Beartooth Lookout, Montana - MT150 Additional Site Information Gregory T. Pederson COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT150.CRN Measurement file name : MT150.RWL Date checked : 30JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1399 Ending year : 2007 Principal investigators: Gregory T. Pederson Site name : Beartooth Lookout Site location : Montana Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4502 Longitude : -10924 Elevation : 2713M Series intercorrelation: 0.686 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.202 Avg standard deviation : 0.273 Avg autocorrelation : 0.806 Number dated series : 45 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 5 Pct problem segments : 0.71 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Beartooth Lookout 16:05 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BTL001A 1625 2007 .54 .70 .81 .77 .65 .71 .77 .73 .77 .82 .84 2 BTL001B 1570 2007 .35 .36 .57 .73 .81 .77 .76 .75 .73 .79 .77 .77 .83 .87 3 BTL002A 1444 2007 .71 .72 .65 .66 .76 .68 .68 .79 .62 .68 .77 .76 .84 .82 .81 .82 .83 .82 .80 4 BTL002B 1485 2007 .60 .67 .74 .67 .69 .79 .66 .69 .74 .71 .80 .81 .83 .83 .87 .86 .84 5 BTL003A 1501 2007 .46 .41 .67 .69 .67 .66 .76 .80 .73 .58 .65 .73 .70 .82 .83 .83 6 BTL003B 1689 2007 .49 .41 .54 .51 .51 .75 .88 .84 .80 7 BTL004A 1427 2007 .62 .65 .66 .59 .58 .77 .82 .76 .67 .61 .69 .71 .66 .71 .67 .69 .83 .62 .60 8 BTL004B 1479 2007 .58 .70 .58 .70 .78 .69 .55 .57 .72 .62 .63 .77 .71 .70 .70 .72 .75 9 BTL005A 1680 2007 .25B .51 .58 .58 .63 .72 .70 .61 .66 10 BTL005B 1619 2007 .36B .37 .37 .37 .50 .56 .62 .67 .69 .76 .77 .64 11 BTL006 1716 2007 .52 .50 .61 .77 .81 .79 .79 .81 12 BTL007A 1503 2007 .57 .63 .75 .77 .66 .37 .41 .65 .59 .53 .46 .50 .68 .67 .59 .64 13 BTL007B 1495 2007 .50 .49 .66 .70 .72 .82 .59 .62 .83 .68 .58 .62 .70 .81 .69 .69 .78 14 BTL008 1625 2007 .33 .57 .71 .68 .58 .70 .52 .50 .81 .77 .74 15 BTL009 1727 2007 .53 .61 .68 .63 .76 .75 .69 16 BTL010A 1670 2007 .36 .49 .61 .66 .66 .62 .65 .73 .64 .67 17 BTL011A 1579 2007 .80 .82 .74 .76 .65 .55 .73 .78 .66 .69 .81 .78 .74 18 BTL011B 1567 1929 .74 .77 .69 .67 .79 .69 .64 .75 .72 .72 .76 .72 .54 .41 19 BTL012A 1630 2007 .15B .59 .73 .66 .47 .62 .75 .77 .68 .56 .58 20 BTL013 1736 2007 .46 .64 .66 .65 .59 .70 .76 21 BTL014 1630 2007 .51 .63 .68 .63 .51 .52 .69 .81 .83 .74 .75 22 BTL015 1522 2007 .36B .40 .86 .90 .91 .85 .77 .83 .84 .83 .89 .81 .73 .63 .68 .88 23 BTL018 1522 2007 .61 .62 .73 .69 .75 .76 .84 .78 .73 .78 .64 .72 .84 .76 .80 .89 24 BTL020A 1480 2007 .68 .71 .83 .73 .73 .72 .60 .64 .67 .75 .66 .71 .56 .47 .70 .74 .75 25 BTL101A 1762 2007 .61 .65 .67 .80 .86 .66 27 BTL102A 1525 2007 .52 .70 .67 .68 .63 .59 .68 .65 .68 .77 .80 .87 .78 .63 .74 28 BTL102B 1532 2007 .29A .65 .66 .77 .71 .59 .69 .71 .65 .75 .79 .74 .75 .72 .74 29 BTL103A 1719 2007 .69 .68 .72 .42 .48 .70 .68 .66 30 BTL103B 1710 2007 .74 .67 .73 .78 .83 .64 .63 .78 31 BTL104A 1771 2007 .61 .62 .74 .73 .71 .75 32 BTL104B 1800 2007 .71 .69 .78 .87 33 BTL105A 1419 2007 .69 .70 .74 .66 .67 .70 .84 .71 .67 .77 .58 .57 .53 .60 .72 .75 .81 .73 .69 .81 34 BTL105B 1645 2007 .57 .57 .56 .47 .67 .79 .75 .71 .61 .60 .72 35 BTL106A 1741 2007 .56 .68 .75 .70 .73 .75 .73 36 BTL106B 1758 2007 .57 .70 .72 .65 .69 .74 37 BTL107A 1399 2007 .67 .70 .79 .88 .82 .83 .85 .81 .78 .78 .73 .78 .78 .81 .81 .82 .80 .57 .64 .85 38 BTL107B 1457 2007 .86 .84 .83 .86 .87 .83 .77 .71 .63 .71 .72 .64 .77 .72 .65 .58 .61 .73 39 BTL108A 1617 2007 .50 .51 .63 .60 .55 .58 .58 .41 .53 .68 .66 .73 40 BTL109A 1820 2007 .54 .59 .73 .75 41 BTL109B 1805 2007 .43 .60 .65 .68 42 BTL110A 1560 2007 .81 .85 .86 .68 .71 .85 .78 .76 .84 .81 .80 .88 .82 .63 43 BTL110B 1640 2007 .64 .63 .83 .75 .57 .62 .71 .81 .84 .81 .78 44 BTL016A 1648 2007 .50 .53 .74 .76 .66 .69 .65 .69 .76 .73 .74 45 BTL016B 1629 2007 .45 .45 .66 .73 .64 .60 .65 .71 .67 .72 .79 Av segment correlation .68 .68 .75 .67 .63 .63 .73 .73 .72 .60 .63 .68 .66 .64 .68 .69 .71 .73 .72 .74 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Beartooth Lookout 16:05 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1900 1925 1950 1975 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BTL001A 1625 2007 .81 .81 .83 .83 2 BTL001B 1570 2007 .85 .81 .82 .78 3 BTL002A 1444 2007 .71 .76 .86 .86 4 BTL002B 1485 2007 .76 .76 .86 .86 5 BTL003A 1501 2007 .83 .84 .82 .75 6 BTL003B 1689 2007 .85 .86 .82 .83 7 BTL004A 1427 2007 .75 .81 .86 .83 8 BTL004B 1479 2007 .68 .75 .81 .82 9 BTL005A 1680 2007 .67 .68 .75 .72 10 BTL005B 1619 2007 .60 .68 .79 .80 11 BTL006 1716 2007 .76 .68 .68 .70 12 BTL007A 1503 2007 .62 .65 .78 .78 13 BTL007B 1495 2007 .77 .64 .66 .66 14 BTL008 1625 2007 .65 .67 .67 .68 15 BTL009 1727 2007 .78 .74 .72 .72 16 BTL010A 1670 2007 .67 .61 .63 .67 17 BTL011A 1579 2007 .62 .62 .76 .79 18 BTL011B 1567 1929 .36 19 BTL012A 1630 2007 .58 .56 .63 .68 20 BTL013 1736 2007 .66 .57 .62 .60 21 BTL014 1630 2007 .62 .60 .78 .80 22 BTL015 1522 2007 .90 .85 .78 .75 23 BTL018 1522 2007 .84 .80 .85 .88 24 BTL020A 1480 2007 .77 .73 .77 .77 25 BTL101A 1762 2007 .42 .48 .66 .65 26 BTL101B 1914 2007 .53 .58 .64 .65 27 BTL102A 1525 2007 .75 .65 .77 .79 28 BTL102B 1532 2007 .67 .60 .71 .71 29 BTL103A 1719 2007 .52 .36 .54 .66 30 BTL103B 1710 2007 .80 .77 .79 .74 31 BTL104A 1771 2007 .68 .69 .75 .73 32 BTL104B 1800 2007 .84 .78 .74 .72 33 BTL105A 1419 2007 .78 .61 .74 .75 34 BTL105B 1645 2007 .68 .64 .62 .60 35 BTL106A 1741 2007 .74 .82 .79 .81 36 BTL106B 1758 2007 .66 .74 .78 .73 37 BTL107A 1399 2007 .81 .85 .85 .85 38 BTL107B 1457 2007 .76 .78 .84 .84 39 BTL108A 1617 2007 .57 .52 .62 .67 40 BTL109A 1820 2007 .72 .69 .78 .80 41 BTL109B 1805 2007 .50 .39 .64 .73 42 BTL110A 1560 2007 .50 .62 .67 .68 43 BTL110B 1640 2007 .69 .71 .80 .81 44 BTL016A 1648 2007 .59 .55 .76 .76 45 BTL016B 1629 2007 .57 .49 .60 .62 Av segment correlation .69 .68 .74 .75 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Beartooth Lookout 16:05 Tue 30 Jul 2019 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BTL001A 1625 2007 383 15 0 .742 .87 1.69 .239 .683 .178 2.45 .287 -.007 1 2 BTL001B 1570 2007 438 18 0 .718 .80 1.77 .289 .800 .180 2.63 .360 -.011 1 3 BTL002A 1444 2007 564 23 0 .746 .52 1.56 .249 .836 .204 2.59 .328 -.011 1 4 BTL002B 1485 2007 523 21 0 .754 .52 1.94 .296 .866 .200 2.66 .359 -.015 1 5 BTL003A 1501 2007 507 20 0 .713 .60 1.79 .206 .592 .216 2.85 .398 -.013 1 6 BTL003B 1689 2007 319 13 0 .718 .49 1.01 .130 .553 .191 2.64 .366 .003 1 7 BTL004A 1427 2007 581 23 0 .687 .51 1.22 .148 .726 .163 2.60 .307 .016 1 8 BTL004B 1479 2007 529 21 0 .688 .44 1.32 .149 .755 .175 2.60 .276 .009 1 9 BTL005A 1680 2007 328 13 1 .599 .60 1.69 .343 .925 .156 2.56 .317 -.028 1 10 BTL005B 1619 2007 389 16 1 .605 .69 2.40 .442 .899 .172 2.69 .392 -.042 1 11 BTL006 1716 2007 292 12 0 .719 .67 2.12 .341 .820 .222 2.62 .398 -.009 1 12 BTL007A 1503 2007 505 20 0 .621 .54 1.98 .293 .855 .216 2.48 .262 -.029 1 13 BTL007B 1495 2007 513 21 0 .687 .52 1.85 .302 .867 .209 2.54 .297 -.006 1 14 BTL008 1625 2007 383 15 0 .625 .80 2.97 .434 .890 .188 2.65 .352 -.036 1 15 BTL009 1727 2007 281 11 0 .692 .51 1.21 .235 .912 .168 2.59 .407 -.026 1 16 BTL010A 1670 2007 338 14 0 .613 .49 2.38 .437 .940 .201 2.59 .317 -.006 1 17 BTL011A 1579 2007 429 17 0 .722 .42 1.23 .191 .837 .197 2.70 .390 -.039 1 18 BTL011B 1567 1929 363 15 0 .651 .39 .90 .187 .870 .200 2.55 .312 -.006 1 19 BTL012A 1630 2007 378 15 1 .550 .55 1.67 .238 .773 .211 2.52 .268 -.027 2 20 BTL013 1736 2007 272 11 0 .619 .91 2.13 .372 .840 .186 2.73 .358 -.001 1 21 BTL014 1630 2007 378 15 0 .670 .67 1.98 .344 .885 .195 2.71 .398 -.010 1 22 BTL015 1522 2007 486 20 1 .766 .46 1.18 .179 .753 .204 2.61 .375 -.025 1 23 BTL018 1522 2007 486 20 0 .763 .62 2.09 .359 .885 .206 2.73 .372 -.021 3 24 BTL020A 1480 2007 528 21 0 .694 .44 1.67 .250 .843 .221 2.54 .295 -.018 1 25 BTL101A 1762 2007 246 10 0 .653 .97 1.59 .236 .618 .156 2.43 .281 -.010 1 26 BTL101B 1914 2007 94 4 0 .587 .85 1.44 .235 .672 .178 2.62 .539 -.004 1 27 BTL102A 1525 2007 483 19 0 .698 .44 2.23 .320 .886 .229 2.73 .364 -.030 1 28 BTL102B 1532 2007 476 19 1 .664 .40 1.13 .191 .809 .230 2.72 .446 -.017 3 29 BTL103A 1719 2007 289 12 0 .599 .78 2.16 .327 .873 .165 2.56 .296 -.042 1 30 BTL103B 1710 2007 298 12 0 .737 .67 1.95 .337 .909 .172 2.47 .339 -.006 3 31 BTL104A 1771 2007 237 10 0 .698 1.03 2.28 .347 .724 .193 2.71 .436 -.035 1 32 BTL104B 1800 2007 208 8 0 .760 .98 2.69 .358 .726 .206 2.71 .421 .004 1 33 BTL105A 1419 2007 589 24 0 .710 .27 .96 .141 .858 .240 2.60 .313 -.028 1 34 BTL105B 1645 2007 363 15 0 .642 .30 .78 .125 .774 .228 2.76 .458 -.021 3 35 BTL106A 1741 2007 267 11 0 .712 .92 3.04 .461 .869 .189 2.73 .416 -.006 1 36 BTL106B 1758 2007 250 10 0 .688 .83 2.76 .468 .892 .186 2.61 .374 .005 1 37 BTL107A 1399 2007 609 24 0 .771 .44 1.73 .273 .835 .236 2.67 .363 .004 1 38 BTL107B 1457 2007 551 22 0 .757 .35 1.16 .195 .805 .266 2.60 .323 -.026 2 39 BTL108A 1617 2007 391 16 0 .582 .64 1.36 .213 .500 .257 2.57 .307 -.020 1 40 BTL109A 1820 2007 188 8 0 .676 1.15 2.54 .388 .776 .174 2.43 .330 -.026 1 41 BTL109B 1805 2007 203 8 0 .561 1.27 4.22 .529 .760 .185 2.80 .435 .005 1 42 BTL110A 1560 2007 448 18 0 .696 .37 .75 .114 .621 .220 2.47 .281 .013 1 43 BTL110B 1640 2007 368 15 0 .675 .34 .87 .129 .722 .230 2.58 .299 -.004 3 44 BTL016A 1648 2007 360 15 0 .671 .76 2.09 .471 .942 .166 2.50 .320 .003 2 45 BTL016B 1629 2007 379 15 0 .630 .80 2.28 .448 .937 .152 2.63 .391 -.032 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 17490 705 5 .686 .58 4.22 .273 .806 .202 2.85 .346 -.014