[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run VENE2 Program COF 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25211 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: vene1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1681 to 2001 321 years Continuous time span is 1681 to 2001 321 years Portion with two or more series is 1685 to 2001 317 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 34 *C* *O* Master series 1681 2001 321 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6395 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6391 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .533 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .202 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 11 *A* *** Mean length of series 188.1 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . . . OJB0003A 1 1685 1910 226 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . . . OJB0003B 2 1681 1911 231 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . OJB0011A 3 1808 2001 194 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========================> . OJB0011B 4 1756 2001 246 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OJB0012A 5 1831 2001 171 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OJB0012B 6 1871 2001 131 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================> . OJB0013A 7 1737 2001 265 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================> . OJB0013B 8 1737 2001 265 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OJB0014A 9 1876 2001 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . OJB0014B 10 1882 2001 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OJB0015A 11 1846 2001 156 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OJB0016A 12 1843 2001 159 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OJB0016B 13 1861 2001 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OJB0017A 14 1847 2001 155 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OJB0018A 15 1842 2001 160 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OJB0018B 16 1832 2001 170 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OJB0019A 17 1833 2001 169 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OJB0020A 18 1824 2001 178 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========================> . OJB0021A 19 1723 2001 279 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========================> . OJB0021B 20 1727 2001 275 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OJB0024A 21 1826 2001 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OJB0024B 22 1872 2001 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OJB0025A 23 1819 2001 183 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OJB0025B 24 1819 2001 183 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OJB0026A 25 1810 2001 192 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OJB0026B 26 1816 2001 186 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OJB0027A 27 1828 2001 174 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OJB0027B 28 1830 2001 172 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OJB0028A 29 1832 2001 170 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OJB0028B 30 1846 2001 156 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OJB0029A 31 1794 2001 208 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . OJB0029B 32 1803 2001 199 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . OJB0030A 33 1780 2001 222 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . OJB0030B 34 1775 2001 227 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 .484 2 1750 -.522 6 1800 -.112 10 1850 1.034 29 1900 .351 34 1701 -1.423 2 1751 -.528 6 1801 .891 10 1851 .901 29 1901 1.216 34 1702 -.222 2 1752 .883 6 1802 .606 10 1852 .382 29 1902 -.954 34 1703 -.154 2 1753 1.497 6 1803 -.218 11 1853 -.146 29 1903 -1.186 34 1704 -.121 2 1754 1.112 6 1804 .725 11 1854 .850 29 1904 .453 34 1705 .934 2 1755 .925 6 1805 1.306 11 1855 -.135 29 1905 -.381 34 1706 1.630 2 1756 .088 7 1806 -1.512 11 1856 -.467 29 1906 .577 34 1707 1.480 2 1757 1.829 7 1807 -.377 11 1857 -.010 29 1907 -.622 34 1708 .962 2 1758 .786 7 1808 -.260 12 1858 .049 29 1908 .014 34 1709 -1.360 2 1759 .062 7 1809 .901 12 1859 -.716 29 1909 -.778 34 1710 -1.281 2 1760 -1.270 7 1810 -.011 13 1860 -.098 29 1910 -.555 34 1711 .114 2 1761 -2.253 7 1811 -.279 13 1861 .571 30 1911 .789 33 1712 1.345 2 1762 -.936 7 1812 .539 13 1862 -1.924 30 1912 .930 32 1713 .782 2 1763 -.388 7 1813 -.143 13 1863 -.790 30 1913 -.349 32 1714 1.126 2 1764 -.711 7 1814 -2.000 13 1864 .082 30 1914 -.555 32 1715 2.109 2 1765 .241 7 1815 -.566 13 1865 .607 30 1915 .600 32 1716 1.264 2 1766 -.009 7 1816 -.094 14 1866 -.321 30 1916 -.138 32 1717 .964 2 1767 .228 7 1817 .187 14 1867 -2.108 30 1917 -.732 32 1718 -.850 2 1768 .485 7 1818 .365 14 1868 -.259 30 1918 -1.166 32 1719 -3.179 2 1769 .105 7 1819 .840 16 1869 -.254 30 1919 -.709 32 1720 -1.522 2 1770 .278 7 1820 -2.221 16 1870 1.087 30 1920 .220 32 1721 -1.773 2 1771 -.919 7 1821 -.808 16 1871 -.049 31 1921 .069 32 1722 -.990 2 1772 .192 7 1822 .002 16 1872 .105 32 1922 1.225 32 1723 -.375 3 1773 .491 7 1823 .323 16 1873 -.472 32 1923 .887 32 1724 -.248 3 1774 1.833 7 1824 .408 17 1874 .611 32 1924 1.450 32 1725 1.617 3 1775 1.118 8 1825 .586 17 1875 1.307 32 1925 1.101 32 1726 .000 3 1776 -1.161 8 1826 1.710 18 1876 .310 33 1926 -.752 32 1727 1.569 4 1777 .057 8 1827 1.182 18 1877 .915 33 1927 -.081 32 1728 .647 4 1778 1.027 8 1828 -.213 19 1878 .048 33 1928 -.701 32 1729 1.548 4 1779 .480 8 1829 .540 19 1879 -.017 33 1929 .250 32 1730 .026 4 1780 .387 9 1830 .395 20 1880 -.858 33 1930 .947 32 1681 1.958 1 1731 -.065 4 1781 -.123 9 1831 .766 21 1881 -1.862 33 1931 .342 32 1682 -.109 1 1732 .843 4 1782 .336 9 1832 -.170 23 1882 1.096 34 1932 .239 32 1683 -.591 1 1733 -.284 4 1783 -.176 9 1833 -.032 24 1883 -1.277 34 1933 -1.573 32 1684 1.567 1 1734 -.752 4 1784 .116 9 1834 .364 24 1884 -.763 34 1934 1.069 32 1685 .675 2 1735 -2.086 4 1785 -.267 9 1835 -1.040 24 1885 -.141 34 1935 -.229 32 1686 1.967 2 1736 .175 4 1786 -.756 9 1836 -.953 24 1886 -.247 34 1936 .967 32 1687 .168 2 1737 -.715 6 1787 -1.482 9 1837 -1.165 24 1887 .739 34 1937 .649 32 1688 -.613 2 1738 .718 6 1788 -.900 9 1838 -1.466 24 1888 .172 34 1938 -1.211 32 1689 -.524 2 1739 -.027 6 1789 -1.216 9 1839 -2.076 24 1889 .617 34 1939 -.298 32 1690 -6.060 2 1740 -.640 6 1790 -1.886 9 1840 .321 24 1890 1.946 34 1940 -.273 32 1691 -1.602 2 1741 -.116 6 1791 .170 9 1841 .765 24 1891 .884 34 1941 -1.034 32 1692 .091 2 1742 .785 6 1792 .293 9 1842 1.441 25 1892 .150 34 1942 -1.743 32 1693 .707 2 1743 1.140 6 1793 1.808 9 1843 -.580 26 1893 .758 34 1943 -.168 32 1694 2.357 2 1744 .896 6 1794 1.162 10 1844 -1.029 26 1894 .200 34 1944 -.594 32 1695 .323 2 1745 .074 6 1795 .207 10 1845 -.029 26 1895 -1.549 34 1945 -.624 32 1696 -2.420 2 1746 -.417 6 1796 -.524 10 1846 .536 28 1896 -.595 34 1946 -1.140 32 1697 .205 2 1747 -1.047 6 1797 .159 10 1847 -.754 29 1897 -.608 34 1947 -1.068 32 1698 -.605 2 1748 -.769 6 1798 -.030 10 1848 .506 29 1898 .489 34 1948 -.339 32 1699 .110 2 1749 -1.675 6 1799 .595 10 1849 1.629 29 1899 -.620 34 1949 .238 32 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1950 1.328 32 2000 1.281 32 1951 .362 32 2001 1.170 32 1952 -.493 32 1953 .866 32 1954 1.970 32 1955 .525 32 1956 -.603 32 1957 1.541 32 1958 .274 32 1959 .954 32 1960 -.176 32 1961 -1.415 32 1962 -.975 32 1963 .117 32 1964 1.435 32 1965 -1.320 32 1966 -1.441 32 1967 1.263 32 1968 .102 32 1969 -.529 32 1970 -1.062 32 1971 -1.240 32 1972 -.757 32 1973 .183 32 1974 -.663 32 1975 1.105 32 1976 1.495 32 1977 -.042 32 1978 .415 32 1979 1.596 32 1980 -.364 32 1981 -.271 32 1982 -.896 32 1983 .323 32 1984 .936 32 1985 -.416 32 1986 -.001 32 1987 -.090 32 1988 .881 32 1989 1.116 32 1990 .907 32 1991 -.117 32 1992 -.829 32 1993 -.015 32 1994 -1.283 32 1995 -.536 32 1996 -.161 32 1997 -.351 32 1998 -.883 32 1999 -.821 32 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1700-------B 1750---b 1800----@ 1850---------D 1900-------A 1950---------E 2000---------E 1701f 1751---b 1801--------D 1851--------D 1901---------E 1951-------A 2001---------E 1702----a 1752--------D 1802-------B 1852-------B 1902-d 1952---b 1703----a 1753----------F 1803----a 1853----a 1903-e 1953--------C 1704----@ 1754---------D 1804--------C 1854--------C 1904-------B 1954----------H 1705--------D 1755--------D 1805---------E 1855----a 1905---b 1955-------B 1706----------G 1756-----@ 1806f 1856---b 1906-------B 1956--b 1707----------F 1757----------G 1807---b 1857-----@ 1907--b 1957----------F 1708---------D 1758--------C 1808----a 1858-----@ 1908-----@ 1958------A 1709e 1759-----@ 1809--------D 1859--c 1909--c 1959---------D 1710-e 1760-e 1810-----@ 1860----@ 1910--b 1960----a 1711------@ 1761i 1811---a 1861-------B 1911--------C 1961f 1712----------E 1762-d 1812-------B 1862h 1912--------D 1962-d 1713--------C 1763---b 1813----a 1863--c 1913---a 1963------@ 1714---------E 1764--c 1814h 1864-----@ 1914--b 1964----------F 1715----------H 1765------A 1815--b 1865-------B 1915-------B 1965e 1716---------E 1766-----@ 1816----@ 1866---a 1916----a 1966f 1717---------D 1767------A 1817------A 1867h 1917--c 1967---------E 1718--c 1768-------B 1818-------A 1868----a 1918-e 1968-----@ 1719m 1769------@ 1819--------C 1869----a 1919--c 1969---b 1720f 1770------A 1820i 1870---------D 1920------A 1970-d 1721g 1771-d 1821--c 1871-----@ 1921-----@ 1971-e 1722-d 1772------A 1822-----@ 1872------@ 1922---------E 1972--c 1723---b 1773-------B 1823------A 1873---b 1923--------D 1973------A 1724----a 1774----------G 1824-------B 1874-------B 1924----------F 1974--c 1725----------F 1775---------D 1825-------B 1875---------E 1925---------D 1975---------D 1726-----@ 1776-e 1826----------G 1876------A 1926--c 1976----------F 1727----------F 1777-----@ 1827---------E 1877--------D 1927----@ 1977-----@ 1728--------C 1778---------D 1828----a 1878-----@ 1928--c 1978-------B 1729----------F 1779-------B 1829-------B 1879-----@ 1929------A 1979----------F 1730-----@ 1780-------B 1830-------B 1880--c 1930---------D 1980---a 1681----------H 1731-----@ 1781----@ 1831--------C 1881g 1931------A 1981---a 1682----@ 1732--------C 1782------A 1832----a 1882---------D 1932------A 1982-d 1683--b 1733---a 1783----a 1833-----@ 1883-e 1933f 1983------A 1684----------F 1734--c 1784------@ 1834-------A 1884--c 1934---------D 1984--------D 1685--------C 1735h 1785---a 1835-d 1885----a 1935----a 1985---b 1686----------H 1736------A 1786--c 1836-d 1886----a 1936---------D 1986-----@ 1687------A 1737--c 1787f 1837-e 1887--------C 1937--------C 1987----@ 1688--b 1738--------C 1788-d 1838f 1888------A 1938-e 1988--------D 1689---b 1739-----@ 1789-e 1839h 1889-------B 1939---a 1989---------D 1690x 1740--c 1790h 1840------A 1890----------H 1940---a 1990--------D 1691f 1741----@ 1791------A 1841--------C 1891--------D 1941-d 1991----@ 1692-----@ 1742--------C 1792------A 1842----------F 1892------A 1942g 1992--c 1693--------C 1743---------E 1793----------G 1843--b 1893--------C 1943----a 1993-----@ 1694----------I 1744--------D 1794---------E 1844-d 1894------A 1944--b 1994-e 1695------A 1745-----@ 1795------A 1845-----@ 1895f 1945--b 1995---b 1696j 1746---b 1796---b 1846-------B 1896--b 1946-e 1996----a 1697------A 1747-d 1797------A 1847--c 1897--b 1947-d 1997---a 1698--b 1748--c 1798-----@ 1848-------B 1898-------B 1948---a 1998-d 1699------@ 1749g 1799-------B 1849----------G 1899--b 1949------A 1999--c PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OJB0003A 1685 1910 .63 .49 .44 .34B .50 .53 .43 .48 .40 2 OJB0003B 1681 1911 .59 .45 .36 .32A .46 .54 .58 .58 .60 3 OJB0011A 1808 2001 .41 .27B .34 .58 .60 .64 .62 .68 4 OJB0011B 1756 2001 .49 .37 .44 .37 .48 .67 .64 .66 .60 .60 5 OJB0012A 1831 2001 .42 .54 .63 .69 .73 .57 .55 6 OJB0012B 1871 2001 .61 .64 .56 .56 .51 .52 7 OJB0013A 1737 2001 .21B .31A .55 .62 .53 .61 .67 .54 .64 .66 .66 8 OJB0013B 1737 2001 .52 .59 .59 .61 .35 .39 .58 .53 .60 .55 .56 9 OJB0014A 1876 2001 .50 .55 .48 .49 .51 10 OJB0014B 1882 2001 .49 .48 .58 .44 .42 11 OJB0015A 1846 2001 .42 .40 .58 .56 .58 .63 .63 12 OJB0016A 1843 2001 .60 .59 .59 .43B .49 .52 .52 13 OJB0016B 1861 2001 .60 .57 .45 .47 .43 .43 14 OJB0017A 1847 2001 .49 .47 .38 .39 .61 .64 .66 15 OJB0018A 1842 2001 .66 .67 .72 .62 .52 .65 .67 16 OJB0018B 1832 2001 .36 .40B .53 .50 .49 .62 .63 17 OJB0019A 1833 2001 .66 .65 .42 .30B .41 .45 .44 18 OJB0020A 1824 2001 .51 .51 .37 .46 .61 .61 .46 .47 19 OJB0021A 1723 2001 .57 .58 .50 .54 .61 .69 .63 .53 .45 .61 .67 .66 20 OJB0021B 1727 2001 .54 .57 .69 .71 .58 .55 .52 .41 .64 .53 .54 21 OJB0024A 1826 2001 .40 .47 .51 .27A .43 .64 .64 22 OJB0024B 1872 2001 .60 .63 .48 .51 .60 .60 23 OJB0025A 1819 2001 .66 .54 .60 .57 .55 .59 .59 .62 24 OJB0025B 1819 2001 .70 .64 .58 .55 .57 .63 .53 .55 25 OJB0026A 1810 2001 .71 .49 .51 .53 .56 .73 .61 .56 26 OJB0026B 1816 2001 .63 .46 .52 .58 .42 .59 .65 .67 27 OJB0027A 1828 2001 .64 .53 .41 .41 .59 .54 .56 28 OJB0027B 1830 2001 .49 .49 .49 .44 .57 .59 .60 29 OJB0028A 1832 2001 .48 .50 .53 .61 .57 .50 .54 30 OJB0028B 1846 2001 .58 .55 .49 .55 .64 .48 .48 31 OJB0029A 1794 2001 .19B .34 .63 .65 .62 .54 .64 .62 .62 32 OJB0029B 1803 2001 .50 .73 .68 .63 .59 .63 .54 .53 33 OJB0030A 1780 2001 .31A .46 .63 .71 .61 .50 .63 .64 .64 34 OJB0030B 1775 2001 .49 .49 .52 .59 .61 .61 .61 .63 .64 Av segment correlation .61 .50 .44 .44 .47 .56 .52 .54 .55 .51 .58 .57 .57 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OJB0003A 1685 to 1910 226 years Series 1 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1750 1799 -10 .34* .20 .10 .14 .12 .14 -.05 -.12 .06 .01 .34| .01 -.01 .02 .04 -.01 -.21 -.38 -.07 -.07 .05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .446) is: Lower 1881< -.023 1901< -.008 1704> -.007 1741< -.007 1776> -.007 1768< -.006 Higher 1820 .016 1862 .012 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1776> -.054 1768< -.047 1791< -.028 1759> -.026 1769< -.023 1783> -.014 Higher 1774 .045 1757 .033 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1689 1690 4.2 SD 1880 1881 -4.6 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1690 +3.8 SD; 1881 -7.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0003B 1681 to 1911 231 years Series 2 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1681 to 1684 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1750 1799 0 .29 .15 .18 .13 .16 .24 -.14 -.02 .00 .04 .32*-.07 -.13 -.01 .04 -.06 -.18 -.46 -.02 -.18 -.02 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .529) is: Lower 1874< -.014 1842< -.012 1730> -.011 1704< -.008 1708< -.007 1703> -.006 Higher 1690 .041 1862 .016 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1791< -.037 1792< -.037 1760> -.035 1768< -.028 1770< -.020 1772< -.020 Higher 1761 .043 1757 .038 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1896 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0011A 1808 to 2001 194 years Series 3 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1825 1874 -2 -.02 -.15 -.13 .26 -.18 .00 -.05 .11 .32*-.04 .27|-.31 .11 .00 .22 .03 .00 .12 -.10 -.04 -.18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .494) is: Lower 1869< -.049 1840< -.016 1843> -.014 1984< -.010 1950< -.010 1883> -.009 Higher 1820 .014 1957 .011 1825 to 1874 segment: Lower 1869< -.086 1840< -.045 1843> -.043 1844> -.014 1862> -.014 1836> -.014 Higher 1839 .042 1870 .035 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0011B 1756 to 2001 246 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .525) is: Lower 1862> -.012 1779< -.011 1820> -.010 1869< -.007 1795< -.007 1829< -.006 Higher 1965 .018 1938 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0012A 1831 to 2001 171 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .537) is: Lower 1847< -.056 1983< -.011 1881> -.009 1996> -.009 1977> -.008 1990< -.008 Higher 1965 .017 1933 .009 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1846 1847 -4.7 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1847 -6.6 SD; 1996 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0012B 1871 to 2001 131 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .554) is: Lower 1955< -.028 1983< -.019 1898< -.017 1902> -.015 1938> -.015 1994> -.012 Higher 1965 .031 1890 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0013A 1737 to 2001 265 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1737 1786 10 -.12 -.11 -.30 -.20 -.15 -.07 -.05 .00 .18 .09 .21| .08 -.07 -.07 -.21 .01 .00 -.05 .11 .02 .34* 1750 1799 0 .02 -.11 -.21 -.30 -.34 -.16 -.10 -.01 .11 .20 .31* .21 -.01 -.07 -.18 .04 .05 .00 .10 -.07 .20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1803< -.014 1750< -.013 1926> -.010 1753< -.007 1873> -.007 1848< -.007 Higher 1820 .028 1862 .015 1737 to 1786 segment: Lower 1750< -.071 1753< -.035 1771> -.029 1745> -.027 1749> -.020 1777< -.018 Higher 1761 .074 1774 .046 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1750< -.074 1771> -.035 1753< -.034 1777< -.017 1799< -.017 1781> -.016 Higher 1793 .065 1761 .064 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0013B 1737 to 2001 265 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .524) is: Lower 1861< -.010 1862> -.007 1886< -.007 1814> -.007 1831< -.007 1778< -.006 Higher 1806 .015 1883 .013 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1933 -7.3 SD; 1942 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0014A 1876 to 2001 126 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .497) is: Lower 1883> -.029 1949< -.028 1965> -.015 1948< -.012 1879< -.011 1978< -.011 Higher 1933 .020 1895 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0014B 1882 to 2001 120 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .476) is: Lower 1994> -.017 1914< -.016 1883> -.014 1980> -.013 1961> -.011 1997> -.010 Higher 1965 .022 1933 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0015A 1846 to 2001 156 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .535) is: Lower 1855< -.049 1883> -.012 1923< -.012 1910> -.010 1978< -.010 1945> -.007 Higher 1902 .014 1957 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0016A 1843 to 2001 159 years Series 12 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 -7 .00 -.01 -.12 .47*-.13 .05 .08 -.07 .22 -.06 .43| .09 -.17 -.02 -.25 -.03 -.09 .01 -.14 -.11 -.09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .519) is: Lower 1945< -.037 1978< -.015 1904< -.010 1862> -.008 1982> -.008 1979< -.008 Higher 1895 .013 1867 .012 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1945< -.083 1904< -.028 1938> -.026 1941> -.022 1942> -.017 1928> -.013 Higher 1902 .037 1924 .026 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1945 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0016B 1861 to 2001 141 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .499) is: Lower 1956< -.016 1984< -.015 1926> -.015 1985> -.014 1938> -.013 1980> -.013 Higher 1895 .019 1890 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0017A 1847 to 2001 155 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .523) is: Lower 1883> -.019 1892< -.014 1907> -.012 1928> -.012 1862> -.010 1935> -.008 Higher 1965 .030 1867 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0018A 1842 to 2001 160 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .647) is: Lower 1965> -.012 1938> -.011 1935> -.009 1883> -.007 1875< -.006 1966> -.006 Higher 1862 .012 1895 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0018B 1832 to 2001 170 years Series 16 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1850 1899 3 -.17 .07 -.08 -.03 -.30 -.05 .23 -.11 .01 -.14 .40|-.01 -.11 .48*-.09 -.07 .07 -.02 -.13 -.24 -.11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .485) is: Lower 1862> -.017 1965> -.014 1833< -.011 1839> -.011 1856< -.011 1848< -.009 Higher 1957 .011 1867 .009 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1862> -.056 1873> -.023 1856< -.021 1877< -.013 1895> -.010 1864< -.009 Higher 1867 .029 1883 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0019A 1833 to 2001 169 years Series 17 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 5 -.11 -.03 -.13 .07 -.05 .06 -.30 -.15 -.01 -.12 .30| .00 -.04 .23 -.19 .35* .02 .07 -.08 .01 .26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .478) is: Lower 1990< -.013 1908< -.011 1883> -.011 1969> -.009 1919> -.008 1839> -.008 Higher 1862 .033 1994 .010 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1908< -.041 1904< -.027 1917> -.027 1919> -.026 1947> -.020 1900< -.019 Higher 1902 .048 1933 .045 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1919 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0020A 1824 to 2001 178 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .491) is: Lower 1873< -.042 1980> -.014 1883> -.010 1826< -.009 1891< -.007 1854< -.007 Higher 1965 .013 1867 .012 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1872 1873 -4.1 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1873 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0021A 1723 to 2001 279 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .573) is: Lower 1881> -.009 1930< -.008 1730< -.007 1779> -.006 1788> -.006 1991> -.006 Higher 1820 .024 1862 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1881 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0021B 1727 to 2001 275 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .559) is: Lower 1873< -.030 1982> -.008 1737> -.007 1881> -.007 1907> -.006 1918> -.006 Higher 1862 .013 1820 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1873 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0024A 1826 to 2001 176 years Series 21 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 0 -.07 .02 .00 .13 .03 .08 .13 .09 -.07 -.20 .27*-.15 -.11 .10 .02 -.01 -.13 .13 .19 .03 .10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .458) is: Lower 1926> -.015 1923< -.013 1937< -.013 1844> -.009 1853> -.009 2001< -.009 Higher 1965 .014 1890 .011 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1926> -.050 1923< -.046 1937< -.042 1933> -.024 1928> -.022 1909> -.016 Higher 1902 .036 1915 .024 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1943 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0024B 1872 to 2001 130 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .573) is: Lower 1937< -.020 1933> -.015 1982> -.012 1909> -.010 1926> -.009 1880> -.008 Higher 1883 .028 1895 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0025A 1819 to 2001 183 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .589) is: Lower 1991< -.018 1933> -.015 1899> -.010 1847> -.006 1843> -.006 1834< -.006 Higher 1820 .025 1883 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0025B 1819 to 2001 183 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .575) is: Lower 1907> -.011 1991< -.009 1887< -.008 1840< -.008 1881> -.007 1968> -.007 Higher 1862 .013 1820 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0026A 1810 to 2001 192 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .589) is: Lower 1996< -.022 2001< -.021 1998> -.013 1828> -.007 1856> -.007 1906< -.006 Higher 1820 .036 1814 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0026B 1816 to 2001 186 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .585) is: Lower 1933> -.018 1862> -.009 1909> -.008 1936< -.007 1948< -.007 1839> -.007 Higher 1820 .036 1883 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0027A 1828 to 2001 174 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .520) is: Lower 1906< -.023 1899> -.014 1993< -.014 1865< -.014 1996< -.013 1933> -.012 Higher 1862 .021 1902 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0027B 1830 to 2001 172 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .514) is: Lower 1865< -.021 1880> -.013 1901< -.012 1911< -.009 1877< -.009 1952> -.007 Higher 1883 .021 1954 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0028A 1832 to 2001 170 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .531) is: Lower 1965> -.025 1995< -.019 1989< -.013 1844> -.008 1843> -.007 1911< -.006 Higher 1862 .016 1933 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1995 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0028B 1846 to 2001 156 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .530) is: Lower 1851< -.020 1965> -.016 1911< -.014 1988< -.013 1990< -.009 1910< -.008 Higher 1862 .035 1933 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0029A 1794 to 2001 208 years Series 31 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1794 1843 8 .02 .10 .06 -.21 -.19 -.28 .05 .03 .08 .00 .19|-.15 .10 .11 .27 .06 -.08 .01 .31*-.08 .01 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .498) is: Lower 1798< -.036 1820> -.035 1998> -.011 1804< -.011 1910< -.010 1966> -.008 Higher 1883 .016 1902 .010 1794 to 1843 segment: Lower 1798< -.097 1820> -.095 1804< -.032 1817< -.016 1812< -.014 1803> -.013 Higher 1826 .045 1843 .031 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1820 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0029B 1803 to 2001 199 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .573) is: Lower 1820> -.044 1992< -.012 1974> -.009 1803> -.007 1933> -.006 1985> -.006 Higher 1965 .019 1862 .015 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1820 +3.6 SD; 1904 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OJB0030A 1780 to 2001 222 years Series 33 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1780 1829 0 -.02 -.08 .30 .12 -.10 -.15 .08 -.05 -.09 -.05 .31* .06 .10 .12 .13 -.11 .09 -.04 -.24 -.33 -.10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .553) is: Lower 1806> -.018 1784< -.010 1845< -.009 1790> -.009 1820> -.008 1870< -.008 Higher 1862 .021 1883 .016 1780 to 1829 segment: Lower 1806> -.059 1784< -.050 1790> -.032 1819< -.030 1823< -.017 1817< -.017 Higher 1814 .081 1793 .049 =================================================================================================================================== OJB0030B 1775 to 2001 227 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .563) is: Lower 1839< -.015 1881> -.008 1817< -.007 1936< -.007 1820> -.007 1961> -.006 Higher 1965 .013 1895 .009 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1839 1840 4.3 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1839 -7.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 14:29 Thu 08 Jan 2004 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OJB0003A 1685 1910 226 9 1 .446 .65 3.35 .499 .945 .184 2.43 .282 -.027 1 2 OJB0003B 1681 1911 231 9 1 .529 .54 3.64 .559 .957 .187 2.48 .295 -.032 1 3 OJB0011A 1808 2001 194 8 1 .494 1.07 2.48 .476 .814 .199 2.65 .321 -.019 1 4 OJB0011B 1756 2001 246 10 0 .525 .90 2.51 .373 .800 .187 2.99 .452 -.004 1 5 OJB0012A 1831 2001 171 7 0 .537 1.34 3.98 .908 .889 .261 2.54 .290 -.029 1 6 OJB0012B 1871 2001 131 6 0 .554 1.25 3.75 .822 .902 .218 2.73 .481 .043 1 7 OJB0013A 1737 2001 265 11 2 .547 .78 4.55 .745 .947 .229 2.63 .328 -.032 2 8 OJB0013B 1737 2001 265 11 0 .524 .75 4.61 .703 .940 .257 2.43 .304 -.023 2 9 OJB0014A 1876 2001 126 5 0 .497 1.78 3.60 .768 .731 .238 2.64 .516 -.002 1 10 OJB0014B 1882 2001 120 5 0 .476 1.49 3.82 .684 .786 .208 2.57 .457 .011 1 11 OJB0015A 1846 2001 156 7 0 .535 1.38 3.14 .509 .818 .182 2.57 .346 -.012 1 12 OJB0016A 1843 2001 159 7 1 .519 1.64 3.05 .586 .814 .172 2.63 .406 .061 2 13 OJB0016B 1861 2001 141 6 0 .499 1.33 3.33 .523 .679 .227 2.73 .443 -.046 2 14 OJB0017A 1847 2001 155 7 0 .523 1.26 3.71 .759 .924 .180 2.47 .384 -.035 2 15 OJB0018A 1842 2001 160 7 0 .647 1.40 4.00 .916 .939 .182 2.69 .508 .034 1 16 OJB0018B 1832 2001 170 7 1 .485 1.47 4.34 .770 .905 .166 2.78 .477 -.028 2 17 OJB0019A 1833 2001 169 7 1 .478 1.43 4.13 .897 .890 .215 2.74 .448 -.049 2 18 OJB0020A 1824 2001 178 8 0 .491 1.04 2.92 .535 .858 .202 2.57 .307 .022 1 19 OJB0021A 1723 2001 279 12 0 .573 .64 1.88 .297 .818 .217 2.59 .372 -.011 1 20 OJB0021B 1727 2001 275 11 0 .559 .56 2.26 .238 .756 .203 2.57 .305 -.028 1 21 OJB0024A 1826 2001 176 7 1 .458 .72 1.63 .309 .815 .192 2.94 .448 -.017 1 22 OJB0024B 1872 2001 130 6 0 .573 .96 2.07 .375 .791 .200 2.60 .459 -.046 1 23 OJB0025A 1819 2001 183 8 0 .589 .62 1.68 .364 .898 .213 2.81 .455 -.017 1 24 OJB0025B 1819 2001 183 8 0 .575 .87 2.49 .417 .846 .197 2.71 .415 -.049 1 25 OJB0026A 1810 2001 192 8 0 .589 .67 2.51 .449 .900 .235 2.48 .372 -.053 4 26 OJB0026B 1816 2001 186 8 0 .585 .61 2.53 .441 .922 .214 2.59 .314 -.030 1 27 OJB0027A 1828 2001 174 7 0 .520 .86 1.98 .345 .843 .161 2.81 .506 .004 1 28 OJB0027B 1830 2001 172 7 0 .514 .67 1.22 .190 .741 .156 2.50 .328 -.002 1 29 OJB0028A 1832 2001 170 7 0 .531 1.09 3.33 .466 .807 .197 2.40 .323 -.041 1 30 OJB0028B 1846 2001 156 7 0 .530 .86 2.24 .352 .775 .212 2.77 .438 .033 1 31 OJB0029A 1794 2001 208 9 1 .498 .84 3.98 .718 .934 .176 2.74 .429 -.006 1 32 OJB0029B 1803 2001 199 8 0 .573 .92 4.80 .861 .939 .191 2.82 .432 .014 3 33 OJB0030A 1780 2001 222 9 1 .553 .64 1.81 .317 .883 .193 2.67 .499 -.053 2 34 OJB0030B 1775 2001 227 9 0 .563 .80 3.10 .498 .912 .198 2.60 .329 .015 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6395 268 11 .533 .94 4.80 .537 .862 .202 2.99 .388 -.015 - = [ COFECHA VENE2COF ] = -