[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run SNA Program COF 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 24441 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: snake river File of DATED series: sna4.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1728 to 1998 271 years Continuous time span is 1728 to 1998 271 years Portion with two or more series is 1739 to 1998 260 years >> sna092 1840 absent in 2 of 19 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .200 >> sna091 1840 absent in 2 of 19 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .200 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 37 *C* *O* Master series 1728 1998 271 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5714 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5703 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .641 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .354 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* *** Mean length of series 154.4 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) sna101 1 absent rings: 1859 sna051 1 absent rings: 1965 sna021 1 absent rings: 1965 sna092 3 absent rings: 1840 1864 1874 sna112 2 absent rings: 1779 1943 sna301 2 absent rings: 1976 1989 sna014 1 absent rings: 1848 sna302 1 absent rings: 1989 snx031 2 absent rings: 1864 1976 sna091 3 absent rings: 1840 1864 1874 sna081 2 absent rings: 1876 1896 19 absent rings .333% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . sna341 1 1853 1998 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . sna102 2 1804 1998 195 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . sna101 3 1812 1998 187 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . sna131 4 1863 1998 136 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna211 5 1876 1998 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna051 6 1872 1998 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . sna221 7 1810 1998 189 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . sna231 8 1869 1995 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . sna111 9 1793 1968 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna122 10 1873 1998 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . sna241 11 1896 1998 103 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . sna021 12 1880 1998 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . sna161 13 1833 1998 166 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . sna311 14 1855 1998 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . sna321 15 1890 1998 109 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . sna092 16 1781 1998 218 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . sna222 17 1817 1998 182 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna232 18 1872 1998 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . . sna202 19 1857 1982 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna121 20 1874 1998 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . sna112 21 1752 1960 209 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . sna162 22 1840 1998 159 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . sna061 23 1855 1998 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . sna301 24 1870 1998 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================>. . sna014 25 1739 1998 260 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. . sna011 26 1728 1998 271 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . sna041 27 1888 1998 111 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==============> . . sna082 28 1817 1960 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================> . . sna201 29 1817 1985 169 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . sna302 30 1851 1998 148 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . . . snx171 31 1796 1897 102 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . . snx031 32 1853 1988 136 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . sna091 33 1819 1998 180 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . snx041 34 1815 1992 178 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . . . snx172 35 1796 1893 98 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===============> . . sna081 36 1817 1972 156 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . sna071 37 1792 1960 169 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 1.650 2 1800 .245 8 1850 -.157 19 1900 -.750 35 1950 -.009 35 1751 2.009 2 1801 .579 8 1851 .531 20 1901 -.773 35 1951 .954 35 1752 .855 3 1802 .609 8 1852 1.032 20 1902 -.281 35 1952 .940 35 1753 .246 3 1803 1.734 8 1853 .931 22 1903 1.865 35 1953 .471 35 1754 1.103 3 1804 -1.643 9 1854 1.173 22 1904 .825 35 1954 .239 35 1755 .462 3 1805 -1.377 9 1855 .354 24 1905 .466 35 1955 .235 35 1756 -.802 3 1806 -.511 9 1856 .465 24 1906 .698 35 1956 -1.426 35 1757 -.412 3 1807 .213 9 1857 -.294 25 1907 1.172 35 1957 .778 35 1758 -2.084 3 1808 -1.120 9 1858 .963 25 1908 .467 35 1958 .164 35 1759 -2.620 3 1809 -.261 9 1859 -1.056 25 1 1909 .741 35 1959 -2.670 35 1760 -1.246 3 1810 -.161 10 1860 -.355 25 1910 .367 35 1960 -.038 35 1761 .334 3 1811 .274 10 1861 -.299 25 1911 -1.233 35 1961 -1.832 32 1762 -1.083 3 1812 -.162 11 1862 -.069 25 1912 .087 35 1962 -.353 32 1763 .362 3 1813 1.925 11 1863 -.116 26 1913 .236 35 1963 .347 32 1764 .910 3 1814 1.022 11 1864 -2.625 26 3 1914 -.535 35 1964 .014 32 1765 1.695 3 1815 1.017 12 1865 -.703 26 1915 1.054 35 1965 -1.342 32 2 1766 1.451 3 1816 .953 12 1866 -.103 26 1916 .336 35 1966 .341 32 1767 .888 3 1817 -.344 16 1867 -.964 26 1917 -1.556 35 1967 .998 32 1768 .651 3 1818 .615 16 1868 -.158 26 1918 .370 35 1968 -.396 32 1769 -1.812 3 1819 -.365 17 1869 -.142 27 1919 -.744 35 1969 .485 31 1770 1.300 3 1820 -.298 17 1870 .156 28 1920 -.873 35 1970 .172 31 1771 .554 3 1821 .228 17 1871 1.484 28 1921 .051 35 1971 -.125 31 1772 .184 3 1822 -.740 17 1872 1.860 30 1922 1.221 35 1972 1.746 31 1773 -1.161 3 1823 -.503 17 1873 .469 31 1923 .428 35 1973 .685 30 1774 -.701 3 1824 -1.957 17 1874 -.526 32 2 1924 .460 35 1974 -.013 30 1775 -.475 3 1825 -.353 17 1875 .054 32 1925 -.112 35 1975 -.077 30 1776 .260 3 1826 -.817 17 1876 -1.314 33 1 1926 -2.877 35 1976 -1.521 30 2 1777 .170 3 1827 -.704 17 1877 -.232 33 1927 -.111 35 1977 .338 30 1728 1.844 1 1778 -.782 3 1828 .603 17 1878 .426 33 1928 .180 35 1978 .002 30 1729 1.000 1 1779 -2.274 3 1 1829 .174 17 1879 .336 33 1929 -.224 35 1979 -1.142 30 1730 -1.693 1 1780 -1.043 3 1830 1.059 17 1880 -1.743 34 1930 1.077 35 1980 .294 30 1731 -.766 1 1781 1.410 4 1831 -.623 17 1881 .677 34 1931 1.609 35 1981 -.411 30 1732 .095 1 1782 1.271 4 1832 -.087 17 1882 .190 34 1932 1.305 35 1982 1.524 30 1733 -.009 1 1783 .616 4 1833 1.760 18 1883 -.615 34 1933 .095 35 1983 .536 29 1734 -.776 1 1784 -.158 4 1834 1.700 18 1884 .226 34 1934 -2.057 35 1984 1.741 29 1735 -.703 1 1785 -1.464 4 1835 .011 18 1885 1.199 34 1935 .501 35 1985 -1.159 29 1736 -2.819 1 1786 -.111 4 1836 .808 18 1886 1.114 34 1936 -.730 35 1986 -.335 28 1737 1.003 1 1787 -.155 4 1837 .443 18 1887 .710 34 1937 -1.249 35 1987 .577 28 1738 .783 1 1788 .166 4 1838 .089 18 1888 1.150 35 1938 1.056 35 1988 .813 28 1739 -1.451 2 1789 -.222 4 1839 .818 18 1889 .450 35 1939 -1.186 35 1989 -2.538 27 2 1740 1.741 2 1790 -.286 4 1840 .200 19 2<< 1890 -.347 36 1940 -2.408 35 1990 .050 27 1741 .024 2 1791 -.132 4 1841 -1.499 19 1891 .472 36 1941 -.149 35 1991 .057 27 1742 .241 2 1792 1.105 5 1842 -.691 19 1892 .675 36 1942 .133 35 1992 .044 27 1743 -2.724 2 1793 .767 6 1843 -.631 19 1893 .017 36 1943 -.514 35 1 1993 .590 26 1744 .025 2 1794 .494 6 1844 1.124 19 1894 -.258 35 1944 .626 35 1994 -1.663 26 1745 -.879 2 1795 -.175 6 1845 -.241 19 1895 -2.192 35 1945 1.120 35 1995 .620 26 1746 .132 2 1796 .501 8 1846 -.009 19 1896 -1.772 36 1 1946 .254 35 1996 .139 25 1747 .398 2 1797 -.341 8 1847 -.253 19 1897 -.585 36 1947 1.179 35 1997 -.262 25 1748 1.451 2 1798 .295 8 1848 -2.487 19 1 1898 -.431 35 1948 .310 35 1998 1.079 25 1749 -.176 2 1799 .044 8 1849 -.544 19 1899 -1.303 35 1949 .880 35 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1750----------G 1800------A 1850----a 1900--c 1950----@ 1751----------H 1801-------B 1851-------B 1901--c 1951---------D 1752--------C 1802--------B 1852---------D 1902---a 1952---------D 1753------A 1803----------G 1853---------D 1903----------G 1953-------B 1754---------D 1804g 1854---------E 1904--------C 1954------A 1755-------B 1805-f 1855------A 1905-------B 1955------A 1756--c 1806--b 1856-------B 1906--------C 1956-f 1757---b 1807------A 1857---a 1907---------E 1957--------C 1758h 1808-d 1858---------D 1908-------B 1958-----A 1759j 1809---a 1859-d 1909--------C 1959k 1760-e 1810----a 1860---a 1910-------A 1960----@ 1761------A 1811------A 1861---a 1911-e 1961g 1762-d 1812----a 1862----@ 1912-----@ 1962---a 1763------A 1813----------H 1863----@ 1913------A 1963------A 1764---------D 1814---------D 1864k 1914--b 1964-----@ 1765----------G 1815---------D 1865--c 1915---------D 1965-e 1766----------F 1816---------D 1866----@ 1916------A 1966------A 1767---------D 1817---a 1867-d 1917-f 1967---------D 1768--------C 1818--------B 1868----a 1918-------A 1968---b 1769g 1819---a 1869----a 1919--c 1969-------B 1770---------E 1820---a 1870-----A 1920--c 1970-----A 1771-------B 1821------A 1871----------F 1921-----@ 1971----a 1772------A 1822--c 1872----------G 1922---------E 1972----------G 1773-e 1823--b 1873-------B 1923-------B 1973--------C 1774--c 1824h 1874--b 1924-------B 1974----@ 1775--b 1825---a 1875-----@ 1925----@ 1975----@ 1776------A 1826--c 1876-e 1926l 1976-f 1777-----A 1827--c 1877---a 1927----@ 1977------A 1728----------G 1778--c 1828--------B 1878-------B 1928------A 1978-----@ 1729---------D 1779i 1829-----A 1879------A 1929---a 1979-e 1730g 1780-d 1830---------D 1880g 1930---------D 1980------A 1731--c 1781----------F 1831--b 1881--------C 1931----------F 1981---b 1732-----@ 1782---------E 1832----@ 1882------A 1932---------E 1982----------F 1733----@ 1783--------B 1833----------G 1883--b 1933-----@ 1983-------B 1734--c 1784----a 1834----------G 1884------A 1934h 1984----------G 1735--c 1785-f 1835-----@ 1885---------E 1935-------B 1985-e 1736k 1786----@ 1836--------C 1886---------D 1936--c 1986---a 1737---------D 1787----a 1837-------B 1887--------C 1937-e 1987-------B 1738--------C 1788-----A 1838-----@ 1888---------E 1938---------D 1988--------C 1739-f 1789---a 1839--------C 1889-------B 1939-e 1989j 1740----------G 1790---a 1840------A 1890---a 1940j 1990-----@ 1741-----@ 1791----a 1841-f 1891-------B 1941----a 1991-----@ 1742------A 1792---------D 1842--c 1892--------C 1942-----A 1992-----@ 1743k 1793--------C 1843--c 1893-----@ 1943--b 1993--------B 1744-----@ 1794-------B 1844---------D 1894---a 1944--------C 1994g 1745-d 1795----a 1845---a 1895i 1945---------D 1995--------B 1746-----A 1796-------B 1846----@ 1896g 1946------A 1996-----A 1747-------B 1797---a 1847---a 1897--b 1947---------E 1997---a 1748----------F 1798------A 1848j 1898---b 1948------A 1998---------D 1749----a 1799-----@ 1849--b 1899-e 1949--------D PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 sna341 1853 1998 .70 .74 .77 .66 .51 2 sna102 1804 1998 .44 .53 .51 .68 .68 .66 .69 3 sna101 1812 1998 .65 .56 .62 .74 .77 .66 .69 4 sna131 1863 1998 .47 .55 .66 .63 .57 5 sna211 1876 1998 .61 .80 .76 .61 6 sna051 1872 1998 .54 .50 .56 .64 .67 7 sna221 1810 1998 .65 .70 .69 .64 .71 .70 .63 8 sna231 1869 1995 .59 .56 .73 .78 .81 9 sna111 1793 1968 .57 .55 .40 .55 .62 .58 .62 10 sna122 1873 1998 .67 .69 .69 .74 .81 11 sna241 1896 1998 .66 .69 .67 .63 12 sna021 1880 1998 .58 .74 .62 .61 13 sna161 1833 1998 .65 .68 .68 .64 .72 .75 14 sna311 1855 1998 .80 .67 .74 .82 .80 15 sna321 1890 1998 .66 .60 .77 .70 16 sna092 1781 1998 .47 .51 .56 .77 .69 .73 .76 .73 17 sna222 1817 1998 .60 .63 .59 .58 .63 .71 .65 18 sna232 1872 1998 .53 .58 .78 .84 .73 19 sna202 1857 1982 .77 .76 .65 .67 .71 20 sna121 1874 1998 .63 .65 .79 .86 .85 21 sna112 1752 1960 .39 .57 .69 .61 .70 .60 .57 .58 22 sna162 1840 1998 .62 .63 .60 .63 .66 .63 23 sna061 1855 1998 .66 .46 .63 .74 .54 24 sna301 1870 1998 .61 .61 .72 .76 .71 25 sna014 1739 1998 .68 .65 .53 .47 .49 .62 .55 .67 .65 .60 26 sna011 1728 1998 .62 .59 .52 .46 .55 .56 .42 .68 .66 .48 27 sna041 1888 1998 .55 .58 .51 .58 28 sna082 1817 1960 .59 .70 .70 .61 .54 .50 29 sna201 1817 1985 .63 .71 .69 .72 .63 .57 .68 30 sna302 1851 1998 .52 .57 .67 .72 .70 31 snx171 1796 1897 .61 .68 .59 .65 32 snx031 1853 1988 .76 .73 .63 .69 .75 33 sna091 1819 1998 .56 .58 .71 .71 .82 .75 .63 34 snx041 1815 1992 .61 .61 .57 .68 .70 .66 .64 35 snx172 1796 1893 .60 .68 .69 .74 36 sna081 1817 1972 .53 .59 .58 .57 .63 .65 37 sna071 1792 1960 .39 .43 .56 .60 .58 .68 .70 Av segment correlation .65 .54 .53 .57 .60 .64 .62 .68 .69 .67 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== sna341 1853 to 1998 146 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1994> -.032 1862< -.021 1953< -.012 1986< -.012 1959> -.010 1979> -.008 Higher 1989 .023 1864 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1994 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna102 1804 to 1998 195 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .583) is: Lower 1804> -.046 1817< -.021 1933< -.014 1989> -.012 1848> -.009 1858< -.007 Higher 1959 .014 1940 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1804 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna101 1812 to 1998 187 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .702) is: Lower 1971< -.024 1864> -.008 1856< -.008 1916< -.008 1858< -.007 1965> -.007 Higher 1989 .009 1959 .008 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1859 -1.056 25 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1971 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna131 1863 to 1998 136 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1892< -.021 1994> -.018 1983< -.012 1932< -.008 1991> -.007 1876> -.006 Higher 1895 .018 1985 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1991 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna211 1876 to 1998 123 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .664) is: Lower 1994> -.031 1880> -.020 1983< -.014 1892< -.013 1976> -.012 1932< -.008 Higher 1989 .030 1926 .017 =================================================================================================================================== sna051 1872 to 1998 127 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .603) is: Lower 1917> -.014 1979> -.012 1913< -.010 1875< -.010 1944< -.010 1994> -.009 Higher 1989 .023 1985 .015 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1965 -1.342 32 2 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1965 -6.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna221 1810 to 1998 189 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .662) is: Lower 1962< -.022 1916< -.020 1941< -.013 1821< -.008 1989> -.008 1832< -.006 Higher 1959 .015 1848 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1962 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna231 1869 to 1995 127 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .738) is: Lower 1881< -.015 1876> -.014 1873< -.010 1919> -.009 1910< -.008 1965> -.007 Higher 1959 .015 1989 .015 =================================================================================================================================== sna111 1793 to 1968 176 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .562) is: Lower 1918< -.019 1934> -.016 1864> -.011 1814< -.010 1848> -.010 1798< -.008 Higher 1804 .025 1926 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1918 -5.2 SD; 1934 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna122 1873 to 1998 126 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .740) is: Lower 1932< -.017 1933> -.013 1958< -.008 1920> -.008 1914> -.007 1873> -.007 Higher 1989 .021 1926 .013 =================================================================================================================================== sna241 1896 to 1998 103 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .647) is: Lower 1965< -.018 1959> -.014 1984< -.012 1911> -.012 1993< -.011 1909< -.010 Higher 1926 .022 1994 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1965 -5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna021 1880 to 1998 119 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .603) is: Lower 1886< -.022 1965< -.015 1994> -.014 1943> -.010 1917> -.010 1972< -.008 Higher 1989 .027 1926 .016 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1965 -1.342 32 2 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1965 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna161 1833 to 1998 166 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .693) is: Lower 1859> -.011 1957< -.009 1947< -.007 1843> -.007 1976> -.006 1853< -.006 Higher 1848 .012 1989 .012 =================================================================================================================================== sna311 1855 to 1998 144 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .783) is: Lower 1917> -.015 1967< -.010 1876> -.009 1919< -.008 1997> -.005 1946< -.005 Higher 1959 .015 1864 .012 =================================================================================================================================== sna321 1890 to 1998 109 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .661) is: Lower 1994> -.021 1917> -.019 1920> -.011 1943> -.011 1909< -.008 1981> -.007 Higher 1989 .039 1959 .031 =================================================================================================================================== sna092 1781 to 1998 218 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .647) is: Lower 1874< -.018 1848> -.012 1985> -.007 1791> -.006 1906< -.005 1807< -.005 Higher 1989 .022 1864 .015 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1840 .200 19 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1864 -2.625 26 3 1874 -.526 32 2 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1848 +3.1 SD; 1864 -5.7 SD; 1874 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna222 1817 to 1998 182 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .616) is: Lower 1911< -.020 1825< -.012 1888< -.009 1988< -.009 1819> -.008 1907< -.006 Higher 1959 .023 1917 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1911 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna232 1872 to 1998 127 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .707) is: Lower 1876> -.018 1881< -.012 1985> -.011 1975> -.009 1921< -.009 1965> -.009 Higher 1959 .023 1926 .022 =================================================================================================================================== sna202 1857 to 1982 126 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .723) is: Lower 1934> -.021 1961> -.011 1930< -.011 1876< -.009 1926> -.008 1893> -.008 Higher 1864 .016 1959 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1876 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna121 1874 to 1998 125 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .798) is: Lower 1905< -.018 1914> -.009 1969< -.009 1874> -.006 1882< -.006 1917> -.005 Higher 1989 .019 1926 .015 =================================================================================================================================== sna112 1752 to 1960 209 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .592) is: Lower 1923< -.012 1780> -.010 1911> -.008 1759> -.006 1958< -.006 1760> -.005 Higher 1804 .015 1895 .009 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1779 -2.274 3 1 Present in series 25 sna014 time span 1739 to 1998 Present in series 26 sna011 time span 1728 to 1998 1943 -.514 35 1 =================================================================================================================================== sna162 1840 to 1998 159 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .633) is: Lower 1917< -.012 1969< -.009 1853< -.007 1889< -.006 1852< -.006 1916> -.006 Higher 1994 .012 1985 .011 =================================================================================================================================== sna061 1855 to 1998 144 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .601) is: Lower 1964< -.032 1985> -.017 1917> -.015 1982< -.014 1905< -.010 1977< -.009 Higher 1959 .024 1926 .020 =================================================================================================================================== sna301 1870 to 1998 129 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .708) is: Lower 1876> -.008 1963< -.008 1939> -.007 1893> -.006 1874< -.006 1873< -.006 Higher 1989 .028 1926 .023 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1976 -1.521 30 2 1989 -2.538 27 2 =================================================================================================================================== sna014 1739 to 1998 260 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .605) is: Lower 1956> -.007 1898< -.006 1794< -.006 1976> -.005 1831> -.005 1745> -.005 Higher 1926 .016 1848 .009 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1848 -2.487 19 1 =================================================================================================================================== sna011 1728 to 1998 271 years Series 26 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1728 to 1738 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1884< -.015 1956> -.009 1989> -.009 1915< -.008 1849< -.008 1755> -.007 Higher 1926 .018 1848 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1884 -6.4 SD; 1956 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna041 1888 to 1998 111 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .573) is: Lower 1926> -.037 1975< -.023 1954< -.015 1940> -.014 1895> -.010 1963< -.009 Higher 1989 .048 1985 .019 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1926 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna082 1817 to 1960 144 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .570) is: Lower 1953< -.029 1817> -.019 1951< -.016 1850< -.011 1905< -.011 1845< -.011 Higher 1848 .018 1864 .015 =================================================================================================================================== sna201 1817 to 1985 169 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .633) is: Lower 1934> -.015 1822< -.014 1831< -.011 1817> -.008 1859> -.008 1930< -.006 Higher 1864 .020 1848 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1876 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna302 1851 to 1998 148 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .663) is: Lower 1945< -.011 1995< -.011 1856< -.010 1888< -.009 1940> -.008 1920> -.006 Higher 1989 .033 1926 .024 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1989 -2.538 27 2 =================================================================================================================================== snx171 1796 to 1897 102 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .628) is: Lower 1805> -.020 1831> -.017 1796< -.013 1853< -.012 1859> -.010 1797> -.009 Higher 1804 .039 1864 .034 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1864 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== snx031 1853 to 1988 136 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .713) is: Lower 1976< -.017 1926> -.015 1979> -.012 1934> -.011 1914> -.009 1953< -.008 Higher 1959 .023 1864 .020 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1864 -2.625 26 3 1976 -1.521 30 2 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1976 -6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna091 1819 to 1998 180 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .651) is: Lower 1874< -.035 1974< -.015 1985> -.009 1840< -.008 1848> -.007 1965> -.007 Higher 1989 .023 1864 .019 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1840 .200 19 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1864 -2.625 26 3 1874 -.526 32 2 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1874 -6.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== snx041 1815 to 1992 178 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .649) is: Lower 1989> -.013 1851< -.008 1957< -.007 1818< -.006 1962< -.005 1939> -.005 Higher 1940 .010 1985 .010 =================================================================================================================================== snx172 1796 to 1893 98 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .666) is: Lower 1802< -.017 1829> -.011 1883> -.011 1857> -.009 1826> -.008 1831> -.008 Higher 1864 .039 1848 .029 =================================================================================================================================== sna081 1817 to 1972 156 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .599) is: Lower 1817> -.014 1953< -.013 1961> -.011 1945< -.011 1951< -.011 1835> -.007 Higher 1959 .029 1848 .014 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1876 -1.314 33 1 1896 -1.772 36 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1841 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== sna071 1792 to 1960 169 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .545) is: Lower 1792< -.021 1949< -.014 1800< -.012 1804> -.011 1843< -.011 1830< -.011 Higher 1959 .021 1940 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1804 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: snake river 09:09 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 sna341 1853 1998 146 5 0 .641 1.35 3.30 .594 .618 .312 2.81 .502 -.020 1 2 sna102 1804 1998 195 7 0 .583 .84 2.88 .574 .843 .259 2.82 .429 -.067 1 3 sna101 1812 1998 187 7 0 .702 .94 2.99 .590 .843 .274 2.73 .423 -.017 1 4 sna131 1863 1998 136 5 0 .568 1.79 6.70 1.579 .934 .294 2.69 .469 .047 1 5 sna211 1876 1998 123 4 0 .664 1.70 7.31 1.446 .925 .248 2.72 .488 -.040 1 6 sna051 1872 1998 127 5 0 .603 1.55 4.60 1.195 .879 .365 2.47 .388 -.005 2 7 sna221 1810 1998 189 7 0 .662 1.11 5.29 .827 .803 .309 2.99 .531 .052 1 8 sna231 1869 1995 127 5 0 .738 1.40 8.36 1.769 .880 .435 2.75 .560 -.002 1 9 sna111 1793 1968 176 7 0 .562 1.00 3.10 .731 .753 .381 2.77 .444 .032 1 10 sna122 1873 1998 126 5 0 .740 2.00 9.72 1.644 .861 .375 2.55 .380 -.022 1 11 sna241 1896 1998 103 4 0 .647 2.83 8.16 1.434 .710 .311 2.63 .422 .004 1 12 sna021 1880 1998 119 4 0 .603 1.73 6.34 1.560 .877 .456 2.57 .370 -.070 1 13 sna161 1833 1998 166 6 0 .693 1.69 6.81 1.349 .843 .329 3.07 .426 -.019 1 14 sna311 1855 1998 144 5 0 .783 1.68 3.33 .597 .500 .310 2.66 .501 -.053 1 15 sna321 1890 1998 109 4 0 .661 1.64 3.99 .818 .520 .426 2.49 .462 -.047 1 16 sna092 1781 1998 218 8 0 .647 .97 4.24 .765 .786 .408 2.61 .366 -.043 1 17 sna222 1817 1998 182 7 0 .616 1.26 4.20 .844 .819 .300 2.55 .360 -.024 1 18 sna232 1872 1998 127 5 0 .707 .79 4.11 .740 .831 .444 2.53 .418 .026 2 19 sna202 1857 1982 126 5 0 .723 1.14 2.56 .540 .571 .379 2.65 .491 -.022 1 20 sna121 1874 1998 125 5 0 .798 2.01 5.63 1.327 .864 .357 2.57 .440 -.017 1 21 sna112 1752 1960 209 8 0 .592 .94 4.28 .734 .791 .446 2.56 .381 -.040 1 22 sna162 1840 1998 159 6 0 .633 1.70 6.49 1.294 .755 .384 2.61 .351 -.031 1 23 sna061 1855 1998 144 5 0 .601 1.58 6.13 1.200 .873 .331 2.74 .515 -.003 1 24 sna301 1870 1998 129 5 0 .708 .50 1.22 .249 .667 .387 2.56 .453 -.003 1 25 sna014 1739 1998 260 10 0 .605 1.12 9.37 1.265 .861 .390 2.80 .425 -.021 3 26 sna011 1728 1998 271 10 0 .547 1.14 5.95 .960 .766 .370 2.68 .465 .016 3 27 sna041 1888 1998 111 4 0 .573 1.86 5.26 1.352 .932 .271 2.58 .495 .008 1 28 sna082 1817 1960 144 6 0 .570 1.19 4.13 .908 .819 .345 2.75 .545 -.093 2 29 sna201 1817 1985 169 7 0 .633 .88 2.17 .394 .539 .361 2.64 .465 -.013 1 30 sna302 1851 1998 148 5 0 .663 .76 1.92 .341 .523 .389 2.60 .430 -.012 1 31 snx171 1796 1897 102 4 0 .628 1.42 3.47 .664 .681 .302 2.53 .368 -.072 1 32 snx031 1853 1988 136 5 0 .713 1.25 6.52 1.260 .768 .411 2.58 .390 -.044 1 33 sna091 1819 1998 180 7 0 .651 .61 2.77 .383 .720 .370 2.64 .375 -.050 1 34 snx041 1815 1992 178 7 0 .649 .97 2.24 .444 .663 .347 2.65 .530 -.028 1 35 snx172 1796 1893 98 4 0 .666 2.14 6.82 1.102 .676 .322 2.69 .443 -.033 1 36 sna081 1817 1972 156 6 0 .599 .86 3.45 .745 .921 .348 2.57 .366 -.032 1 37 sna071 1792 1960 169 7 0 .545 1.35 4.67 .947 .831 .317 2.89 .487 -.024 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5714 216 0 .641 1.28 9.72 .923 .772 .354 3.07 .441 -.020 - = [ COFECHA SNA COF ] = -