Naltar Gilgit PCSM, Pakistan - PAKI036 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 NOTES: Missing data values are designated by -888 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : PAKI036.CRN Measurement file name : PAKI036.RWL Date checked : 26JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1387 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Site name : Naltar Gilgit Site location : Pakistan Species information : PCSM HIMALAYAN SPRUCE Latitude : 3609 Longitude : 07411 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.637 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.215 Avg standard deviation : 0.404 Avg autocorrelation : 0.843 Number dated series : 35 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 18 Pct problem segments : 3.40 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Naltar Gilgit PCSM 09:48 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 NLTP492 1790 1986 .39 .49 .63 .72 .79 2 NLTP421 1737 1986 .64 .64 .65 .71 .77 .81 .83 3 NLTP462 1596 1986 .22A .24A .44 .53 .58 .63 .31A .39 .74 .65 .66 .71 .76 4 NLTP463 1641 1986 .58 .61 .61 .67 .60 .54 .49 .37 .40 .65 .83 5 NLTP471 1749 1986 .51 .51 .69 .73 .70 .80 .83 6 NLTP502 1795 1986 .56 .62 .67 .69 .66 7 NLTP511 1800 1986 .37 .62 .63 .73 8 NLTP512 1797 1986 .64 .72 .72 .60 .55 9 NLTP401 1614 1986 .63 .56 .64 .75 .69 .67 .73 .65 .46 .42 .68 .80 10 NLTP402 1647 1986 .71 .74 .69 .68 .62 .66 .60 .37 .39 .71 .75 11 NLTP441 1780 1987 .73 .50 .55 .82 .84 12 NLTP442 1678 1986 .54 .43 .41 .62 .69 .65 .52 .60 .69 13 NLTP451 1465 1986 .52 .47 .61 .80 .66 .60 .72 .70 .67 .67 .67 .61 .60 .69 .60 .43 .61 .87 14 NLTP452 1422 1986 .28B .32A .64 .46 .33 .56 .43 .42 .64 .74 .82 .75 .77 .77 .79 .80 .67 .61 .74 .87 15 NLTP453 1467 1986 .40 .43 .47 .35B .33B .41B .44 .37 .50 .67 .60 .57 .67 .70 .65 .61 .63 .53 16 NLTP461 1600 1986 .36 .69 .71 .68 .71 .62 .55 .48 .57 .75 .71 .78 17 NLTP521 1499 1986 .48 .47 .66 .75 .68 .69 .75 .76 .83 .79 .70 .75 .50 .01B .28A .83 .85 18 NLTP522 1496 1986 .39 .44 .60 .72 .73 .80 .81 .78 .77 .76 .75 .73 .74 .74 .75 .82 .84 19 NLTP011 1490 2005 .37 .39 .19B .24A .36 .55 .62 .58 .67 .76 .77 .75 .67 .68 .57 .57 .81 20 NLTP012 1620 2005 .58 .58 .53 .58 .76 .71 .75 .57 .50 .24A .27A .69 21 NLTP021 1542 2005 .66 .65 .75 .67 .74 .86 .81 .79 .73 .77 .85 .82 .87 .89 .74 22 NLTP022 1478 2005 .64 .71 .61 .71 .78 .61 .72 .88 .91 .89 .72 .68 .76 .82 .87 .85 .81 23 NLTP031 1617 2005 .70 .68 .62 .69 .65 .61 .74 .69 .57 .36 .51 .65 24 NLTP041 1679 2005 .51 .42 .49B .63 .65 .61 .52 .62 .83 25 NLTP051 1538 2004 .68 .72 .70 .35 .38 .61 .61 .70 .78 .79 .72 .70 .66 .69 .78 26 NLTP052 1528 2005 .70 .77 .62 .23B .54 .81 .73 .72 .61 .55 .64 .69 .70 .74 .82 27 NLTP061 1619 2005 .54 .67 .61 .61 .61 .61 .46 .47 .55 .52 .61 .56 28 NLTP062 1751 2005 .48 .60 .56 .35 .53 .68 29 NLTP071 1722 2005 .74 .76 .83 .78 .74 .75 .78 .80 30 NLTP072 1433 2005 .41 .43 .54 .55 .65 .71 .74 .60 .61 .66 .72 .71 .72 .78 .76 .73 .73 .71 .78 31 NLTP081 1387 2005 .46 .42 .69 .59 .45 .52 .55 .51 .68 .72 .76 .67 .60 .62 .59 .59 .60 .64 .65 .70 32 NLTP082 1405 1515 .42 .30A .50 .70 33 NLTP091 1469 2005 .71 .71 .71 .63 .63 .62 .57 .80 .89 .80 .66 .59 .70 .78 .73 .78 .82 .77 34 NLTP092 1468 1593 .59 .64 .63 .73 .66 35 NLTP101 1517 2005 .47 .45 .40 .43 .56 .61 .57 .66 .69 .56 .56 .60 .35 .50 .60 .65 Av segment correlation .39 .36 .56 .53 .52 .59 .59 .57 .56 .64 .69 .69 .68 .63 .65 .65 .59 .59 .69 .75 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Naltar Gilgit PCSM 09:48 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1900 1925 1950 1975 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 NLTP492 1790 1986 .60 .51 .51 2 NLTP421 1737 1986 .82 .75 .60 3 NLTP462 1596 1986 .79 .75 .71 4 NLTP463 1641 1986 .80 .69 .72 5 NLTP471 1749 1986 .77 .62 .64 6 NLTP502 1795 1986 .54 .41 .35 7 NLTP511 1800 1986 .63 .48 .46 8 NLTP512 1797 1986 .41 .44 .44 9 NLTP401 1614 1986 .68 .66 .71 10 NLTP402 1647 1986 .65 .57 .57 11 NLTP441 1780 1987 .74 .39 .30B 12 NLTP442 1678 1986 .64 .65 .70 13 NLTP451 1465 1986 .80 .55 .50 14 NLTP452 1422 1986 .85 .79 .75 15 NLTP453 1467 1986 .49 .41 .40 16 NLTP461 1600 1986 .83 .65 .58 17 NLTP521 1499 1986 .83 .83 .82 18 NLTP522 1496 1986 .78 .80 .78 19 NLTP011 1490 2005 .88 .84 .78 .80 20 NLTP012 1620 2005 .80 .69 .66 .63 21 NLTP021 1542 2005 .70 .76 .83 .85 22 NLTP022 1478 2005 .80 .84 .81 .79 23 NLTP031 1617 2005 .68 .73 .57 .59 24 NLTP041 1679 2005 .73 .68 .81 .80 25 NLTP051 1538 2004 .65 .68 .78 .77 26 NLTP052 1528 2005 .62 .64 .78 .77 27 NLTP061 1619 2005 .55 .66 .58 .63 28 NLTP062 1751 2005 .57 .49 .57 .68 29 NLTP071 1722 2005 .83 .75 .67 .65 30 NLTP072 1433 2005 .82 .83 .75 .71 31 NLTP081 1387 2005 .69 .64 .64 .64 33 NLTP091 1469 2005 .70 .72 .80 .81 35 NLTP101 1517 2005 .76 .77 .71 .74 Av segment correlation .71 .66 .64 .72 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Naltar Gilgit PCSM 09:48 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 NLTP492 1790 1986 197 8 0 .558 1.20 2.76 .521 .861 .169 2.49 .420 -.038 1 2 NLTP421 1737 1986 250 10 0 .702 .64 2.17 .306 .829 .226 2.50 .407 -.030 1 3 NLTP462 1596 1986 391 16 3 .572 .85 2.47 .470 .873 .238 2.54 .404 .010 1 4 NLTP463 1641 1986 346 14 0 .612 .82 2.48 .462 .887 .226 2.68 .395 -.019 1 5 NLTP471 1749 1986 238 10 0 .674 1.08 1.94 .294 .591 .194 2.45 .334 -.034 1 6 NLTP502 1795 1986 192 8 0 .557 1.34 2.61 .365 .690 .174 2.52 .412 -.003 2 7 NLTP511 1800 1986 187 7 0 .530 1.53 2.45 .445 .632 .206 2.48 .394 -.007 1 8 NLTP512 1797 1986 190 8 0 .539 1.91 3.79 .648 .824 .163 2.72 .441 .038 1 9 NLTP401 1614 1986 373 15 0 .641 1.14 3.04 .507 .735 .270 2.56 .382 -.007 1 10 NLTP402 1647 1986 340 14 0 .620 1.24 4.28 .635 .822 .240 2.82 .403 -.041 1 11 NLTP441 1780 1987 208 8 1 .626 .72 1.72 .354 .775 .268 2.50 .300 -.013 1 12 NLTP442 1678 1986 309 12 0 .588 1.14 2.79 .462 .750 .234 2.52 .283 -.023 1 13 NLTP451 1465 1986 522 21 0 .638 .80 2.15 .382 .884 .213 2.54 .306 -.014 1 14 NLTP452 1422 1986 565 23 2 .639 .81 2.39 .380 .909 .177 2.65 .361 -.010 1 15 NLTP453 1467 1986 520 21 3 .490 .72 2.24 .376 .921 .154 2.62 .328 -.006 1 16 NLTP461 1600 1986 387 15 0 .614 .75 2.45 .496 .893 .290 2.49 .371 -.012 1 17 NLTP521 1499 1986 488 20 2 .689 .76 2.70 .595 .922 .216 2.60 .372 -.023 1 18 NLTP522 1496 1986 491 20 0 .733 .87 2.52 .397 .818 .215 2.47 .314 -.006 1 19 NLTP011 1490 2005 516 21 2 .625 1.01 2.62 .481 .916 .166 2.61 .383 -.025 1 20 NLTP012 1620 2005 386 16 2 .590 .92 3.17 .584 .921 .172 2.46 .317 .004 1 21 NLTP021 1542 2005 464 19 0 .772 .75 1.92 .372 .872 .223 2.59 .368 -.035 1 22 NLTP022 1478 2005 528 21 0 .742 .82 2.13 .383 .872 .200 2.77 .385 -.029 1 23 NLTP031 1617 2005 389 16 0 .627 .78 2.59 .446 .919 .187 2.45 .272 -.047 1 24 NLTP041 1679 2005 327 13 1 .645 .77 1.78 .280 .757 .195 2.70 .368 -.019 2 25 NLTP051 1538 2004 467 19 0 .658 .62 3.15 .325 .836 .214 2.61 .336 -.009 1 26 NLTP052 1528 2005 478 19 1 .664 .60 2.16 .317 .855 .230 2.60 .329 .003 1 27 NLTP061 1619 2005 387 16 0 .564 .98 2.16 .327 .784 .167 2.58 .341 .016 1 28 NLTP062 1751 2005 255 10 0 .548 .97 1.87 .284 .758 .156 2.65 .402 .005 1 29 NLTP071 1722 2005 284 12 0 .747 .43 .86 .171 .567 .326 2.48 .276 -.017 1 30 NLTP072 1433 2005 573 23 0 .675 .57 1.74 .264 .817 .242 2.63 .365 -.001 1 31 NLTP081 1387 2005 619 24 0 .616 .66 1.78 .366 .910 .225 2.49 .259 -.016 1 32 NLTP082 1405 1515 111 4 1 .499 .78 1.22 .200 .572 .195 2.49 .445 -.017 2 33 NLTP091 1469 2005 537 22 0 .724 .53 3.50 .426 .941 .264 2.54 .397 -.017 1 34 NLTP092 1468 1593 126 5 0 .626 1.26 2.32 .424 .820 .173 2.60 .445 -.017 1 35 NLTP101 1517 2005 489 20 0 .578 .51 1.77 .360 .905 .241 2.53 .320 -.021 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 13130 530 18 .637 .83 4.28 .404 .843 .215 2.82 .353 -.014