Lucky Horseshoe, Nevada - NV519 Additional Site Information John C. King Detrend method: Negative exponontial or linear regression with negative or 0 slope. All core samples are stored at Lone Pine Research, 2604 Westridge Drive, Bozeman, MT, 59715 Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Samples collected to examine temperature response in strip-bark vs. entire-bark growth forms. COFECHA Optimization: 15yr cubic smoothing spline 60yr segments lagged by 5yr No AR modeling Transform to logarithms COFECHA output: Chronology file name : NV519.CRN Measurement file name : NV519.RWL Date checked : 28MAR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 990 Ending year : 2000 Principal investigators: John C. King Site name : Lucky Horseshoe Site location : Nevada Species information : PIFL LIMBER PINE Latitude : +3752 Longitude : -11820 Elevation : 3140M Series intercorrelation: 0.659 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.256 Avg standard deviation : 0.154 Avg autocorrelation : 0.670 Number dated series : 33 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 15 Pct problem segments : 3.39 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: nv519.rwl 14:00 Mon 28 Mar 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 tsb05b 990 1490 .29A .48 .68 .40 .44 .65 .62 .56 .65 .68 .64 .66 .79 .85 .57 .34B .69 .84 .83 .42 2 tsb11a 990 1103 .30A .47 .69 .55 .38B 3 tsb04c 1026 1460 .54 .39 .50 .69 .53 .45 .66 .71 .76 .72 .70 .78 .75 .82 .91 .86 .62 4 tsb05c 1080 1220 .53 .65 .59 .64 .50 5 tsb02b 1110 1462 .52 .51 .53 .65 .70 .78 .76 .65 .67 .70 .82 .81 .75 .61 6 tsb02a 1110 2000 .49 .49 .53 .75 .84 .82 .73 .72 .79 .75 .75 .87 .90 .79 .84 7 tsb07a 1122 1572 .60 .56 .63 .79 .85 .82 .81 .77 .74 .72 .84 .90 .90 .77 .75 8 tsb09a 1155 2000 .39 .69 .61 .56 .63 .42 .48 .58 .67 .78 .69 .55 .72 9 tsb04b 1160 1442 .55 .68 .69 .73 .65 .63 .74 .71 .84 .91 .87 10 tsb09b 1160 1274 .22B .54 .62 .62 11 tsb06c 1200 1457 .66 .82 .76 .69 .73 .66 .77 .91 .90 .84 12 tsb08c 1200 1332 .46 .71 .67 .66 .66 13 tsb06b 1330 1480 .77 .79 .83 .83 .62 .43 14 teb08 1387 2000 .51 .56 .60 .68 15 tsb11b 1410 1899 .67 .70 .72 16 tsb10b 1430 1947 .45 .59 17 teb04 1468 2000 .69 18 tsb10c 1473 1736 .81 19 teb07 1474 2000 .70 Av segment correlation .30 .47 .64 .45 .46 .60 .55 .50 .66 .68 .73 .71 .67 .72 .69 .74 .81 .80 .67 .67 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: nv519.rwl 14:00 Mon 28 Mar 2005 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 6 tsb02a 1110 2000 .85 .80 .73 .82 .83 .64 .75 .77 .80 .80 .70 .77 .78 .67 .64 .57 .61 .84 .89 .79 7 tsb07a 1122 1572 .79 .76 .76 8 tsb09a 1155 2000 .79 .74 .63 .51 .50 .36B .53 .60 .59 .56 .41 .32B .50 .52 .59 .52 .38 .47 .62 .72 14 teb08 1387 2000 .59 .54 .73 .79 .70 .53 .69 .72 .61 .66 .72 .75 .80 .78 .82 .70 .53 .71 .69 .66 15 tsb11b 1410 1899 .82 .83 .77 .76 .65 .60 .78 .63 .67 .75 .58 .60 .76 .67 .67 .73 16 tsb10b 1430 1947 .46 .23B .55 .75 .69 .62 .73 .73 .70 .66 .39B .29B .34 .46 .44 .44 .45 .45 17 teb04 1468 2000 .75 .83 .81 .85 .77 .58 .68 .72 .69 .71 .75 .73 .55 .37 .65 .69 .67 .79 .80 .53 18 tsb10c 1473 1736 .85 .88 .82 .86 .80 .65 .85 .86 .75 .70 19 teb07 1474 2000 .67 .54 .58 .75 .79 .68 .77 .78 .74 .79 .71 .65 .77 .79 .70 .62 .52 .71 .87 .79 20 teb09 1515 2000 .77 .75 .75 .74 .65 .79 .87 .76 .72 .71 .49 .46 .55 .60 .68 .70 .53 .70 .73 21 teb03 1531 2000 .56 .72 .73 .62 .67 .72 .77 .75 .76 .71 .73 .71 .82 .88 .70 .67 .69 .55 22 tsb10a 1550 1770 .51 .63 .55 .80 .83 .72 .59 .62 23 teb10 1610 2000 .55 .68 .77 .77 .66 .52 .33A .16B .26A .45 .51 .62 .58 .43 .51 24 tsb01a 1630 1758 .34B .38B .51 .51 .45 25 teb01 1670 2000 .48 .53 .56 .64 .46 .50 .58 .44 .47 .55 .47 .52 .51 26 teb05 1738 2000 .80 .79 .82 .79 .85 .84 .78 .82 .88 .80 27 teb06 1780 2000 .59 .76 .80 .79 .59 .71 .90 .85 28 tsb05a 1800 2000 .66 .76 .80 .61 .70 .66 .63 29 tsb04a 1820 2000 .68 .60 .59 .63 .61 .59 .60 30 tsb06a 1850 2000 .79 .69 .72 .86 .79 31 tsb03a 1850 2000 .69 .52 .59 .72 .68 32 teb02 1882 2000 .80 .80 .86 .78 33 tsb08a 1900 2000 .56 .76 .72 Av segment correlation .73 .69 .70 .73 .71 .59 .70 .70 .69 .67 .63 .57 .60 .62 .65 .67 .61 .65 .73 .69 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: nv519.rwl 14:00 Mon 28 Mar 2005 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1975 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 6 tsb02a 1110 2000 .78 8 tsb09a 1155 2000 .73 14 teb08 1387 2000 .64 17 teb04 1468 2000 .49 19 teb07 1474 2000 .78 20 teb09 1515 2000 .72 21 teb03 1531 2000 .55 23 teb10 1610 2000 .53 25 teb01 1670 2000 .54 26 teb05 1738 2000 .79 27 teb06 1780 2000 .81 28 tsb05a 1800 2000 .62 29 tsb04a 1820 2000 .59 30 tsb06a 1850 2000 .79 31 tsb03a 1850 2000 .73 32 teb02 1882 2000 .78 33 tsb08a 1900 2000 .72 Av segment correlation .68 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: nv519.rwl 14:00 Mon 28 Mar 2005 Page 11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 tsb05b 990 1490 501 20 2 .602 .26 .46 .088 .432 .320 2.45 .301 -.018 1 2 tsb11a 990 1103 114 5 2 .414 .25 .45 .088 .427 .326 2.51 .436 -.046 1 3 tsb04c 1026 1460 435 17 0 .683 .29 .59 .093 .606 .233 2.65 .294 .003 1 4 tsb05c 1080 1220 141 5 0 .520 .28 .50 .084 .346 .294 2.53 .397 -.035 3 5 tsb02b 1110 1462 353 14 0 .695 .17 .53 .063 .578 .266 2.59 .352 -.062 1 6 tsb02a 1110 2000 891 36 0 .753 .39 1.53 .310 .940 .241 2.44 .238 -.018 1 7 tsb07a 1122 1572 451 18 0 .777 .35 .88 .126 .653 .241 2.62 .380 -.037 1 8 tsb09a 1155 2000 846 34 2 .570 .37 1.19 .173 .859 .193 2.57 .286 -.012 3 9 tsb04b 1160 1442 283 11 0 .738 .36 .75 .115 .634 .220 2.53 .318 -.024 1 10 tsb09b 1160 1274 115 4 1 .528 .31 .87 .131 .798 .211 2.54 .287 .005 1 11 tsb06c 1200 1457 258 10 0 .761 .30 .53 .089 .395 .268 2.41 .356 -.051 1 12 tsb08c 1200 1332 133 5 0 .566 .20 .39 .088 .376 .439 2.45 .448 -.072 1 13 tsb06b 1330 1480 151 6 0 .667 .29 .71 .121 .611 .326 2.50 .393 -.052 1 14 teb08 1387 2000 614 25 0 .656 .33 1.25 .170 .655 .343 2.53 .320 -.021 1 15 tsb11b 1410 1899 490 19 0 .714 .25 .65 .094 .489 .340 2.50 .334 -.017 1 16 tsb10b 1430 1947 518 20 3 .499 .34 .96 .136 .759 .220 2.58 .315 -.025 4 17 teb04 1468 2000 533 22 0 .676 .32 .75 .143 .746 .288 2.39 .268 -.031 1 18 tsb10c 1473 1736 264 11 0 .792 .62 1.11 .180 .453 .265 2.39 .309 -.022 1 19 teb07 1474 2000 527 22 0 .712 .47 1.28 .194 .780 .222 2.42 .251 -.009 2 20 teb09 1515 2000 486 20 0 .683 .45 .96 .119 .510 .201 2.65 .413 -.006 1 21 teb03 1531 2000 470 19 0 .672 .37 .89 .160 .708 .260 2.52 .380 .003 1 22 tsb10a 1550 1770 221 8 0 .630 .31 .74 .131 .699 .259 2.53 .401 -.032 1 23 teb10 1610 2000 391 16 3 .509 .33 .86 .126 .803 .186 2.58 .368 -.002 1 24 tsb01a 1630 1758 129 5 2 .425 .39 1.17 .206 .817 .227 2.53 .341 -.042 2 25 teb01 1670 2000 331 14 0 .509 .50 1.65 .219 .797 .183 2.42 .253 -.033 2 26 teb05 1738 2000 263 11 0 .799 .73 1.44 .218 .644 .215 2.57 .329 -.020 1 27 teb06 1780 2000 221 9 0 .719 .42 1.11 .211 .700 .323 2.46 .339 -.025 1 28 tsb05a 1800 2000 201 8 0 .674 .30 .75 .112 .625 .243 2.50 .366 -.040 1 29 tsb04a 1820 2000 181 8 0 .631 .17 .34 .054 .309 .315 2.39 .309 -.057 1 30 tsb06a 1850 2000 151 6 0 .764 .23 .43 .078 .593 .267 2.48 .293 -.070 1 31 tsb03a 1850 2000 151 6 0 .654 .28 1.04 .131 .671 .264 2.60 .349 -.017 1 32 teb02 1882 2000 119 5 0 .785 1.24 2.14 .383 .669 .202 2.35 .334 -.005 1 33 tsb08a 1900 2000 101 4 0 .658 .51 .93 .231 .770 .274 2.44 .400 -.072 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 11034 443 15 .659 .36 2.14 .154 .670 .256 2.65 .322 -.023