Going to the Sun Road, Montana - MT159 Additional Site Information Gregory T. Pederson Jeremy S. Littell COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT159.CRN Measurement file name : MT159.RWL Date checked : 21AUG19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1337 Ending year : 2002 Principal investigators: Gregory T. Pederson Jeremy S. Littell Site name : Going to the Sun Road Site location : Montana Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4842 Longitude : -11331 Elevation : 1860M Series intercorrelation: 0.631 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.214 Avg standard deviation : 0.227 Avg autocorrelation : 0.757 Number dated series : 22 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 6 Pct problem segments : 2.07 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Going to the Sun Road 12:00 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 GTS001A 1337 2002 .65 .53 .71 .45 .43 .73 .80 .67 .72 .85 .78 .75 .68 .52 .59 .82 .72 .62 .61 .74 2 GTS001B 1452 2002 .75 .67 .63 .64 .62 .67 .72 .18B .25A .79 .82 .77 .72 .64 .66 .73 .62 .60 .71 .81 3 GTS002A 1664 2002 .76 .81 .66 .64 .62 .62 .70 .76 .76 .60 .55 .70 4 GTS002B 1901 2002 .67 .70 5 GTS003A 1720 2002 .37 .43 .60 .52 .63 .63 .57 .57 .63 .70 6 GTS003B 1750 2002 .47 .65 .58 .53 .55 .44 .48 .64 7 GTS004A 1670 2002 .74 .74 .67 .77 .79 .70 .71 .73 .65 .59 .66 .70 8 GTS004B 1733 2002 .44 .60 .69 .66 .62 .52 .48 .55 .65 9 GTS006A 1700 2002 .63 .57 .73 .73 .71 .76 .66 .57 .70 .59 10 GTS006B 1680 2002 .47 .56 .53 .55 .77 .72 .67 .70 .64 .54 .54 11 GTS007A 1590 2002 .75 .77 .75 .78 .78 .70 .63 .63 .73 .61 .58 .58 .58 .72 .68 12 GTS007B 1632 2002 .65 .62 .68 .67 .56 .60 .74 .66 .71 .71 .70 .68 .66 13 GTS008A 1750 2002 .61 .52 .63 .74 .70 .70 .65 .63 14 GTS008B 1657 1947 .32A .49 .57 .63 .63 .58 .64 .76 .67 .58 .51 15 GTS009A 1790 2002 .61 .59 .51 .53 .68 .72 .60 16 GTS010Ax 1517 2001 .51 .49 .56 .65 .76 .72 .68 .71 .64 .70 .71 .73 .75 .68 .63 .69 .66 .64 17 GTS010Bx 1491 2001 .67 .55 .47 .52 .70 .75 .70 .57 .67 .76 .79 .79 .73 .74 .69 .55 .55 .79 .77 18 GTS011A 1610 1770 .42 .41 .62 .81 .71 .42 19 GTS011B 1620 2000 .68 .69 .75 .85 .74 .62 .68 .69 .71 .72 .68 .39 .40 .71 20 GTS012A 1588 1881 .31A .43 .64 .68 .68 .63 .45 .48 .44 .37 .31A .39 21 GTS012A 1889 2002 .57 .63 .78 22 GTS013B 1653 2002 .78 .73 .56 .38 .30A .43 .63 .63 .62 .67 .75 .78 Av segment correlation .70 .62 .60 .51 .53 .64 .67 .60 .64 .72 .65 .59 .62 .63 .65 .66 .62 .59 .63 .69 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Going to the Sun Road 12:00 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1950 1975 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 GTS001A 1337 2002 .80 .80 2 GTS001B 1452 2002 .88 .87 3 GTS002A 1664 2002 .70 .69 4 GTS002B 1901 2002 .64 .60 5 GTS003A 1720 2002 .67 .68 6 GTS003B 1750 2002 .67 .68 7 GTS004A 1670 2002 .61 .59 8 GTS004B 1733 2002 .70 .67 9 GTS006A 1700 2002 .56 .54 10 GTS006B 1680 2002 .57 .58 11 GTS007A 1590 2002 .65 .64 12 GTS007B 1632 2002 .70 .70 13 GTS008A 1750 2002 .62 .62 15 GTS009A 1790 2002 .54 .56 16 GTS010Ax 1517 2001 .72 .68 17 GTS010Bx 1491 2001 .67 .65 19 GTS011B 1620 2000 .77 .75 21 GTS012A 1889 2002 .79 .80 22 GTS013B 1653 2002 .74 .73 Av segment correlation .68 .67 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Going to the Sun Road 12:00 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 GTS001A 1337 2002 666 22 0 .659 .40 1.24 .168 .693 .243 2.82 .359 -.026 1 2 GTS001B 1452 2002 551 22 2 .661 .52 1.57 .204 .588 .260 2.86 .334 -.012 1 3 GTS002A 1664 2002 339 14 0 .686 .39 .89 .130 .764 .181 2.67 .393 -.005 2 4 GTS002B 1901 2002 102 4 0 .634 .62 1.72 .281 .679 .225 2.72 .435 -.009 1 5 GTS003A 1720 2002 283 12 0 .571 .73 1.78 .357 .861 .194 2.83 .334 .015 1 6 GTS003B 1750 2002 253 10 0 .554 .64 2.53 .450 .864 .218 2.80 .399 -.005 1 7 GTS004A 1670 2002 333 14 0 .689 .33 .59 .090 .616 .188 2.78 .371 -.022 1 8 GTS004B 1733 2002 270 11 0 .579 .33 .63 .088 .666 .165 2.66 .437 .022 8 9 GTS006A 1700 2002 303 12 0 .659 .60 1.98 .409 .925 .201 2.87 .446 -.016 1 10 GTS006B 1680 2002 323 13 0 .590 .65 2.07 .373 .864 .211 2.63 .332 .018 1 11 GTS007A 1590 2002 413 17 0 .668 .40 .77 .102 .582 .184 2.69 .366 -.012 1 12 GTS007B 1632 2002 371 15 0 .663 .38 .70 .111 .717 .176 2.54 .351 -.013 2 13 GTS008A 1750 2002 253 10 0 .637 .56 5.33 .628 .888 .227 2.92 .444 .027 2 14 GTS008B 1657 1947 291 11 1 .533 .50 2.49 .360 .833 .248 2.86 .420 -.025 2 15 GTS009A 1790 2002 213 9 0 .581 .63 1.95 .316 .864 .191 2.70 .403 .014 1 16 GTS010Ax 1517 2001 485 20 0 .655 .46 1.32 .203 .806 .191 2.97 .349 -.006 1 17 GTS010Bx 1491 2001 511 21 0 .669 .52 2.15 .264 .846 .191 2.74 .374 -.011 1 18 GTS011A 1610 1770 161 6 0 .552 .30 .72 .128 .569 .286 2.69 .369 -.013 1 19 GTS011B 1620 2000 381 16 0 .681 .25 .65 .106 .776 .216 2.82 .391 -.002 1 20 GTS012A 1588 1881 294 12 2 .480 .35 1.11 .163 .769 .252 2.91 .416 -.048 1 21 GTS012A 1889 2002 114 5 0 .691 .41 1.02 .191 .750 .239 2.78 .517 -.001 2 22 GTS013B 1653 2002 350 14 1 .624 .30 1.10 .163 .843 .239 2.62 .317 -.013 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7260 290 6 .631 .46 5.33 .227 .757 .214 2.97 .378 -.008