Mt. Everts, Wyoming - WY027 Additional Site Information Lisa J. Graumlich Lindsey A. Waggoner John C. King E.B.Ferguson Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analyses Detrend Method: Negative exponential or linear regression of any slope Cores Located at: Big Sky Institute Montana State University-Bozeman, MT Samples available upon request Reference: Graumlich, L.J., Pisaric, M. F. J., Waggoner, L. A, Littell, J., and King, J. 2002. Upper Yellowstone River Flow and Teleconnections with Pacific Basin Climate Variability During the Past Three Centuries. Climatic Change in press Notes: This chronology has samples we collected as well as samples from E.B. Ferguson's Gardner chronology COFECHA output: Chronology file name : WY027.CRN Measurement file name : WY027.RWL Date checked : 13APR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 1168 Ending year : 1999 Principal investigators: Lisa J. Graumlich Lindsey A. Waggoner John C. King E.B.Ferguson Site name : Mt. Everts includes Ferguson's Gardner collection Site location : Wyoming Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : +4459 Longitude : -11040 Elevation : 2179M Series intercorrelation: 0.756 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.398 Avg standard deviation : 0.334 Avg autocorrelation : 0.645 Number dated series : 65 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 2 Pct problem segments : 0.27 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 15:02 Wed 13 Apr 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 052021 1480 1965 .53 .51 .68 .72 .58 .70 .69 .67 4 052022 1445 1965 .41 .40 .41 .57 .62 .64 .64 .69 .62 .57 5 052041 1470 1965 .80 .84 .86 .87 .88 .86 .85 .78 .84 6 052042 1450 1965 .80 .86 .88 .88 .86 .79 .86 .87 .82 8 052052 1560 1965 .71 .68 .86 .88 .80 27 52151 1625 1971 .45 .47 29 52161 1185 1611 .64 .68 .79 .82 .83 .83 .82 .84 .80 .70 .73 .81 .80 .79 .86 .81 .79 30 52162 1240 1420 .76 .79 .84 .88 .85 .86 .83 31 52171 1220 1559 .72 .75 .79 .87 .89 .88 .89 .86 .80 .74 .78 .86 .82 .82 34 52191 1644 1971 .66 .68 35 52192 1651 1971 .79 42 52241 1410 1971 .87 .80 .76 .81 .85 .87 .87 .90 .89 .83 .76 43 52242 1550 1971 .81 .81 .83 .79 .82 46 MEV204 1617 1999 .52 .60 .79 50 MEV302 1612 1999 .60 .67 .66 56 MEV210 1408 1999 .81 .77 .63 .71 .91 .88 .81 .80 .87 .80 .67 58 MEV311 1377 1587 .64 .65 .70 .73 .77 .68 .56 .55 59 MEV211 1284 1716 .71 .75 .61 .68 .81 .80 .82 .79 .78 .80 .60 .52 .71 .84 .81 .56 60 MEV114 1356 1591 .73 .73 .86 .84 .87 .90 .90 .78 .48 61 MEV320 1168 1425 .58 .57 .54 .48 .71 .83 .75 .77 .82 .84 62 MEV113b 1320 1581 .87 .87 .90 .84 .85 .87 .85 .83 .83 .74 .60 63 MEV308 1497 1999 .66 .64 .57 .60 .70 .79 .71 .49 65 MEV111 1441 1779 .57 .69 .70 .79 .77 .73 .74 .80 .78 .76 Av segment correlation .61 .66 .71 .72 .79 .84 .80 .81 .79 .80 .72 .74 .75 .77 .75 .71 .75 .78 .73 .70 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 15:02 Wed 13 Apr 2005 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 052011 1740 1965 .83 .80 .86 .82 .76 .77 .84 .83 .80 2 052012 1720 1965 .86 .84 .81 .82 .81 .81 .80 .84 .87 .82 3 052021 1480 1965 .76 .45 .33 .68 .65 .61 .73 .75 .71 .57 .54 4 052022 1445 1965 .58 .64 .61 .67 .69 .68 .73 .71 .66 .47 .33 5 052041 1470 1965 .93 .94 .88 .80 .79 .81 .85 .78 .83 .90 .88 6 052042 1450 1965 .86 .86 .78 .79 .86 .88 .90 .80 .83 .89 .88 7 052051 1680 1965 .77 .79 .78 .68 .64 .57 .64 .70 .71 .65 .74 8 052052 1560 1965 .76 .78 .77 .65 .63 .70 .73 .68 .66 .72 .79 9 052061 1760 1965 .64 .83 .89 .89 .84 .84 .88 .87 10 052062 1770 1965 .88 .88 .93 .91 .85 .88 .91 .89 11 052071 1700 1965 .81 .84 .85 .93 .92 .84 .76 .75 .87 .86 12 052072 1710 1965 .87 .86 .80 .91 .92 .86 .80 .73 .78 .82 13 052081 1770 1965 .78 .81 .83 .86 .88 .86 .87 .86 14 052082 1770 1965 .82 .84 .84 .83 .86 .84 .82 .84 15 052091 1760 1965 .74 .80 .81 .86 .84 .81 .79 .76 16 052092 1740 1965 .86 .79 .85 .89 .87 .85 .83 .78 .65 17 052101 1720 1965 .90 .92 .89 .90 .88 .90 .92 .92 .92 .90 18 052102 1720 1965 .94 .94 .85 .82 .86 .92 .91 .94 .94 .93 19 052111 1850 1965 .77 .76 .87 .88 20 052112 1850 1965 .79 .79 .85 .81 21 052121 1850 1965 .63 .56 .59 .66 22 052122 1860 1965 .56 .57 .58 .70 23 052131 1724 1965 .81 .82 .87 .91 .89 .89 .87 .82 .83 .86 24 052132 1721 1965 .86 .86 .80 .87 .86 .88 .87 .82 .78 .80 25 52141 1691 1971 .76 .83 .84 .82 .89 .82 .80 .87 .86 .93 .92 26 52142 1693 1971 .82 .82 .76 .75 .62 .58 .70 .78 .84 .86 .89 27 52151 1625 1971 .71 .86 .80 .65 .74 .75 .74 .80 .89 .88 .86 28 52152 1700 1971 .83 .80 .75 .79 .81 .74 .68 .79 .81 .79 32 52181 1685 1971 .84 .84 .76 .76 .80 .74 .74 .65 .65 .75 .82 33 52182 1783 1971 .58 .59 .67 .71 .82 .86 .79 34 52191 1644 1971 .81 .91 .91 .85 .86 .78 .71 .81 .81 .80 .83 35 52192 1651 1971 .85 .90 .88 .81 .82 .78 .79 .82 .89 .85 .79 36 52201 1752 1971 .71 .79 .73 .52 .67 .62 .63 .74 37 52202 1758 1971 .80 .78 .72 .58 .54 .53 .55 .70 38 52221 1750 1971 .51 .83 .84 .84 .84 .80 .72 .72 39 52222 1766 1971 .83 .83 .83 .82 .80 .80 .82 .79 40 52231 1694 1971 .65 .69 .60 .71 .75 .67 .74 .80 .73 .70 .68 41 52232 1695 1971 .71 .69 .59 .70 .82 .84 .84 .77 .72 .74 .75 42 52241 1410 1971 .80 .84 .80 .75 .70 .79 .87 .81 .85 .91 .86 43 52242 1550 1971 .84 .80 .69 .68 .76 .76 .79 .81 .83 .82 .84 44 MEV314 1743 1999 .43B .52B .67 .74 .86 .81 .84 .87 .79 .80 45 MEV306 1807 1999 .58 .56 .56 .62 .76 .74 .65 46 MEV204 1617 1999 .79 .74 .73 .78 .85 .83 .84 .89 .87 .83 .74 .65 47 MEV301 1687 1999 .71 .87 .77 .72 .90 .92 .88 .87 .91 .86 .75 .73 48 MEV103 1691 1999 .45 .55 .79 .48 .70 .90 .83 .70 .80 .87 .76 .70 49 MEV106 1776 1999 .82 .81 .69 .76 .83 .77 .64 .60 50 MEV302 1612 1999 .74 .75 .71 .73 .75 .67 .60 .69 .72 .61 .62 .65 51 MEV202 1675 1999 .49 .47 .55 .64 .75 .74 .58 .61 .72 .74 .57 .48 52 MEV316 1696 1999 .84 .84 .78 .74 .86 .80 .75 .63 .70 .90 .78 .75 53 MEV305 1795 1999 .63 .62 .66 .58 .64 .76 .83 .85 54 MEV207 1693 1999 .73 .72 .75 .60 .35 .45 .77 .75 .71 .76 .78 .79 55 MEV110 1824 1999 .85 .85 .81 .83 .88 .83 .74 56 MEV210 1408 1999 .72 .86 .69 .56 .82 .81 .78 .83 .87 .90 .88 .85 57 MEV105B 1795 1999 .83 .78 .59 .59 .69 .54 .50 .60 59 MEV211 1284 1716 .56 63 MEV308 1497 1999 .50 .66 .64 .57 .78 .77 .66 .51 .56 .83 .78 .77 64 MEV315 1701 1999 .85 .77 .68 .63 .63 .81 .81 .83 .84 .77 .67 65 MEV111 1441 1779 .83 .82 .51 .45 Av segment correlation .73 .79 .75 .73 .78 .78 .77 .76 .78 .79 .78 .71 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 15:02 Wed 13 Apr 2005 Page 11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 052011 1740 1965 226 9 0 .810 .79 2.80 .508 .662 .381 2.90 .474 -.035 1 2 052012 1720 1965 246 10 0 .811 .93 3.86 .587 .661 .384 2.79 .410 -.026 1 3 052021 1480 1965 486 19 0 .618 .68 2.55 .395 .791 .299 2.91 .417 -.029 2 4 052022 1445 1965 521 21 0 .570 .79 4.04 .654 .905 .272 2.58 .344 -.033 1 5 052041 1470 1965 496 20 0 .840 .46 2.94 .393 .742 .422 2.76 .317 -.004 2 6 052042 1450 1965 516 20 0 .845 .55 1.97 .314 .611 .390 2.52 .360 -.013 3 7 052051 1680 1965 286 11 0 .742 .22 .86 .151 .549 .634 2.74 .397 -.044 1 8 052052 1560 1965 406 16 0 .766 .40 1.97 .328 .733 .493 2.76 .419 -.028 1 9 052061 1760 1965 206 8 0 .795 .59 1.95 .348 .654 .393 2.51 .336 -.024 1 10 052062 1770 1965 196 8 0 .886 .66 2.25 .386 .670 .407 2.59 .473 -.060 1 11 052071 1700 1965 266 10 0 .833 .34 1.63 .223 .666 .421 2.63 .399 -.007 1 12 052072 1710 1965 256 10 0 .842 .36 1.20 .228 .589 .440 2.61 .395 .009 1 13 052081 1770 1965 196 8 0 .838 .53 1.17 .252 .544 .404 2.66 .501 -.006 1 14 052082 1770 1965 196 8 0 .824 .71 1.72 .339 .621 .386 2.52 .407 .020 1 15 052091 1760 1965 206 8 0 .799 .60 1.62 .287 .498 .374 2.73 .398 -.010 1 16 052092 1740 1965 226 9 0 .801 .71 2.16 .363 .593 .383 2.64 .514 -.050 1 17 052101 1720 1965 246 10 0 .892 .78 2.40 .484 .619 .427 2.67 .443 -.074 1 18 052102 1720 1965 246 10 0 .898 .81 2.00 .411 .528 .407 2.64 .398 -.048 1 19 052111 1850 1965 116 4 0 .822 .30 .76 .131 .572 .349 2.69 .426 -.035 1 20 052112 1850 1965 116 4 0 .808 .52 .97 .207 .516 .339 2.54 .413 -.031 1 21 052121 1850 1965 116 4 0 .639 1.11 2.63 .503 .651 .293 2.62 .473 -.037 1 22 052122 1860 1965 106 4 0 .627 1.60 4.31 .884 .674 .305 2.69 .466 -.066 1 23 052131 1724 1965 242 10 0 .858 .73 2.42 .463 .719 .390 2.54 .364 -.028 3 24 052132 1721 1965 245 10 0 .842 .63 1.97 .400 .706 .409 2.69 .444 -.041 1 25 52141 1691 1971 281 11 0 .759 .78 4.16 .628 .883 .349 2.62 .319 -.005 1 26 52142 1693 1971 279 11 0 .752 .66 3.58 .547 .868 .366 2.57 .307 -.041 1 27 52151 1625 1971 347 13 0 .741 .77 2.83 .438 .673 .348 2.58 .378 -.010 1 28 52152 1700 1971 272 10 0 .778 .49 1.63 .252 .676 .334 2.64 .363 .008 1 29 52161 1185 1611 427 17 0 .779 .43 1.96 .254 .662 .386 2.61 .344 -.030 1 30 52162 1240 1420 181 7 0 .830 .45 1.60 .232 .541 .400 2.75 .459 -.017 1 31 52171 1220 1559 340 14 0 .830 .38 1.17 .199 .589 .426 2.53 .335 -.031 1 32 52181 1685 1971 287 11 0 .733 .48 1.43 .246 .717 .345 2.48 .295 -.013 1 33 52182 1783 1971 189 7 0 .752 .54 2.28 .370 .714 .358 2.56 .312 -.015 2 34 52191 1644 1971 328 13 0 .798 .67 3.68 .527 .728 .428 2.65 .352 -.024 1 35 52192 1651 1971 321 12 0 .823 .75 5.29 .789 .773 .439 2.66 .381 -.018 3 36 52201 1752 1971 220 8 0 .657 .80 1.90 .325 .734 .252 2.44 .345 -.056 1 37 52202 1758 1971 214 8 0 .648 .87 1.91 .359 .753 .256 2.61 .330 -.023 1 38 52221 1750 1971 222 8 0 .742 .86 2.66 .409 .670 .340 2.49 .336 -.053 2 39 52222 1766 1971 206 8 0 .799 1.05 2.50 .449 .654 .301 2.45 .383 -.062 2 40 52231 1694 1971 278 11 0 .696 .67 1.80 .373 .823 .291 2.59 .355 -.046 1 41 52232 1695 1971 277 11 0 .751 .67 1.63 .324 .702 .322 2.55 .378 -.020 1 42 52241 1410 1971 562 22 0 .838 .21 .57 .101 .298 .546 2.53 .393 -.040 1 43 52242 1550 1971 422 16 0 .809 .27 .76 .128 .388 .465 2.59 .419 -.029 1 44 MEV314 1743 1999 257 10 2 .735 .44 1.36 .241 .566 .430 2.61 .395 -.020 1 45 MEV306 1807 1999 193 7 0 .623 .46 .99 .204 .431 .376 2.59 .348 -.044 1 46 MEV204 1617 1999 383 15 0 .755 .43 1.36 .262 .706 .373 2.59 .316 -.070 1 47 MEV301 1687 1999 313 12 0 .816 .47 1.81 .280 .662 .381 2.49 .325 -.057 1 48 MEV103 1691 1999 309 12 0 .708 .66 1.65 .313 .711 .303 2.60 .397 -.044 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 15:02 Wed 13 Apr 2005 Page 12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 MEV106 1776 1999 224 8 0 .745 .76 2.07 .338 .688 .287 2.65 .311 -.025 1 50 MEV302 1612 1999 388 15 0 .663 .64 2.92 .385 .711 .360 2.48 .284 -.015 2 51 MEV202 1675 1999 325 12 0 .611 .61 2.50 .428 .777 .348 2.57 .317 -.048 2 52 MEV316 1696 1999 304 12 0 .781 .65 2.71 .409 .679 .393 2.63 .394 -.015 1 53 MEV305 1795 1999 205 8 0 .697 .45 1.07 .207 .335 .465 2.89 .487 -.019 1 54 MEV207 1693 1999 307 12 0 .670 .43 2.00 .268 .618 .420 2.59 .384 -.019 1 55 MEV110 1824 1999 176 7 0 .809 .65 1.53 .291 .592 .350 2.51 .376 -.041 1 56 MEV210 1408 1999 592 23 0 .789 .42 1.43 .229 .558 .392 2.61 .284 -.015 7 57 MEV105B 1795 1999 205 8 0 .632 .51 1.26 .237 .403 .384 2.56 .313 -.028 1 58 MEV311 1377 1587 211 8 0 .649 .24 .92 .176 .762 .441 2.69 .395 -.039 1 59 MEV211 1284 1716 433 17 0 .707 .32 1.61 .226 .702 .454 2.56 .400 -.035 6 60 MEV114 1356 1591 236 9 0 .765 .25 .68 .140 .285 .561 2.63 .499 -.013 1 61 MEV320 1168 1425 258 10 0 .681 .28 .95 .158 .546 .458 2.70 .416 -.020 1 62 MEV113b 1320 1581 262 11 0 .811 .45 2.23 .403 .815 .488 2.64 .383 -.038 1 63 MEV308 1497 1999 503 20 0 .667 .28 1.13 .187 .619 .488 2.64 .379 -.010 1 64 MEV315 1701 1999 299 11 0 .744 .40 1.86 .326 .597 .575 2.56 .327 -.017 1 65 MEV111 1441 1779 339 14 0 .699 .45 1.29 .220 .542 .386 2.58 .333 -.005 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 18739 730 2 .756 .55 5.29 .334 .645 .398 2.91 .374 -.027