Tsunamis—huge ocean waves generated by sudden movements in the seafloor, landslides, or volcanic activity—have killed hundreds of thousands of people worldwide and caused billions of dollars in damage. They are equal opportunity destroyers. No coastal area in the world is entirely safe from them.
In the deep ocean, tsunami waves may only be a few inches high and often go undetected. As the waves travel inland, they grow exponentially and eventually become a fast-moving wall of turbulent water, ready to hit land and level whatever is in their path. How tsunami waves behave—how far and fast they travel—is influenced by the ridges and valleys of the ocean floor and of our coastlines.
NCEI scientists are developing computer models aimed to take the surprise out of tsunamis. These digital elevation models, or DEMs, integrate ocean depth data with coastal land elevation data to visualize relief in coastal zones.
“These detailed coastal relief models provide a framework that allows the Tsunami Warning Centers to more accurately predict the tsunami impact in coastal communities and ultimately save lives with better warnings,” says Kelly Stroker, NCEI’s Coastal Hazards Team Lead.
High-resolution DEMs are a crucial part of the U.S. Tsunami Forecast and Warning System. Scientists have completed more than 200 models for U.S. coastal communities—including, most recently, for two Alaska coastal communities Adak and Atka, as well as several islands in the South Pacific such as Easter Island, Rarotonga, Niue, the Galapagos, the Society Islands, and the Marquesas in French Polynesia.
Taking the Guesswork Out of Where the Waves Will Go
Think of the digital elevation model as the flight-simulator equivalent for tsunamis. Here’s how it works:
- When NCEI scientists complete a DEM, they deliver it to NOAA’s Center for Tsunami Research in Seattle where it is incorporated into tsunami models. These models simulate offshore earthquakes, the resulting tsunami movement across the ocean, and the magnitude and location of coastal flooding caused when a tsunami reaches the shore.
- Armed with these simulation results, NOAA's Tsunami Warning Centers are then able to forecast flooding in the event of an earthquake-generated tsunami. Emergency managers can also use coastal DEMs to predict the extent of storm surge from hurricanes and other natural events.
Saving Lives Starts with Data-Sharing
The DEM team at NCEI draws on its vast archive of data about the ocean floor (known as bathymetry data) collected for navigation and ocean resource management, as well as data from other federal agencies—like the U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and NASA—academia, and nonprofit organizations.