Mushfar Gilgit, Pakistan - PAKI031 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : PAKI031.CRN Measurement file name : PAKI031.RWL Date checked : 26JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1296 Ending year : 2007 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Site name : Mushfar Gilgit Site location : Pakistan Species information : CDDE DEODAR CEDAR Latitude : 3530 Longitude : 07405 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.903 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.534 Avg standard deviation : 0.403 Avg autocorrelation : 0.557 Number dated series : 30 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 1 Pct problem segments : 0.22 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mushfar Gilgit 09:40 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 MSFC011 1731 1990 .87 .92 .89 .88 .87 .91 2 MSFC012 1726 1990 .93 .92 .91 .90 .91 .90 3 MSFC021 1515 2007 .90 .93 .96 .95 .94 .94 .90 .92 .95 .92 .92 .95 .89 .88 .93 4 MSFC022 1545 2005 .93 .93 .92 .90 .90 .92 .93 .94 .92 .92 .94 .85 .87 .93 7 MSFC041 1526 2007 .85 .84 .84 .83 .82 .72 .82 .89 .89 .93 .89 .85 .87 .91 8 MSFC042 1487 2005 .89 .87 .87 .90 .90 .90 .91 .83 .88 .94 .93 .87 .89 .92 .94 .94 9 MSFC051 1871 2007 .84 10 MSFC052 1850 2007 .78 11 MSFC061 1504 2007 .92 .93 .96 .96 .93 .94 .94 .95 .96 .96 .96 .94 .90 .89 .90 12 MSFC062 1533 2007 .87 .91 .96 .94 .92 .92 .92 .92 .93 .95 .94 .90 .88 .90 13 MSFC071 1404 2007 .96 .96 .94 .95 .94 .96 .96 .94 .95 .95 .94 .95 .95 .95 .95 .95 .93 .92 .94 14 MSFC072 1396 2007 .93 .95 .92 .94 .94 .92 .91 .90 .90 .95 .92 .89 .92 .91 .92 .96 .96 .91 .91 .97 15 MSFC082 1605 2007 .93 .93 .89 .90 .94 .93 .91 .91 .89 .92 .95 16 MSFC091 1442 2007 .91 .94 .94 .95 .96 .95 .95 .95 .96 .92 .91 .96 .97 .96 .91 .90 .94 .96 17 MSFC092 1496 2007 .91 .92 .94 .95 .94 .97 .96 .93 .94 .95 .95 .95 .92 .93 .94 .97 18 MSFC101 1464 2007 .93 .93 .93 .95 .96 .97 .95 .91 .91 .96 .98 .97 .93 .87 .87 .92 .95 19 MSFC102 1452 2007 .92 .91 .89 .92 .94 .96 .92 .94 .93 .93 .94 .92 .93 .89 .84 .90 .94 20 MSFC111 1814 2007 .93 .93 .96 21 MSFC112 1824 2007 .84 .84 .93 22 MSFC121 1563 2007 .88 .89 .87 .82 .80 .89 .94 .95 .93 .92 .80 .79 .91 23 MSFC122 1491 2007 .77 .72 .79 .84 .88 .92 .77 .65 .82 .92 .93 .95 .94 .85 .73 .84 24 MSFC131 1802 2007 .86 .92 .94 25 MSFC132 1814 2007 .89 .89 .93 26 MSFC141 1774 2007 .88 .88 .94 .94 .92 27 MSFC142 1787 2007 .95 .93 .93 .93 28 MSFC151 1779 2007 .85 .93 .97 .97 29 MSFC152 1756 2007 .73 .77 .91 .93 .94 30 MSFC162 1296 2007 .92 .95 .95 .92 .90 .92 .90 .89 .90 .92 .89 .86 .91 .94 .93 .90 .88 .75 .72 .85 Av segment correlation .93 .96 .93 .93 .91 .90 .91 .92 .92 .92 .91 .87 .91 .94 .93 .92 .91 .88 .89 .92 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mushfar Gilgit 09:40 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 MSFC011 1731 1990 .90 .85 .87 .86 2 MSFC012 1726 1990 .87 .86 .87 .88 3 MSFC021 1515 2007 .92 .93 .94 .92 .92 4 MSFC022 1545 2005 .91 .88 .92 .95 .96 5 MSFC031 1899 2007 .59 .59 .46 .50 .53 6 MSFC032 1904 2007 .67 .48 .30A .51 7 MSFC041 1526 2007 .93 .81 .70 .71 .72 8 MSFC042 1487 2005 .91 .90 .87 .82 .83 9 MSFC051 1871 2007 .87 .86 .78 .69 .76 10 MSFC052 1850 2007 .88 .87 .74 .65 .74 11 MSFC061 1504 2007 .91 .94 .95 .90 .90 12 MSFC062 1533 2007 .92 .93 .95 .90 .92 13 MSFC071 1404 2007 .94 .85 .83 .93 .94 14 MSFC072 1396 2007 .96 .90 .87 .91 .92 15 MSFC082 1605 2007 .92 .92 .92 .89 .89 16 MSFC091 1442 2007 .94 .93 .93 .95 .96 17 MSFC092 1496 2007 .96 .94 .92 .93 .93 18 MSFC101 1464 2007 .95 .92 .94 .96 .96 19 MSFC102 1452 2007 .92 .92 .90 .90 .88 20 MSFC111 1814 2007 .96 .96 .97 .97 .97 21 MSFC112 1824 2007 .92 .92 .95 .97 .96 22 MSFC121 1563 2007 .91 .94 .93 .90 .90 23 MSFC122 1491 2007 .88 .89 .90 .89 .89 24 MSFC131 1802 2007 .95 .96 .95 .89 .92 25 MSFC132 1814 2007 .93 .94 .94 .88 .89 26 MSFC141 1774 2007 .91 .96 .96 .95 .95 27 MSFC142 1787 2007 .92 .92 .93 .95 .95 28 MSFC151 1779 2007 .94 .93 .95 .94 .94 29 MSFC152 1756 2007 .94 .96 .95 .93 .93 30 MSFC162 1296 2007 .84 .80 .84 .92 .92 Av segment correlation .91 .89 .87 .86 .87 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mushfar Gilgit 09:40 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 MSFC011 1731 1990 260 10 0 .868 1.12 2.70 .523 .502 .415 2.62 .396 .022 1 2 MSFC012 1726 1990 265 10 0 .895 1.29 3.45 .674 .600 .415 2.47 .414 .032 1 3 MSFC021 1515 2007 493 20 0 .925 .62 2.33 .364 .287 .617 2.65 .423 -.013 1 4 MSFC022 1545 2005 461 19 0 .921 .61 2.88 .365 .345 .599 2.56 .436 -.025 1 5 MSFC031 1899 2007 109 5 0 .548 2.39 5.61 1.110 .868 .200 2.37 .330 -.025 1 6 MSFC032 1904 2007 104 4 1 .576 2.45 5.61 1.262 .896 .205 2.50 .319 -.042 1 7 MSFC041 1526 2007 482 19 0 .846 .45 2.69 .393 .762 .566 2.66 .376 -.037 1 8 MSFC042 1487 2005 519 21 0 .891 .59 3.70 .533 .732 .512 2.51 .271 -.018 1 9 MSFC051 1871 2007 137 6 0 .811 1.22 3.04 .690 .816 .314 2.61 .492 -.024 1 10 MSFC052 1850 2007 158 6 0 .788 1.19 2.94 .657 .806 .314 2.61 .466 -.036 1 11 MSFC061 1504 2007 504 20 0 .933 .35 1.39 .202 .327 .638 2.54 .358 -.015 1 12 MSFC062 1533 2007 475 19 0 .910 .50 1.43 .269 .398 .552 2.55 .354 -.015 2 13 MSFC071 1404 2007 604 24 0 .938 .36 2.12 .210 .559 .506 2.41 .287 -.013 1 14 MSFC072 1396 2007 612 25 0 .919 .50 3.66 .400 .704 .492 2.47 .270 -.022 1 15 MSFC082 1605 2007 403 16 0 .919 .42 1.97 .272 .330 .692 2.56 .302 -.001 1 16 MSFC091 1442 2007 566 23 0 .944 .52 2.06 .345 .450 .673 2.51 .310 -.008 1 17 MSFC092 1496 2007 512 21 0 .944 .57 3.24 .416 .471 .690 2.46 .317 -.009 1 18 MSFC101 1464 2007 544 22 0 .942 .61 2.80 .451 .619 .601 2.59 .359 -.018 1 19 MSFC102 1452 2007 556 22 0 .926 .50 2.25 .412 .664 .630 2.58 .319 -.011 1 20 MSFC111 1814 2007 194 8 0 .947 1.18 4.25 .618 .605 .418 2.52 .432 -.020 1 21 MSFC112 1824 2007 184 8 0 .908 1.20 3.00 .614 .649 .404 2.56 .459 -.048 1 22 MSFC121 1563 2007 445 18 0 .902 .42 1.28 .248 .583 .544 2.62 .342 -.005 1 23 MSFC122 1491 2007 517 21 0 .854 .44 1.43 .256 .637 .491 2.43 .259 -.003 1 24 MSFC131 1802 2007 206 8 0 .913 .99 2.57 .414 .482 .363 2.67 .429 -.015 1 25 MSFC132 1814 2007 194 8 0 .904 1.51 3.61 .618 .408 .401 2.49 .369 -.002 1 26 MSFC141 1774 2007 234 10 0 .926 .97 2.67 .515 .683 .388 2.39 .291 -.002 1 27 MSFC142 1787 2007 221 9 0 .933 .95 2.90 .597 .763 .408 2.37 .306 -.018 1 28 MSFC151 1779 2007 229 9 0 .933 1.06 3.05 .596 .682 .416 2.58 .382 -.038 1 29 MSFC152 1756 2007 252 10 0 .898 .85 2.57 .445 .612 .423 2.43 .323 -.011 1 30 MSFC162 1296 2007 712 25 0 .891 .33 1.05 .195 .494 .577 2.63 .358 -.013 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 11152 446 1 .903 .66 5.61 .403 .557 .534 2.67 .345 -.014