Teton River Valley, Montana - MT175 Additional Site Information Gregory T. Pederson Lisa Graumlich Lindsey Waggoner COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MT175.CRN Measurement file name : MT175.RWL Date checked : 21AUG19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 783 Ending year : 2000 Principal investigators: Gregory T. Pederson Lisa Graumlich Lindsey Waggoner Site name : Teton River Valley Site location : Montana Species information : PIFL LIMBER PINE Latitude : 4755 Longitude : -11244 Elevation : 2040M Series intercorrelation: 0.558 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.233 Avg standard deviation : 0.240 Avg autocorrelation : 0.788 Number dated series : 73 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 51 Pct problem segments : 5.86 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Teton River Valley 12:11 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 1TRV001 1156 1401 .16B .37 .52 .51 .57 .69 .68 .61 .35 12 1TRV012A 1254 1912 .67 .82 .80 .58 .54 13 1TRV012B 1244 1794 .65 .62 .77 .81 .61 .59 14 1TRV012D 1226 1485 .70 .67 .81 .77 .69 .68 19 1TRV018A 1059 1368 .48 .67 .79 .73 .67 .73 .62 .56 .61 .59 .62 .64 20 1TRV018B 1065 1293 .28B .53 .68 .66 .73 .72 .73 .66 .50 21 1TRV019 1170 1438 .33 .29B .53 .65 .45B .26B .21B .45 .51 23 1TRV022A 1230 1615 .33 .31A .51 .59 .58 .56 24 1TRV023 900 1228 .31B .36B .45 .43 .32A .42 .35 .29A .57 .46 .37 .52 .47 40 1TRV069B 1258 1439 .53 .59 .77 .72 .46 41 1TRV069D 1260 1375 .72 .76 .80 .48 .44 42 1TRV071 1150 1330 .49 .47 .58 .68 .51 .75 .74 43 1TRV073 989 1303 .53 .47 .55 .42 .39 .56 .65 .70 .61 .74 .63 .48 .48 44 1TRV074 783 1339 .16B .18B .23B .50 .55 .53 .34 .25B .50 .65 .63 .77 .66 .54 .59 .65 .52 .45 46 1TRV103 1034 1184 .26B .38 .39 .59 .65 .63 51 1TRV106 1158 1571 .65 .63 .66 .50 .48 .57 .63 .74 .68 52 1TRV107 1103 1382 .34 .38 .60 .60 .60 .55 .28B .38 .48 .53 .63 56 1TRV114 1324 1811 .60 .58 .48 57 1TRV116 1012 1212 .23B .37 .35 .50 .64 .68 .71 .65 58 1TRV117A 1128 1295 .57 .49 .71 .71 .62 .40 59 1TRV117B 896 1270 .23B .29B .60 .64 .49 .28A .20B .30A .52 .68 .70 .60 .65 .68 .62 60 1TRV117B 1330 1465 .76 .70 62 1TRV117C 895 1229 .32A .32B .48 .51 .48 .51 .54 .51 .47 .61 .62 .43 .46 .46 70 1TRV123 1329 2000 .61 .50 72 1TRV123B 1327 1807 .66 .63 73 1TRV127 1187 1365 .28A .33 .64 .57 .82 .87 .60 Av segment correlation .23 .28 .42 .53 .50 .39 .38 .37 .47 .61 .61 .56 .56 .58 .59 .53 .62 .65 .61 .55 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Teton River Valley 12:11 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 1TRV001 1156 1401 .30B 2 1TRV002A 1780 2000 .19B .37 .57 .59 3 1TRV002B 1725 2000 .50 .31A .35 .47 .52 .43 4 1TRV005A 1671 1974 .69 .66 .72 .70 .53 .54 .57 .57 .61 5 1TRV005B 1634 2000 .42 .60 .50 .60 .69 .67 .59 .59 .56 .53 6 1TRV006A 1666 2000 .62 .65 .57 .50 .67 .56 .65 .82 .72 7 1TRV006B 1604 2000 .58 .61 .52 .62 .43 .28A .48 .60 .64 .64 .52 8 1TRV006C 1603 1988 .64 .59 .52 .52 .40 .47 .57 .58 .74 .75 .56 9 1TRV007 1786 1998 .52 .52 .59 .58 10 1TRV010A 1716 1869 .42 .49 .41 .34 .62 .65 11 1TRV011A 1663 2000 .45 .54 .56 .50 .64 .65 .65 .75 .69 12 1TRV012A 1254 1912 .62 .75 .72 .53 .51 .54 .63 .35 .23A .65 .51 .46 .58 .47 .48 .49 .47 .58 .56 .46 13 1TRV012B 1244 1794 .66 .67 .59 .51 .55 .58 .60 .28B .28A .66 .66 .67 .57 .48 .51 .57 14 1TRV012D 1226 1485 .61 .70 .70 .67 15 1TRV013B 1575 1779 .45 .58 .43 .64 .75 .63 .63 .64 16 1TRV016A 1640 1870 .58 .64 .57 .65 .66 .62 .61 .63 .43B 17 1TRV016B 1495 2000 .37 .42 .47 .41 .32A .35 .49 .60 .64 .72 .72 .69 .66 .67 .59 .42 18 1TRV017 1665 1871 .54 .50 .58 .58 .51 .52 .71 .68 21 1TRV019 1170 1438 .46 .33 22 1TRV020 1640 1772 .29B .46 .71 .74 .68 23 1TRV022A 1230 1615 .55 .55 .61 .47 .59 .66 .59 .50 .42 25 1TRV025x 1551 1771 .49 .45 .61 .50 .57 .60 .52 .51 26 1TRV032 1606 1754 .58 .49 .40 .48 .57 .55 27 1TRV051 1692 1949 .45 .52 .52 .52 .52 .37 .40 .38 28 1TRV053A 1539 2000 .50 .46 .58 .75 .64 .63 .68 .71 .71 .61 .66 .55 .43 .43 29 1TRV054A 1585 1989 .64 .75 .48 .42 .71 .70 .54 .56 .56 .41 .51 .67 30 1TRV054B 1589 2000 .38 .39 .34 .53 .70 .66 .58 .63 .55 .53 .65 .57 31 1TRV055 1650 1837 .33A .49 .40 .41 .54 .47 .51 32 1TRV056A 1809 2000 .33 .43 .48 33 1TRV057A 1775 1960 .39 .37 .54 .62 34 1TRV063A 1573 1997 .68 .68 .65 .69 .70 .72 .70 .68 .60 .58 .73 .64 .42 35 1TRV065B 1572 1752 .47 .47 .61 .53 .60 .64 .62 .59 36 1TRV066A 1475 1875 .57 .66 .49 .45 .55 .60 .67 .64 .61 .65 .55 .50 .56 .67 .47 .47 37 1TRV066B 1595 1998 .60 .65 .71 .69 .69 .70 .61 .57 .62 .67 .53 .35 38 1TRV067A 1695 2000 .68 .67 .59 .52 .56 .56 .52 .28B 39 1TRV069A 1585 1734 .45 .66 .71 .74 .75 .74 40 1TRV069B 1258 1439 .46 .49 45 1TRV101A 1747 1992 .45 .51 .61 .71 .63 .51 47 1TRV104A 1583 1955 .51 .49 .61 .71 .70 .70 .60 .49 .52 .71 .73 .62 48 1TRV104B 1803 2000 .75 .76 .54 49 1TRV104C 1688 2000 .78 .67 .67 .65 .61 .67 .44 .42 50 1TRV105 1830 2000 .49 .54 51 1TRV106 1158 1571 .59 .42 .49 .56 .63 .69 .42 53 1TRV112A 1457 1775 .49 .55 .62 .56 .56 .21A .56 .68 .59 .67 .59 .52 .51 54 1TRV112B 1490 1611 .57 .62 .52 .44 .54 55 1TRV113A 1680 1846 .69 .60 .42 .35 .44 .57 56 1TRV114 1324 1811 .48 .62 .61 .43 .50 .51 .21A .07B .43 .70 .58 .60 .61 .59 .73 .79 .73 60 1TRV117B 1330 1465 .67 .58 .47 61 1TRV117B 1560 1741 .45 .49 .52 .61 .67 .64 .68 63 1TRV118B 1544 1955 .36 .44 .34 .43 .53 .63 .67 .62 .73 .62 .59 .76 .69 .60 64 1TRV119 1684 1895 .74 .72 .51 .50 .54 .48 .61 .42 65 1TRV120A 1495 1842 .48 .56 .69 .62 .55 .62 .66 .73 .74 .67 .69 .70 .65 .52 66 1TRV120B 1520 1858 .53 .61 .59 .65 .74 .70 .71 .68 .72 .74 .77 .62 .69 .62 67 1TRV120C 1473 2000 .23B .27A .44 .65 .56 .59 .71 .70 .69 .70 .72 .69 .65 .56 .69 .79 .48 68 1TRV121A 1670 1925 .50 .54 .67 .71 .75 .59 .53 .65 .39 69 1TRV122 1696 2000 .32A .43 .56 .50 .55 .71 .75 .53 70 1TRV123 1329 2000 .55 .62 .55 .52 .60 .60 .50 .46 .53 .69 .67 .62 .61 .66 .66 .51 .59 .56 .54 .29A 71 1TRV123A 1580 1849 .45 .53 .58 .52 .63 .77 .63 .58 .54 .57 72 1TRV123B 1327 1807 .64 .70 .70 .57 .52 .59 .62 .56 .63 .70 .76 .80 .73 .76 .80 .78 .75 Av segment correlation .55 .59 .60 .50 .52 .57 .53 .46 .48 .61 .58 .60 .63 .62 .59 .58 .55 .59 .60 .50 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Teton River Valley 12:11 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 2 1TRV002A 1780 2000 .75 .83 .80 .68 .68 3 1TRV002B 1725 2000 .52 .68 .66 .58 .58 4 1TRV005A 1671 1974 .61 .71 .75 5 1TRV005B 1634 2000 .67 .70 .67 .48 .47 6 1TRV006A 1666 2000 .71 .75 .71 .65 .65 7 1TRV006B 1604 2000 .58 .72 .57 .51 .51 8 1TRV006C 1603 1988 .63 .73 .67 .72 9 1TRV007 1786 1998 .41 .37 .57 .65 11 1TRV011A 1663 2000 .69 .65 .66 .73 .73 12 1TRV012A 1254 1912 .53 17 1TRV016B 1495 2000 .51 .63 .51 .35 .38 27 1TRV051 1692 1949 .41 .42 28 1TRV053A 1539 2000 .60 .71 .70 .56 .56 29 1TRV054A 1585 1989 .56 .51 .68 .75 30 1TRV054B 1589 2000 .52 .53 .50 .51 .51 32 1TRV056A 1809 2000 .60 .63 .44 .52 .51 33 1TRV057A 1775 1960 .72 .55 .51 34 1TRV063A 1573 1997 .56 .64 .36B .37 37 1TRV066B 1595 1998 .50 .68 .65 .48 38 1TRV067A 1695 2000 .43 .59 .48 .41 .41 45 1TRV101A 1747 1992 .65 .61 .59 .36 47 1TRV104A 1583 1955 .63 .33A .30A 48 1TRV104B 1803 2000 .45 .46 .43 .57 .56 49 1TRV104C 1688 2000 .69 .73 .54 .48 .45 50 1TRV105 1830 2000 .73 .77 .62 .41 .41 63 1TRV118B 1544 1955 .64 .46 .49 67 1TRV120C 1473 2000 .51 .68 .62 .52 .54 68 1TRV121A 1670 1925 .42B .34B 69 1TRV122 1696 2000 .54 .57 .53 .54 .55 70 1TRV123 1329 2000 .25A .51 .67 .55 .55 Av segment correlation .57 .60 .58 .54 .53 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Teton River Valley 12:11 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 16 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 1TRV001 1156 1401 246 10 2 .490 .66 1.51 .287 .747 .233 2.53 .367 -.046 1 2 1TRV002A 1780 2000 221 9 1 .589 .47 1.10 .219 .745 .276 2.56 .387 .004 2 3 1TRV002B 1725 2000 276 11 1 .518 .81 2.04 .344 .748 .250 2.68 .406 .021 1 4 1TRV005A 1671 1974 304 12 0 .636 .31 .74 .120 .695 .256 2.62 .358 -.012 1 5 1TRV005B 1634 2000 367 15 0 .556 .35 .88 .149 .766 .244 2.57 .352 -.019 1 6 1TRV006A 1666 2000 335 14 0 .659 .49 .95 .178 .724 .214 2.55 .393 .053 1 7 1TRV006B 1604 2000 397 16 1 .560 .52 1.09 .199 .754 .219 2.54 .333 .060 1 8 1TRV006C 1603 1988 386 15 0 .605 .54 1.09 .187 .719 .216 2.60 .338 -.015 1 9 1TRV007 1786 1998 213 8 0 .530 .60 2.51 .464 .890 .248 2.93 .525 .030 2 10 1TRV010A 1716 1869 154 6 0 .491 .68 1.13 .212 .656 .209 2.53 .361 -.047 1 11 1TRV011A 1663 2000 338 14 0 .623 .56 1.56 .331 .897 .194 2.62 .321 -.029 1 12 1TRV012A 1254 1912 659 26 1 .569 .35 1.22 .173 .840 .211 2.50 .300 -.018 1 13 1TRV012B 1244 1794 551 22 2 .593 .33 .81 .140 .763 .239 2.47 .231 -.019 1 14 1TRV012D 1226 1485 260 10 0 .695 .34 .91 .186 .835 .251 2.44 .288 -.036 1 15 1TRV013B 1575 1779 205 8 0 .579 .34 .71 .118 .694 .221 2.61 .370 -.062 1 16 1TRV016A 1640 1870 231 9 1 .583 .27 .53 .101 .725 .238 2.59 .399 -.055 1 17 1TRV016B 1495 2000 506 21 1 .524 .17 .57 .099 .887 .217 2.68 .358 -.014 1 18 1TRV017 1665 1871 207 8 0 .555 .51 1.42 .292 .892 .205 2.45 .284 -.042 1 19 1TRV018A 1059 1368 310 12 0 .620 .53 1.42 .297 .885 .211 2.58 .363 .015 2 20 1TRV018B 1065 1293 229 9 1 .599 .58 2.65 .379 .850 .232 2.67 .383 .003 2 21 1TRV019 1170 1438 269 11 4 .402 .18 .46 .069 .705 .226 2.81 .447 -.063 1 22 1TRV020 1640 1772 133 5 1 .578 .69 1.36 .278 .818 .200 2.61 .394 -.014 1 23 1TRV022A 1230 1615 386 15 1 .515 .36 .90 .152 .714 .245 2.59 .325 -.011 2 24 1TRV023 900 1228 329 13 4 .395 .37 2.05 .344 .939 .225 2.73 .456 -.009 1 25 1TRV025x 1551 1771 221 8 0 .528 .50 1.22 .191 .611 .252 2.75 .443 .001 1 26 1TRV032 1606 1754 149 6 0 .509 .78 1.65 .310 .774 .219 2.54 .336 .004 1 27 1TRV051 1692 1949 258 10 0 .434 .38 1.28 .147 .784 .173 2.53 .398 -.037 1 28 1TRV053A 1539 2000 462 19 0 .603 .44 1.29 .197 .819 .217 2.66 .417 .010 3 29 1TRV054A 1585 1989 405 16 0 .586 .73 2.88 .366 .815 .242 2.72 .398 -.016 2 30 1TRV054B 1589 2000 412 17 0 .523 .92 4.74 .810 .933 .253 2.40 .213 -.022 1 31 1TRV055 1650 1837 188 7 1 .425 .58 2.05 .436 .938 .198 2.56 .328 -.091 1 32 1TRV056A 1809 2000 192 8 0 .468 .63 1.50 .234 .764 .200 2.56 .350 -.020 1 33 1TRV057A 1775 1960 186 7 0 .523 .81 1.89 .335 .800 .211 2.62 .433 -.005 1 34 1TRV063A 1573 1997 425 17 1 .608 .38 .83 .174 .748 .284 2.49 .300 -.002 1 35 1TRV065B 1572 1752 181 8 0 .570 .64 1.50 .284 .792 .213 2.75 .457 -.029 1 36 1TRV066A 1475 1875 401 16 0 .564 .34 1.15 .206 .870 .226 2.48 .262 -.019 1 37 1TRV066B 1595 1998 404 16 0 .593 .28 .67 .102 .737 .202 2.56 .418 -.034 1 38 1TRV067A 1695 2000 306 13 1 .514 .27 .58 .083 .564 .224 2.63 .312 .011 5 39 1TRV069A 1585 1734 150 6 0 .640 .40 1.57 .189 .664 .262 3.01 .486 .078 1 40 1TRV069B 1258 1439 182 7 0 .564 .38 .88 .146 .729 .240 2.56 .399 -.019 1 41 1TRV069D 1260 1375 116 5 0 .618 .38 1.15 .212 .872 .233 2.58 .381 -.037 1 42 1TRV071 1150 1330 181 7 0 .604 .67 1.27 .219 .711 .198 2.58 .385 .000 1 43 1TRV073 989 1303 315 13 0 .550 .73 2.19 .348 .781 .251 2.72 .454 -.009 1 44 1TRV074 783 1339 557 18 4 .485 .20 .58 .087 .651 .261 2.68 .352 -.012 2 45 1TRV101A 1747 1992 246 10 0 .532 .92 3.26 .589 .876 .229 2.82 .471 -.005 1 46 1TRV103 1034 1184 151 6 1 .466 1.00 2.15 .353 .592 .229 2.89 .469 -.070 1 47 1TRV104A 1583 1955 373 15 2 .556 .61 1.91 .297 .777 .250 2.54 .295 -.012 1 48 1TRV104B 1803 2000 198 8 0 .544 .57 1.42 .254 .684 .279 2.42 .343 -.045 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Teton River Valley 12:11 Wed 21 Aug 2019 Page 17 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 1TRV104C 1688 2000 313 13 0 .619 .46 1.18 .222 .820 .229 2.67 .430 -.029 1 50 1TRV105 1830 2000 171 7 0 .558 1.21 2.30 .357 .609 .215 2.77 .501 .056 1 51 1TRV106 1158 1571 414 16 0 .568 .60 2.23 .398 .870 .262 2.55 .332 -.006 1 52 1TRV107 1103 1382 280 11 1 .467 .42 .94 .184 .821 .208 2.77 .499 .045 1 53 1TRV112A 1457 1775 319 13 1 .555 .89 1.87 .305 .826 .161 2.65 .381 -.030 1 54 1TRV112B 1490 1611 122 5 0 .522 .64 1.04 .128 .499 .161 2.59 .411 -.031 2 55 1TRV113A 1680 1846 167 6 0 .560 .38 .72 .138 .554 .274 2.69 .446 -.011 1 56 1TRV114 1324 1811 488 20 2 .538 .42 1.18 .211 .739 .310 2.64 .408 -.013 1 57 1TRV116 1012 1212 201 8 1 .480 .31 1.46 .214 .909 .207 2.67 .458 -.034 1 58 1TRV117A 1128 1295 168 6 0 .585 .21 .53 .089 .763 .262 2.55 .388 -.021 1 59 1TRV117B 896 1270 375 15 5 .486 .27 .74 .146 .824 .262 2.72 .395 -.013 3 60 1TRV117B 1330 1465 136 5 0 .621 .27 1.13 .116 .428 .251 3.15 .484 .007 1 61 1TRV117B 1560 1741 182 7 0 .563 .23 .63 .079 .623 .232 2.57 .360 -.029 2 62 1TRV117C 895 1229 335 14 2 .486 .29 .75 .148 .806 .253 2.64 .384 -.025 1 63 1TRV118B 1544 1955 412 17 0 .560 .74 2.28 .456 .890 .249 2.49 .317 .001 1 64 1TRV119 1684 1895 212 8 0 .530 .71 2.31 .349 .814 .242 2.70 .359 -.053 1 65 1TRV120A 1495 1842 348 14 0 .615 .36 1.01 .199 .878 .228 2.47 .314 -.025 1 66 1TRV120B 1520 1858 339 14 0 .663 .25 .71 .126 .798 .282 2.47 .354 -.024 1 67 1TRV120C 1473 2000 528 22 2 .593 .39 1.78 .304 .919 .252 2.50 .255 -.008 1 68 1TRV121A 1670 1925 256 11 2 .554 .52 1.49 .262 .897 .166 2.64 .376 .015 1 69 1TRV122 1696 2000 305 13 1 .522 .51 2.61 .379 .920 .252 2.49 .299 -.018 1 70 1TRV123 1329 2000 672 27 2 .548 .38 1.65 .198 .828 .210 2.65 .313 -.011 1 71 1TRV123A 1580 1849 270 10 0 .574 .33 1.00 .164 .857 .185 2.62 .419 -.022 1 72 1TRV123B 1327 1807 481 19 0 .679 .86 1.91 .354 .816 .206 2.73 .470 -.041 1 73 1TRV127 1187 1365 179 7 1 .565 .46 1.12 .205 .528 .349 2.65 .369 -.029 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 21844 870 51 .558 .48 4.74 .240 .788 .233 3.15 .365 -.013