McDonald Lake, Montana - MT167 Additional Site Information Gregory T. Pederson Justin Martin Dave McWethy COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT167.CRN Measurement file name : MT167.RWL Date checked : 21AUG19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1568 Ending year : 2014 Principal investigators: Gregory T. Pederson Justin Martin Dave McWethy Site name : McDonald Lake Site location : Montana Species information : PIPO PONDEROSA PINE Latitude : 4725 Longitude : -11359 Elevation : 1500M Series intercorrelation: 0.587 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.324 Avg standard deviation : 0.669 Avg autocorrelation : 0.762 Number dated series : 31 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 8 Pct problem segments : 2.56 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: McDonald Lake 12:06 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 mcd07a 1810 2014 .66 .66 .72 .76 .80 .79 .73 .76 2 mcd07b 1836 2014 .70 .63 .60 .78 .81 .67 .71 3 mcd10a 1791 2014 .55 .55 .70 .76 .74 .66 .65 .57 .49 4 mcd10b 1798 2014 .49 .48 .65 .78 .78 .70 .63 .56 .59 5 mcd09a 1825 2014 .54 .50 .58 .66 .64 .56 .44 6 mcd01a 1771 2013 .45 .46 .67 .60 .56 .55 .65 .67 .68 .70 7 mcd01b 1753 2013 .41 .72 .65 .57 .62 .59 .62 .57 .51 .71 8 mcd11b 1739 2014 .29A .36 .66 .59 .52 .60 .63 .67 .66 .42 .45 9 mcd11a 1791 2014 .47 .48 .31A .44 .54 .63 .60 .57 .51 10 mcd06b 1791 2014 .60 .54 .45 .62 .69 .78 .79 .63 .61 11 mcd02a 1711 2013 .66 .75 .70 .72 .68 .58 .61 .58 .63 .70 .55 .50 12 mcd02b 1613 1950 .39 .20B .69 .70 .60 .60 .50 .44 .51 .53 .41 .44 .55 .54 13 mcd04b 1603 1850 .68 .63 .72 .62 .61 .64 .67 .65 .59 .58 14 mcd04a 1568 1880 .82 .75 .62 .66 .68 .58 .68 .69 .50 .51 .47 .49 15 mcd12a 1587 1935 .79 .74 .61 .79 .76 .59 .63 .68 .56 .56 .67 .57 .34 .40 16 mcd08a 1743 2014 .64 .55 .54 .56 .61 .73 .76 .74 .77 .66 .67 17 mcd08b 1665 2014 .57 .66 .65 .69 .66 .66 .60 .53 .51 .52 .66 .68 .52 .50 18 mcd06a 1764 2014 .51 .59 .66 .56 .64 .64 .79 .84 .71 .51 19 mcd16b 1701 2014 .75 .65 .44 .38 .60 .50 .50 .54 .47 .54 .53 .40 20 mcd22b 1808 2014 .47 .30A .34 .63 .50 .43 .45 .33 21 mcd13a 1729 1917 .52 .61 .60 .56 .46 .63 .66 22 mcd21b 1901 2014 .47 .48 .51 .54 23 mcd12b 1593 1901 .80 .73 .65 .84 .83 .74 .74 .74 .58 .48 .59 .50 .51 24 mcd24b 1724 1869 .53 .56 .49 .50 .60 .63 25 mcd19b 1725 2014 .42 .57 .41 .48 .56 .54 .59 .59 .58 .47 .50 26 mcd17b 1721 2014 .65 .59 .64 .59 .45 .48 .75 .71 .69 .65 .39 .29A 27 mcd18b 1696 1913 .48 .56 .71 .74 .57 .56 .71 .74 .60 28 mcd24a 1745 2014 .57 .59 .70 .71 .55 .50 .64 .53 .49 .49 .55 29 mcd23b 1678 2014 .48 .40 .55 .81 .75 .52 .44 .48 .62 .80 .73 .63 .63 30 mcd15a 1662 2014 .44 .58 .46B .44 .51 .55 .44 .40 .49 .48 .43 .47B .40 .28A 31 mcd17a 1841 2014 .52 .69 .55 .60 .67 .52 .46 Av segment correlation .81 .66 .54 .67 .64 .60 .59 .59 .57 .56 .55 .58 .60 .63 .64 .55 .53 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: McDonald Lake 12:06 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 mcd07a 1810 2014 205 8 0 .713 1.67 4.36 .939 .799 .314 2.53 .419 -.024 1 2 mcd07b 1836 2014 179 7 0 .693 1.93 5.11 .999 .699 .326 2.71 .452 -.042 2 3 mcd10a 1791 2014 224 9 0 .621 1.54 5.34 1.148 .929 .256 2.53 .344 -.005 1 4 mcd10b 1798 2014 217 9 0 .640 1.49 5.12 1.101 .926 .244 2.64 .482 .034 2 5 mcd09a 1825 2014 190 7 0 .554 1.49 4.19 .656 .738 .256 2.64 .349 .005 1 6 mcd01a 1771 2013 243 10 0 .571 1.38 4.25 .837 .854 .278 2.60 .387 -.011 1 7 mcd01b 1753 2013 261 10 0 .571 1.45 4.05 .901 .869 .280 2.54 .336 .006 1 8 mcd11b 1739 2014 276 11 1 .527 1.24 2.85 .605 .849 .240 2.50 .344 -.020 2 9 mcd11a 1791 2014 224 9 1 .503 1.38 3.73 .581 .717 .251 2.66 .327 -.001 1 10 mcd06b 1791 2014 224 9 0 .637 .67 1.77 .348 .651 .345 2.53 .375 -.011 2 11 mcd02a 1711 2013 303 12 0 .642 .75 2.54 .368 .715 .285 2.56 .287 -.020 1 12 mcd02b 1613 1950 338 14 1 .510 .79 2.51 .574 .857 .317 2.47 .277 -.024 1 13 mcd04b 1603 1850 248 10 0 .681 1.01 4.59 .646 .831 .284 2.56 .319 .007 1 14 mcd04a 1568 1880 313 12 0 .630 1.06 2.98 .642 .763 .384 2.65 .396 -.009 2 15 mcd12a 1587 1935 349 14 0 .660 .95 3.19 .670 .785 .417 2.55 .287 -.004 2 16 mcd08a 1743 2014 272 11 0 .661 1.18 3.70 .692 .728 .370 2.84 .440 -.014 1 17 mcd08b 1665 2014 350 14 0 .603 1.05 3.20 .640 .741 .391 2.72 .389 .013 4 18 mcd06a 1764 2014 251 10 0 .626 .77 1.84 .333 .504 .389 2.55 .346 -.005 1 19 mcd16b 1701 2014 314 12 0 .548 .86 2.08 .450 .824 .292 2.46 .295 -.005 2 20 mcd22b 1808 2014 207 8 1 .484 1.98 6.22 1.053 .735 .324 2.60 .397 -.008 1 21 mcd13a 1729 1917 189 7 0 .540 .95 3.44 .625 .826 .368 2.67 .471 -.002 2 22 mcd21b 1901 2014 114 4 0 .508 1.24 2.00 .337 .407 .231 2.63 .455 .098 1 23 mcd12b 1593 1901 309 13 0 .655 1.04 3.73 .763 .869 .298 2.37 .227 -.017 3 24 mcd24b 1724 1869 146 6 0 .575 1.20 3.49 .737 .770 .396 2.72 .447 .005 1 25 mcd19b 1725 2014 290 11 0 .499 1.06 2.71 .480 .730 .285 2.65 .360 -.036 2 26 mcd17b 1721 2014 294 12 1 .579 .67 1.57 .242 .432 .317 2.71 .416 -.002 1 27 mcd18b 1696 1913 218 9 0 .595 1.00 3.09 .591 .824 .318 2.53 .376 -.032 1 28 mcd24a 1745 2014 270 11 0 .556 1.00 3.47 .677 .563 .524 2.57 .293 -.028 1 29 mcd23b 1678 2014 337 13 0 .567 1.25 6.93 .967 .849 .361 2.52 .325 -.037 1 30 mcd15a 1662 2014 353 14 3 .467 1.36 3.84 .905 .888 .290 2.42 .265 .016 1 31 mcd17a 1841 2014 174 7 0 .591 .63 1.34 .283 .681 .298 2.47 .438 -.023 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7882 313 8 .587 1.13 6.93 .669 .762 .324 2.84 .354 -.008