Esso, Kamchatka, Russia - russ211 Additional Site Information Olga Solomina, Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, and Moses Gostev Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : RUSS211.CRN Measurement file name : RUSS211.RWL Date checked : 27OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1632 Ending year : 1997 Principal investigators: Olga Solomina Gordon Jacoby Rosanne D'Arrigo Moses Gostev Site name : Esso, Kamchatka Site location : Russia Species information : LAGM DAHURIAN LARCH Latitude : 5554 Longitude : 15848 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.706 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.317 Avg standard deviation : 0.431 Avg autocorrelation : 0.779 Number dated series : 29 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 1 Pct problem segments : 0.36 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Esso 13:53 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ess_01 1758 1993 .84 .86 .87 .88 .77 .70 .89 .84 .76 2 ess_02 1632 1993 .79 .79 .75 .62 .65 .85 .89 .75 .67 .72 .74 .74 .59 .65 3 ess_03 1633 1993 .75 .80 .81 .82 .84 .85 .87 .84 .56 .53 .70 .59 .43 .34 4 ess_04 1659 1993 .76 .82 .84 .84 .80 .78 .73 .66 .68 .55 .64 .62 .63 5 ess_05 1675 1993 .46 .72 .77 .82 .80 .75 .79 .78 .73 .79 .59 .42 6 ess_06 1695 1993 .56 .55 .78 .80 .80 .74 .70 .70 .65 .70 .66 .70 7 ess_07 1851 1993 .51 .44 .70 .71 .70 8 ess_08 1633 1993 .57 .59 .79 .80 .76 .79 .69 .54 .74 .79 .75 .83 .82 .83 9 ess_09 1730 1993 .78 .76 .69 .65 .73 .72 .78 .87 .84 .84 10 ess_10 1643 1993 .56 .68 .77 .82 .84 .87 .90 .87 .88 .84 .67 .81 .84 .84 11 ess_11 1734 1993 .57 .61 .66 .73 .81 .80 .75 .60 .50 .44 12 ess_12 1700 1993 .72 .76 .84 .88 .77 .79 .82 .78 .62 .56 .48 13 ess_13 1675 1993 .61 .66 .63 .81 .86 .87 .89 .76 .68 .87 .83 .81 14 esn_01 1704 1997 .42 .47 .57 .59 .47 .72 .85 .82 .89 .86 .81 15 esn_02 1835 1997 .68 .71 .69 .75 .64 .60 16 esn_03 1759 1997 .55 .75 .79 .79 .79 .81 .88 .84 .77 17 esn_04 1740 1997 .82 .78 .83 .84 .73 .72 .70 .67 .70 .52 18 esn_05 1819 1997 .64 .71 .75 .68 .74 .78 .78 19 esn_06 1834 1997 .70 .65 .47 .68 .81 .80 20 esn_07 1880 1997 .37B .55 .59 .62 21 esn_08 1784 1997 .50 .52 .78 .84 .56 .62 .76 .70 22 esn_09 1767 1997 .65 .72 .75 .83 .82 .72 .84 .81 .67 23 esn_10 1736 1997 .62 .51 .74 .84 .84 .75 .74 .89 .80 .67 24 esn_11 1766 1997 .81 .81 .82 .75 .71 .71 .85 .84 .70 25 esn_12 1826 1997 .64 .83 .68 .66 .77 .74 26 esn_13 1833 1997 .82 .76 .67 .71 .73 .68 27 esn_14 1761 1997 .80 .84 .82 .82 .73 .62 .54 .52 .62 28 esn_15 1788 1997 .57 .62 .73 .68 .47 .58 .64 .56 29 esn_16 1829 1997 .62 .59 .43 .69 .70 .63 Av segment correlation .67 .72 .70 .70 .72 .75 .76 .74 .75 .74 .66 .73 .71 .67 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Esso 13:53 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ess_01 1758 1993 236 9 0 .813 .41 1.12 .197 .603 .361 2.49 .385 .008 1 2 ess_02 1632 1993 362 14 0 .708 .40 2.14 .271 .839 .305 2.48 .314 -.035 4 3 ess_03 1633 1993 361 14 0 .705 .39 2.33 .417 .923 .360 2.38 .317 .000 1 4 ess_04 1659 1993 335 13 0 .695 .25 .82 .138 .758 .320 2.41 .305 -.025 2 5 ess_05 1675 1993 319 12 0 .666 .39 1.30 .189 .711 .286 2.63 .316 -.025 1 6 ess_06 1695 1993 299 12 0 .691 .36 1.59 .248 .872 .264 2.66 .386 -.022 1 7 ess_07 1851 1993 143 5 0 .635 1.12 2.08 .340 .475 .255 2.62 .382 -.008 3 8 ess_08 1633 1993 361 14 0 .724 .51 1.79 .278 .772 .316 2.50 .388 -.031 1 9 ess_09 1730 1993 264 10 0 .754 .27 .58 .096 .222 .365 2.55 .402 -.016 1 10 ess_10 1643 1993 351 14 0 .799 .53 1.69 .340 .883 .255 2.45 .320 -.023 1 11 ess_11 1734 1993 260 10 0 .646 .52 1.80 .277 .767 .335 2.52 .345 -.014 3 12 ess_12 1700 1993 294 11 0 .728 .54 2.41 .521 .894 .361 2.61 .358 -.003 1 13 ess_13 1675 1993 319 12 0 .766 .47 2.27 .379 .894 .328 2.44 .337 -.008 1 14 esn_01 1704 1997 294 11 0 .653 .69 3.12 .588 .844 .319 2.61 .328 .000 1 15 esn_02 1835 1997 163 6 0 .673 1.02 2.60 .467 .767 .239 2.55 .399 .025 1 16 esn_03 1759 1997 239 9 0 .762 .71 2.89 .656 .916 .286 2.52 .367 .010 3 17 esn_04 1740 1997 258 10 0 .712 .83 2.68 .458 .771 .284 2.59 .385 -.011 1 18 esn_05 1819 1997 179 7 0 .700 .31 1.12 .165 .590 .379 2.67 .418 -.004 1 19 esn_06 1834 1997 164 6 0 .695 1.02 3.28 .602 .734 .333 2.56 .400 -.051 3 20 esn_07 1880 1997 118 4 1 .484 1.85 3.93 .800 .800 .233 2.56 .400 -.055 2 21 esn_08 1784 1997 214 8 0 .655 .66 2.13 .366 .739 .354 2.58 .500 -.024 2 22 esn_09 1767 1997 231 9 0 .736 .88 3.49 .645 .833 .383 2.58 .417 .004 3 23 esn_10 1736 1997 262 10 0 .745 .94 3.42 .755 .882 .328 2.57 .354 -.017 1 24 esn_11 1766 1997 232 9 0 .764 .85 2.79 .496 .791 .330 2.58 .421 -.016 2 25 esn_12 1826 1997 172 6 0 .688 1.30 3.10 .597 .753 .256 2.50 .473 .003 1 26 esn_13 1833 1997 165 6 0 .710 1.34 2.79 .564 .614 .327 2.50 .397 -.023 1 27 esn_14 1761 1997 237 9 0 .687 .66 2.21 .489 .748 .442 2.56 .393 -.020 1 28 esn_15 1788 1997 210 8 0 .604 1.39 5.14 .985 .924 .245 2.71 .397 .009 1 29 esn_16 1829 1997 169 6 0 .616 1.39 5.02 1.098 .911 .247 2.38 .262 .012 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7211 274 1 .706 .67 5.14 .431 .779 .317 2.71 .368 -.013