Bears Paw Mountains PSME, Montana - MT145 Additional Site Information David Sauchyn Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT145.CRN Measurement file name : MT145.RWL Date checked : 30JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1581 Ending year : 2002 Principal investigators: David Sauchyn Antoine Beriault Jodi Axelson Site name : Bears Paw Mountains Site location : Montana Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4815 Longitude : -10930 Elevation : 1500M Series intercorrelation: 0.707 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.387 Avg standard deviation : 0.818 Avg autocorrelation : 0.674 Number dated series : 66 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 18 Pct problem segments : 3.40 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bears Paw Mountains PSME 16:01 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BR01A 1809 2002 .34B .43B .64 .84 .89 .78 .78 .80 2 BR01B 1892 2002 .78 .83 .76 .75 .77 3 BR02 1581 2002 .38 .57 .47 .73 .74 .69 .54 .47 .61 .76 .80 .76 .77 .77 4 BR03A 1907 2002 .76 .79 .81 .81 5 BR03B 1900 2002 .71 .83 .84 .86 6 BR04A 1869 2002 .58 .70 .83 .82 .82 .81 7 BR04B 1918 2002 .83 .87 .89 .88 8 BR05A 1870 2002 .49 .54 .67 .78 .83 .82 9 BR05B 1883 2002 .62 .67 .66 .79 .81 10 BR06A 1751 2001 .20B .16B .24B .34 .71 .78 .68 .62 .74 .73 11 BR07A 1941 2002 .80 .83 .82 12 BR07B 1943 2002 .81 .79 .79 13 BR08B 1734 2002 .46 .73 .72 .64 .53 .67 .84 .83 .81 .85 .85 14 BR09A 1778 2002 .71 .72 .57 .71 .87 .88 .87 .89 .90 15 BR09B 1756 2002 .80 .73 .69 .55 .60 .84 .85 .76 .81 .84 16 BR10A 1881 2002 .88 .84 .77 .23A .21B 17 BR10B 1884 2002 .85 .90 .87 .83 .85 18 BR11A 1951 2002 .78 .77 19 BR11B 1927 2002 .86 .82 .82 20 BR12A 1818 2002 .36B .35B .57 .79 .84 .78 .77 .79 21 BR12B 1801 2002 .38B .31B .47 .74 .85 .84 .82 .82 22 BR13A 1793 2000 .58 .59 .31B .51 .71 .68 .66 .79 .79 23 BR13B 1772 2002 .67 .69 .51 .32B .50 .65 .72 .71 .78 .79 24 BR14 1805 2002 .59 .49 .68 .81 .87 .85 .89 .90 25 BR15A 1865 2002 .74 .78 .84 .86 .85 .85 26 BR15B 1821 2002 .57 .59 .63 .79 .84 .80 .82 .81 27 BR17A 1666 2002 .37 .59 .48 .65 .70 .76 .56 .49B .66 .75 .76 .73 .86 .87 28 BR17B 1715 2002 .71 .68 .74 .73 .70 .57 .63 .77 .70 .67 .47 .44 29 BR19A 1821 2002 .60 .64 .64 .74 .75 .77 .84 .85 30 BR19B 1804 2002 .70 .64 .71 .79 .80 .80 .80 .82 31 BR20 1768 2002 .76 .74 .71 .56 .56 .77 .86 .85 .82 .83 32 BR21A 1813 2002 .59 .61 .68 .88 .87 .82 .84 .85 33 BR21B 1822 2002 .43B .42B .74 .91 .86 .73 .70 .70 34 BR22A 1886 2002 .80 .87 .88 .88 .88 35 BR22B 1825 2002 .17B .51 .78 .79 .81 .91 .91 36 BC04 1767 2001 .65 .71 .76 .81 .89 .90 .83 .77 .84 .85 37 BC05A 1722 2001 .42 .41 .56 .68 .63 .67 .79 .78 .79 .85 .83 .85 38 BC05B 1762 2000 .69 .72 .62 .60 .81 .84 .83 .81 .82 .81 39 BC06A 1760 2001 .59 .63 .68 .72 .81 .87 .89 .91 .86 .86 40 BC06B 1759 2001 .59 .62 .66 .67 .69 .79 .84 .81 .85 .86 41 BC07A 1844 2000 .69 .73 .73 .79 .84 .79 .79 42 BC07B 1735 2000 .44 .52 .36 .36 .72 .69 .62 .72 .81 .82 .80 43 BC08A 1800 2000 .63 .64 .75 .64 .62 .78 .82 .81 44 BC08B 1825 2000 .61 .67 .57 .60 .79 .86 .86 45 BC09A 1855 2001 .72 .73 .77 .79 .78 .76 46 BC09B 1777 2000 .73 .78 .82 .77 .77 .79 .80 .86 .87 47 BC11B 1846 2000 .63 .63 .74 .77 .76 .76 .76 48 BC13A 1799 2001 .61 .61 .52 .63 .68 .70 .68 .69 .69 49 BC13B 1832 2002 .62 .70 .74 .78 .70 .69 .70 50 BC14A 1750 2002 .66 .79 .72 .67 .76 .81 .76 .71 .80 .81 51 BC14B 1729 2002 .73 .58 .60 .77 .63 .69 .78 .74 .72 .76 .77 52 BC15A 1771 2001 .47 .47 .56 .48 .55 .55 .57 .55 .63 .55 53 BC15B 1791 2001 .38 .34 .31B .57 .56 .52 .62 .77 .79 54 BC16A 1854 2002 .57 .50 .49 .70 .83 .84 55 BC16B 1854 2002 .61 .56 .49 .45 .56 .62 56 BC17A 1771 2002 .48 .50 .49 .52 .77 .81 .77 .87 .88 .89 57 BC17B 1802 2002 .54 .59 .72 .86 .88 .86 .88 .89 58 BC18A 1817 2002 .83 .73 .74 .81 .86 .84 .79 .80 59 BC18B 1798 2002 .85 .86 .78 .79 .87 .90 .86 .83 .84 60 BC19A 1793 2002 .63 .65 .45 .48 .69 .75 .72 .81 .79 61 BC19B 1804 2002 .41 .38 .55 .82 .77 .68 .68 .70 62 BC21A 1747 2002 .61 .61 .74 .81 .66 .72 .86 .84 .82 .87 .89 63 BC21B 1730 2002 .53 .68 .86 .79 .54 .66 .83 .79 .82 .89 .89 64 BC22A 1827 2002 .56 .69 .69 .64 .71 .70 .67 65 BC22B 1815 2002 .63 .57 .69 .65 .56 .65 .60 .62 66 BC23B 1737 2002 .72 .73 .66 .60 .64 .72 .72 .65 .76 .89 .90 Av segment correlation .37 .58 .52 .60 .63 .64 .60 .55 .66 .75 .77 .77 .79 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bears Paw Mountains PSME 16:01 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BR01A 1809 2002 194 8 2 .705 1.54 6.63 1.066 .609 .490 2.72 .497 -.051 2 2 BR01B 1892 2002 111 5 0 .772 1.14 3.17 .622 .270 .533 2.75 .585 -.057 3 3 BR02 1581 2002 422 14 0 .638 .57 2.45 .374 .552 .479 2.51 .325 -.025 1 4 BR03A 1907 2002 96 4 0 .772 1.66 5.95 1.023 .625 .388 2.65 .477 .014 2 5 BR03B 1900 2002 103 4 0 .773 1.90 4.27 .829 .504 .371 2.62 .496 .029 2 6 BR04A 1869 2002 134 6 0 .760 1.56 7.28 1.008 .486 .461 2.94 .489 -.066 2 7 BR04B 1918 2002 85 4 0 .837 2.03 4.73 .882 .299 .442 2.63 .457 -.032 2 8 BR05A 1870 2002 133 6 0 .669 1.44 3.44 .812 .523 .447 2.70 .432 -.052 2 9 BR05B 1883 2002 120 5 0 .682 1.11 2.78 .499 .409 .418 2.64 .433 -.011 2 10 BR06A 1751 2001 251 10 3 .516 .98 7.12 1.011 .767 .484 2.85 .518 -.029 2 11 BR07A 1941 2002 62 3 0 .795 3.21 6.86 1.240 .286 .411 2.64 .534 -.119 2 12 BR07B 1943 2002 60 3 0 .784 2.69 5.91 1.036 .283 .408 2.49 .512 .020 2 13 BR08B 1734 2002 269 11 0 .693 1.12 5.13 .841 .590 .472 2.94 .429 -.015 2 14 BR09A 1778 2002 225 9 0 .789 1.14 5.47 .855 .712 .400 2.89 .442 -.043 2 15 BR09B 1756 2002 247 10 0 .750 1.16 8.94 1.467 .833 .400 2.90 .431 .002 3 16 BR10A 1881 2002 122 5 2 .546 2.02 8.01 1.014 .551 .361 2.55 .448 -.019 2 17 BR10B 1884 2002 119 5 0 .846 2.43 9.57 1.269 .530 .374 2.66 .426 .007 2 18 BR11A 1951 2002 52 2 0 .770 3.54 6.68 1.333 .252 .404 2.49 .450 .052 3 19 BR11B 1927 2002 76 3 0 .833 2.47 4.41 .825 .365 .329 2.50 .456 -.041 2 20 BR12A 1818 2002 185 8 2 .695 1.12 4.94 .777 .606 .444 2.77 .460 .027 1 21 BR12B 1801 2002 202 8 2 .670 1.42 6.20 .950 .595 .414 2.81 .397 -.017 2 22 BR13A 1793 2000 208 9 1 .635 1.47 7.92 1.147 .669 .433 2.87 .499 -.089 1 23 BR13B 1772 2002 231 10 1 .645 1.46 5.89 .938 .673 .366 3.02 .495 -.020 1 24 BR14 1805 2002 198 8 0 .771 1.51 5.70 .859 .702 .325 2.74 .492 .043 2 25 BR15A 1865 2002 138 6 0 .787 1.33 3.56 .708 .495 .452 2.67 .450 .019 2 26 BR15B 1821 2002 182 8 0 .723 1.45 4.52 .755 .412 .474 2.76 .434 .030 2 27 BR17A 1666 2002 337 14 1 .653 .80 3.58 .649 .738 .415 2.56 .309 .002 2 28 BR17B 1715 2002 288 12 0 .637 .69 2.66 .470 .629 .443 2.50 .281 -.028 2 29 BR19A 1821 2002 182 8 0 .733 .96 3.90 .645 .556 .516 2.77 .441 -.024 1 30 BR19B 1804 2002 199 8 0 .768 1.32 5.03 .921 .482 .471 2.97 .492 -.020 1 31 BR20 1768 2002 235 10 0 .748 1.23 5.97 1.046 .641 .517 2.74 .480 -.060 2 32 BR21A 1813 2002 190 8 0 .793 1.49 6.25 1.323 .859 .433 2.73 .437 .019 2 33 BR21B 1822 2002 181 8 2 .715 1.79 9.37 1.788 .855 .450 2.76 .502 -.021 2 34 BR22A 1886 2002 117 5 0 .852 1.21 4.22 .836 .547 .497 2.75 .519 .015 2 35 BR22B 1825 2002 178 7 1 .702 .61 2.51 .373 .495 .436 2.74 .401 .006 2 36 BC04 1767 2001 235 10 0 .807 1.43 3.54 .625 .743 .284 2.59 .493 -.016 3 37 BC05A 1722 2001 280 12 0 .687 .88 3.21 .641 .791 .369 2.62 .435 -.048 2 38 BC05B 1762 2000 239 10 0 .762 1.11 3.79 .801 .801 .374 2.66 .407 -.020 1 39 BC06A 1760 2001 242 10 0 .787 1.38 5.19 .947 .762 .320 2.74 .390 -.051 1 40 BC06B 1759 2001 243 10 0 .754 1.29 5.66 .935 .684 .354 2.91 .430 -.020 1 41 BC07A 1844 2000 157 7 0 .766 .84 3.62 .579 .809 .340 2.50 .397 -.006 1 42 BC07B 1735 2000 266 11 0 .614 .83 2.59 .465 .719 .349 2.72 .398 -.038 2 43 BC08A 1800 2000 201 8 0 .707 1.30 3.79 .861 .864 .286 2.74 .487 -.008 3 44 BC08B 1825 2000 176 7 0 .693 1.25 7.50 1.263 .817 .342 2.79 .483 .087 2 45 BC09A 1855 2001 147 6 0 .751 .85 3.00 .587 .605 .447 2.76 .461 -.049 1 46 BC09B 1777 2000 224 9 0 .780 .81 4.28 .572 .782 .384 2.54 .347 -.016 1 47 BC11B 1846 2000 155 7 0 .717 .99 3.84 .676 .851 .320 2.67 .479 -.039 1 48 BC13A 1799 2001 203 9 0 .643 1.32 3.07 .560 .633 .302 2.53 .351 -.030 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bears Paw Mountains PSME 16:01 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BC13B 1832 2002 171 7 0 .696 .84 2.23 .361 .573 .312 2.79 .525 .005 1 50 BC14A 1750 2002 253 10 0 .745 .96 4.02 .650 .753 .354 2.61 .483 -.044 2 51 BC14B 1729 2002 274 11 0 .705 .81 6.82 .779 .876 .332 2.78 .343 .021 1 52 BC15A 1771 2001 231 10 0 .527 .95 3.99 .739 .813 .309 2.84 .462 -.041 2 53 BC15B 1791 2001 211 9 1 .560 1.31 6.25 1.020 .840 .289 2.90 .429 -.009 1 54 BC16A 1854 2002 149 6 0 .657 1.43 3.18 .687 .832 .244 2.59 .435 .009 2 55 BC16B 1854 2002 149 6 0 .567 2.11 6.28 .988 .611 .280 2.70 .447 .021 2 56 BC17A 1771 2002 232 10 0 .680 1.18 4.51 .686 .612 .396 2.72 .382 -.040 2 57 BC17B 1802 2002 201 8 0 .768 1.61 5.97 1.064 .573 .430 2.72 .461 -.050 2 58 BC18A 1817 2002 186 8 0 .784 1.55 5.47 .989 .793 .309 2.55 .421 -.032 1 59 BC18B 1798 2002 205 9 0 .833 1.46 4.88 .842 .785 .298 2.64 .403 -.022 1 60 BC19A 1793 2002 210 9 0 .657 1.26 3.09 .512 .592 .286 2.73 .391 -.017 2 61 BC19B 1804 2002 199 8 0 .647 1.49 4.00 .670 .501 .326 2.81 .403 -.007 1 62 BC21A 1747 2002 256 11 0 .779 1.23 4.71 .905 .808 .376 2.74 .397 -.051 2 63 BC21B 1730 2002 273 11 0 .750 .93 4.65 .943 .933 .362 2.62 .480 -.011 1 64 BC22A 1827 2002 176 7 0 .626 1.58 4.09 .710 .557 .320 2.86 .525 -.001 1 65 BC22B 1815 2002 188 8 0 .599 1.21 3.81 .574 .525 .338 2.73 .391 -.061 2 66 BC23B 1737 2002 266 11 0 .720 .87 7.26 .841 .900 .377 2.60 .428 -.009 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 12730 529 18 .707 1.24 9.57 .818 .674 .387 3.02 .434 -.019