Warner Lake, Utah - UT553 Additional Site Information Joseph D. Birch R.Justin DeRose W.Robert DeRose COFECHA output: Chronology file name : UT553.CRN Measurement file name : UT553.RWL Date checked : 08DEC21 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1813 Ending year : 2010 Principal investigators: Joseph D. Birch R.Justin DeRose W.Robert DeRose Site name : Warner Lake Site location : Utah Species information : PPTR QUAKING ASPEN Latitude : 3831 Longitude : -10917 Elevation : 2864M Series intercorrelation: 0.576 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.279 Avg standard deviation : 0.660 Avg autocorrelation : 0.687 Number dated series : 15 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 6 Pct problem segments : 7.41 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Warner Lake 08:53 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 LSR16 1918 2010 .53 .58 .76 .75 2 LSSE20 1867 2010 .57 .61 .72 .65 .61 .47 3 LSNE2 1813 2010 .52 .58 .49 .43 .30A .33B .26A 4 LSSL22 1853 2010 .59 .65 .64 .54 .63 .51 5 LSSL17 1880 2010 .75 .68 .63 .68 .59 6 LSR31 1847 2010 .74 .84 .73 .74 .74 .59 .48 7 LSR15 1851 2010 .59 .65 .49 .60 .69 .68 8 LSR8 1853 1980 .72 .81 .70 .68 .65 9 LSNE21 1904 2010 .51 .59 .44 .34 10 LSNE18 1870 2010 .72 .74 .72 .54 .49 .46 11 LSM24 1891 2010 .65 .61 .32A .21B .22A 12 LSCS14 1852 2010 .77 .66 .63 .64 .44 .51 13 LSCS11 1887 2010 .65 .64 .47 .42 .48 14 LSCS10 1858 2010 .87 .76 .65 .57 .62 .65 15 LSS12 1938 2010 .44 .46 .51 Av segment correlation .63 .69 .68 .62 .55 .54 .49 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Warner Lake 08:53 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 LSR16 1918 2010 93 4 0 .629 1.20 4.15 .687 .761 .301 2.64 .438 -.001 1 2 LSSE20 1867 2010 144 6 0 .555 1.56 3.27 .571 .611 .260 2.52 .400 -.072 1 3 LSNE2 1813 2010 198 7 3 .414 1.27 2.80 .570 .679 .286 2.65 .404 -.043 5 4 LSSL22 1853 2010 158 6 0 .581 1.53 3.66 .677 .708 .249 2.55 .416 -.093 1 5 LSSL17 1880 2010 131 5 0 .632 1.02 3.27 .560 .708 .296 2.69 .485 -.092 1 6 LSR31 1847 2010 164 7 0 .630 1.42 3.51 .686 .713 .291 2.50 .330 -.005 1 7 LSR15 1851 2010 160 6 0 .583 1.37 3.59 .641 .688 .290 2.67 .417 -.016 1 8 LSR8 1853 1980 128 5 0 .714 1.74 4.63 .790 .653 .321 2.59 .463 -.042 1 9 LSNE21 1904 2010 107 4 0 .447 1.45 3.24 .558 .549 .273 2.79 .543 -.056 2 10 LSNE18 1870 2010 141 6 0 .557 1.60 4.35 .867 .628 .333 2.67 .470 -.087 2 11 LSM24 1891 2010 120 5 3 .439 1.20 3.02 .565 .705 .278 2.79 .363 -.009 2 12 LSCS14 1852 2010 159 6 0 .641 1.43 3.20 .650 .690 .267 2.76 .390 -.034 1 13 LSCS11 1887 2010 124 5 0 .544 1.27 3.26 .680 .784 .259 2.53 .386 -.088 1 14 LSCS10 1858 2010 153 6 0 .730 1.54 4.13 .837 .786 .245 2.73 .342 -.017 1 15 LSS12 1938 2010 73 3 0 .464 1.43 2.44 .455 .602 .234 2.68 .552 -.035 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 2053 81 6 .576 1.41 4.63 .660 .687 .279 2.79 .418 -.046