T.W. Daniel Experimental Forest PCEN, Utah - UT555 Additional Site Information Joseph D. Birch Matthew F. Bekker R.Justin DeRose Ryan Jess COFECHA output: Chronology file name : UT555.CRN Measurement file name : UT555.RWL Date checked : 08DEC21 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1790 Ending year : 2015 Principal investigators: Joseph D. Birch Matthew F. Bekker R.Justin DeRose Ryan Jess Site name : T.W. Daniel Experimental Forest Site location : Utah Species information : PCEN ENGELMANN SPRUCE Latitude : 4151 Longitude : -11130 Elevation : 2650M Series intercorrelation: 0.636 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.182 Avg standard deviation : 0.595 Avg autocorrelation : 0.731 Number dated series : 100 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 21 Pct problem segments : 3.86 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: T.W. Daniel PCEN 09:05 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 1-1-W 1870 2014 .70 .79 .75 .78 .87 .86 2 3-2-W 1840 2014 .59 .77 .88 .80 .66 .58 .54 3 5-3-W 1850 2014 .70 .80 .69 .63 .82 .75 4 7-4-W 1911 2014 .21B .41 .44 .55 5 9-5-W 1970 2014 .67 6 11-6-W 1940 2014 .37 .45 .47 7 13-7-W 1840 2014 .33B .40 .47 .55 .49 .61 .76 8 15-8-W 1820 2014 .35 .37 .76 .83 .72 .56 .71 .75 9 17-9-W 1850 2014 .60 .78 .71 .74 .78 .81 10 19-10-W 1880 2014 .25A .52 .55 .60 .72 11 21-11-W 1866 2014 .73 .78 .76 .77 .78 .78 12 23-12-W 1790 2014 .29A .60 .70 .62 .50 .60 .80 .80 13 25-15-W 1823 2014 .57 .55 .63 .65 .47 .46 .55 .60 14 27-14-W 1840 2014 .64 .71 .79 .74 .70 .74 .76 15 29-15-W 1810 2014 .48 .58 .56 .62 .49 .41 .65 .70 16 31-16-W 1850 2013 .63 .84 .81 .65 .71 .55 17 33-17-W 1875 2015 .42 .59 .56 .66 .79 18 35-18-W 1860 2014 .54 .63 .65 .66 .80 .80 19 37-19-W 1879 2014 .14B .35 .64 .71 .79 20 39-20-W 1890 1969 .83 .75 .69 21 41-21-W 1901 2014 .43 .55 .79 .75 22 43-22-W 1849 2008 .44 .45 .63 .61 .44 .59 .56 23 45-23-W 1821 2014 .53 .54 .61 .78 .85 .74 .72 .66 24 47-24-W 1908 2014 .56 .74 .85 .85 25 49-25-W 1950 2014 .32B .38 26 1-1-S 1917 2014 .83 .76 .80 .63 27 3-2-S 1895 2014 .80 .76 .48 .38 .50 28 5-3-S 1846 2014 .47 .50 .79 .77 .71 .78 .72 29 7-4-S 1925 2014 .30A .63 .73 30 9-5-S 1967 2014 .62 31 11-6-S 1915 2014 .20B .51 .59 .59 32 13-7-S 1837 2014 .32B .42 .75 .73 .49 .66 .81 33 15-8-S 1850 2014 .77 .74 .50 .52 .78 .81 34 17-9-S 1847 2014 .42 .48 .67 .68 .79 .82 .64 35 19-10-S 1865 2014 .57 .55 .47 .33A .54 .56 36 21-11-S 1878 2014 .78 .69 .63 .58 .61 37 23-12-S 1825 2014 .59 .62 .60 .60 .62 .74 .76 38 25-13-S 1845 2014 .74 .75 .80 .73 .63 .76 .75 39 27-14-S 1840 2014 .65 .74 .86 .81 .61 .55 .57 40 29-15-S 1801 2014 .51 .67 .73 .86 .71 .54 .80 .66 41 31-16-S 1852 2014 .52 .68 .62 .58 .70 .65 42 33-17-S 1882 2014 .51 .64 .57 .77 .80 43 35-18-S 1840 2014 .34 .52 .58 .48 .50 .65 .61 44 37-19-S 1904 2014 .46 .50 .60 .69 45 39-20-S 1820 2014 .55 .59 .79 .73 .55 .63 .72 .72 46 41-21-S 1919 2014 .60 .72 .87 .83 47 43-22-S 1823 2014 .63 .66 .85 .81 .76 .74 .73 .73 48 45-23-S 1833 2014 .83 .84 .73 .67 .72 .77 .67 49 47-24-S 1924 2014 .78 .78 .82 .81 50 49-25-S 1964 2014 .34 .34 51 1-1-N 1870 2014 .71 .83 .79 .64 .79 .81 52 3-2-N 1960 2014 .78 .80 53 5-3-N 1880 2014 .48 .37B .51 .82 .83 54 7-4-N 1850 2014 .56 .61 .52 .63 .80 .87 55 9-5-N 1951 2014 .43 .52 56 11-5-N 1940 2014 .58 .67 .63 57 13-7-N 1870 2014 .53 .61 .64 .69 .73 .75 58 15-8-N 1870 2014 .49 .54 .63 .60 .75 .81 59 17-9-N 1880 2014 .79 .81 .78 .81 .84 60 19-10-N 1920 2014 .36 .58 .54 .65 61 21-11-N 1884 2014 .83 .83 .74 .73 .59 62 23-12-N 1810 2014 .30A .55 .68 .66 .64 .53 .65 .71 63 25-13-N 1810 2014 .32A .57 .74 .83 .76 .54 .63 .69 64 27-14-N 1830 2014 .63 .69 .79 .67 .64 .76 .72 65 29-15-N 1800 2014 .58 .63 .58 .62 .58 .54 .68 .70 66 31-16-N 1850 2013 .57 .84 .72 .48 .56 .47 67 33-17-N 1882 2014 .68 .69 .49 .68 .76 68 35-18-N 1860 2014 .60 .69 .57 .66 .84 .82 69 37-19-N 1882 2014 .38 .52 .56 .67 .74 70 39-20-N 1822 2015 .51 .56 .74 .74 .54 .62 .83 .76 71 41-21-N 1922 2014 .61 .63 .77 .81 72 43-22-N 1850 2006 .33 .46 .62 .36 .35B .32A 73 45-23-N 1813 2014 .62 .67 .75 .78 .70 .60 .70 .63 74 47-24-N 1911 2014 .46 .73 .83 .81 75 49-25-N 1960 2014 .28B .32A 76 1-1-E 1920 2014 .77 .83 .85 .86 77 3-2-E 1920 2014 .57 .56 .53 .62 78 5-3-E 1870 2014 .69 .69 .69 .65 .69 .67 79 7-4-E 1910 2014 .38 .55 .76 .81 80 9-5-E 1970 2014 .69 81 11-6-E 1950 2014 .69 .82 82 13-7-E 1860 2014 .58 .67 .66 .64 .72 .80 83 15-8-E 1920 2014 .63 .57 .82 .83 84 17-9-E 1870 2014 .58 .73 .85 .80 .82 .86 85 19-10-E 1880 2013 .11B .24A .45 .59 .72 86 21-11-E 1889 2014 .73 .73 .80 .66 .64 87 23-12-E 1850 2014 .75 .77 .73 .69 .79 .80 88 25-13-E 1820 2014 .58 .56 .81 .88 .64 .58 .80 .69 89 27-14-E 1860 2014 .67 .85 .83 .74 .79 .79 90 29-15-E 1820 2014 .66 .68 .69 .73 .51 .49 .72 .72 91 31-16-E 1840 2014 .55 .61 .74 .69 .69 .83 .78 92 33-17-E 1880 2014 .57 .76 .60 .71 .84 93 35-18-E 1870 2014 .53 .60 .57 .63 .83 .86 94 37-19-E 1890 2014 .35 .35 .57 .72 .78 95 39-20-E 1831 2015 .52 .62 .89 .83 .75 .77 .73 96 41-21-E 1897 2014 .51 .49 .73 .84 .79 97 43-22-E 1838 2014 .71 .73 .85 .83 .63 .52 .61 98 45-23-E 1829 2014 .67 .80 .82 .77 .73 .71 .67 99 47-24-E 1914 2014 .76 .76 .78 .82 100 49-25-E 1951 2015 .30A .23B Av segment correlation .50 .57 .64 .68 .63 .61 .69 .70 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: T.W. Daniel PCEN 09:05 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 1-1-W 1870 2014 145 6 0 .789 2.40 4.33 .695 .830 .128 2.68 .443 .027 1 2 3-2-W 1840 2014 175 7 0 .644 1.84 3.87 .688 .838 .160 2.55 .454 -.011 1 3 5-3-W 1850 2014 165 6 0 .712 1.75 4.34 .627 .776 .181 2.70 .465 -.026 1 4 7-4-W 1911 2014 104 4 1 .373 2.12 5.03 .694 .723 .185 2.71 .439 -.034 1 5 9-5-W 1970 2014 45 1 0 .666 2.53 4.27 .851 .711 .206 2.88 .587 .013 1 6 11-6-W 1940 2014 75 3 0 .460 1.88 3.13 .574 .689 .194 2.75 .494 -.007 1 7 13-7-W 1840 2014 175 7 1 .517 1.95 3.54 .455 .591 .172 2.71 .436 -.022 2 8 15-8-W 1820 2014 195 8 0 .642 2.21 4.58 .754 .678 .246 2.62 .438 -.030 2 9 17-9-W 1850 2014 165 6 0 .708 1.60 4.70 .703 .748 .209 2.94 .541 .056 1 10 19-10-W 1880 2014 135 5 1 .503 1.02 2.77 .486 .857 .204 2.84 .527 .099 1 11 21-11-W 1866 2014 149 6 0 .759 3.10 4.81 .713 .680 .148 2.59 .403 -.017 1 12 23-12-W 1790 2014 225 8 1 .599 1.28 2.37 .437 .804 .171 2.53 .300 -.022 1 13 25-15-W 1823 2014 192 8 0 .530 .92 2.18 .433 .900 .173 2.67 .354 .012 1 14 27-14-W 1840 2014 175 7 0 .726 1.54 3.38 .540 .822 .160 2.66 .353 -.024 1 15 29-15-W 1810 2014 205 8 0 .546 1.01 3.37 .471 .832 .189 2.63 .441 -.022 2 16 31-16-W 1850 2013 164 6 0 .672 1.20 2.12 .259 .476 .168 2.77 .475 .022 1 17 33-17-W 1875 2015 141 5 0 .568 1.08 2.79 .455 .788 .197 2.77 .485 .015 1 18 35-18-W 1860 2014 155 6 0 .644 1.42 5.36 .597 .729 .175 2.62 .445 .044 1 19 37-19-W 1879 2014 136 5 1 .497 2.06 3.86 .640 .822 .158 2.73 .478 -.041 1 20 39-20-W 1890 1969 80 3 0 .730 1.61 3.18 .475 .690 .174 2.69 .533 -.075 1 21 41-21-W 1901 2014 114 4 0 .562 1.63 2.86 .549 .815 .169 2.59 .395 -.032 1 22 43-22-W 1849 2008 160 7 0 .514 .94 2.42 .368 .788 .193 2.67 .475 -.007 1 23 45-23-W 1821 2014 194 8 0 .680 1.23 2.33 .376 .709 .182 2.48 .295 -.007 1 24 47-24-W 1908 2014 107 4 0 .711 2.49 4.49 .718 .596 .195 2.63 .453 .003 1 25 49-25-W 1950 2014 65 2 1 .404 2.88 5.56 1.212 .818 .192 2.41 .339 -.043 1 26 1-1-S 1917 2014 98 4 0 .729 3.35 5.79 1.012 .828 .141 2.52 .369 .014 1 27 3-2-S 1895 2014 120 5 0 .612 1.45 3.00 .567 .751 .193 2.54 .405 .018 1 28 5-3-S 1846 2014 169 7 0 .657 1.14 1.92 .249 .445 .176 2.53 .388 -.034 2 29 7-4-S 1925 2014 90 3 1 .472 2.45 4.88 .688 .690 .166 2.73 .508 -.058 1 30 9-5-S 1967 2014 48 1 0 .619 2.67 5.40 .892 .477 .259 2.85 .552 -.056 1 31 11-6-S 1915 2014 100 4 1 .401 1.55 3.42 .609 .780 .206 2.68 .429 .076 1 32 13-7-S 1837 2014 178 7 1 .625 1.77 3.83 .527 .595 .199 2.58 .363 -.056 2 33 15-8-S 1850 2014 165 6 0 .691 2.14 4.35 .649 .626 .212 2.53 .406 -.017 1 34 17-9-S 1847 2014 168 7 0 .617 1.70 3.04 .478 .649 .191 2.67 .465 -.014 2 35 19-10-S 1865 2014 150 6 1 .506 .98 3.14 .567 .875 .229 2.53 .312 -.066 1 36 21-11-S 1878 2014 137 5 0 .657 2.92 5.05 .862 .818 .136 2.71 .470 .001 1 37 23-12-S 1825 2014 190 7 0 .634 1.55 3.17 .530 .831 .160 2.54 .344 -.020 1 38 25-13-S 1845 2014 170 7 0 .733 1.14 2.49 .403 .819 .165 2.76 .472 -.004 1 39 27-14-S 1840 2014 175 7 0 .674 1.55 3.13 .512 .836 .153 2.67 .450 -.009 1 40 29-15-S 1801 2014 214 8 0 .653 1.34 2.84 .489 .838 .163 2.54 .364 -.023 2 41 31-16-S 1852 2014 163 6 0 .600 1.41 2.60 .401 .711 .163 2.64 .406 -.008 1 42 33-17-S 1882 2014 133 5 0 .619 1.17 2.14 .349 .745 .162 2.58 .448 -.016 1 43 35-18-S 1840 2014 175 7 0 .486 1.17 3.05 .462 .752 .185 2.65 .499 -.048 1 44 37-19-S 1904 2014 111 4 0 .557 2.29 4.16 .630 .739 .159 2.84 .547 -.015 1 45 39-20-S 1820 2014 195 8 0 .642 1.75 4.27 .737 .859 .163 2.57 .416 .001 1 46 41-21-S 1919 2014 96 4 0 .702 2.11 4.84 .863 .798 .197 2.71 .422 -.048 1 47 43-22-S 1823 2014 192 8 0 .729 1.68 3.37 .694 .813 .206 2.63 .399 -.047 2 48 45-23-S 1833 2014 182 7 0 .730 1.46 2.67 .449 .730 .182 2.72 .486 -.016 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: T.W. Daniel PCEN 09:05 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 47-24-S 1924 2014 91 4 0 .763 2.63 5.07 .792 .625 .192 2.74 .535 -.030 1 50 49-25-S 1964 2014 51 2 0 .345 3.46 5.86 1.168 .727 .195 2.33 .416 -.046 1 51 1-1-N 1870 2014 145 6 0 .758 2.40 3.77 .678 .767 .158 2.71 .386 .075 1 52 3-2-N 1960 2014 55 2 0 .796 2.14 4.64 .862 .736 .238 2.72 .518 -.054 1 53 5-3-N 1880 2014 135 5 1 .560 1.95 3.59 .612 .573 .231 2.52 .328 -.035 1 54 7-4-N 1850 2014 165 6 0 .660 2.22 5.21 .942 .822 .179 2.71 .415 -.013 1 55 9-5-N 1951 2014 64 2 0 .479 2.63 4.83 .882 .745 .199 2.82 .505 .084 5 56 11-5-N 1940 2014 75 3 0 .620 3.17 5.72 1.151 .741 .217 2.75 .586 .099 1 57 13-7-N 1870 2014 145 6 0 .667 2.07 3.65 .447 .595 .149 2.70 .439 -.012 2 58 15-8-N 1870 2014 145 6 0 .617 2.35 4.37 .671 .436 .235 2.72 .366 -.015 1 59 17-9-N 1880 2014 135 5 0 .791 2.38 4.40 .575 .474 .189 2.57 .382 .035 1 60 19-10-N 1920 2014 95 4 0 .515 1.51 2.91 .470 .674 .196 2.64 .443 -.044 1 61 21-11-N 1884 2014 131 5 0 .717 2.76 4.55 .660 .569 .180 2.45 .327 -.003 1 62 23-12-N 1810 2014 205 8 1 .621 1.51 3.22 .466 .714 .181 2.65 .410 -.023 2 63 25-13-N 1810 2014 205 8 1 .654 1.01 2.09 .314 .755 .168 2.58 .364 -.025 1 64 27-14-N 1830 2014 185 7 0 .702 1.50 4.00 .484 .675 .189 2.83 .490 -.033 1 65 29-15-N 1800 2014 215 8 0 .596 1.09 3.67 .624 .897 .178 2.65 .418 -.013 1 66 31-16-N 1850 2013 164 6 0 .580 1.32 3.04 .471 .782 .161 2.61 .444 -.006 1 67 33-17-N 1882 2014 133 5 0 .657 1.10 2.30 .371 .731 .174 2.64 .426 .002 1 68 35-18-N 1860 2014 155 6 0 .662 1.74 5.18 .666 .670 .198 2.99 .552 -.034 1 69 37-19-N 1882 2014 133 5 0 .566 2.26 3.98 .548 .665 .155 2.67 .514 .030 1 70 39-20-N 1822 2015 194 8 0 .658 1.63 3.71 .736 .879 .165 2.66 .331 -.036 1 71 41-21-N 1922 2014 93 4 0 .664 2.11 7.11 .931 .751 .173 2.82 .512 -.023 1 72 43-22-N 1850 2006 157 6 2 .417 1.36 2.55 .489 .782 .196 2.69 .470 .022 1 73 45-23-N 1813 2014 202 8 0 .665 1.57 3.09 .554 .727 .197 2.63 .347 -.001 1 74 47-24-N 1911 2014 104 4 0 .668 2.45 5.80 .916 .546 .223 2.84 .579 -.022 1 75 49-25-N 1960 2014 55 2 2 .339 3.54 6.88 1.234 .752 .182 2.56 .379 -.011 1 76 1-1-E 1920 2014 95 4 0 .802 3.67 5.15 .833 .635 .160 2.55 .415 -.028 1 77 3-2-E 1920 2014 95 4 0 .561 1.58 2.60 .300 .502 .153 2.61 .421 .036 1 78 5-3-E 1870 2014 145 6 0 .658 2.03 3.58 .521 .548 .186 2.66 .442 -.032 1 79 7-4-E 1910 2014 105 4 0 .622 2.42 4.75 .822 .709 .181 2.69 .480 -.034 1 80 9-5-E 1970 2014 45 1 0 .687 2.43 4.25 .796 .751 .189 2.66 .547 -.066 2 81 11-6-E 1950 2014 65 2 0 .719 2.51 4.62 .792 .639 .202 2.63 .451 -.002 1 82 13-7-E 1860 2014 155 6 0 .665 2.05 3.78 .537 .703 .155 2.75 .459 .001 1 83 15-8-E 1920 2014 95 4 0 .709 2.22 3.77 .734 .757 .195 2.78 .583 -.052 1 84 17-9-E 1870 2014 145 6 0 .770 1.89 5.19 .754 .664 .232 2.65 .360 .011 1 85 19-10-E 1880 2013 134 5 2 .426 1.21 3.07 .612 .877 .209 2.76 .429 .027 1 86 21-11-E 1889 2014 126 5 0 .697 2.84 4.82 .757 .676 .172 2.68 .482 -.060 1 87 23-12-E 1850 2014 165 6 0 .754 1.89 3.67 .622 .755 .180 2.62 .385 -.018 2 88 25-13-E 1820 2014 195 8 0 .682 .98 2.46 .403 .890 .151 2.57 .369 -.018 1 89 27-14-E 1860 2014 155 6 0 .764 1.91 5.83 .771 .765 .188 2.65 .377 -.008 1 90 29-15-E 1820 2014 195 8 0 .630 .99 2.61 .507 .874 .195 2.59 .350 -.005 3 91 31-16-E 1840 2014 175 7 0 .698 1.49 3.17 .470 .648 .197 2.89 .568 -.013 1 92 33-17-E 1880 2014 135 5 0 .664 1.16 2.09 .316 .616 .180 2.60 .427 .007 1 93 35-18-E 1870 2014 145 6 0 .658 1.88 3.40 .584 .754 .178 2.89 .563 .002 2 94 37-19-E 1890 2014 125 5 0 .544 2.23 3.70 .557 .599 .183 2.66 .487 -.010 1 95 39-20-E 1831 2015 185 7 0 .695 1.83 4.22 .750 .841 .176 2.65 .378 -.039 1 96 41-21-E 1897 2014 118 5 0 .656 2.25 4.17 .589 .635 .175 2.63 .513 -.071 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: T.W. Daniel PCEN 09:05 Wed 08 Dec 2021 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 97 43-22-E 1838 2014 177 7 0 .709 1.94 4.09 .695 .689 .213 2.77 .399 -.016 1 98 45-23-E 1829 2014 186 7 0 .721 1.59 3.30 .517 .761 .163 2.49 .317 -.023 1 99 47-24-E 1914 2014 101 4 0 .783 2.46 5.46 .848 .630 .209 2.78 .508 -.001 1 100 49-25-E 1951 2015 65 2 2 .216 3.42 6.68 1.436 .867 .178 2.45 .355 -.047 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 14019 544 21 .636 1.78 7.11 .595 .731 .182 2.99 .429 -.012