42 .39B .37B .21B-.04B .09B .43 .58 .53 .49 .55 72 BC02A 1576 1935 .51 .76 .62 .28B .17B .33B .39B .19B .30B .46B .19B .00B .01B .09B 73 BR01A 1700 2000 -.13B .01B .23B .18B .05B .12B .13B .47 .76 .74 .43 .42 74 BR32A 1715 1990 .00B-.06B-.08B .15B .03B .30B .69 .68 .63 .65 .60 75 BR32B 1715 1997 .11B .22B .36 .45 .40B .36 .34B .21B .13B .22B .20B Av segment correlation .36 .51 .55 .53 .50 .48 .40 .38 .31 .39 .37 .38 .56 .61 .62 .66 .62 .67 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bears Paw Mountains PIPO 16:00 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BPM40B 1838 1998 161 6 0 .566 .66 1.65 .269 .595 .331 2.67 .527 .001 2 2 BPM41A 1929 1998 70 2 0 .672 1.51 3.09 .603 .322 .365 2.62 .566 .010 1 3 BPM41B 1898 1998 101 4 0 .689 1.43 2.95 .593 .559 .321 2.71 .536 .079 1 4 BPM43A 1653 1934 282 11 6 .325 1.05 2.06 .363 .702 .223 2.48 .306 -.016 2 5 BPM43B 1701 1998 298 11 0 .522 1.41 3.05 .547 .669 .257 2.61 .416 -.024 1 6 BPM01A 1922 1997 76 3 0 .794 2.55 4.79 .924 .305 .362 2.57 .446 .046 1 7 BPM02A 1910 1997 88 3 0 .765 2.33 7.42 1.414 .720 .374 2.65 .612 -.059 2 8 BPM02B 1902 1997 96 3 0 .722 2.14 5.46 .934 .666 .266 2.68 .487 -.017 2 9 BPM03A 1740 1997 258 10 1 .540 1.39 3.20 .491 .582 .270 2.55 .375 -.018 1 10 BPM03B 1715 1997 283 11 1 .598 1.02 2.03 .370 .667 .256 2.40 .280 -.009 2 11 BPM04A 1929 1997 69 2 0 .743 2.23 5.66 1.216 .755 .321 2.56 .480 .066 1 12 BPM04B 1926 1997 72 2 0 .730 2.17 5.23 1.196 .746 .330 2.67 .562 .037 1 13 BPM05A 1938 1997 60 2 0 .696 4.04 8.32 1.583 .502 .334 2.60 .492 -.053 1 14 BPM05B 1944 1997 54 2 0 .682 2.78 7.10 1.305 .580 .358 2.72 .599 .045 1 15 BPM06A 1728 1997 270 10 0 .661 1.28 6.03 1.139 .913 .338 2.51 .409 -.014 2 16 BPM06B 1710 1997 288 11 0 .622 1.23 6.32 1.096 .900 .301 2.58 .388 -.002 2 17 BPM01B 1912 1997 86 3 0 .769 2.66 5.86 1.112 .598 .321 2.56 .439 .004 1 18 BPM08A 1770 1992 223 9 3 .442 .74 3.62 .542 .884 .286 2.93 .370 -.012 1 19 BPM08B 1811 1991 181 7 0 .546 1.19 4.54 .901 .886 .296 2.58 .376 -.046 1 20 BPM09B 1807 1997 191 7 2 .455 .96 3.36 .663 .840 .289 2.67 .540 -.070 1 21 BPM10A 1837 1997 161 6 0 .672 1.50 3.08 .628 .721 .298 2.62 .365 .010 3 22 BPM10B 1850 1997 148 5 0 .632 1.16 2.47 .454 .647 .294 2.60 .431 -.056 1 23 BPM11A 1819 1997 179 7 0 .659 1.82 5.03 .718 .761 .218 2.62 .370 -.020 2 24 BPM11B 1763 1997 235 9 1 .599 1.29 3.92 .707 .843 .237 2.57 .383 -.028 2 25 BPM12A 1948 1997 50 1 0 .586 2.29 5.33 .911 .524 .330 2.52 .487 -.022 2 26 BPM12B 1930 1997 68 2 0 .597 2.25 4.89 1.425 .916 .270 2.46 .422 -.064 1 27 BPM14A 1884 1997 114 4 0 .707 1.87 4.01 .706 .394 .338 2.76 .475 .031 1 28 BPM14B 1900 1997 98 3 0 .713 1.95 5.34 .913 .605 .330 2.54 .408 .014 1 29 BPM15B 1775 1997 223 8 0 .537 1.11 3.51 .821 .836 .341 2.52 .352 .004 1 30 BPM18A 1908 1997 90 3 0 .757 1.53 4.52 .965 .784 .327 2.55 .440 .024 1 31 BPM18B 1901 1997 97 3 0 .623 1.37 3.61 .886 .827 .299 2.81 .413 .047 2 32 BPM19A 1837 1997 161 6 1 .547 .73 1.82 .360 .724 .305 2.77 .482 -.022 1 33 BPM19B 1874 1997 124 5 1 .519 1.28 4.11 .675 .591 .315 2.84 .416 .019 1 34 BPM20A 1885 1997 113 4 0 .594 1.48 6.20 .845 .606 .316 2.67 .403 .014 1 35 BPM20B 1838 1997 160 6 0 .558 1.57 5.86 1.020 .748 .313 2.56 .394 .015 1 36 BPM21A 1923 1997 75 3 0 .615 1.08 2.75 .540 .744 .280 2.63 .531 -.015 1 37 BPM21B 1906 1997 92 3 1 .542 .87 2.77 .504 .773 .316 2.90 .688 .042 1 38 BPM22A 1906 1997 92 3 0 .628 2.23 5.83 1.156 .828 .227 2.55 .425 -.045 1 39 BPM22B 1905 1997 93 3 0 .589 2.01 4.77 .915 .789 .219 2.58 .435 -.030 1 40 BPM23A 1925 1997 73 2 0 .626 2.73 5.13 .845 .589 .219 2.74 .494 .041 1 41 BPM23B 1928 1997 70 2 0 .672 4.11 6.68 .954 .182 .242 2.56 .620 .051 2 42 BPM24A 1619 1997 379 15 3 .554 .91 2.99 .465 .843 .222 2.64 .363 -.010 1 43 BPM24B 1595 1997 403 16 3 .505 .83 3.27 .512 .872 .230 2.53 .335 .004 1 44 BPM25A 1934 1997 64 2 0 .537 2.52 4.53 1.002 .713 .255 2.85 .514 .011 2 45 BPM25B 1922 1997 76 3 0 .684 1.93 3.58 .729 .757 .234 2.72 .478 .034 2 46 BPM27A 1939 1997 59 2 0 .661 4.40 6.36 .929 .447 .180 2.80 .588 .009 2 47 BPM27B 1935 1997 63 2 0 .659 3.85 7.05 1.272 .700 .202 2.83 .657 .014 1 48 BPM28B 1895 1997 103 4 1 .480 1.51 4.90 1.032 .733 .352 2.80 .487 .069 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bears Paw Mountains PIPO 16:00 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BPM29A 1887 1997 111 4 0 .598 1.79 4.92 .901 .526 .402 2.47 .344 -.002 1 50 BPM29B 1911 1997 87 3 0 .636 1.30 3.34 .606 .261 .450 2.78 .537 .050 1 51 BPM32A 1875 1997 123 4 1 .438 1.48 6.07 1.203 .761 .362 2.68 .451 -.032 1 52 BPM32B 1860 1997 138 5 0 .539 1.25 3.08 .609 .505 .369 2.83 .463 .036 1 53 BC02C 1558 2002 445 18 5 .417 1.12 4.24 .541 .759 .263 2.56 .325 .000 1 54 BC01A 1780 2002 223 9 0 .673 1.75 4.67 .877 .853 .210 2.57 .413 -.001 2 55 BC01B 1795 2002 208 9 0 .696 1.98 7.15 1.044 .859 .230 2.56 .360 -.027 4 56 BC02B 1568 2002 435 18 3 .491 .79 2.21 .363 .624 .327 2.76 .394 -.021 7 57 BC03A 1772 2002 231 10 0 .621 1.24 4.66 .854 .732 .377 2.75 .470 .043 1 58 BC03B 1775 2002 228 9 0 .673 1.08 4.79 .773 .733 .393 2.64 .510 .008 1 59 BC04A 1880 2002 123 5 0 .788 1.29 3.77 .627 .599 .389 2.66 .509 -.057 4 60 BC04B 1814 2002 189 8 0 .663 1.00 2.93 .547 .641 .394 2.65 .365 .001 8 61 BR02A 1849 1999 151 6 4 .409 .83 3.70 .711 .711 .448 2.77 .377 .024 2 62 BR02B 1760 1998 239 9 4 .298 .87 2.66 .589 .663 .454 2.66 .404 -.031 1 63 BR03A 1779 2002 224 9 3 .513 1.45 4.33 .827 .655 .373 2.63 .347 -.020 1 64 BR03B 1776 2001 226 9 4 .439 1.39 5.36 1.172 .780 .466 2.80 .514 -.045 1 65 BR04A 1760 2002 243 10 3 .586 1.24 3.39 .634 .701 .319 2.71 .455 .005 2 66 BR04B 1804 2002 199 8 1 .661 1.56 4.63 .832 .697 .326 2.58 .426 -.041 4 67 BR05B 1748 1996 249 10 5 .438 1.00 4.57 .989 .825 .467 2.67 .423 -.027 2 68 BR06A 1672 2002 331 14 7 .451 .93 4.11 .750 .821 .362 2.54 .386 -.019 2 69 BR06B 1678 2002 325 13 6 .450 .98 5.07 .923 .845 .357 2.74 .421 -.008 2 70 BR33A 1648 2002 355 15 2 .544 1.05 2.85 .474 .716 .270 2.64 .397 -.012 2 71 BR33B 1616 2002 387 16 7 .366 .87 5.07 .755 .829 .283 2.61 .371 -.018 1 72 BC02A 1576 1935 360 14 11 .306 .82 3.47 .638 .790 .438 2.65 .365 .000 1 73 BR01A 1700 2000 301 12 7 .289 .67 2.79 .580 .700 .538 2.73 .453 -.013 1 74 BR32A 1715 1990 276 11 6 .379 1.24 3.87 .746 .790 .313 2.51 .368 -.033 1 75 BR32B 1715 1997 283 11 8 .248 1.37 5.32 .984 .824 .331 2.59 .349 .005 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 13560 520 111 .532 1.31 8.32 .736 .733 .320 2.93 .414 -.007