Bear Creek Ridge, Washington, USA - WA136 Additional Site Information Erika Wise, Aaron Beyerlein, Adam Csank, Matthew Dannenberg, Holly Kuestner, Stephanie McAfee Purpose of Collection: Climatology - storm track Measurement type: Total ring width Reference: Wise, E.K. and M.P. Dannenberg. 2017. Reconstructed storm tracks reveal three centuries of changing moisture delivery to North America. Science Advances, 3, e1602263, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1602263. Location of core material: Climate & Tree Ring Environmental Science (C-TRES) laboratory, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill http://climate.web.unc.edu/ Funded by: National Science Foundation, Paleo Perspectives on Climate Change (P2C2) program, grants AGS-1102757 and AGS-1304422 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : WA136.CRN Measurement file name : WA136.RWL Date checked : 31MAY17 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1389 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: Wise Beyerlein Csank Dannenberg Kuestner McAfee Site name : Bear Creek Ridge Site location : Washington Species information : PIPO PONDEROSA PINE Latitude : 4642 Longitude : -12055 Elevation : 910M Series intercorrelation: 0.593 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.256 Avg standard deviation : 0.589 Avg autocorrelation : 0.797 Number dated series : 35 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 33 Pct problem segments : 6.99 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bear Creek Ridge 12:28 Wed 31 May 2017 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BCR001B 1752 2010 .51 .47 .61 .52 .66 2 BCR007A 1767 2010 .26B .27A .48 .51 .66 3 BCR005B 1756 2010 .32B .27B .41B .58 .71 4 BCR003A 1668 1966 .65 .65 .77 .63 .50 .68 .63 .38 .62 5 BCR001A 1806 2010 .60 .52 .55 6 BCR007B 1747 2010 .63 .52 .29A .46 .51 .60 7 BCR002C 1500 1720 .41 .52 .44 .36 .26B .53 .48 .35B 8 BCR018C 1682 2011 .49 .56 .47 .28A .49 .52 .39 .43 9 BCR013B 1810 2011 .25A .31A .70 10 BCR016B 1796 2011 .40 .43 .56 .71 11 BCR013A 1836 2011 .38 .51 12 BCR012A 1688 1986 .65 .65 .63 .56 .40 .48 .50 .50 13 BCR014A 1760 1980 .47 .45 .43 .47 .62 14 BCR021C 1663 2011 .40 .56 .71 .57 .55 .36 .26B .29A .69 15 BCR022B 1662 2011 .69 .74 .81 .71 .55 .58 .53 .46 .66 16 BCR021B 1793 2011 .50 .44 .50 .69 17 BCR038B 1657 2011 .70 .84 .90 .74 .54 .47 .51 .57 .70 18 BCR025B 1668 2011 .54 .67 .84 .67 .67 .70 .63 .65 .75 19 BCR024B 1730 2011 .71 .67 .63 .50 .51 .70 20 BCR026A 1639 2011 .58 .48 .59 .67 .74 .65 .55 .68 .61 .62 21 BCR028A 1633 2011 .59 .55 .63 .63 .57 .59 .40B .45 .59 .62 22 BCR032D 1506 2012 .74 .77 .70 .67 .45 .55 .74 .72 .65 .66 .49 .45 .56 .65 .66 23 BCR027C 1389 2012 .44 .38B .63 .52 .46 .70 .81 .73 .51 .36 .61 .52 .47 .50 .61 .54 .49 .63 .59 .62 24 BCR037B 1597 2011 .39 .45 .71 .74 .81 .87 .81 .63 .64 .66 .59 .64 25 BCR020A 1740 2011 .59 .61 .72 .50 .41 .73 26 BCR035B 1697 2011 .77 .76 .46 .45 .34 .48 .62 .53 27 BCR032C 1498 2012 .56 .59 .69 .67 .52 .45 .38 .57 .77 .76 .59 .36 .36 .45 .53 .49 28 BCR027D 1392 2012 .44 .38B .63 .52 .51 .69 .66 .69 .68 .37 .56 .63 .71 .73 .58 .51 .53 .65 .61 .64 29 BCR023A 1660 2011 .59 .56 .44 .47 .59 .50 .31A .37 .55 30 BCR037F 1570 2013 .39 .39 .62 .62 .70 .80 .82 .75 .69 .69 .61 .56 .62 31 BCR037E 1635 2013 .70 .69 .83 .89 .77 .66 .64 .65 .57 .64 32 BCR026F 1653 2013 .64 .74 .68 .62 .64 .60 .57 .63 .69 33 BCR026E 1570 2013 .25B .25B .36 .50 .54 .65 .75 .68 .62 .71 .70 .60 .74 34 BCR038C 1662 2013 .53 .76 .90 .83 .61 .42 .47 .63 .72 35 BCR038D 1669 2013 .65 .73 .89 .83 .61 .44 .46 .63 .70 Av segment correlation .44 .38 .63 .52 .51 .62 .69 .55 .47 .42 .58 .60 .67 .74 .65 .54 .50 .52 .52 .64 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bear Creek Ridge 12:28 Wed 31 May 2017 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BCR001B 1752 2010 .66 .66 .50 .65 .62 2 BCR007A 1767 2010 .71 .65 .41 .50 .60 3 BCR005B 1756 2010 .61 .47 .43 .55 .53 4 BCR003A 1668 1966 .78 .62 .55 5 BCR001A 1806 2010 .67 .63 .40 .65 .65 6 BCR007B 1747 2010 .71 .64 .39 .41 .47 8 BCR018C 1682 2011 .48 .55 .56 .25A .22A 9 BCR013B 1810 2011 .78 .62 .60 .52B .50 10 BCR016B 1796 2011 .72 .55 .57 .71 .75 11 BCR013A 1836 2011 .70 .59 .44 .27B .33 12 BCR012A 1688 1986 .66 .69 .45 .50 13 BCR014A 1760 1980 .54 .43 .51 .38 14 BCR021C 1663 2011 .76 .55 .56 .79 .77 15 BCR022B 1662 2011 .68 .44 .23A .27A .22A 16 BCR021B 1793 2011 .62 .51 .60 .80 .80 17 BCR038B 1657 2011 .63 .40 .50 .76 .73 18 BCR025B 1668 2011 .70 .63 .61 .70 .70 19 BCR024B 1730 2011 .78 .76 .55 .69 .77 20 BCR026A 1639 2011 .58 .44 .47 .43 .47 21 BCR028A 1633 2011 .65 .47 .40 .45 .38 22 BCR032D 1506 2012 .73 .50 .35 .67 .70 23 BCR027C 1389 2012 .53 .37 .47 .63 .67 24 BCR037B 1597 2011 .63 .51 .45 .50 .49 25 BCR020A 1740 2011 .76 .66 .64 .52 .49 26 BCR035B 1697 2011 .48 .30A .20B .75 .79 27 BCR032C 1498 2012 .40 .31A .33 .50 .57 28 BCR027D 1392 2012 .65 .49 .49 .57 .49 29 BCR023A 1660 2011 .51 .54 .33A .18B .38 30 BCR037F 1570 2013 .59 .55 .55 .58 .65 31 BCR037E 1635 2013 .65 .60 .47 .47 .66 32 BCR026F 1653 2013 .66 .50 .40 .72 .76 33 BCR026E 1570 2013 .66 .20A .21A .82 .76 34 BCR038C 1662 2013 .70 .67 .60 .73 .69 35 BCR038D 1669 2013 .52 .52 .56 .39 .52 Av segment correlation .64 .53 .46 .55 .59 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bear Creek Ridge 12:28 Wed 31 May 2017 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BCR001B 1752 2010 259 10 0 .602 1.34 3.72 .786 .876 .227 2.47 .307 -.030 1 2 BCR007A 1767 2010 244 10 2 .514 1.34 3.71 .744 .806 .304 2.50 .360 -.045 1 3 BCR005B 1756 2010 255 10 3 .477 1.27 4.45 1.020 .843 .412 2.59 .467 -.010 1 4 BCR003A 1668 1966 299 12 0 .628 .80 4.52 .715 .836 .394 2.59 .353 .011 1 5 BCR001A 1806 2010 205 8 0 .595 1.66 4.47 .832 .795 .236 2.59 .329 -.003 1 6 BCR007B 1747 2010 264 11 1 .516 1.30 3.65 .726 .797 .312 2.48 .372 -.021 1 7 BCR002C 1500 1720 221 8 2 .417 .64 1.74 .308 .691 .316 2.64 .374 .031 1 8 BCR018C 1682 2011 330 13 3 .402 1.08 3.17 .532 .784 .255 2.49 .301 -.004 3 9 BCR013B 1810 2011 202 8 3 .534 1.35 4.14 .764 .824 .247 2.60 .370 .008 1 10 BCR016B 1796 2011 216 9 0 .602 1.81 6.93 1.177 .887 .243 2.54 .361 .005 1 11 BCR013A 1836 2011 176 7 1 .462 1.14 2.97 .551 .748 .255 2.74 .549 -.031 4 12 BCR012A 1688 1986 299 12 0 .560 1.11 3.22 .619 .720 .316 2.66 .402 .005 2 13 BCR014A 1760 1980 221 9 0 .466 1.74 5.40 1.278 .881 .303 2.47 .323 .002 2 14 BCR021C 1663 2011 349 14 2 .554 .83 2.73 .478 .835 .236 2.74 .394 -.005 9 15 BCR022B 1662 2011 350 14 3 .608 .90 3.62 .663 .880 .275 2.52 .302 -.022 1 16 BCR021B 1793 2011 219 9 0 .634 .65 1.16 .169 .484 .214 2.57 .355 -.032 1 17 BCR038B 1657 2011 355 14 0 .660 1.16 3.52 .828 .904 .219 2.57 .371 -.024 2 18 BCR025B 1668 2011 344 14 0 .673 1.30 3.96 .838 .856 .235 2.62 .381 -.027 2 19 BCR024B 1730 2011 282 11 0 .663 1.21 3.69 .520 .680 .292 2.63 .461 -.029 3 20 BCR026A 1639 2011 373 15 0 .614 .73 1.76 .257 .689 .226 2.44 .279 -.025 1 21 BCR028A 1633 2011 379 15 1 .606 .91 2.42 .360 .681 .241 2.51 .229 -.012 1 22 BCR032D 1506 2012 507 20 0 .685 .97 3.24 .557 .818 .244 2.52 .299 -.021 1 23 BCR027C 1389 2012 624 25 1 .588 .71 3.15 .523 .900 .257 2.44 .289 -.010 1 24 BCR037B 1597 2011 415 17 0 .667 .86 2.34 .401 .796 .222 2.55 .325 -.014 1 25 BCR020A 1740 2011 272 11 0 .589 1.70 3.31 .568 .560 .261 2.54 .418 .016 2 26 BCR035B 1697 2011 315 13 2 .585 1.14 2.45 .464 .789 .223 2.42 .263 .006 1 27 BCR032C 1498 2012 515 21 1 .572 .88 2.79 .515 .803 .257 2.48 .258 -.009 1 28 BCR027D 1392 2012 621 25 1 .586 .82 3.89 .601 .900 .228 2.49 .301 .005 2 29 BCR023A 1660 2011 352 14 3 .537 .77 1.97 .341 .657 .304 2.43 .237 -.039 2 30 BCR037F 1570 2013 444 18 0 .634 .79 2.13 .326 .718 .242 2.79 .351 -.024 2 31 BCR037E 1635 2013 379 15 0 .711 .90 2.62 .413 .784 .228 2.54 .334 -.031 1 32 BCR026F 1653 2013 361 14 0 .634 .79 2.16 .365 .761 .227 2.45 .240 -.017 1 33 BCR026E 1570 2013 444 18 4 .551 .81 3.54 .444 .811 .230 2.58 .291 -.003 1 34 BCR038C 1662 2013 352 14 0 .652 1.27 5.08 .907 .909 .207 2.52 .297 -.017 1 35 BCR038D 1669 2013 345 14 0 .667 1.23 4.17 .926 .915 .218 2.34 .252 -.029 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 11788 472 33 .593 1.03 6.93 .589 .797 .256 2.79 .326 -.013