Mammoth Hot Springs, Wyoming - WY049 Additional Site Information John C. King Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analyses Detrending: Negative exponontial or linear regression with negative or 0 slope Samples stored at: John C. King Lone Pine Research lonepine@bigsky.net 406-579-8529 Notes: Yellowstone National Park Research Project YELL5582. The Mammoth Hot Springs samples were used in a preliminary examination of precipitation patterns. Relatively low correlation in this data set is due to the 2km diameter of the collection site. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : WY049.CRN Measurement file name : WY049.RWL Date checked : 14APR14 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 471 Ending year : 1998 Principal investigators: John C. King Site name : Mammoth Hot Springs Site location : Wyoming Species information : PIFL LIMBER PINE Latitude : 4459 Longitude : -11042 Elevation : 1917M Series intercorrelation: 0.439 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.259 Avg standard deviation : 0.186 Avg autocorrelation : 0.738 Number dated series : 18 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 60 Pct problem segments : 26.09 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mammoth Hot Springs 10:42 Mon 14 Apr 2014 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 500 525 550 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 549 574 599 624 649 674 699 724 749 774 799 824 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 MEV109 613 1033 .25A .40 .57 .58 .50 .60 .60 .46 .52 .65 .63 .61 .63 .59 .51 .36 2 MEV317 471 721 .25A .33 .52 .50 .40 .51 .42 .42 5 MEV309 740 940 .41 .31A .18B .31B .43 .37 .39 .42 6 A115A 541 978 .41 .50 .49 .41 .55 .60 .56 .45 .50 .48 .41 .46 .58 .55 .55 .43 .35 .25A 7 A118A 666 1590 .63 .46 .23A .31A .29A .23B .48 .61 .54 .58 .35 .17B .06B .21A 15 A121 558 928 .33B .48 .51 .68 .61 .35 .30A .41 .53 .34B .20B .02B .33 .55 .55 16 A104A 515 925 .25A .31A .42 .51 .43 .39 .50 .52 .43 .31B .20B-.01B .20A .45 .47 .40 .38 17 LPR100 734 1549 .55 .48 .26B .34 .45 .55 .47 .28A .27B .22A .19B 18 cga413a 954 1154 .50 .73 Av segment correlation .25 .35 .44 .49 .40 .51 .56 .48 .38 .44 .41 .27 .36 .46 .49 .51 .44 .34 .31 .37 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mammoth Hot Springs 10:42 Mon 14 Apr 2014 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 MEV109 613 1033 .34 3 MEV108 1229 1360 .30A .21B .50 .72 .62 4 MEV107 1452 1998 .19B .29A 7 A118A 666 1590 .44 .39 .48 .34 .35 .42 .47 .33B .23B .49 .26B .23B .25B .28A .55 .70 .64 .59 .52 .60 8 A106A 1280 1537 .48 .57 .49 .62 .79 .84 .72 .65 .73 9 A126 1362 1592 .52 .53 .59 .58 .65 .48 10 A108A 1316 1516 .48 .58 .66 .68 .77 .78 .73 .69 11 A120A 1282 1482 .44 .37 .13B .31A .49 .56 .50 .49 12 A114A 1350 1538 .15B .54 .54 .18B .41 .57 13 A113A 1304 1499 .59 .35 .36B .38 .43 .45 .46 14 A120B 1373 1605 .68 .63 .66 .36 .42B .46 17 LPR100 734 1549 .05B .00B .26B .62 .66 .45 .46 .33 .22B .45 .46 .62 .61 .32B .36B .50 .40 .26A .35 .37 18 cga413a 954 1154 .61 .30A .32A .60 .56 .57 Av segment correlation .36 .23 .35 .52 .53 .48 .46 .33 .23 .41 .31 .45 .51 .40 .47 .58 .60 .49 .49 .52 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mammoth Hot Springs 10:42 Mon 14 Apr 2014 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1500 1525 1550 1575 1549 1574 1599 1624 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 4 MEV107 1452 1998 .27B .30A .26A .29A 7 A118A 666 1590 .79 .68 .55 8 A106A 1280 1537 .65 9 A126 1362 1592 .57 .66 .45 12 A114A 1350 1538 .64 14 A120B 1373 1605 .51 .59 .30A .30A 17 LPR100 734 1549 .39 Av segment correlation .55 .56 .39 .29 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mammoth Hot Springs 10:42 Mon 14 Apr 2014 Page 14 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 MEV109 613 1033 421 17 1 .515 .33 .98 .178 .613 .414 2.61 .360 -.010 1 2 MEV317 471 721 251 8 1 .384 .23 .64 .122 .615 .399 2.72 .513 -.011 1 3 MEV108 1229 1360 132 5 2 .418 .42 .72 .145 .673 .239 2.43 .327 -.067 1 4 MEV107 1452 1998 547 6 6 .240 .44 1.29 .231 .765 .280 2.70 .381 -.017 1 5 MEV309 740 940 201 8 3 .388 .22 .91 .137 .641 .375 2.67 .414 -.040 1 6 A115A 541 978 438 18 1 .467 .29 .69 .119 .790 .209 2.77 .425 -.026 2 7 A118A 666 1590 925 37 13 .416 .31 1.30 .209 .896 .233 2.55 .322 -.020 1 8 A106A 1280 1537 258 10 0 .636 .67 1.51 .294 .905 .156 2.57 .364 .001 1 9 A126 1362 1592 231 9 0 .556 .26 .57 .102 .791 .205 2.60 .370 .026 1 10 A108A 1316 1516 201 8 0 .666 .22 .39 .074 .584 .258 2.55 .393 -.011 1 11 A120A 1282 1482 201 8 2 .408 .39 1.00 .170 .800 .201 2.60 .404 .002 2 12 A114A 1350 1538 189 7 2 .461 .34 .82 .149 .845 .186 2.66 .444 -.034 1 13 A113A 1304 1499 196 7 1 .452 .57 1.44 .205 .763 .194 2.85 .465 -.023 1 14 A120B 1373 1605 233 10 3 .443 1.10 2.65 .417 .843 .163 2.39 .277 -.062 1 15 A121 558 928 371 15 5 .400 .18 .41 .067 .829 .174 2.57 .419 -.030 1 16 A104A 515 925 411 17 6 .359 .41 .74 .102 .654 .153 2.66 .441 .002 1 17 LPR100 734 1549 816 32 12 .373 .42 1.22 .188 .550 .316 2.73 .326 -.013 1 18 cga413a 954 1154 201 8 2 .487 .50 2.60 .489 .710 .471 2.84 .503 -.038 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6223 230 60 .439 .39 2.65 .186 .738 .259 2.85 .383 -.018