[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run LPG Program COF 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 24441 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Long Pine File of DATED series: lgp5.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1732 to 1997 266 years Continuous time span is 1732 to 1997 266 years Portion with two or more series is 1781 to 1997 217 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 31 *C* *O* Master series 1732 1997 266 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 4745 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 4696 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .678 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .424 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 3 *A* *** Mean length of series 153.1 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) lgp031 4 absent rings: 1811 1880 1959 1978 lgp032 3 absent rings: 1811 1880 1959 lgp042 2 absent rings: 1880 1934 lgp072 1 absent rings: 1959 lgp111 2 absent rings: 1959 1985 lgp121 2 absent rings: 1987 1994 lgp272 1 absent rings: 1994 lgp271 1 absent rings: 1959 lgp292 3 absent rings: 1959 1987 1994 lgp331 1 absent rings: 1959 lgp011 1 absent rings: 1959 lgp291 3 absent rings: 1959 1981 1994 lgp221 2 absent rings: 1959 1994 lgp051 2 absent rings: 1811 1934 lgx081 2 absent rings: 1811 1956 30 absent rings .632% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . lgp021 1 1803 1997 195 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . lgp022 2 1816 1997 182 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . lgp031 3 1795 1980 186 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . lgp032 4 1805 1995 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . lgp041 5 1797 1997 201 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . lgp042 6 1800 1976 177 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . lgp071 7 1845 1997 153 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . lgp072 8 1856 1992 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . lgp081 9 1831 1997 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . lgp082 10 1835 1996 162 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . lgp111 11 1834 1994 161 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . lgp112 12 1828 1993 166 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . lgp121 13 1866 1997 132 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . lgp122 14 1879 1997 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . lgp251 15 1838 1997 160 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . lgp252 16 1850 1997 148 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=======>. . lgp262 17 1911 1997 87 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . lgp272 18 1871 1996 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========> . . lgp271 19 1860 1980 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . lgp281 20 1868 1997 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . lgp292 21 1866 1995 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . lgp311 22 1845 1997 153 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . lgp321 23 1868 1997 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . lgp331 24 1885 1990 106 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . . lgp011 25 1852 1970 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . lgp291 26 1875 1996 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . lgp221 27 1837 1997 161 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . . lgp101 28 1781 1980 200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . lgp092 29 1890 1996 107 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . lgp051 30 1808 1997 190 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . . lgx081 31 1732 1957 226 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 1.312 1 1800 -.608 5 1850 -.853 18 1900 .775 30 1950 .503 31 1751 .720 1 1801 .201 5 1851 .530 18 1901 .164 30 1951 .897 31 1752 .067 1 1802 .523 5 1852 -.446 19 1902 .891 30 1952 -.366 31 1753 1.064 1 1803 .907 6 1853 .096 19 1903 1.150 30 1953 .756 31 1754 .948 1 1804 -.222 6 1854 -.126 19 1904 -.357 30 1954 .644 31 1755 1.070 1 1805 .512 7 1855 .247 19 1905 .579 30 1955 -.978 31 1756 -.458 1 1806 .610 7 1856 .343 20 1906 .950 30 1956 -2.064 31 1 1757 -2.338 1 1807 .125 7 1857 .360 20 1907 .506 30 1957 .876 31 1758 -2.034 1 1808 .574 8 1858 1.168 20 1908 .592 30 1958 .216 30 1759 -5.018 1 1809 .941 8 1859 .783 20 1909 .631 30 1959 -3.424 30 10 1760 -.139 1 1810 -.473 8 1860 .758 21 1910 -.119 30 1960 .026 30 1761 .507 1 1811 -2.401 8 4 1861 .268 21 1911 -.268 31 1961 -1.052 30 1762 .936 1 1812 -1.819 8 1862 -.746 21 1912 .884 31 1962 .061 30 1763 1.079 1 1813 -1.438 8 1863 -.381 21 1913 .154 31 1963 .627 30 1764 1.537 1 1814 -.122 8 1864 -1.147 21 1914 -.882 31 1964 -.171 30 1765 -.131 1 1815 .040 8 1865 -1.703 21 1915 .394 31 1965 .947 30 1766 .508 1 1816 1.062 9 1866 -.602 23 1916 -.776 31 1966 -.369 30 1767 -.866 1 1817 .430 9 1867 -.318 23 1917 -2.584 31 1967 -.282 30 1768 .743 1 1818 .405 9 1868 -.286 25 1918 .363 31 1968 .529 30 1769 -3.280 1 1819 -.066 9 1869 -.024 25 1919 .238 31 1969 -.127 30 1770 .278 1 1820 .670 9 1870 -.286 25 1920 .573 31 1970 .021 30 1771 .254 1 1821 -.022 9 1871 -.298 26 1921 1.109 31 1971 .622 29 1772 .725 1 1822 .025 9 1872 .923 26 1922 .309 31 1972 1.721 29 1773 -1.298 1 1823 .027 9 1873 .198 26 1923 -.223 31 1973 -.296 29 1774 .472 1 1824 -.721 9 1874 -.886 26 1924 .402 31 1974 .393 29 1775 1.452 1 1825 -.541 9 1875 -.109 27 1925 -.688 31 1975 -.388 29 1776 -.010 1 1826 -.202 9 1876 .018 27 1926 -1.618 31 1976 -.050 29 1777 2.260 1 1827 -1.164 9 1877 .757 27 1927 1.130 31 1977 .837 28 1778 2.008 1 1828 .870 10 1878 1.491 27 1928 -.699 31 1978 -1.117 28 1 1779 .183 1 1829 .451 10 1879 1.030 28 1929 .435 31 1979 -.232 28 1780 -.767 1 1830 .989 10 1880 -1.216 28 3 1930 .563 31 1980 .560 28 1781 .603 2 1831 -1.094 11 1881 -1.075 28 1931 .414 31 1981 -.665 25 1 1732 .891 1 1782 -.113 2 1832 .536 11 1882 -.049 28 1932 .840 31 1982 .350 25 1733 -.626 1 1783 -.088 2 1833 .655 11 1883 .677 28 1933 -.182 31 1983 .454 25 1734 -.021 1 1784 .316 2 1834 1.142 12 1884 .707 28 1934 -2.896 31 2 1984 .575 25 1735 -.161 1 1785 -.239 2 1835 -1.283 13 1885 .247 29 1935 -.288 31 1985 -.824 25 1 1736 -3.779 1 1786 -2.565 2 1836 .590 13 1886 .672 29 1936 -.283 31 1986 .448 25 1737 .538 1 1787 -1.351 2 1837 -.194 14 1887 .394 29 1937 -.320 31 1987 -1.735 25 2 1738 1.415 1 1788 -.431 2 1838 .054 15 1888 1.220 29 1938 1.363 31 1988 .133 25 1739 1.753 1 1789 -1.682 2 1839 .285 15 1889 .164 29 1939 -.088 31 1989 -.275 25 1740 1.501 1 1790 -1.182 2 1840 .092 15 1890 -.709 30 1940 -.977 31 1990 .689 25 1741 .449 1 1791 .478 2 1841 -1.541 15 1891 -.023 30 1941 -.605 31 1991 .856 24 1742 -.414 1 1792 .520 2 1842 .254 15 1892 .429 30 1942 .802 31 1992 .350 24 1743 -1.076 1 1793 1.570 2 1843 .236 15 1893 -.490 30 1943 -.795 31 1993 .020 23 1744 -1.685 1 1794 1.535 2 1844 1.633 15 1894 -.651 30 1944 -.314 31 1994 -1.224 22 5 1745 .417 1 1795 .132 3 1845 .349 17 1895 -1.735 30 1945 .954 31 1995 -.051 21 1746 .607 1 1796 -1.297 3 1846 -.470 17 1896 -.935 30 1946 .464 31 1996 1.036 19 1747 .864 1 1797 .671 4 1847 -.397 17 1897 -2.119 30 1947 1.415 31 1997 .430 15 1748 -1.074 1 1798 .314 4 1848 -.733 17 1898 -1.034 30 1948 .724 31 1749 .219 1 1799 .475 4 1849 1.045 17 1899 -.136 30 1949 .225 31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1750----------E 1800--b 1850-c 1900--------C 1950-------B 1751--------C 1801-----A 1851-------B 1901-----A 1951---------D 1752-----@ 1802-------B 1852--b 1902---------D 1952---a 1753---------D 1803---------D 1853-----@ 1903---------E 1953--------C 1754---------D 1804---a 1854----a 1904---a 1954--------C 1755---------D 1805-------B 1855-----A 1905-------B 1955-d 1756--b 1806--------B 1856------A 1906---------D 1956h 1757i 1807-----A 1857------A 1907-------B 1957---------D 1758h 1808-------B 1858---------E 1908-------B 1958-----A 1759t 1809---------D 1859--------C 1909--------C 1959n 1760----a 1810--b 1860--------C 1910----@ 1960----@ 1761-------B 1811j 1861-----A 1911---a 1961-d 1762---------D 1812g 1862--c 1912---------D 1962----@ 1763---------D 1813f 1863---b 1913-----A 1963--------C 1764----------F 1814----@ 1864-e 1914-d 1964---a 1765----a 1815----@ 1865g 1915------B 1965---------D 1766-------B 1816---------D 1866--b 1916--c 1966---a 1767-c 1817------B 1867---a 1917j 1967---a 1768--------C 1818------B 1868---a 1918------A 1968-------B 1769m 1819----@ 1869----@ 1919-----A 1969----a 1770-----A 1820--------C 1870---a 1920-------B 1970----@ 1771-----A 1821----@ 1871---a 1921---------D 1971--------B 1772--------C 1822----@ 1872---------D 1922------A 1972----------G 1773-e 1823----@ 1873-----A 1923---a 1973---a 1774-------B 1824--c 1874-d 1924------B 1974------B 1775----------F 1825--b 1875----@ 1925--c 1975---b 1776----@ 1826---a 1876----@ 1926f 1976----@ 1777----------I 1827-e 1877--------C 1927---------E 1977---------C 1778----------H 1828---------C 1878----------F 1928--c 1978-d 1779-----A 1829------B 1879---------D 1929------B 1979---a 1780--c 1830---------D 1880-e 1930-------B 1980-------B 1781--------B 1831-d 1881-d 1931------B 1981--c 1732---------D 1782----@ 1832-------B 1882----@ 1932---------C 1982------A 1733--c 1783----@ 1833--------C 1883--------C 1933---a 1983------B 1734----@ 1784------A 1834---------E 1884--------C 1934l 1984-------B 1735---a 1785---a 1835-e 1885-----A 1935---a 1985-c 1736o 1786j 1836-------B 1886--------C 1936---a 1986------B 1737-------B 1787-e 1837---a 1887------B 1937---a 1987g 1738----------F 1788--b 1838----@ 1888----------E 1938----------E 1988-----A 1739----------G 1789g 1839-----A 1889-----A 1939----@ 1989---a 1740----------F 1790-e 1840-----@ 1890--c 1940-d 1990--------C 1741------B 1791-------B 1841f 1891----@ 1941--b 1991---------C 1742--b 1792-------B 1842-----A 1892------B 1942---------C 1992------A 1743-d 1793----------F 1843-----A 1893--b 1943-c 1993----@ 1744g 1794----------F 1844----------G 1894--c 1944---a 1994-e 1745------B 1795-----A 1845------A 1895g 1945---------D 1995----@ 1746--------B 1796-e 1846--b 1896-d 1946-------B 1996---------D 1747---------C 1797--------C 1847---b 1897h 1947----------F 1997------B 1748-d 1798------A 1848--c 1898-d 1948--------C 1749-----A 1799-------B 1849---------D 1899----a 1949-----A PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 lgp021 1803 1997 .38 .46 .72 .78 .84 .84 .79 2 lgp022 1816 1997 .45 .52 .69 .74 .78 .83 .81 3 lgp031 1795 1980 .51B .67 .62 .63 .60 .68 .72 .65 4 lgp032 1805 1995 .73 .49 .38 .74 .81 .79 .74 5 lgp041 1797 1997 .68 .69 .58 .61 .73 .83 .74 .65 6 lgp042 1800 1976 .67 .69 .71 .61 .71 .60 .57 7 lgp071 1845 1997 .66 .71 .74 .80 .81 .74 8 lgp072 1856 1992 .68 .66 .75 .84 .69 9 lgp081 1831 1997 .61 .60 .70 .81 .79 .59 10 lgp082 1835 1996 .63 .65 .73 .75 .85 .76 11 lgp111 1834 1994 .67 .61 .74 .76 .71 .52 12 lgp112 1828 1993 .59 .57 .69 .77 .74 .52 13 lgp121 1866 1997 .42 .68 .86 .89 .67 14 lgp122 1879 1997 .65 .65 .81 .68 15 lgp251 1838 1997 .57 .68 .78 .74 .82 .76 16 lgp252 1850 1997 .65 .73 .79 .76 .75 17 lgp262 1911 1997 .70 .80 .70 18 lgp272 1871 1996 .66 .66 .80 .89 .82 19 lgp271 1860 1980 .40 .64 .77 .82 .82 20 lgp281 1868 1997 .56 .60 .71 .85 .80 21 lgp292 1866 1995 .60 .70 .84 .87 .67 22 lgp311 1845 1997 .72 .74 .81 .81 .76 .60 23 lgp321 1868 1997 .55 .66 .64 .79 .64 24 lgp331 1885 1990 .68 .69 .85 .85 25 lgp011 1852 1970 .48 .44 .66 .69 26 lgp291 1875 1996 .82 .88 .89 .73 27 lgp221 1837 1997 .46 .70 .79 .82 .82 .73 28 lgp101 1781 1980 .39 .66 .66 .57 .75 .86 .85 .77 29 lgp092 1890 1996 .52 .55 .68 .58 30 lgp051 1808 1997 .32A .49 .62 .69 .64 .66 .53 31 lgx081 1732 1957 .28B .57 .63 .49 .51 .59 .59 Av segment correlation .46 .57 .59 .60 .69 .75 .79 .69 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== lgp021 1803 to 1997 195 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .666) is: Lower 1833< -.013 1827> -.012 1835> -.012 1829< -.011 1862< -.010 1832< -.009 Higher 1934 .013 1897 .010 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1809 +3.1 SD; 1827 +3.5 SD; 1862 -7.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp022 1816 to 1997 182 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .696) is: Lower 1835> -.016 1821< -.014 1819< -.010 1848> -.007 1851< -.006 1827> -.006 Higher 1959 .037 1917 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1848 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp031 1795 to 1980 186 years Series 3 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1795 1844 -10 .55* .06 .03 -.05 .11 -.31 .02 -.30 .05 .11 .51|-.20 .07 -.28 .22 -.11 .05 -.31 -.12 -.22 -.07 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .631) is: Lower 1796< -.031 1916> -.012 1895> -.010 1851< -.009 1804> -.008 1971< -.006 Higher 1959 .022 1934 .013 1795 to 1844 segment: Lower 1796< -.132 1804> -.031 1799< -.024 1829< -.018 1797< -.011 1800> -.010 Higher 1841 .041 1811 .039 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1811 -2.401 8 4 1880 -1.216 28 3 1959 -3.424 30 10 1978 -1.117 28 1 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1796 -6.8 SD; 1895 +3.1 SD; 1897 -6.2 SD; 1916 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp032 1805 to 1995 191 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .728) is: Lower 1865> -.012 1858< -.009 1860< -.008 1851< -.008 1983< -.007 1866> -.006 Higher 1959 .027 1917 .009 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1811 -2.401 8 4 1880 -1.216 28 3 1959 -3.424 30 10 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1865 +3.7 SD; 1866 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp041 1797 to 1997 201 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .682) is: Lower 1951< -.010 1964> -.008 1880< -.007 1881> -.007 1830< -.006 1973> -.006 Higher 1959 .017 1897 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1841 -5.2 SD; 1964 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp042 1800 to 1976 177 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .658) is: Lower 1972< -.011 1846> -.010 1965< -.010 1973> -.008 1896> -.007 1968< -.005 Higher 1934 .021 1841 .006 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1880 -1.216 28 3 1934 -2.896 31 2 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1846 +3.1 SD; 1896 +3.0 SD; 1959 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp071 1845 to 1997 153 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .752) is: Lower 1910< -.014 1969< -.012 1985> -.007 1966> -.007 1981> -.004 1929< -.004 Higher 1959 .024 1934 .013 =================================================================================================================================== lgp072 1856 to 1992 137 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .717) is: Lower 1981> -.016 1983< -.012 1907< -.009 1933> -.007 1860< -.007 1980< -.007 Higher 1959 .029 1934 .016 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1978 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp081 1831 to 1997 167 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .674) is: Lower 1981< -.020 1995< -.020 1959> -.015 1868> -.011 1877< -.008 1994> -.008 Higher 1934 .017 1897 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1868 +3.8 SD; 1981 -4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp082 1835 to 1996 162 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .724) is: Lower 1945< -.019 1987> -.014 1994> -.009 1868> -.007 1861< -.006 1973> -.006 Higher 1959 .036 1934 .023 =================================================================================================================================== lgp111 1834 to 1994 161 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .654) is: Lower 1981> -.014 1985< -.011 1988< -.009 1993> -.007 1966> -.007 1852> -.007 Higher 1917 .014 1835 .011 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 1985 -.824 25 1 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1981 +3.3 SD; 1985 -5.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp112 1828 to 1993 166 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .626) is: Lower 1981> -.018 1986< -.009 1828< -.009 1906< -.009 1862> -.006 1897> -.006 Higher 1934 .018 1917 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1865 -6.7 SD; 1981 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp121 1866 to 1997 132 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .654) is: Lower 1870< -.073 1978> -.016 1979< -.014 1874> -.013 1880> -.011 1984< -.011 Higher 1959 .028 1987 .018 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1869 1870 -4.0 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1987 -1.735 25 2 1994 -1.224 22 5 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1870 -8.4 SD; 1874 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp122 1879 to 1997 119 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .674) is: Lower 1978> -.045 1916> -.017 1922< -.012 1986< -.011 1898> -.008 1912< -.007 Higher 1959 .043 1934 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1916 +3.3 SD; 1978 +4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp251 1838 to 1997 160 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .704) is: Lower 1840< -.016 1978< -.015 1848> -.015 1985> -.008 1850> -.005 1921< -.005 Higher 1917 .014 1959 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1848 +3.5 SD; 1917 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp252 1850 to 1997 148 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .736) is: Lower 1973< -.023 1993< -.007 1879< -.006 1880> -.006 1951< -.005 1897> -.005 Higher 1959 .036 1917 .012 =================================================================================================================================== lgp262 1911 to 1997 87 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .654) is: Lower 1917> -.027 1977< -.018 1997< -.012 1993> -.011 1933> -.009 1947< -.009 Higher 1959 .055 1934 .030 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1917 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp272 1871 to 1996 126 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .776) is: Lower 1876< -.011 1920< -.011 1890< -.009 1871> -.007 1923> -.006 1983> -.005 Higher 1959 .028 1934 .018 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1994 -1.224 22 5 =================================================================================================================================== lgp271 1860 to 1980 121 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .672) is: Lower 1865> -.022 1860< -.011 1923> -.011 1869> -.010 1914> -.009 1892< -.009 Higher 1934 .019 1917 .017 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1865 +4.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp281 1868 to 1997 130 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .692) is: Lower 1880< -.020 1897> -.019 1868> -.009 1987> -.007 1928> -.007 1872< -.006 Higher 1959 .043 1934 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1880 -5.7 SD; 1897 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp292 1866 to 1995 130 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .765) is: Lower 1978> -.019 1904> -.011 1877< -.009 1873> -.008 1981> -.007 1866> -.007 Higher 1934 .022 1987 .010 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 1987 -1.735 25 2 1994 -1.224 22 5 =================================================================================================================================== lgp311 1845 to 1997 153 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .694) is: Lower 1994< -.025 1852< -.012 1973> -.008 1978> -.007 1990< -.006 1982< -.006 Higher 1917 .013 1956 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1994 -6.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp321 1868 to 1997 130 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .613) is: Lower 1870< -.050 1978> -.033 1916> -.018 1982< -.009 1992< -.008 1898> -.007 Higher 1959 .026 1956 .012 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1870 -6.4 SD; 1916 +3.6 SD; 1978 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp331 1885 to 1990 106 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .787) is: Lower 1912< -.016 1920< -.014 1889< -.011 1922> -.009 1925> -.008 1948< -.008 Higher 1959 .029 1934 .011 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 =================================================================================================================================== lgp011 1852 to 1970 119 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .642) is: Lower 1966< -.032 1867< -.011 1894> -.010 1902< -.010 1880> -.009 1901< -.009 Higher 1959 .061 1934 .024 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1966 -5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp291 1875 to 1996 122 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .846) is: Lower 1990< -.009 1985> -.008 1904> -.008 1980< -.006 1981< -.003 1937> -.003 Higher 1959 .023 1934 .015 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 1981 -.665 25 1 1994 -1.224 22 5 =================================================================================================================================== lgp221 1837 to 1997 161 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .750) is: Lower 1841> -.019 1849< -.007 1865> -.007 1940> -.007 1979< -.007 1880> -.006 Higher 1959 .031 1934 .017 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1959 -3.424 30 10 1994 -1.224 22 5 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1841 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp101 1781 to 1980 200 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .651) is: Lower 1789> -.021 1785> -.012 1978> -.011 1804< -.009 1850> -.007 1868< -.007 Higher 1959 .035 1934 .018 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1785 +3.7 SD; 1789 +4.5 SD; 1853 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp092 1890 to 1996 107 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .554) is: Lower 1981> -.020 1985> -.015 1977< -.015 1923< -.012 1951< -.011 1955> -.011 Higher 1959 .095 1934 .023 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1924 -4.6 SD; 1981 +3.7 SD; 1985 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== lgp051 1808 to 1997 190 years Series 30 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1808 1857 0 -.19 -.13 -.14 .22 -.03 .15 .03 .01 .03 -.13 .32*-.17 -.14 -.29 .05 -.05 .19 -.16 .21 -.09 .25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1995< -.020 1842< -.010 1812> -.009 1994> -.009 1835> -.008 1818< -.007 Higher 1934 .024 1811 .009 1808 to 1857 segment: Lower 1842< -.034 1812> -.033 1835> -.031 1818< -.023 1813> -.022 1815< -.018 Higher 1811 .101 1844 .033 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1811 -2.401 8 4 1934 -2.896 31 2 =================================================================================================================================== lgx081 1732 to 1957 226 years Series 31 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1732 to 1780 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1781 1830 -3 -.12 .01 -.18 -.25 .09 -.21 .09 .30* .28 .01 .28| .26 .01 -.30 -.01 -.31 -.03 .02 .01 .11 .17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .488) is: Lower 1796> -.021 1786> -.018 1785< -.010 1789< -.009 1854< -.008 1945< -.007 Higher 1934 .017 1835 .013 1781 to 1830 segment: Lower 1796> -.060 1785< -.034 1789< -.033 1807> -.014 1818< -.014 1795< -.011 Higher 1811 .045 1793 .032 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1785 1786 4.5 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1811 -2.401 8 4 1956 -2.064 31 1 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1786 +3.6 SD; 1789 -4.5 SD; 1796 +4.2 SD; 1854 -5.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Long Pine 09:00 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 lgp021 1803 1997 195 7 0 .666 .95 8.85 .894 .521 .437 2.94 .485 .021 2 2 lgp022 1816 1997 182 7 0 .696 1.09 7.25 1.191 .818 .393 2.67 .399 -.027 2 3 lgp031 1795 1980 186 8 1 .631 1.20 5.49 1.212 .875 .444 2.48 .374 .005 1 4 lgp032 1805 1995 191 7 0 .728 1.08 6.22 1.200 .883 .474 2.63 .429 -.002 1 5 lgp041 1797 1997 201 8 0 .682 .84 4.48 .788 .821 .408 2.71 .375 .000 1 6 lgp042 1800 1976 177 7 0 .658 .88 4.12 .883 .875 .439 2.62 .390 -.009 1 7 lgp071 1845 1997 153 6 0 .752 1.35 4.48 .977 .874 .337 2.76 .500 -.026 1 8 lgp072 1856 1992 137 5 0 .717 1.51 5.02 1.028 .823 .383 2.57 .428 -.027 2 9 lgp081 1831 1997 167 6 0 .674 1.14 3.38 .842 .853 .320 2.76 .432 -.008 1 10 lgp082 1835 1996 162 6 0 .724 1.17 4.02 .882 .841 .346 2.62 .412 -.018 1 11 lgp111 1834 1994 161 6 0 .654 .73 2.58 .484 .612 .489 2.74 .445 -.023 1 12 lgp112 1828 1993 166 6 0 .626 1.21 3.35 .679 .628 .402 2.63 .438 .040 2 13 lgp121 1866 1997 132 5 0 .654 1.68 10.39 1.985 .879 .445 2.55 .374 -.027 1 14 lgp122 1879 1997 119 4 0 .674 1.93 8.85 1.647 .769 .451 2.73 .528 .092 1 15 lgp251 1838 1997 160 6 0 .704 1.57 5.35 1.098 .759 .395 2.63 .364 -.049 1 16 lgp252 1850 1997 148 5 0 .736 1.28 5.41 1.064 .862 .378 2.63 .444 -.068 1 17 lgp262 1911 1997 87 3 0 .654 2.32 9.44 1.629 .745 .395 2.65 .448 -.049 1 18 lgp272 1871 1996 126 5 0 .776 1.38 5.97 1.345 .839 .522 2.66 .523 -.013 1 19 lgp271 1860 1980 121 5 0 .672 1.90 7.52 1.695 .814 .528 2.75 .496 -.045 2 20 lgp281 1868 1997 130 5 0 .692 2.35 12.12 1.967 .842 .339 2.58 .370 .016 1 21 lgp292 1866 1995 130 5 0 .765 1.24 5.06 1.088 .787 .579 2.63 .396 -.033 1 22 lgp311 1845 1997 153 6 0 .694 1.36 5.46 1.226 .838 .424 2.76 .396 -.020 1 23 lgp321 1868 1997 130 5 0 .613 2.06 9.70 1.707 .741 .464 2.70 .420 .016 1 24 lgp331 1885 1990 106 4 0 .787 .99 3.70 .908 .839 .511 2.73 .520 -.070 1 25 lgp011 1852 1970 119 4 0 .642 .96 2.93 .669 .792 .420 2.74 .450 -.056 2 26 lgp291 1875 1996 122 4 0 .846 .98 4.26 .809 .787 .531 2.71 .483 .031 3 27 lgp221 1837 1997 161 6 0 .750 .92 4.68 .785 .842 .421 2.72 .453 .026 1 28 lgp101 1781 1980 200 8 0 .651 1.33 3.41 .744 .726 .380 2.93 .422 .018 1 29 lgp092 1890 1996 107 4 0 .554 1.25 4.39 1.009 .895 .317 2.64 .374 -.034 1 30 lgp051 1808 1997 190 7 1 .568 .68 2.46 .452 .781 .425 2.54 .389 -.027 1 31 lgx081 1732 1957 226 7 1 .488 1.02 3.99 .713 .763 .432 2.68 .417 -.043 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 4745 177 3 .678 1.25 12.12 1.042 .794 .424 2.94 .428 -.012 - = [ COFECHA LPG COF ] = -