Grass Mountain #1, Montana - MT158 Additional Site Information Lisa Graumlich John King Lindsey Waggoner COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT158.CRN Measurement file name : MT158.RWL Date checked : 21AUG19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 775 Ending year : 1999 Principal investigators: Lisa Graumlich John King Lindsey Waggoner Site name : Grass Mountain #1 Site location : Montana Species information : PIAL WHITEBARK PINE Latitude : 4510 Longitude : -10931 Elevation : 3200M Series intercorrelation: 0.604 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.191 Avg standard deviation : 0.244 Avg autocorrelation : 0.807 Number dated series : 71 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 23 Pct problem segments : 3.23 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Grass Mountain #1 11:59 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 824 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 2 GRM107 1084 1493 .44 .67 .76 .72 .72 .75 .78 .64 5 GRM110 1181 1350 .58 .61 .52 .52 8 GRM126 1125 1335 .43 .34 .47 .69 .58 .50 11 GRM130 1111 1393 .71 .66 .59 .64 .84 .74 .59 13 GRM134 1163 1533 .46 .60 .80 .60 .57 19 GRM209A 1242 1861 .34B .42B 24 GRM218 1077 1407 .24B .61 .75 .80 .82 .72 .63 .58 34 GRM404C 1173 1494 .73 .74 .74 .74 .64 35 GRM409A 1263 1531 .60 37 GRM413A 1141 1305 .74 .76 .66 .58 .50 .38 39 GRM417A 1027 1482 .36 .54 .30B .52 .56 .47 .61 .59 .52 .71 40 GRM417B 1274 1491 .71 41 GRM417C 1096 1535 .66 .67 .46 .32A .63 .58 .41 .35B 42 GRM419A 1198 1422 .66 .65 .60 .55 43 GRM419B 1152 1385 .52 .52 .43 .48 .62 44 GRM424A 1263 1419 .57 45 GRM424B 1262 1449 .43 47 GRM426B 1144 1361 .69 .69 .66 .81 .73 .57 48 GRM428A 798 974 .59 .58 .71 .68 .58 .57 .53 49 GRM428B 775 1049 .59 .58 .71 .68 .58 .57 .53 .81 1.00 .59 51 GRM432A 1096 1337 .52 .51 .68 .64 .69 .80 .78 .62 52 GRM432B 1149 1413 .69 .68 .69 .76 .76 .48 54 GRM434B 1154 1394 .52 .60 .80 .82 .69 55 GRM434C 1216 1412 .69 .67 .62 Av segment correlation .59 .58 .71 .68 .58 .57 .53 .81 1.00 .59 .36 .54 .43 .62 .64 .59 .64 .70 .62 .56 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Grass Mountain #1 11:59 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 GRM101 1368 1523 .30A .21B .29B .49 .60 .59 2 GRM107 1084 1493 .58 .60 .51 .52 .65 .75 .62 .48 3 GRM108 1730 1998 .44 .48 4 GRM109 1738 1998 .31B .34 5 GRM110 1181 1350 .54 .73 .71 6 GRM120 1415 1858 .52 .56 .69 .63 .58 .27A .34 .65 .70 .69 .69 .73 .67 .65 .70 7 GRM124 1429 1783 .82 .87 .81 .59 .57 .70 .74 .78 .81 .74 .64 .58 .67 .66 8 GRM126 1125 1335 .56 .79 9 GRM127 1612 1822 .71 .69 .68 .70 .58 .55 .63 11 GRM130 1111 1393 .58 .64 .66 .37 13 GRM134 1163 1533 .65 .75 .77 .47 .47 .70 .84 .73 .52 .54 14 GRM135 1738 1998 .49 .55 15 GRM136 1731 1998 .33A .38 17 GRM144 1315 1713 .63 .70 .63 .56 .54 .73 .77 .67 .66 .69 .70 .74 .85 .75 .65 .71 18 GRM200 1454 1655 .64 .66 .50 .65 .74 .69 .74 .76 19 GRM209A 1242 1861 .57 .64 .56 .48 .63 .63 .67 .69 .66 .64 .69 .68 .65 .74 .73 .70 .82 .72 .72 .75 20 GRM210 1678 1998 .58 .51 .44 .36 21 GRM212 1655 1872 .45 .54 .43 .50 .71 22 GRM214A 1440 1848 .38 .50 .50 .52 .69 .71 .67 .73 .81 .70 .73 .63 .59 .67 23 GRM214B 1488 1998 .48 .49 .60 .59 .62 .71 .74 .64 .71 .69 .62 .66 24 GRM218 1077 1407 .54 .60 .58 .43 .35 25 GRM306A 1293 1859 .75 .76 .76 .48 .60 .58 .67 .70 .51 .46 .60 .72 .66 .60 .54 .44 .56 .55 .38 .36 26 GRM306B 1288 1733 .73 .67 .59 .43 .53 .63 .76 .75 .54 .59 .70 .65 .61 .70 .68 .59 .76 .78 27 GRM309 1675 1998 .46 .50 .51 .67 28 GRM313 1774 1998 .44 29 GRM315A 1518 1874 .57 .57 .65 .55 .66 .66 .62 .80 .76 .65 .64 30 GRM315E 1494 1998 .45 .42 .61 .64 .63 .72 .73 .61 .79 .80 .71 .71 31 GRM401F 1580 1675 .64 .76 .71 .70 32 GRM404A 1418 1509 .77 .66 .61 .64 33 GRM404B 1419 1510 .80 .73 .73 .68 34 GRM404C 1173 1494 .55 .77 .72 .54 .65 .53 .55 .64 35 GRM409A 1263 1531 .65 .75 .70 .43 .44 .46 .55 .63 .65 .57 36 GRM409B 1397 1513 .74 .80 .82 .81 .65 37 GRM413A 1141 1305 .39 38 GRM415C 1617 1787 .70 .69 .63 .52 .40 .46 .50 39 GRM417A 1027 1482 .69 .69 .65 .35 .46 .71 .59 .62 40 GRM417B 1274 1491 .73 .73 .52 .46 .54 .47 .50 .54 41 GRM417C 1096 1535 .36B .60 .54 .54 .64 .45 .62 .69 .59 .50 42 GRM419A 1198 1422 .50 .78 .75 .51 .67 43 GRM419B 1152 1385 .66 .77 .34 .07B 44 GRM424A 1263 1419 .57 .69 .58 .36B .38B 45 GRM424B 1262 1449 .56 .75 .53 .37 .33 .47 46 GRM426A 1300 1408 .60 .54 .37 .41 47 GRM426B 1144 1361 .51 .53 .52 50 GRM430C 1399 1598 .41 .44 .69 .68 .58 .57 .47 .34 51 GRM432A 1096 1337 .58 .71 52 GRM432B 1149 1413 .49 .68 .57 .28A .40 53 GRM434A 1300 1401 .75 .67 .60 .65 54 GRM434B 1154 1394 .70 .71 .65 .49 55 GRM434C 1216 1412 .54 .58 .74 .49 .45 56 GRM436 1304 1380 .78 .74 .58 57 GRM437B 1435 1607 .60 .62 .45 .52 .64 .62 .54 59 GRM507 1688 1999 .51 .54 .47 .61 60 GRM508 1643 1999 .40 .45 .59 .55 .50 .57 61 GRM509 1701 1999 .33 .61 .42 62 GRM604 1774 1999 .63 64 GRM610 1730 1999 .33 .42 68 GRM708 1735 1999 .33B .49 69 GRM709 1669 1999 .29B .39 .56 .62 .65 Av segment correlation .58 .69 .62 .44 .51 .58 .64 .67 .59 .54 .60 .62 .65 .72 .69 .60 .64 .59 .52 .56 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Grass Mountain #1 11:59 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 GRM108 1730 1998 .54 .58 .58 .68 .75 .66 .52 .63 4 GRM109 1738 1998 .61 .71 .78 .75 .68 .61 .79 .83 6 GRM120 1415 1858 .58 .70 .59 9 GRM127 1612 1822 .65 10 GRM128 1842 1998 .44 .42 .53 .58 .67 .64 12 GRM132 1780 1998 .47 .69 .68 .52 .39B .46 .65 .74 14 GRM135 1738 1998 .58 .59 .69 .71 .61 .53 .71 .79 15 GRM136 1731 1998 .59 .84 .87 .75 .67 .62 .69 .75 16 GRM139 1834 1998 .66 .62 .71 .66 .54 .62 19 GRM209A 1242 1861 .74 .79 .70 20 GRM210 1678 1998 .49 .66 .66 .74 .73 .67 .75 .76 21 GRM212 1655 1872 .65 .77 .80 22 GRM214A 1440 1848 .71 .73 23 GRM214B 1488 1998 .64 .74 .78 .69 .56 .41 .46 .56 25 GRM306A 1293 1859 .57 .74 .60 27 GRM309 1675 1998 .54 .55 .70 .76 .75 .67 .63 .79 28 GRM313 1774 1998 .45 .72 .64 .58 .31B .36 .52 .61 29 GRM315A 1518 1874 .58 .61 .40 30 GRM315E 1494 1998 .68 .64 .52 .60 .48 .44 .65 .60 58 GRM506 1899 1999 .42 .45 .60 .68 59 GRM507 1688 1999 .67 .62 .67 .73 .69 .55 .66 .82 60 GRM508 1643 1999 .54 .65 .70 .72 .69 .59 .41 .54 61 GRM509 1701 1999 .33A .37 .57 .74 .72 .70 .76 .79 62 GRM604 1774 1999 .63 .69 .71 .55 .41 .37 .51 .61 63 GRM608 1887 1999 .45 .49 .65 .68 64 GRM610 1730 1999 .41 .52 .57 .71 .65 .61 .57 .48 65 GRM702 1915 1999 .50 .57 .69 66 GRM705 1804 1999 .70 .40 .29B .66 .64 .75 .77 67 GRM707 1780 1999 .67 .66 .69 .72 .77 .68 .70 .75 68 GRM708 1735 1999 .67 .84 .78 .69 .66 .66 .73 .73 69 GRM709 1669 1999 .68 .73 .61 .62 .76 .71 .70 .78 70 GRM710 1868 1999 .70 .66 .50 .52 .53 71 GRM711 1865 1999 .60 .63 .54 .70 .73 Av segment correlation .59 .67 .65 .65 .61 .56 .63 .69 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Grass Mountain #1 11:59 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 14 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 GRM101 1368 1523 156 6 3 .423 .87 1.86 .391 .933 .143 2.58 .365 .015 1 2 GRM107 1084 1493 410 16 0 .608 .47 1.68 .292 .871 .246 2.65 .349 -.004 1 3 GRM108 1730 1998 269 10 0 .578 .84 1.61 .315 .828 .173 2.65 .395 -.031 1 4 GRM109 1738 1998 261 10 1 .664 1.00 2.26 .427 .884 .166 2.63 .363 -.046 1 5 GRM110 1181 1350 170 7 0 .574 .47 .94 .202 .866 .164 2.68 .407 -.017 2 6 GRM120 1415 1858 444 18 1 .578 .50 1.03 .163 .714 .199 2.63 .395 -.028 2 7 GRM124 1429 1783 355 14 0 .717 .42 1.02 .199 .849 .195 2.56 .292 -.015 1 8 GRM126 1125 1335 211 8 0 .549 .56 1.53 .337 .912 .187 2.49 .343 -.014 1 9 GRM127 1612 1822 211 8 0 .648 .34 .70 .114 .679 .201 2.67 .462 .031 1 10 GRM128 1842 1998 157 6 0 .559 .75 1.57 .334 .859 .201 2.53 .389 -.013 1 11 GRM130 1111 1393 283 11 0 .636 .51 1.62 .294 .875 .210 2.48 .341 -.020 1 12 GRM132 1780 1998 219 8 1 .577 .79 1.83 .388 .853 .195 2.66 .357 -.047 1 13 GRM134 1163 1533 371 15 0 .632 .59 1.58 .387 .938 .190 2.53 .302 .019 1 14 GRM135 1738 1998 261 10 0 .624 1.22 2.09 .398 .786 .177 2.55 .341 -.015 1 15 GRM136 1731 1998 268 10 1 .668 .96 2.24 .397 .826 .172 2.57 .374 -.068 1 16 GRM139 1834 1998 165 6 0 .608 1.09 2.50 .420 .803 .183 2.71 .433 -.080 1 17 GRM144 1315 1713 399 16 0 .687 .30 .74 .123 .800 .204 2.65 .293 -.044 1 18 GRM200 1454 1655 202 8 0 .661 .41 .84 .138 .758 .196 2.86 .460 .003 1 19 GRM209A 1242 1861 620 25 2 .658 .39 .82 .152 .838 .187 2.49 .273 -.009 1 20 GRM210 1678 1998 321 12 0 .625 .83 2.35 .417 .890 .185 2.65 .386 -.036 1 21 GRM212 1655 1872 218 8 0 .594 .95 1.71 .288 .794 .167 2.70 .386 .001 2 22 GRM214A 1440 1848 409 16 0 .625 .31 .70 .100 .697 .208 2.71 .350 -.006 1 23 GRM214B 1488 1998 511 20 0 .611 .47 1.96 .211 .803 .195 2.55 .253 -.012 1 24 GRM218 1077 1407 331 13 1 .564 .54 1.33 .263 .828 .225 2.54 .282 -.020 1 25 GRM306A 1293 1859 567 23 0 .588 .34 .89 .131 .713 .224 2.59 .330 -.028 3 26 GRM306B 1288 1733 446 18 0 .642 .30 .67 .099 .747 .184 2.87 .344 -.018 1 27 GRM309 1675 1998 324 12 0 .619 .69 1.41 .239 .834 .157 2.50 .326 .001 1 28 GRM313 1774 1998 225 9 1 .512 .50 1.80 .212 .818 .194 2.47 .320 -.025 2 29 GRM315A 1518 1874 357 14 0 .591 .51 1.09 .178 .720 .201 2.71 .438 -.015 2 30 GRM315E 1494 1998 505 20 0 .620 .62 2.80 .414 .921 .184 2.74 .363 -.019 6 31 GRM401F 1580 1675 96 4 0 .663 .61 1.07 .201 .749 .185 2.76 .560 -.025 1 32 GRM404A 1418 1509 92 4 0 .704 .36 .64 .113 .556 .246 2.42 .449 -.049 1 33 GRM404B 1419 1510 92 4 0 .754 .39 .73 .120 .643 .231 2.58 .507 -.067 1 34 GRM404C 1173 1494 322 13 0 .635 .68 1.75 .290 .797 .222 2.55 .344 .011 1 35 GRM409A 1263 1531 269 11 0 .585 .41 1.01 .193 .922 .151 2.50 .342 .001 1 36 GRM409B 1397 1513 117 5 0 .755 .41 .63 .094 .567 .171 2.49 .423 -.065 1 37 GRM413A 1141 1305 165 7 0 .584 .53 1.14 .240 .836 .195 2.53 .374 -.018 2 38 GRM415C 1617 1787 171 7 0 .557 .42 1.13 .185 .818 .209 2.72 .410 .000 1 39 GRM417A 1027 1482 456 18 1 .514 .36 1.44 .164 .852 .175 2.68 .317 -.022 1 40 GRM417B 1274 1491 218 9 0 .544 .50 .88 .121 .624 .168 2.54 .365 -.005 1 41 GRM417C 1096 1535 440 18 3 .528 .30 .95 .132 .759 .233 2.62 .311 -.030 1 42 GRM419A 1198 1422 225 9 0 .645 .32 .56 .119 .845 .169 2.47 .307 .007 1 43 GRM419B 1152 1385 234 9 1 .468 .45 1.01 .157 .767 .177 2.57 .345 -.019 1 44 GRM424A 1263 1419 157 6 2 .499 1.09 2.06 .360 .777 .172 2.59 .379 .002 2 45 GRM424B 1262 1449 188 7 0 .477 1.00 2.43 .428 .863 .168 2.59 .334 -.026 1 46 GRM426A 1300 1408 109 4 0 .480 .80 1.65 .305 .806 .187 2.63 .469 .012 1 47 GRM426B 1144 1361 218 9 0 .630 .39 .99 .201 .916 .168 2.48 .341 -.012 2 48 GRM428A 798 974 177 7 0 .600 .50 .79 .114 .792 .114 2.46 .355 -.041 2 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Grass Mountain #1 11:59 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 15 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 GRM428B 775 1049 275 10 0 .641 .44 .74 .130 .841 .137 2.55 .407 .010 2 50 GRM430C 1399 1598 200 8 0 .515 .43 .94 .166 .857 .159 2.65 .461 -.008 1 51 GRM432A 1096 1337 242 10 0 .654 .45 1.06 .148 .740 .189 2.64 .397 -.057 1 52 GRM432B 1149 1413 265 11 1 .607 .46 1.55 .248 .848 .228 2.46 .294 -.018 1 53 GRM434A 1300 1401 102 4 0 .659 .80 1.53 .261 .747 .198 2.60 .453 .001 1 54 GRM434B 1154 1394 241 9 0 .647 .86 3.06 .591 .942 .182 2.74 .430 .038 1 55 GRM434C 1216 1412 197 8 0 .592 .75 1.89 .365 .860 .205 2.59 .321 -.064 2 56 GRM436 1304 1380 77 3 0 .711 .62 1.24 .237 .811 .193 2.69 .485 -.050 1 57 GRM437B 1435 1607 173 7 0 .573 .45 1.45 .237 .910 .168 2.71 .410 -.026 1 58 GRM506 1899 1999 101 4 0 .594 1.06 2.20 .410 .842 .173 2.66 .470 -.025 1 59 GRM507 1688 1999 312 12 0 .629 .60 1.84 .196 .705 .186 2.65 .362 -.013 1 60 GRM508 1643 1999 357 14 0 .569 .43 .96 .148 .757 .196 2.68 .419 .018 1 61 GRM509 1701 1999 299 11 1 .564 .66 1.57 .249 .755 .210 2.61 .313 -.013 1 62 GRM604 1774 1999 226 9 0 .564 .73 1.39 .239 .774 .178 2.53 .365 -.039 1 63 GRM608 1887 1999 113 4 0 .588 .46 .91 .156 .807 .168 2.55 .387 -.066 1 64 GRM610 1730 1999 270 10 0 .510 .69 2.04 .376 .823 .214 2.61 .346 .036 1 65 GRM702 1915 1999 85 3 0 .576 1.30 2.60 .391 .763 .159 2.71 .536 .024 1 66 GRM705 1804 1999 196 7 1 .593 .69 1.83 .278 .865 .170 2.38 .290 -.044 1 67 GRM707 1780 1999 220 8 0 .701 .83 1.83 .272 .624 .212 2.62 .315 -.020 1 68 GRM708 1735 1999 265 10 1 .659 .85 1.94 .323 .808 .174 2.67 .393 -.006 1 69 GRM709 1669 1999 331 13 1 .632 .51 1.56 .263 .850 .211 2.58 .340 -.019 1 70 GRM710 1868 1999 132 5 0 .557 1.07 2.40 .427 .765 .207 2.46 .359 -.027 1 71 GRM711 1865 1999 135 5 0 .647 1.22 2.06 .373 .711 .185 2.54 .377 -.052 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 18206 713 23 .604 .58 3.06 .244 .807 .191 2.87 .357 -.017