Urz, Kamchatka, Russia - russ214 Additional Site Information Olga Solomina, Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, and Moses Gostev Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : RUSS214.CRN Measurement file name : RUSS214.RWL Date checked : 27OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1700 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: Olga Solomina Gordon Jacoby Rosanne D'Arrigo Moses Gostev Site name : Urz, Kamchatka Site location : Russia Species information : LAGM DAHURIAN LARCH Latitude : 5508 Longitude : 15907 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.621 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.229 Avg standard deviation : 0.541 Avg autocorrelation : 0.772 Number dated series : 39 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 5 Pct problem segments : 1.70 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Urz 13:57 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 urz1a 1717 2003 .71 .80 .85 .79 .75 .67 .66 .58 .60 .70 .67 .62 2 urz1b 1716 2003 .73 .82 .80 .77 .71 .62 .60 .61 .51 .39 .49 .45 3 urz2a 1744 2003 .65 .68 .61 .48 .42 .42 .58 .72 .50 .54 .59 4 urz2b 1759 1993 .78 .77 .68 .47 .44 .47 .43 .47 .52 5 urz3a 1740 2003 .71 .79 .83 .81 .71 .66 .61 .57 .65 .71 .68 6 urz3b 1754 2003 .70 .73 .73 .58 .56 .62 .63 .73 .67 .57 7 urz4c 1740 2003 .79 .81 .78 .81 .82 .70 .65 .60 .57 .62 .61 8 urz4a 1711 2003 .74 .82 .87 .79 .79 .79 .72 .74 .66 .64 .73 .69 9 urz4b 1700 2003 .75 .85 .77 .75 .81 .77 .69 .71 .65 .57 .69 .66 10 urz5a 1810 2003 .67 .73 .73 .73 .39 .40 .62 .59 11 urz5b 1807 2003 .79 .78 .70 .60 .48 .60 .77 .78 12 urz6a 1837 2003 .78 .77 .79 .70 .69 .54 .49 13 urz6b 1808 1973 .69 .59 .60 .68 .56 .63 14 urz7a 1887 2003 .54 .55 .56 .67 .61 15 urz7b 1831 2003 .72 .73 .83 .81 .75 .52 .47 16 urz8a 1808 2003 .58 .52 .68 .66 .40 .40B .61 .62 17 urz8b 1810 2003 .44 .33A .42 .59 .50 .40 .52 .52 18 urz9a 1756 2002 .85 .84 .80 .68 .67 .74 .44 .50 .60 .47 19 urz9b 1754 1824 .87 .60 20 urz10a 1848 2003 .42 .48 .65 .66 .62 .63 .56 21 urz10b 1854 1999 .55 .73 .77 .66 .66 22 urz11a 1892 2003 .50 .53 .42 .64 .66 23 urz11b 1883 2003 .35 .48 .43 .50 .55 24 urz12a 1835 2003 .72 .66 .50 .45 .47 .44 .43 25 urz12b 1718 2003 .64 .72 .68 .63 .75 .80 .71 .55 .39 .43 .46 .41B 26 urz14a 1876 2003 .42 .49 .56 .57 .53 27 urz14b 1887 2003 .49 .54 .49 .67 .55 28 urz15a 1817 2003 .74 .73 .73 .77 .55 .59 .73 .66 29 urz15b 1827 2003 .68 .81 .80 .53 .47 .74 .74 30 urz16a 1751 1945 .43 .70 .64 .71 .82 .76 .66 31 urz17a 1886 2003 .32A .53 .64 .54 .44 32 urz19a 1865 2003 .68 .67 .68 .62 .57 .57 33 urz19b 1855 1999 .68 .56 .54 .58 .59 34 urz21a 1852 2003 .66 .65 .66 .56 .62 .60 35 urz21b 1867 2003 .67 .73 .55 .47 .66 .57 36 urz22a 1898 2003 .35 .31A .73 .71 .68 37 urz23a 1887 2003 .71 .64 .63 .64 .54 38 urz23b 1814 2003 .56 .57 .47 .51 .40 .51 .63 .53 39 urz24a 1849 1988 .75 .75 .67 .59 .57 .66 Av segment correlation .71 .77 .76 .74 .70 .65 .65 .62 .56 .56 .62 .58 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Urz 13:57 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 urz1a 1717 2003 287 12 0 .675 .81 3.97 .680 .887 .236 2.58 .289 -.028 1 2 urz1b 1716 2003 288 12 0 .629 .80 3.74 .675 .890 .267 2.64 .351 -.016 1 3 urz2a 1744 2003 260 11 0 .551 .83 2.92 .413 .755 .240 2.64 .381 -.022 4 4 urz2b 1759 1993 235 9 0 .574 .71 1.62 .246 .713 .185 2.77 .428 .040 1 5 urz3a 1740 2003 264 11 0 .697 1.13 3.45 .559 .763 .249 2.88 .375 -.011 2 6 urz3b 1754 2003 250 10 0 .655 .87 2.49 .522 .825 .234 2.80 .457 .009 1 7 urz4c 1740 2003 264 11 0 .700 .79 2.70 .436 .808 .232 2.72 .476 .020 1 8 urz4a 1711 2003 293 12 0 .745 .94 2.78 .496 .773 .262 2.69 .440 .050 1 9 urz4b 1700 2003 304 12 0 .733 1.00 2.98 .501 .766 .267 2.61 .385 .038 1 10 urz5a 1810 2003 194 8 0 .603 1.38 3.21 .617 .781 .231 2.63 .451 -.004 1 11 urz5b 1807 2003 197 8 0 .686 1.08 2.34 .413 .784 .194 2.67 .409 .018 1 12 urz6a 1837 2003 167 7 0 .675 1.83 3.70 .730 .747 .220 2.64 .410 -.006 1 13 urz6b 1808 1973 166 6 0 .630 1.66 3.62 .743 .765 .231 2.77 .491 -.020 1 14 urz7a 1887 2003 117 5 0 .598 .61 1.36 .306 .797 .267 2.61 .395 -.002 3 15 urz7b 1831 2003 173 7 0 .692 1.53 3.87 .781 .825 .221 2.72 .452 -.028 1 16 urz8a 1808 2003 196 8 1 .565 1.28 2.81 .572 .756 .229 2.81 .401 .018 1 17 urz8b 1810 2003 194 8 1 .474 1.04 2.34 .426 .774 .214 2.71 .399 -.015 1 18 urz9a 1756 2002 247 10 0 .650 .52 2.69 .456 .852 .316 2.57 .323 .040 1 19 urz9b 1754 1824 71 2 0 .721 .95 2.27 .470 .700 .302 2.52 .412 .078 1 20 urz10a 1848 2003 156 7 0 .569 1.06 2.13 .329 .589 .214 2.68 .420 .000 1 21 urz10b 1854 1999 146 5 0 .647 1.58 3.54 .575 .565 .233 2.84 .529 .034 1 22 urz11a 1892 2003 112 5 0 .544 1.88 3.74 .710 .799 .180 2.74 .513 -.047 1 23 urz11b 1883 2003 121 5 0 .454 2.05 3.63 .561 .598 .199 2.72 .483 -.036 1 24 urz12a 1835 2003 169 7 0 .514 .66 1.68 .303 .818 .222 2.60 .386 .007 1 25 urz12b 1718 2003 286 12 1 .605 .81 2.37 .349 .697 .250 2.65 .344 .006 2 26 urz14a 1876 2003 128 5 0 .466 1.56 3.61 .775 .888 .167 2.52 .362 -.062 1 27 urz14b 1887 2003 117 5 0 .546 1.72 3.66 .892 .909 .178 2.60 .398 -.058 1 28 urz15a 1817 2003 187 8 0 .685 1.27 3.26 .625 .834 .205 2.71 .465 -.001 1 29 urz15b 1827 2003 177 7 0 .662 1.15 2.31 .490 .772 .213 2.70 .398 -.014 2 30 urz16a 1751 1945 195 7 0 .617 1.09 2.44 .466 .721 .237 2.66 .374 .011 1 31 urz17a 1886 2003 118 5 1 .401 1.25 2.61 .443 .744 .188 2.70 .583 -.054 2 32 urz19a 1865 2003 139 6 0 .633 1.43 4.29 .774 .834 .219 2.59 .406 .025 5 33 urz19b 1855 1999 145 5 0 .605 1.75 3.66 .829 .800 .240 2.97 .473 -.052 2 34 urz21a 1852 2003 152 6 0 .640 1.83 4.28 .696 .647 .232 2.86 .604 -.056 1 35 urz21b 1867 2003 137 6 0 .615 1.98 4.56 .676 .660 .209 2.70 .460 -.019 1 36 urz22a 1898 2003 106 5 1 .525 2.02 4.17 .922 .881 .177 2.59 .434 -.038 1 37 urz23a 1887 2003 117 5 0 .659 1.69 3.68 .666 .696 .226 2.89 .593 .015 1 38 urz23b 1814 2003 190 8 0 .515 1.33 3.37 .509 .755 .188 2.83 .445 -.037 3 39 urz24a 1849 1988 140 6 0 .676 .19 .38 .067 .707 .202 2.84 .450 .037 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7205 294 5 .621 1.15 4.56 .541 .772 .229 2.97 .421 -.002