Zuun Mod 2001 update, Mongolia - mong006 Additional Site Information G.C. Jacoby, B.M. Buckley, and N.Pederson Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 NOTES: Measurements file updated 11/14/2011 to include 27 additional cores with core ID's beginning with "ZM". These new cores extend the period of record by 5 years, up to 2001 AD rather than the previous series end date of 1996 AD. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG006.CRN Measurement file name : MONG006.RWL Date checked : 14NOV11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1582 Ending year : 2001 Principal investigators: G.C. Jacoby, B.M. Buckley, N.Pederson Site name : Zuun Mod 2001 update Site location : Mongolia Species information : LASI SIBERIAN LARCH Latitude : +4747 Longitude : +10730 Elevation : 1415M Series intercorrelation: 0.880 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.446 Avg standard deviation : 0.359 Avg autocorrelation : 0.583 Number dated series : 57 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Zuun Mod 2001 update 15:11 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OT3S 1677 1996 .79 .80 .88 .90 .81 .85 .93 .88 .90 .94 .89 .85 2 OT3W 1715 1996 .85 .88 .84 .85 .89 .92 .88 .90 .93 .90 .90 3 OT4NE 1582 1996 .85 .88 .91 .90 .92 .93 .93 .86 .90 .95 .95 .91 .91 .95 .95 .92 4 OT4W 1596 1996 .85 .86 .91 .93 .95 .93 .92 .83 .86 .95 .95 .91 .91 .96 .96 .93 5 OT5NW 1617 1996 .87 .89 .89 .90 .92 .93 .94 .93 .93 .90 .86 .93 .94 .93 .93 6 OT5S 1663 1735 .87 .88 .88 7 OT5S 1743 1996 .89 .88 .92 .96 .91 .89 .95 .94 .91 .90 8 OT6NW 1699 1996 .85 .86 .81 .71 .74 .84 .89 .80 .81 .88 .85 .84 9 OT6SW 1648 1996 .72 .72 .71 .76 .74 .74 .79 .84 .85 .77 .84 .90 .85 .81 10 OT8S 1758 1996 .73 .84 .86 .80 .72 .75 .80 .78 .81 11 OT8W 1764 1996 .74 .78 .84 .78 .71 .79 .87 .86 .85 12 OT9N 1823 1996 .89 .92 .91 .91 .93 .89 .87 13 OT9W 1786 1996 .82 .87 .89 .92 .96 .95 .91 .90 14 OT10NE 1614 1996 .81 .82 .90 .90 .92 .91 .90 .88 .88 .90 .91 .94 .96 .93 .93 15 OT10SW 1605 1647 .71 16 OT10SW 1653 1996 .93 .93 .93 .92 .88 .87 .88 .92 .91 .94 .96 .94 .90 17 OT11N 1848 1996 .94 .94 .96 .94 .93 .94 18 OT11E 1834 1996 .91 .91 .94 .95 .92 .88 19 OT14N 1587 1996 .91 .89 .91 .91 .92 .89 .85 .84 .82 .87 .93 .89 .88 .89 .84 .77 20 OT14E 1593 1996 .92 .92 .91 .91 .93 .89 .83 .81 .83 .89 .92 .91 .93 .91 .85 .81 21 OT14S 1587 1996 .94 .92 .89 .90 .90 .86 .88 .85 .83 .89 .91 .88 .90 .92 .84 .77 22 OT15E 1583 1996 .87 .87 .87 .88 .93 .93 .91 .85 .89 .93 .92 .90 .89 .84 .84 .96 23 OT15SW 1583 1610 .86 24 OT15W 1587 1996 .87 .87 .90 .90 .91 .89 .83 .78 .89 .94 .91 .86 .90 .90 .87 .95 25 OT16NW 1800 1996 .89 .85 .80 .87 .92 .89 .88 26 OT17N 1708 1996 .93 .91 .87 .89 .92 .94 .94 .95 .97 .94 .89 27 OT17E 1598 1996 .86 .85 .94 .94 .93 .93 .93 .91 .92 .93 .95 .93 .93 .94 .94 .91 28 OT17S 1589 1996 .74 .80 .91 .94 .95 .93 .90 .88 .87 .88 .94 .93 .94 .94 .92 .90 29 OT18N 1589 1996 .88 .85 .72 .73 .85 .88 .83 .77 .67 .72 .84 .84 .86 .90 .90 .90 30 OT18W 1593 1996 .85 .81 .79 .85 .90 .90 .87 .84 .73 .77 .88 .80 .59 .66 .89 .91 31 ZM01N 1920 2001 .82 .82 .85 .84 32 ZM01S 1856 2001 .92 .91 .85 .76 .87 .90 33 ZM02N 1613 2001 .88 .88 .90 .91 .92 .91 .89 .89 .92 .93 .89 .84 .86 .89 .93 .93 34 ZM02W 1610 2001 .88 .88 .93 .92 .91 .88 .86 .87 .89 .93 .87 .89 .90 .89 .96 .95 35 ZMX2W 1900 2001 .92 .90 .82 .82 36 ZM03S 1620 2001 .56 .65 .87 .90 .90 .90 .84 .87 .95 .93 .88 .91 .95 .92 .88 .89 37 ZM03N 1680 2001 .86 .87 .89 .83 .83 .90 .92 .93 .92 .93 .94 .93 .93 38 ZMX3 1899 2001 .93 .94 .94 .90 .90 39 ZM04E 1600 2001 .79 .88 .92 .93 .91 .90 .83 .85 .91 .91 .89 .86 .87 .91 .90 .90 40 ZM04W 1872 2001 .90 .90 .82 .81 .92 .93 41 ZM05NW 1786 2001 .93 .93 .91 .90 .93 .96 .94 .93 .93 42 ZM05NW' 1868 2001 .93 .95 .94 .91 .91 .91 43 ZM05W 1670 2001 .94 .95 .93 .91 .86 .85 .89 .87 .85 .89 .93 .91 .90 .90 44 ZM06N 1894 2001 .94 .95 .86 .84 .84 45 ZM06S 1800 2001 .87 .88 .90 .92 .92 .92 .92 .93 46 ZM07SE 1882 2001 .91 .94 .89 .90 .88 47 ZM07NE 1952 2001 .85 48 ZM08W 1600 2001 .87 .91 .95 .95 .95 .93 .88 .89 .93 .95 .94 .95 .95 .95 .91 .92 49 ZM09S 1800 2001 .87 .90 .90 .88 .89 .90 .93 .92 50 ZM09N 1593 2001 .65 .77 .82 .86 .91 .90 .86 .82 .88 .91 .94 .92 .92 .93 .91 .91 .89 51 ZM10 1922 2001 .90 .92 .95 .95 52 ZM10E 1916 2001 .84 .85 .86 .87 53 ZM11S 1705 2001 .91 .87 .78 .72 .82 .88 .90 .93 .91 .88 .89 .90 54 ZM11N 1600 2001 .80 .73 .75 .84 .84 .80 .79 .74 .80 .94 .90 .88 .88 .85 .92 .92 55 ZM12W 1671 2001 .86 .86 .93 .91 .88 .86 .89 .92 .88 .92 .96 .93 .93 .93 56 ZM13W 1610 2001 .79 .90 .87 .89 .87 .86 .87 .89 .88 .78 .77 .81 .83 .77 .77 .77 57 ZM? 1622 2001 .92 .94 .93 .93 .94 .92 .91 .92 .92 .93 .89 .88 .94 .93 .90 .91 Av segment correlation .85 .83 .86 .88 .90 .90 .88 .84 .85 .89 .90 .88 .89 .91 .89 .89 .90 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Zuun Mod 2001 update 15:11 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OT3S 1677 1996 320 12 0 .860 .59 2.23 .337 .611 .400 2.64 .368 -.024 1 2 OT3W 1715 1996 282 11 0 .885 .44 1.49 .237 .617 .366 2.63 .337 -.029 1 3 OT4NE 1582 1996 415 16 0 .913 .67 5.40 .747 .799 .474 2.77 .408 -.029 3 4 OT4W 1596 1996 401 16 0 .914 .62 4.15 .481 .712 .490 2.80 .435 -.029 2 5 OT5NW 1617 1996 380 15 0 .907 .83 3.37 .549 .693 .405 2.72 .361 -.026 2 6 OT5S 1663 1735 73 3 0 .888 1.19 3.03 .505 .392 .396 2.75 .540 -.021 1 7 OT5S 1743 1996 254 10 0 .916 .59 1.50 .232 .372 .359 2.65 .453 -.024 1 8 OT6NW 1699 1996 298 12 0 .816 .53 2.47 .334 .718 .332 2.71 .346 -.037 2 9 OT6SW 1648 1996 349 14 0 .793 .64 2.49 .401 .671 .380 2.58 .301 -.013 5 10 OT8S 1758 1996 239 9 0 .793 .38 1.16 .171 .309 .411 2.73 .416 -.035 2 11 OT8W 1764 1996 233 9 0 .807 .41 1.48 .229 .540 .426 2.66 .425 -.040 2 12 OT9N 1823 1996 174 7 0 .896 .38 .82 .125 .279 .329 2.55 .371 -.051 1 13 OT9W 1786 1996 211 8 0 .899 .42 .95 .148 .391 .321 2.58 .392 -.047 1 14 OT10NE 1614 1996 383 15 0 .900 .51 1.83 .301 .531 .450 2.72 .443 -.030 1 15 OT10SW 1605 1647 43 1 0 .706 1.19 2.63 .587 .580 .361 2.67 .603 .016 1 16 OT10SW 1653 1996 344 13 0 .914 .48 1.90 .256 .395 .487 2.76 .429 -.041 1 17 OT11N 1848 1996 149 6 0 .936 .41 1.19 .168 .142 .437 2.80 .475 .007 2 18 OT11E 1834 1996 163 6 0 .913 .40 1.42 .186 .262 .442 2.70 .419 -.016 1 19 OT14N 1587 1996 410 16 0 .877 .35 3.38 .405 .696 .585 2.94 .354 -.010 1 20 OT14E 1593 1996 404 16 0 .880 .36 2.91 .383 .765 .544 2.83 .403 -.031 1 21 OT14S 1587 1996 410 16 0 .875 .32 2.81 .344 .678 .544 2.86 .390 -.016 2 22 OT15E 1583 1996 414 16 0 .893 .49 3.02 .488 .783 .462 2.72 .329 -.017 1 23 OT15SW 1583 1610 28 1 0 .864 1.50 3.38 .754 .288 .508 2.68 .615 .043 3 24 OT15W 1587 1996 410 16 0 .888 .44 2.76 .435 .748 .489 2.68 .350 -.025 1 25 OT16NW 1800 1996 197 7 0 .872 .36 1.21 .169 .394 .421 2.59 .395 -.011 1 26 OT17N 1708 1996 289 11 0 .920 .52 1.86 .306 .494 .521 2.66 .440 -.031 1 27 OT17E 1598 1996 399 16 0 .921 .54 4.01 .422 .762 .465 2.63 .404 -.034 1 28 OT17S 1589 1996 408 16 0 .893 .54 2.23 .306 .593 .451 2.55 .332 -.018 2 29 OT18N 1589 1996 408 16 0 .819 .67 3.20 .521 .837 .307 2.53 .333 -.035 2 30 OT18W 1593 1996 404 16 0 .807 .71 3.21 .418 .785 .290 2.79 .383 -.027 2 31 ZM01N 1920 2001 82 4 0 .834 1.06 3.19 .628 .464 .497 2.75 .591 -.052 1 32 ZM01S 1856 2001 146 6 0 .866 .66 1.78 .338 .462 .442 2.63 .429 -.056 2 33 ZM02N 1613 2001 389 16 0 .894 .47 2.39 .369 .696 .449 2.63 .350 -.012 1 34 ZM02W 1610 2001 392 16 0 .893 .51 2.47 .448 .707 .471 2.47 .344 -.026 2 35 ZMX2W 1900 2001 102 4 0 .880 .48 1.53 .243 .297 .475 2.71 .485 -.053 2 36 ZM03S 1620 2001 382 16 0 .865 .55 2.17 .330 .457 .499 2.86 .486 -.034 3 37 ZM03N 1680 2001 322 13 0 .898 .33 1.10 .210 .543 .513 2.70 .409 -.041 2 38 ZMX3 1899 2001 103 5 0 .919 .32 .77 .142 .229 .470 2.57 .487 -.024 1 39 ZM04E 1600 2001 402 16 0 .878 .49 4.59 .459 .684 .543 2.82 .425 -.015 2 40 ZM04W 1872 2001 130 6 0 .874 .45 1.32 .229 .299 .480 2.82 .496 -.045 1 41 ZM05NW 1786 2001 216 9 0 .929 1.02 2.21 .423 .326 .413 2.67 .481 -.038 2 42 ZM05NW' 1868 2001 134 6 0 .921 1.04 2.45 .488 .357 .443 2.58 .429 -.059 1 43 ZM05W 1670 2001 332 14 0 .894 .77 2.79 .372 .543 .365 2.68 .400 -.042 2 44 ZM06N 1894 2001 108 5 0 .904 .28 .57 .115 .371 .394 2.49 .369 -.034 1 45 ZM06S 1800 2001 202 8 0 .900 .57 1.34 .232 .428 .372 2.59 .357 -.042 2 46 ZM07SE 1882 2001 120 5 0 .899 .57 1.25 .250 .432 .400 2.66 .447 -.029 1 47 ZM07NE 1952 2001 50 1 0 .851 .61 2.11 .362 .289 .521 2.86 .595 -.021 1 48 ZM08W 1600 2001 402 16 0 .923 .63 2.68 .367 .591 .470 2.64 .433 -.039 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Zuun Mod 2001 update 15:11 Mon 14 Nov 2011 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 ZM09S 1800 2001 202 8 0 .885 .49 1.15 .221 .087 .512 2.54 .315 -.022 2 50 ZM09N 1593 2001 409 17 0 .865 .47 3.15 .347 .636 .509 2.66 .369 -.025 2 51 ZM10 1922 2001 80 4 0 .921 .78 1.78 .402 .421 .427 3.08 .592 -.035 1 52 ZM10E 1916 2001 86 4 0 .853 .75 2.90 .420 .515 .401 2.92 .564 -.111 1 53 ZM11S 1705 2001 297 12 0 .869 .55 1.37 .199 .465 .308 2.62 .328 -.039 2 54 ZM11N 1600 2001 402 16 0 .833 .63 3.02 .444 .841 .304 2.58 .339 -.021 1 55 ZM12W 1671 2001 331 14 0 .900 .42 1.31 .231 .496 .430 2.75 .393 -.030 2 56 ZM13W 1610 2001 392 16 0 .823 .48 3.10 .461 .607 .649 2.62 .387 .002 2 57 ZM? 1622 2001 380 16 0 .914 .43 1.57 .250 .489 .493 2.69 .437 -.051 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 15485 619 0 .880 .54 5.40 .359 .583 .446 3.08 .396 -.029