Chronology file name : WA047.CRN Measurement file name : WA047.RWL Date checked : 11APR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 1248 Ending year : 1980 Principal investigators: Lisa Graumlich Site name : Elliot Creek Site location : Washington Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4803 Longitude : -12124 Elevation : 805M Series intercorrelation: 0.531 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.182 Avg standard deviation : 0.522 Avg autocorrelation : 0.885 Number dated series : 36 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 75 Pct problem segments : 13.91 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: wa047.rwl 13:29 Mon 11 Apr 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 001011 1663 1979 .37 .13B .10B .53 .45 .45 2 001012 1627 1979 .11B-.16B .02B .26A .29B-.10B-.09B 3 001021 1656 1979 .35B .46 .57 .72 .66 .62 4 001022 1662 1979 .46 .28A .30A .56 .58 .63 5 001031 1684 1979 .71 .74 .80 .77 .71 6 001032 1651 1979 .65 .59 .66 .73 .75 .74 7 001041 1248 1980 -.22B-.13B-.34B-.19B-.02B .01B-.03B-.06B-.10B-.13B-.05B-.01B-.01B-.06B-.05B .20B .06B .05B .47 .69 8 001042 1531 1979 .38 .48 .43 .54 .53 .57 .66 .63 .53 .55 .57 9 001061 1625 1979 .54 .75 .59 .58 .74 .75 .67 10 001062 1632 1979 .30A .39 .54 .60 .75 .84 .82 11 001071 1658 1979 .50 .45 .56 .46 .46 .55 12 001072 1615 1979 .50 .57 .74 .67 .62 .48 .54 .60 13 001081 1676 1979 .50 .52 .52 .65 .77 14 001082 1660 1979 .71 .67 .59 .59 .73 .65 15 001091 1593 1980 .42 .56 .35 .44 .65 .59 .60 .72 .83 16 001092 1649 1980 .71 .70 .70 .66 .61 .67 .70 17 001101 1640 1980 .66 .75 .80 .75 .78 .80 .77 18 001102 1609 1979 .29A .30A .62 .65 .62 .59 .39 .33 19 001111 1317 1979 -.22B-.13B-.27B .07B .29B .19B .23B .29A .42 .55 .59 .68 .56 .35 .38 .44 .36 .50 .70 .67 20 001112 1387 1979 .46B .42 .25B .16B .22B .50 .70 .68 .40 .14B .12B .37 .28A .28A .37 .53 .54 21 001121 1599 1979 .51 .57 .66 .39 .44 .55 .64 .72 .67 22 001122 1526 1979 .54 .21B .21B .37 .43 .54 .40 .32B .53 .61 .73 23 001141 1654 1979 .28B .34B .35B .44 .57 .51 24 001142 1661 1980 .52 .41 .28A .34 .66 .64 25 001151 1662 1979 .59 .67 .62 .70 .71 .74 26 001152 1618 1979 .61 .59 .74 .70 .70 .68 .69 .67 27 001161 1634 1979 .68 .66 .80 .64 .56 .71 .67 28 001162 1654 1979 .47 .63 .67 .70 .76 .65 29 001171 1683 1979 .44 .65 .53 .68 .80 30 001172 1718 1979 .43 .46 .66 .72 31 001181 1675 1980 .55 .55 .56 .61 .70 32 001182 1680 1980 .48 .54 .70 .75 .75 33 001191 1537 1979 .69 .58 .59 .50 .35 .35 .57 .68 .71 .67 .62 34 001192 1483 1980 .23B .42 .51 .57 .56 .53 .27A .29B .51 .67 .69 .67 .61 35 001201 1692 1980 .55 .61 .77 .75 .74 36 001202 1650 1980 .35 .26B .47 .74 .69 .69 Av segment correlation -.22 -.13 -.30 .11 .23 .15 .12 .17 .31 .47 .44 .42 .43 .41 .47 .51 .52 .58 .63 .64 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: wa047.rwl 13:29 Mon 11 Apr 2005 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 001011 1663 1979 .46 .39 .42 .31B .40 .55 .56 2 001012 1627 1979 .04B-.09B-.02B .16B-.07B .07B .08B 3 001021 1656 1979 .75 .56 .50 .69 .79 .82 .81 4 001022 1662 1979 .72 .67 .57 .53 .58 .53 .52 5 001031 1684 1979 .68 .75 .72 .69 .74 .68 .69 6 001032 1651 1979 .75 .77 .69 .68 .76 .72 .73 7 001041 1248 1980 .75 .77 .71 .80 .87 .77 .79 8 001042 1531 1979 .44 .47 .36 .46 .52 .53 .67 9 001061 1625 1979 .68 .80 .77 .71 .73 .69 .69 10 001062 1632 1979 .70 .71 .71 .72 .78 .82 .84 11 001071 1658 1979 .53 .56 .50 .56 .57 .56 .56 12 001072 1615 1979 .61 .66 .55 .62 .60 .63 .65 13 001081 1676 1979 .73 .71 .49 .39 .62 .58 .53 14 001082 1660 1979 .63 .75 .69 .68 .58 .68 .66 15 001091 1593 1980 .86 .86 .82 .76 .71 .74 .79 16 001092 1649 1980 .74 .74 .62 .54 .60 .34 .42 17 001101 1640 1980 .67 .54 .43 .42 .52 .52 .57 18 001102 1609 1979 .32A .36 .46 .43 .49 .57 .56 19 001111 1317 1979 .64 .55 .45 .62 .74 .66 .66 20 001112 1387 1979 .43 .55 .56 .61 .68 .64 .62 21 001121 1599 1979 .61 .61 .53 .57 .58 .55 .58 22 001122 1526 1979 .72 .59 .53 .44 .37B .38B .42B 23 001141 1654 1979 .48 .43 .42 .33 .40 .67 .64 24 001142 1661 1980 .50 .62 .64 .53 .68 .83 .80 25 001151 1662 1979 .76 .61 .48 .54 .67 .65 .63 26 001152 1618 1979 .60 .51 .46 .56 .63 .71 .66 27 001161 1634 1979 .73 .78 .60 .44 .56 .73 .72 28 001162 1654 1979 .63 .77 .62 .56 .66 .48 .47 29 001171 1683 1979 .73 .60 .62 .82 .81 .76 .70 30 001172 1718 1979 .53 .61 .68 .67 .45 .32A .29A 31 001181 1675 1980 .77 .66 .59 .57 .56 .58 .64 32 001182 1680 1980 .78 .82 .71 .65 .56 .44 .56 33 001191 1537 1979 .69 .67 .72 .76 .67 .42 .44 34 001192 1483 1980 .57 .63 .65 .66 .60 .55 .69 35 001201 1692 1980 .76 .74 .73 .61 .50 .35 .49 36 001202 1650 1980 .76 .69 .61 .47 .32A .39 .53 Av segment correlation .63 .62 .57 .57 .59 .58 .60 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: wa047.rwl 13:29 Mon 11 Apr 2005 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 001011 1663 1979 317 13 3 .376 1.27 5.49 1.251 .947 .218 2.67 .363 -.009 1 2 001012 1627 1979 353 14 14 .047 .92 4.98 1.121 .964 .224 2.51 .372 -.031 1 3 001021 1656 1979 324 13 1 .628 .95 3.18 .633 .918 .235 2.60 .341 -.047 1 4 001022 1662 1979 318 13 2 .547 .93 3.31 .667 .938 .185 2.74 .380 -.019 1 5 001031 1684 1979 296 12 0 .720 1.13 2.53 .425 .753 .202 2.82 .431 -.016 1 6 001032 1651 1979 329 13 0 .700 1.19 3.97 .595 .818 .200 2.80 .417 -.044 1 7 001041 1248 1980 733 27 18 .166 .57 2.11 .325 .899 .185 2.55 .310 -.010 1 8 001042 1531 1979 449 18 0 .491 .79 2.35 .342 .814 .194 2.43 .295 -.081 1 9 001061 1625 1979 355 14 0 .674 .87 2.49 .475 .913 .190 2.73 .433 -.032 2 10 001062 1632 1979 348 14 1 .658 .89 3.38 .554 .934 .184 2.57 .340 -.046 2 11 001071 1658 1979 322 13 0 .526 .81 2.53 .422 .894 .186 2.80 .387 .018 1 12 001072 1615 1979 365 15 0 .585 .76 2.67 .466 .922 .188 2.70 .397 -.001 1 13 001081 1676 1979 304 12 0 .576 .75 2.03 .338 .914 .156 2.65 .366 -.001 2 14 001082 1660 1979 320 13 0 .664 .88 2.25 .427 .925 .148 2.71 .357 -.032 2 15 001091 1593 1980 388 16 0 .663 .54 1.27 .235 .807 .204 2.54 .318 -.021 2 16 001092 1649 1980 332 14 0 .605 .70 1.62 .296 .876 .157 2.51 .306 -.020 1 17 001101 1640 1980 341 14 0 .631 1.26 4.35 .626 .886 .166 2.56 .297 -.022 1 18 001102 1609 1979 371 15 3 .440 1.04 3.62 .759 .943 .189 2.52 .237 -.035 1 19 001111 1317 1979 663 27 8 .362 .60 2.30 .400 .933 .187 2.75 .319 -.010 1 20 001112 1387 1979 593 24 8 .424 .68 2.04 .395 .918 .171 2.68 .283 -.008 1 21 001121 1599 1979 381 16 0 .571 .92 2.57 .467 .869 .213 2.71 .376 -.023 1 22 001122 1526 1979 454 18 6 .489 .69 2.61 .374 .861 .203 2.67 .303 -.050 1 23 001141 1654 1979 326 13 3 .446 1.02 2.34 .383 .765 .210 2.42 .282 -.032 1 24 001142 1661 1980 320 13 1 .554 1.13 3.78 .724 .916 .179 2.52 .309 -.003 2 25 001151 1662 1979 318 13 0 .642 1.07 3.59 .588 .921 .170 2.71 .390 -.042 1 26 001152 1618 1979 362 15 0 .617 .97 3.25 .768 .954 .168 2.63 .366 -.004 1 27 001161 1634 1979 346 14 0 .656 1.18 3.96 .891 .967 .124 2.64 .381 -.038 2 28 001162 1654 1979 326 13 0 .606 1.08 4.54 .815 .951 .141 2.59 .329 .007 1 29 001171 1683 1979 297 12 0 .639 1.28 3.37 .612 .916 .147 2.48 .295 -.041 2 30 001172 1718 1979 262 11 2 .539 1.34 3.44 .517 .820 .168 2.64 .378 -.042 1 31 001181 1675 1980 306 12 0 .589 1.15 3.79 .563 .832 .169 2.46 .234 .003 5 32 001182 1680 1980 301 12 0 .641 1.35 3.25 .557 .852 .167 2.64 .367 .009 4 33 001191 1537 1979 443 18 0 .591 .78 2.55 .444 .861 .203 2.55 .331 -.020 2 34 001192 1483 1980 498 20 3 .543 .76 2.98 .278 .783 .161 2.65 .343 -.039 2 35 001201 1692 1980 289 12 0 .640 1.20 2.50 .373 .782 .167 2.75 .450 .002 2 36 001202 1650 1980 331 13 2 .556 1.05 2.69 .404 .843 .159 2.62 .324 -.028 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 13381 539 75 .531 .92 5.49 .522 .885 .182 2.82 .340 -.023