South Fork Chalk Creek, Utah - UT541 Additional information M.F. Bekker R.J. DeRose H. Gray C. Nielsen S.H. Wheeler Purpose of Collection: Climatology-streamflow Cores are stored at: Department of Geography, 690 SWKT, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602 Reference: DeRose, R.J., M.F. Bekker, S.-Y. Wang, B.M. Buckley, R.K. Kjelgren, T. Bardsley, T.M. Rittenour, E.B. Allen. 2015. A millenium-length reconstruction of Bear River stream flow, Utah Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 529(2), pp. 524-534. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.014 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : UT541.CRN Measurement file name : UT541.RWL Date checked : 13OCT15 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 736 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: M.F. Bekker R.J. DeRose H. Gray C. Nielsen S.H. Wheeler Site name : South Fork Chalk Creek Site location : Utah Species information : JUOS Utah Juniper Latitude : 4055 Longitude : -11113 Elevation : 2130M Series intercorrelation: 0.812 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.465 Avg standard deviation : 0.253 Avg autocorrelation : 0.636 Number dated series : 72 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 3 Pct problem segments : 0.33 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: South Fork - Chalk Creek 11:08 Tue 13 Oct 2015 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 774 799 824 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 48 SFC31A2 1149 1634 .83 .84 .86 .83 49 SFC31B 1198 1622 .80 .80 50 SFC31B2 1208 1630 .48 51 SFC32A 871 1211 .70 .77 .73 .65 .65 .72 .83 .75 .70 .74 .85 .92 .88 .89 52 SFC32A2 907 1216 .81 .74 .70 .54 .61 .79 .77 .79 .83 .82 .72 .74 54 SFC32B 974 1263 .86 .86 .91 .87 .82 .73 .83 .90 .85 .86 .84 55 SFC32B2 1005 1304 .69 .33 .31B .84 .87 .88 .86 .83 .83 56 SFC32C 913 1250 .91 .84 .86 .86 .85 .84 .84 .81 .87 .90 .90 .88 .83 57 SFC32C2 1063 1319 .77 .75 .83 .91 .86 .86 .84 58 SFC33 821 1626 .80 .84 .78 .62 .66 .85 .89 .76 .75 .71 .64 .66 .70 .72 .60 .53 .57 59 SFC33B 845 1428 .73 .76 .45 .48 .84 .85 .71 .76 .78 .70 .60 .52 .54 .55 .61 .64 60 SFC33C 753 1095 .33A .32A .58 .78 .81 .72 .60 .75 .84 .80 .81 .74 .71 61 SFC34 1065 1575 .71 .79 .89 .88 .85 .88 .90 62 SFC34B 767 1614 .53 .61 .62 .78 .83 .84 .77 .75 .83 .70 .70 .82 .80 .81 .90 .92 .84 .86 .90 63 SFC34C 783 1254 .77 .81 .84 .81 .75 .65 .74 .84 .69 .71 .72 .69 .84 .91 .91 .85 .86 .84 66 SFC36-1 955 1351 .86 .86 .80 .84 .68 .64 .82 .80 .79 .85 .76 67 SFC36-2 971 1375 .67 .67 .70 .76 .61 .60 .80 .83 .82 .61 .50 68 SFC37 900 1555 .84 .62 .59 .79 .85 .76 .70 .81 .81 .82 .86 .81 .80 69 SFC37-2 897 1474 .86 .86 .79 .80 .80 .84 .80 .77 .84 .85 .82 .82 .79 .69 70 SFC37-3 736 1202 .49 .62 .78 .85 .87 .87 .89 .85 .77 .72 .74 .80 .79 .80 .86 .92 .90 .81 .81 71 SFC37-4 736 1063 .64 .75 .78 .81 .88 .89 .90 .89 .89 .84 .80 .86 .86 72 SFC37-5 769 842 .67 .65 .74 Av segment correlation .57 .58 .65 .75 .82 .81 .76 .76 .77 .79 .75 .78 .76 .71 .76 .82 .84 .81 .80 .75 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: South Fork - Chalk Creek 11:08 Tue 13 Oct 2015 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 SFC3A 1662 2012 .79 .93 .94 4 SFC3B 1673 2013 .89 .89 .93 6 SFC8A 1456 2012 .86 .90 .92 .85 .82 .84 .82 .66 .56 .71 .79 7 SFC8B 1440 2012 .82 .88 .93 .95 .91 .91 .90 .84 .71 .70 .65 .65 8 SFC9A 1700 2012 .79 9 SFC9B 1651 2013 .78 .75 .77 12 SFC10B2 1666 1840 .86 .89 .91 13 SFC11A 1701 2012 .47 16 SFC12A 1700 2012 .83 17 SFC12B 1604 2012 .81 .75 .77 .87 .90 18 SFC13A 1679 2007 .53 .89 22 SFC16A 1622 2012 .84 .85 .88 .88 .90 23 SFC16B 1648 2012 .82 .84 .87 .89 25 SFC17B 1624 2012 .65 .66 .67 .72 .76 26 SFC18A 1664 2012 .79 .88 .93 30 SFC20A2 1602 2012 .80 .75 .87 .93 .91 33 SFC22A 1647 2012 .73 .74 .86 .91 34 SFC22B 1634 2008 .67 .76 .84 .91 42 SFC27A 1710 2012 .87 43 SFC27C 1695 2012 .48 .51 47 SFC31A 1250 1637 .84 .82 .65 .73 .94 .83 .59 .76 .89 .91 .95 .91 .89 .90 .86 48 SFC31A2 1149 1634 .83 .81 .75 .44 .53 .92 .85 .65 .76 .90 .91 .88 .82 .93 .91 .76 49 SFC31B 1198 1622 .82 .90 .89 .84 .85 .91 .83 .61 .72 .88 .93 .95 .93 .93 .96 50 SFC31B2 1208 1630 .75 .86 .83 .83 .87 .81 .61 .42 .59 .89 .92 .89 .81 .78 .71 .64 53 SFC31A3 1314 1638 .67 .81 .91 .84 .66 .75 .90 .91 .90 .79 .76 .80 .64 54 SFC32B 974 1263 .78 55 SFC32B2 1005 1304 .78 .78 .79 56 SFC32C 913 1250 .82 57 SFC32C2 1063 1319 .64 .68 .79 58 SFC33 821 1626 .61 .79 .84 .76 .71 .67 .74 .66 .59 .65 .64 .69 .77 .70 .67 .66 59 SFC33B 845 1428 .63 .75 .81 .78 .72 .73 .71 .72 61 SFC34 1065 1575 .73 .74 .82 .79 .75 .77 .73 .58 .73 .86 .87 .89 .86 .86 62 SFC34B 767 1614 .77 .80 .81 .61 .60 .81 .77 .61 .74 .84 .82 .84 .78 .63 .43 63 SFC34C 783 1254 .77 64 SFC35 1260 1790 .68 .88 .86 .87 .92 .85 .66 .73 .82 .81 .90 .89 .84 .88 .86 .70 .60 .80 .86 65 SFC35B 1270 1651 .84 .84 .87 .88 .89 .87 .75 .75 .83 .70 .67 .68 .71 .80 .76 .73 66 SFC36-1 955 1351 .75 .89 .85 .67 .69 67 SFC36-2 971 1375 .77 .89 .85 .80 .50 .42 68 SFC37 900 1555 .84 .79 .62 .63 .76 .74 .81 .88 .85 .81 .74 .76 .82 69 SFC37-2 897 1474 .59 .73 .76 .75 .80 .79 .85 .82 .81 Av segment correlation .74 .80 .81 .73 .74 .80 .79 .66 .74 .85 .85 .86 .83 .81 .80 .76 .73 .77 .79 .82 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: South Fork - Chalk Creek 11:08 Tue 13 Oct 2015 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 SFC2A 1769 2012 .93 .93 .96 .90 .87 .89 .89 .92 .92 .91 2 SFC2B 1810 2012 .91 .93 .89 .89 .90 .90 .92 .89 3 SFC3A 1662 2012 .94 .94 .94 .95 .89 .89 .87 .85 .93 .94 .94 4 SFC3B 1673 2013 .90 .90 .95 .94 .93 .93 .87 .85 .92 .95 .95 5 SFC5A 1890 2012 .58 .78 .71 .60 .65 6 SFC8A 1456 2012 .81 .76 .77 .84 .83 .76 .74 .70 .79 .72 .65 7 SFC8B 1440 2012 .80 .63 .70 .90 .84 .77 .75 .73 .82 .77 .66 8 SFC9A 1700 2012 .95 .95 .93 .92 .88 .82 .82 .80 .80 .84 .82 9 SFC9B 1651 2013 .92 .89 .83 .86 .93 .91 .90 .89 .92 .93 .89 10 SFC10A 1839 2012 .68 .81 .85 .86 .84 .88 .89 11 SFC10B 1870 2009 .85 .89 .91 .92 .94 .94 12 SFC10B2 1666 1840 .93 .95 .93 .91 13 SFC11A 1701 2012 .87 .90 .92 .90 .81 .83 .87 .88 .89 .91 .88 14 SFC11B 1798 2012 .89 .88 .85 .89 .93 .92 .91 .90 .92 15 SFC11C 1804 2012 .94 .87 .89 .92 .80 .74 .87 .93 16 SFC12A 1700 2012 .91 .91 .91 .92 .91 .86 .82 .84 .89 .92 .91 17 SFC12B 1604 2012 .90 .89 .91 .92 .93 .88 .84 .86 .92 .90 .88 18 SFC13A 1679 2007 .84 .83 .90 .89 .88 .86 .81 .84 .89 .85 .83 19 SFC14A 1830 2012 .80 .86 .73 .70 .89 .85 .77 20 SFC14B 1768 2010 .92 .93 .92 .88 .85 .76 .85 .94 .91 .91 21 SFC15B 1917 2005 .75 .75 .80 .79 22 SFC16A 1622 2012 .89 .87 .89 .89 .86 .83 .82 .88 .86 .81 .75 23 SFC16B 1648 2012 .93 .90 .89 .88 .87 .79 .76 .84 .85 .83 .77 24 SFC17A 1890 2012 .88 .91 .87 .87 .84 25 SFC17B 1624 2012 .82 .87 .89 .89 .88 .85 .80 .81 .84 .79 .71 26 SFC18A 1664 2012 .93 .93 .93 .91 .88 .84 .81 .86 .91 .94 .90 27 SFC18B 1900 2012 .86 .89 .88 .86 28 SFC19B 1817 2012 .92 .93 .89 .87 .93 .91 .91 .92 29 SFC20A 1758 2012 .89 .92 .90 .89 .86 .89 .93 .92 .94 .94 30 SFC20A2 1602 2012 .93 .90 .92 .95 .86 .82 .78 .73 .88 .94 .92 31 SFC21A 1748 2013 .91 .92 .94 .92 .87 .84 .90 .95 .92 .93 .94 32 SFC21B 1789 2012 .92 .92 .89 .89 .91 .93 .93 .93 .95 33 SFC22A 1647 2012 .94 .95 .94 .94 .91 .86 .88 .90 .92 .95 .94 34 SFC22B 1634 2008 .94 .95 .95 .95 .90 .85 .91 .92 .91 .94 .93 35 SFC23A 1934 2012 .88 .82 .74 36 SFC23B 1936 2012 .71 .74 .66 37 SFC24A 1887 2012 .74 .86 .86 .90 .91 38 SFC24B 1874 2012 .76 .77 .87 .87 .92 .90 39 SFC26A 1899 2012 .81 .81 .86 .83 .82 40 SFC26B 1854 2012 .39 .48 .71 .82 .88 .88 41 SFC26C 1860 2012 .39 .51 .59 .86 .87 .90 42 SFC27A 1710 2012 .86 .89 .91 .90 .89 .88 .88 .91 .91 .88 .85 43 SFC27C 1695 2012 .84 .91 .92 .91 .88 .86 .89 .90 .86 .91 .88 44 SFC28B 1766 2012 .88 .89 .86 .79 .76 .74 .73 .85 .87 .83 45 SFC29A 1900 2012 .70 .77 .86 .86 46 SFC30 1832 1988 .57 .74 .90 .83 .78 .79 64 SFC35 1260 1790 .80 .83 Av segment correlation .89 .89 .90 .91 .86 .82 .82 .84 .87 .87 .85 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: South Fork - Chalk Creek 11:08 Tue 13 Oct 2015 Page 16 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 SFC2A 1769 2012 244 10 0 .916 .39 1.03 .210 .515 .477 2.55 .426 -.018 2 2 SFC2B 1810 2012 203 8 0 .904 .38 .84 .188 .519 .441 2.51 .406 .003 1 3 SFC3A 1662 2012 351 14 0 .907 .41 1.00 .204 .442 .506 2.46 .357 .009 1 4 SFC3B 1673 2013 341 14 0 .919 .59 2.10 .322 .588 .496 2.49 .455 -.026 1 5 SFC5A 1890 2012 123 5 0 .664 .36 1.09 .226 .762 .456 2.53 .349 -.036 1 6 SFC8A 1456 2012 557 22 0 .787 .40 .92 .177 .502 .394 2.47 .354 -.013 1 7 SFC8B 1440 2012 573 23 0 .793 .35 1.04 .174 .613 .400 2.55 .391 -.005 1 8 SFC9A 1700 2012 313 12 0 .861 .66 1.92 .303 .428 .434 2.64 .441 -.032 1 9 SFC9B 1651 2013 363 14 0 .867 .61 1.67 .306 .520 .447 2.59 .412 .007 1 10 SFC10A 1839 2012 174 7 0 .830 .25 .77 .136 .443 .582 2.71 .470 -.035 1 11 SFC10B 1870 2009 140 6 0 .911 .53 1.01 .225 .354 .488 2.47 .470 .002 1 12 SFC10B2 1666 1840 175 7 0 .901 .46 1.27 .239 .288 .555 2.50 .414 -.025 3 13 SFC11A 1701 2012 312 12 0 .808 .67 1.80 .304 .637 .366 2.47 .349 -.017 1 14 SFC11B 1798 2012 215 9 0 .902 .37 .90 .166 .500 .429 2.49 .406 -.014 1 15 SFC11C 1804 2012 209 8 0 .888 .43 1.24 .281 .734 .475 2.59 .490 -.025 1 16 SFC12A 1700 2012 313 12 0 .886 .47 1.61 .314 .713 .432 2.66 .420 -.042 1 17 SFC12B 1604 2012 409 16 0 .874 .47 1.48 .273 .646 .458 2.59 .398 -.034 1 18 SFC13A 1679 2007 329 13 0 .806 .45 1.38 .271 .559 .526 2.57 .337 -.031 2 19 SFC14A 1830 2012 183 7 0 .814 .39 1.54 .266 .646 .513 2.53 .387 .008 1 20 SFC14B 1768 2010 243 10 0 .881 .61 1.85 .367 .537 .538 2.59 .467 -.011 2 21 SFC15B 1917 2005 89 4 0 .752 .60 1.58 .345 .813 .336 2.46 .437 -.073 1 22 SFC16A 1622 2012 391 16 0 .857 .28 .83 .159 .580 .456 2.67 .382 -.020 1 23 SFC16B 1648 2012 365 15 0 .853 .38 .95 .176 .530 .406 2.49 .394 -.020 2 24 SFC17A 1890 2012 123 5 0 .881 .72 1.51 .330 .684 .389 2.64 .472 -.012 1 25 SFC17B 1624 2012 389 16 0 .802 .26 .81 .166 .546 .577 2.80 .402 -.016 1 26 SFC18A 1664 2012 349 14 0 .883 .35 1.50 .230 .531 .582 2.61 .438 -.023 1 27 SFC18B 1900 2012 113 4 0 .884 .22 .56 .136 .559 .610 2.57 .495 .003 1 28 SFC19B 1817 2012 196 8 0 .912 .39 1.02 .207 .578 .473 2.50 .436 .021 1 29 SFC20A 1758 2012 255 10 0 .909 .34 .99 .176 .634 .437 2.51 .445 .003 1 30 SFC20A2 1602 2012 411 16 0 .862 .35 1.06 .198 .577 .484 2.58 .312 -.012 1 31 SFC21A 1748 2013 266 11 0 .914 .60 1.49 .276 .390 .483 2.47 .361 .001 1 32 SFC21B 1789 2012 224 9 0 .918 .56 1.24 .257 .400 .474 2.62 .474 .004 1 33 SFC22A 1647 2012 366 15 0 .898 .34 1.95 .248 .691 .561 2.52 .407 .001 1 34 SFC22B 1634 2008 375 15 0 .888 .31 1.49 .190 .548 .538 2.59 .388 .004 1 35 SFC23A 1934 2012 79 3 0 .821 1.29 2.91 .558 .706 .299 2.55 .493 .013 1 36 SFC23B 1936 2012 77 3 0 .707 1.37 2.74 .516 .652 .281 2.51 .443 .017 1 37 SFC24A 1887 2012 126 5 0 .815 .88 2.17 .413 .503 .419 2.58 .428 -.014 1 38 SFC24B 1874 2012 139 6 0 .853 .89 2.02 .384 .411 .417 2.59 .507 -.035 1 39 SFC26A 1899 2012 114 5 0 .832 .90 2.27 .471 .752 .358 2.78 .574 -.002 1 40 SFC26B 1854 2012 159 6 0 .674 .48 1.63 .294 .674 .443 2.66 .403 -.028 1 41 SFC26C 1860 2012 153 6 0 .674 1.04 2.44 .470 .575 .381 2.55 .345 .002 1 42 SFC27A 1710 2012 303 12 0 .889 .58 1.58 .316 .641 .438 2.62 .368 .013 1 43 SFC27C 1695 2012 318 13 0 .829 .55 2.50 .369 .729 .481 2.60 .392 .011 1 44 SFC28B 1766 2012 247 10 0 .830 .61 2.17 .423 .765 .524 2.67 .416 -.025 1 45 SFC29A 1900 2012 113 4 0 .814 .42 1.65 .269 .685 .507 2.56 .491 -.097 1 46 SFC30 1832 1988 157 6 0 .770 .97 3.02 .602 .781 .373 2.62 .498 .024 1 47 SFC31A 1250 1637 388 15 0 .833 .44 1.91 .291 .758 .438 2.51 .356 -.040 1 48 SFC31A2 1149 1634 486 20 0 .784 .38 1.56 .226 .648 .489 2.54 .326 -.034 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: South Fork - Chalk Creek 11:08 Tue 13 Oct 2015 Page 17 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 SFC31B 1198 1622 425 17 0 .878 .52 2.13 .357 .753 .491 2.57 .403 -.036 1 50 SFC31B2 1208 1630 423 17 0 .736 .61 1.79 .357 .720 .404 2.54 .337 -.003 4 51 SFC32A 871 1211 341 14 0 .768 .32 .93 .157 .622 .388 2.52 .352 -.024 2 52 SFC32A2 907 1216 310 12 0 .749 .29 .74 .131 .521 .392 2.60 .383 -.005 8 53 SFC31A3 1314 1638 325 13 0 .763 .48 1.90 .350 .729 .461 2.52 .312 -.057 1 54 SFC32B 974 1263 290 12 0 .840 .47 1.69 .273 .779 .346 2.68 .405 -.007 1 55 SFC32B2 1005 1304 300 12 1 .727 .49 1.72 .340 .790 .416 2.51 .327 -.033 3 56 SFC32C 913 1250 338 14 0 .852 .57 1.43 .299 .693 .339 2.52 .412 -.009 2 57 SFC32C2 1063 1319 257 10 0 .812 .30 .92 .181 .769 .407 2.63 .421 .000 1 58 SFC33 821 1626 806 33 0 .693 .43 1.85 .276 .828 .358 2.60 .302 -.006 4 59 SFC33B 845 1428 584 24 0 .678 .42 1.60 .295 .835 .397 2.54 .303 .000 6 60 SFC33C 753 1095 343 13 2 .645 .55 2.14 .274 .746 .317 2.60 .381 .004 2 61 SFC34 1065 1575 511 21 0 .803 .36 1.16 .219 .417 .583 2.72 .490 -.022 1 62 SFC34B 767 1614 848 34 0 .756 .33 1.42 .230 .696 .530 2.73 .443 -.015 1 63 SFC34C 783 1254 472 19 0 .791 .33 1.12 .209 .696 .494 2.61 .390 -.030 1 64 SFC35 1260 1790 531 21 0 .821 .33 1.02 .201 .650 .508 2.58 .425 -.017 4 65 SFC35B 1270 1651 382 16 0 .811 .41 1.58 .254 .689 .528 2.65 .408 -.018 1 66 SFC36-1 955 1351 397 16 0 .785 .42 1.48 .280 .526 .610 2.79 .460 -.007 2 67 SFC36-2 971 1375 405 17 0 .697 .21 .78 .159 .385 .795 2.69 .505 -.008 6 68 SFC37 900 1555 656 26 0 .773 .22 .88 .142 .735 .466 2.58 .389 -.015 2 69 SFC37-2 897 1474 578 23 0 .798 .22 .77 .152 .746 .489 2.49 .349 -.022 1 70 SFC37-3 736 1202 467 19 0 .798 .29 1.89 .229 .812 .401 2.72 .395 -.044 1 71 SFC37-4 736 1063 328 13 0 .825 .36 1.46 .263 .826 .395 2.69 .413 -.032 1 72 SFC37-5 769 842 74 3 0 .704 .84 1.89 .468 .722 .366 2.64 .527 -.044 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 22932 920 3 .812 .43 3.02 .253 .636 .465 2.80 .398 -.015