[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run CPP Program COF 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 24441 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Capulin pipo File of DATED series: cpp2.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1712 to 1998 287 years Continuous time span is 1712 to 1998 287 years Portion with two or more series is 1719 to 1998 280 years >> cpp032 1959 absent in 1 of 11 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .576 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 15 *C* *O* Master series 1712 1998 287 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 3045 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 3038 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .744 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .429 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* *** Mean length of series 203.0 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) cpp021 1 absent rings: 1956 cpp022 1 absent rings: 1956 cpp031 4 absent rings: 1936 1952 1956 1966 cpp032 7 absent rings: 1936 1938 1950 1954 1956 1957 1959 cpp092 1 absent rings: 1822 cpp091 1 absent rings: 1822 cpp061 6 absent rings: 1821 1822 1851 1880 1963 1974 cpp101 1 absent rings: 1963 cpp012 3 absent rings: 1822 1963 1966 cpp011 5 absent rings: 1822 1880 1952 1954 1963 cpp071 1 absent rings: 1963 cpp051 2 absent rings: 1822 1880 cpp042 10 absent rings: 1822 1862 1863 1864 1874 1880 1888 1936 1950 1954 43 absent rings 1.412% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . . cpp021 1 1808 1960 153 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . cpp022 2 1795 1960 166 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . cpp031 3 1853 1995 143 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . cpp032 4 1838 1998 161 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . . . cpp092 5 1719 1909 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. . cpp091 6 1712 1991 280 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================>. . cpp061 7 1730 1998 269 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . cpp101 8 1788 1997 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . cpp081 9 1788 1954 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======================>. . cpp012 10 1755 1998 244 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . cpp011 11 1782 1998 217 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========================>. . cpp071 12 1741 1997 257 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . . cpp111 13 1807 1940 134 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . . cpp051 14 1767 1944 178 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. . cpp042 15 1724 1998 275 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 .541 5 1800 .933 11 1850 .511 14 1900 1.077 15 1950 -1.356 12 2 1751 1.542 5 1801 .331 11 1851 -1.904 14 1 1901 .718 15 1951 .076 12 1752 -.460 5 1802 1.079 11 1852 .612 14 1902 -2.028 15 1952 -.863 12 2 1753 .742 5 1803 .622 11 1853 .070 15 1903 -1.189 15 1953 .165 12 1754 .667 5 1804 1.418 11 1854 1.331 15 1904 -1.264 15 1954 -.520 12 3 1755 .487 6 1805 .025 11 1855 -.066 15 1905 .709 15 1955 1.200 11 1756 -2.224 6 1806 -.053 11 1856 -.849 15 1906 -1.286 15 1956 -1.003 11 4 1757 -1.066 6 1807 .850 12 1857 1.108 15 1907 1.004 15 1957 -.694 11 1 1758 -.341 6 1808 .240 13 1858 1.156 15 1908 -.004 15 1958 1.577 11 1759 -.303 6 1809 -.561 13 1859 .394 15 1909 .077 15 1959 .576 11 1<< 1760 .030 6 1810 -.551 13 1860 -.403 15 1910 .209 14 1960 -.014 11 1761 .884 6 1811 -.252 13 1861 -.619 15 1911 -1.094 14 1961 .941 9 1712 .612 1 1762 .431 6 1812 .203 13 1862 -1.538 15 1 1912 -.529 14 1962 .650 9 1713 .817 1 1763 -.167 6 1813 .768 13 1863 -1.100 15 1 1913 .766 14 1963 -1.994 9 5 1714 -.078 1 1764 -.532 6 1814 1.048 13 1864 -.584 15 1 1914 .665 14 1964 -.227 9 1715 -2.938 1 1765 -.071 6 1815 -.850 13 1865 -.872 15 1915 -.249 14 1965 .201 9 1716 -2.746 1 1766 .902 6 1816 .078 13 1866 -.592 15 1916 -.687 14 1966 -1.250 9 2 1717 1.486 1 1767 .545 7 1817 .558 13 1867 .439 15 1917 -.241 14 1967 1.093 9 1718 .595 1 1768 -.344 7 1818 -.933 13 1868 .990 15 1918 .362 14 1968 -.077 9 1719 .648 2 1769 .323 7 1819 -.650 13 1869 1.375 15 1919 .596 14 1969 .981 9 1720 .186 2 1770 -1.450 7 1820 .135 13 1870 .142 15 1920 .009 14 1970 .887 9 1721 .554 2 1771 -.324 7 1821 -1.601 13 1 1871 .632 15 1921 1.864 14 1971 .914 9 1722 .613 2 1772 -2.552 7 1822 -4.568 13 7 1872 .917 15 1922 .972 14 1972 .094 9 1723 -.595 2 1773 -.389 7 1823 .314 13 1873 .616 15 1923 -.284 14 1973 .162 9 1724 .456 3 1774 1.522 7 1824 -.930 13 1874 -.971 15 1 1924 .783 14 1974 -1.711 9 1 1725 -.725 3 1775 .867 7 1825 .442 13 1875 .114 15 1925 -1.098 14 1975 .251 9 1726 1.759 3 1776 1.289 7 1826 .543 13 1876 .078 15 1926 .488 14 1976 -.560 9 1727 -.231 3 1777 .621 7 1827 .502 13 1877 -.723 15 1927 -1.875 14 1977 -1.305 9 1728 1.200 3 1778 .908 7 1828 .821 13 1878 .853 15 1928 .350 14 1978 .442 9 1729 .599 3 1779 .543 7 1829 1.337 13 1879 .375 15 1929 .144 14 1979 .852 9 1730 -2.099 4 1780 .428 7 1830 .836 13 1880 -3.824 15 4 1930 .950 14 1980 .267 9 1731 .734 4 1781 -1.006 7 1831 -.707 13 1881 .400 15 1931 1.180 14 1981 -.314 9 1732 .074 4 1782 -.780 8 1832 .750 13 1882 .183 15 1932 .543 14 1982 .463 9 1733 -.292 4 1783 .564 8 1833 .724 13 1883 -1.371 15 1933 -.467 14 1983 -.576 9 1734 .533 4 1784 .320 8 1834 -.467 13 1884 1.098 15 1934 -1.563 14 1984 -1.773 9 1735 -.925 4 1785 .782 8 1835 .690 13 1885 .593 15 1935 -.946 14 1985 .278 9 1736 .674 4 1786 .913 8 1836 -.058 13 1886 .091 15 1936 -2.131 14 3 1986 .734 9 1737 .132 4 1787 -1.045 8 1837 -.987 13 1887 1.504 15 1937 .017 14 1987 .930 9 1738 -.758 4 1788 .209 10 1838 .358 14 1888 -1.749 15 1 1938 -1.160 14 1 1988 .383 9 1739 .630 4 1789 -3.380 10 1839 1.159 14 1889 .584 15 1939 -.952 14 1989 .045 9 1740 .759 4 1790 -.360 10 1840 .397 14 1890 .324 15 1940 -.122 14 1990 -.978 9 1741 -1.317 5 1791 -1.846 10 1841 -1.401 14 1891 -.371 15 1941 .103 13 1991 -2.054 9 1742 -2.262 5 1792 .928 10 1842 -.848 14 1892 .837 15 1942 .256 13 1992 .476 8 1743 -.475 5 1793 1.200 10 1843 .465 14 1893 -.733 15 1943 .879 13 1993 .755 8 1744 -1.130 5 1794 .877 10 1844 .335 14 1894 .860 15 1944 .882 13 1994 -.327 8 1745 -.232 5 1795 -.410 11 1845 1.017 14 1895 .641 15 1945 1.103 12 1995 1.000 8 1746 1.165 5 1796 -1.542 11 1846 -1.069 14 1896 -.758 15 1946 .678 12 1996 .718 7 1747 1.121 5 1797 .197 11 1847 -.007 14 1897 1.092 15 1947 .915 12 1997 .777 7 1748 .229 5 1798 -.365 11 1848 -1.262 14 1898 -.037 15 1948 .702 12 1998 -1.161 5 1749 1.077 5 1799 -.313 11 1849 .741 14 1899 -.517 15 1949 .886 12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1750-------B 1800---------D 1850------B 1900----------D 1950-e 1751----------F 1801-----A 1851h 1901--------C 1951----@ 1752---b 1802----------D 1852-------B 1902h 1952--c 1753--------C 1803-------B 1853----@ 1903-e 1953-----A 1754-------C 1804----------F 1854----------E 1904-e 1954--b 1755------B 1805----@ 1855----@ 1905--------C 1955----------E 1756i 1806----@ 1856--c 1906-e 1956-d 1757-d 1807---------C 1857----------D 1907---------D 1957--c 1758---a 1808-----A 1858----------E 1908----@ 1958----------F 1759---a 1809--b 1859------B 1909----@ 1959-------B 1760----@ 1810--b 1860---b 1910-----A 1960----@ 1761---------D 1811---a 1861--b 1911-d 1961---------D 1712-------B 1762------B 1812-----A 1862f 1912--b 1962-------C 1713--------C 1763---a 1813--------C 1863-d 1913--------C 1963h 1714----@ 1764--b 1814---------D 1864--b 1914-------C 1964---a 1715l 1765----@ 1815--c 1865--c 1915---a 1965-----A 1716k 1766---------D 1816----@ 1866--b 1916--c 1966-e 1717----------F 1767-------B 1817-------B 1867------B 1917---a 1967----------D 1718-------B 1768---a 1818-d 1868---------D 1918------A 1968----@ 1719-------C 1769-----A 1819--c 1869----------E 1919-------B 1969---------D 1720-----A 1770-f 1820-----A 1870-----A 1920----@ 1970---------D 1721-------B 1771---a 1821f 1871-------C 1921----------G 1971---------D 1722-------B 1772j 1822r 1872---------D 1922---------D 1972----@ 1723--b 1773---b 1823-----A 1873-------B 1923---a 1973-----A 1724------B 1774----------F 1824-d 1874-d 1924--------C 1974g 1725--c 1775---------C 1825------B 1875-----@ 1925-d 1975-----A 1726----------G 1776----------E 1826-------B 1876----@ 1926------B 1976--b 1727---a 1777-------B 1827------B 1877--c 1927h 1977-e 1728----------E 1778---------D 1828--------C 1878---------C 1928------A 1978------B 1729-------B 1779-------B 1829----------E 1879------A 1929-----A 1979---------C 1730h 1780------B 1830--------C 1880o 1930---------D 1980-----A 1731--------C 1781-d 1831--c 1881------B 1931----------E 1981---a 1732----@ 1782--c 1832--------C 1882-----A 1932-------B 1982------B 1733---a 1783-------B 1833--------C 1883-e 1933---b 1983--b 1734------B 1784-----A 1834---b 1884----------D 1934f 1984g 1735-d 1785--------C 1835-------C 1885-------B 1935-d 1985-----A 1736-------C 1786---------D 1836----@ 1886----@ 1936i 1986--------C 1737-----A 1787-d 1837-d 1887----------F 1937----@ 1987---------D 1738--c 1788-----A 1838------A 1888g 1938-e 1988------B 1739-------C 1789n 1839----------E 1889-------B 1939-d 1989----@ 1740--------C 1790---a 1840------B 1890-----A 1940----@ 1990-d 1741-e 1791g 1841-f 1891---a 1941----@ 1991h 1742i 1792---------D 1842--c 1892--------C 1942-----A 1992------B 1743---b 1793----------E 1843------B 1893--c 1943---------D 1993--------C 1744-e 1794---------D 1844------A 1894---------C 1944---------D 1994---a 1745---a 1795---b 1845---------D 1895-------C 1945----------D 1995---------D 1746----------E 1796f 1846-d 1896--c 1946-------C 1996--------C 1747----------D 1797-----A 1847----@ 1897----------D 1947---------D 1997--------C 1748-----A 1798---a 1848-e 1898----@ 1948--------C 1998-e 1749----------D 1799---a 1849--------C 1899---b 1949---------D PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 cpp021 1808 1960 .80 .67 .65 .71 .83 .82 2 cpp022 1795 1960 .77 .81 .83 .84 .70 .64 .59 3 cpp031 1853 1995 .76 .81 .88 .85 .72 4 cpp032 1838 1998 .80 .88 .87 .80 .79 .63 5 cpp092 1719 1909 .61 .65 .70 .82 .82 .84 .80 .79 6 cpp091 1712 1991 .70 .74 .79 .79 .64 .74 .86 .84 .85 .91 .74 7 cpp061 1730 1998 .70 .82 .73 .61 .70 .75 .76 .77 .83 .64 8 cpp101 1788 1997 .56 .50 .65 .83 .83 .82 .89 .69 9 cpp081 1788 1954 .81 .87 .84 .86 .82 .77 .77 10 cpp012 1755 1998 .70 .67 .59 .65 .76 .82 .72 .63 .64 11 cpp011 1782 1998 .69 .65 .65 .67 .76 .75 .70 .58 12 cpp071 1741 1997 .79 .78 .67 .64 .69 .80 .72 .55 .54 .45 13 cpp111 1807 1940 .71 .80 .82 .67 .62 14 cpp051 1767 1944 .81 .85 .73 .79 .82 .76 .76 15 cpp042 1724 1998 .70 .73 .85 .86 .75 .73 .63 .51 .52 .66 .70 Av segment correlation .67 .72 .78 .75 .70 .74 .78 .76 .73 .75 .64 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== cpp021 1808 to 1960 153 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .756) is: Lower 1880> -.011 1815> -.007 1830< -.006 1874> -.006 1834> -.005 1922< -.005 Higher 1822 .025 1902 .010 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1956 -1.003 11 4 =================================================================================================================================== cpp022 1795 to 1960 166 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .734) is: Lower 1915< -.016 1956< -.012 1950> -.011 1911> -.007 1815> -.006 1906> -.006 Higher 1822 .022 1880 .013 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1956 -1.003 11 4 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1915 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp031 1853 to 1995 143 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .777) is: Lower 1990> -.016 1865> -.010 1896> -.007 1883> -.005 1974> -.005 1991< -.004 Higher 1880 .014 1927 .006 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1936 -2.131 14 3 1952 -.863 12 2 1956 -1.003 11 4 1966 -1.250 9 2 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1904 -5.2 SD; 1984 -4.9 SD; 1990 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp032 1838 to 1998 161 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .756) is: Lower 1997< -.015 1959< -.011 1990> -.009 1912< -.007 1844> -.005 1977< -.005 Higher 1880 .031 1888 .009 [D] 7 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1936 -2.131 14 3 1938 -1.160 14 1 1950 -1.356 12 2 1954 -.520 12 3 1956 -1.003 11 4 1957 -.694 11 1 1959 .576 11 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1844 +3.0 SD; 1912 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp092 1719 to 1909 191 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .789) is: Lower 1764< -.021 1738< -.007 1906> -.007 1759> -.007 1815> -.007 1768> -.005 Higher 1822 .022 1888 .006 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1759 +3.2 SD; 1764 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp091 1712 to 1991 280 years Series 6 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1712 to 1718 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .793) is: Lower 1991> -.014 1831> -.008 1764< -.007 1815> -.005 1906> -.005 1805< -.004 Higher 1822 .016 1789 .010 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1764 -4.8 SD; 1831 +3.1 SD; 1991 +4.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp061 1730 to 1998 269 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .748) is: Lower 1821< -.007 1763> -.006 1861< -.006 1738> -.005 1824< -.005 1985< -.005 Higher 1880 .011 1789 .008 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1821 -1.601 13 1 1822 -4.568 13 7 1851 -1.904 14 1 1880 -3.824 15 4 1963 -1.994 9 5 1974 -1.711 9 1 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1738 +3.2 SD; 1763 +3.1 SD; 1821 -5.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp101 1788 to 1997 210 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .708) is: Lower 1815< -.023 1977> -.018 1802< -.009 1843< -.007 1810> -.006 1904> -.005 Higher 1880 .012 1963 .009 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1963 -1.994 9 5 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1815 -6.7 SD; 1977 +4.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp081 1788 to 1954 167 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .822) is: Lower 1912> -.009 1791> -.008 1879< -.006 1794< -.005 1941< -.005 1860< -.005 Higher 1880 .020 1822 .018 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1912 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp012 1755 to 1998 244 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .710) is: Lower 1984> -.011 1888> -.007 1974> -.006 1757> -.006 1764> -.006 1938> -.005 Higher 1880 .021 1789 .015 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 1963 -1.994 9 5 1966 -1.250 9 2 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1757 +3.1 SD; 1811 +3.0 SD; 1880 -5.6 SD; 1950 -4.7 SD; 1984 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp011 1782 to 1998 217 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .721) is: Lower 1984> -.009 1976> -.007 1870< -.006 1938> -.006 1966> -.005 1817< -.005 Higher 1880 .026 1822 .009 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 1880 -3.824 15 4 1952 -.863 12 2 1954 -.520 12 3 1963 -1.994 9 5 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1790 +3.1 SD; 1976 +3.1 SD; 1984 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp071 1741 to 1997 257 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .676) is: Lower 1810< -.011 1789> -.010 1994< -.009 1950> -.007 1948< -.005 1909< -.005 Higher 1880 .020 1822 .010 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1963 -1.994 9 5 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +3.5 SD; 1810 -4.8 SD; 1994 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp111 1807 to 1940 134 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .708) is: Lower 1906< -.032 1901< -.010 1816< -.009 1896> -.008 1922< -.006 1860> -.005 Higher 1880 .016 1902 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1822 +3.2 SD; 1906 -7.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cpp051 1767 to 1944 178 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .783) is: Lower 1888< -.013 1904> -.008 1845< -.007 1910< -.005 1918< -.005 1827< -.005 Higher 1789 .013 1902 .007 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 1880 -3.824 15 4 =================================================================================================================================== cpp042 1724 to 1998 275 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .719) is: Lower 1738> -.009 1764> -.004 1805> -.004 1729< -.004 1759< -.004 1977< -.004 Higher 1789 .013 1888 .007 [D] 10 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.568 13 7 1862 -1.538 15 1 1863 -1.100 15 1 1864 -.584 15 1 1874 -.971 15 1 1880 -3.824 15 4 1888 -1.749 15 1 1936 -2.131 14 3 1950 -1.356 12 2 1954 -.520 12 3 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1738 +3.9 SD; 1936 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Capulin pipo 08:59 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 cpp021 1808 1960 153 6 0 .756 1.81 5.97 1.001 .711 .334 2.67 .362 .007 1 2 cpp022 1795 1960 166 7 0 .734 1.65 4.39 1.092 .837 .321 2.54 .464 .024 1 3 cpp031 1853 1995 143 5 0 .777 1.10 3.88 .879 .706 .530 2.54 .469 -.080 1 4 cpp032 1838 1998 161 6 0 .756 1.18 10.11 1.263 .787 .592 2.60 .408 -.045 1 5 cpp092 1719 1909 191 8 0 .789 1.27 4.36 .917 .779 .420 2.55 .379 .010 1 6 cpp091 1712 1991 280 11 0 .793 1.07 3.52 .673 .701 .413 2.64 .372 -.012 1 7 cpp061 1730 1998 269 10 0 .748 .83 4.09 .732 .877 .459 2.52 .407 -.020 1 8 cpp101 1788 1997 210 8 0 .708 1.21 3.64 .781 .739 .406 2.62 .418 .010 1 9 cpp081 1788 1954 167 7 0 .822 1.16 3.15 .627 .732 .394 2.63 .439 -.013 1 10 cpp012 1755 1998 244 9 0 .710 .91 2.81 .486 .663 .388 2.55 .325 -.009 1 11 cpp011 1782 1998 217 8 0 .721 .93 2.66 .636 .747 .453 2.75 .409 -.038 1 12 cpp071 1741 1997 257 10 0 .676 .95 3.16 .636 .848 .350 2.59 .423 -.034 2 13 cpp111 1807 1940 134 5 0 .708 1.18 3.27 .632 .534 .405 2.51 .394 -.006 1 14 cpp051 1767 1944 178 7 0 .783 1.00 3.46 .675 .745 .484 2.49 .358 -.067 1 15 cpp042 1724 1998 275 11 0 .719 .78 3.54 .667 .863 .502 2.52 .393 -.022 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 3045 118 0 .744 1.09 10.11 .756 .761 .429 2.75 .399 -.019 - = [ COFECHA CPP COF ] = -